RDC: Lamuka – Communique (31.10.2023)

Ethiopia: Abiy is just giving himself reasons to order another war…

The Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed Ali is the perfection of a warlord. He thrives on it and that’s how he gets adrenalin. Because, nothing else seems to work in the Republic. The man has to send soldiers, tanks and drones to any location. Just to prove a point and hope that the deceased was someone he needed to finish off.

It is tragic and sad… but here we are… a man who has fought in nearly every region of his Republic. A man who has had two major conflicts within in Tigray and Amhara. Who has issued skirmishes and monopolized state brutality in Oromia and Ogaden. That man seems to have a new conflict in sight.

Just as the bloodshed of Tigray, Amhara, Oromia or Ogaden isn’t enough. He needs another war. This time with yet another former ally, this time Asmara and Eritrea. It is supposed to be about connectivity and rights for ports. He says it is about not being landlocked and having access to the Red Sea. However, for all we know… that could be bogus. Just like the excuses he had for invading and destroying Tigray.

Abiy can use any reason or excuse to get it his way. He don’t mind burying people alive and seeing their villages burn. As long as he plays King and is crowned like one. That is all he needs while the bullets fly and people die. It is just who he is…

Abiy is now striking back at Afewerki. The ally who fought and used their military in the Tigray region. The ones who decided not to partake or be a part of the conflict of Amhara region. It might be a reason for why Abiy wants to retaliate. He thought the Eritrean army would be on his side no matter what, but apparently they have some boundaries too. The Eritrean wanted to avenge and destroy the TPLF. That’s why they joined in war and they felt betrayed by the Cessation of Hostilities Agreement in Pretoria, South Africa. Therefore, there is petty reasons if any party needs any.

These two nations has an Algiers Agreement from 12^th December 2000, one vital provision in that agreement says this: “The parties shall permanently terminate military hostilities between themselves. Each party shall refrain from the threat or use of force against the other” (Algiers, 2000).

We have seen that this sort of been violated in the Tigray conflict, though not directly at Ethiopian National Defence Forces (ENDF) but it was used against Ethiopian civilians or Tigray Defence Force (TDF). Meaning the Eritrean army did violate the terms here, but doing so in coordination of the Ethiopian allies in Addis Ababa.

We know the parties has had skirmishes and such over Badme. That has been a part of the Tigray region, which Eritrea has claimed it belong too. However, this haven’t been settled and been a torn between the nations. While seemingly the peace-offering and secret agreement between Abiy and Afewerki did wonders.

Now just mere years after that and the dust has settled. The wars are taken a toll and the leaders of Addis Ababa needs another enemy. Not like Abiy haven’t created enough victims and enemies within over the years. He has certainly plenty who are scorned and who has lost their loved ones. Just so the Prime Minister could prove a point and be the almighty of the nation.

Now, the guns are turning against Asmara. It is done for “Afar Unity” or over Assab Port. Regardless of the excuse. It will be done because Abiy wants another victory and be great. He has suffered losses and humiliation by never being able to actually win a conflict. The PM is just losing and not winning. He gotten to weaken the TPLF and the Regional Government there… but they are still not up to terms or close associates of any kind. Just temporary friends in the quagmire that the PM has created.

We are now here… Afar region paid a price in the Tigray war. So, did Amhara and the Amhara are now former allies turned enemies. In the midst of that internal war. The PM is busy scheming his next move. Just like he was never able to end the Oromo Liberation Army (OLA). He will not be able to finish of FANO or the Amhara Popular Front (APF). These are here to stay and got popular support in their region. Therefore, he can either reconcile to their demands or continue the battle. Alas, there within is the problem. Abiy cannot afford to be weak or settle. That will be his loss.

That’s why it’s easier to call and order another conflict. Wage another war and over either land, sea or “unity”. Even if the “unity” of a ethnic group is a lie. That is just a pawn and they didn’t get much help or support in the Tigray war. No, they got burned, tested and was on the frontline. While Abiy waited to the last minute to give support or send troops to help out. That’s how he has done it and now he hopes their cause can give him enough manpower or troops to fight Eritrea.

It is bonkers and will be his downfall. This war will damage Abiy and be the final straw. He will not have anywhere to turn and the guns will be blazing around him. It will end up in mutiny and a full fledge crisis. The economy will crash and he will have nowhere to go.

Abiy will risk it all and gain nothing. It is a futile enterprise and he doesn’t have what it takes. It doesn’t matter if the Eritrean army is weak or without modern equipment. The ENDF and allies will fight on their turf and their homeland. If the ENDF was struggling in Tigray. Well, they will fight a fierce combats in Eritrea. The Red Sea will be far away and the rivers of blood will be close.

There will be a bloodshed and by how Abiy is governing. Every corner of the Republic and everywhere surrounding him. There has to be conflict and he has ensure there is a lost generation. Who either got lost in battle or lost in the cross-fire. Peace.

Israel-Palestine: United Nations Human Rights New York Director Craig Mokhiber resignation letter (28.10.2023)

The Disciples of Odrek Rwabwogo letter to the Chairperson of the Inter-Religious Council of Uganda (30.10.2023)

RDC: Declaration des candidats President de la Republique (27.10.2023)

Mali: FAMa – Actu (31.10.2023)

Zimbabwe: Comrade Gwenzi is just a proof that the Constitution doesn’t matter to the ZANU-PF…

“Section 208(3) of the Constitution: “members of the security services must not be members of any political party or organisation.”

Section 208(4) of the Constitution: “members of the security services must not engage in any partisan political activity.”” (Open Parly Zimbabwe, 30.10.2023).

The appointment of “Cde Gwenzi”, General, Phillip Valerio Sibanda, as an Ex Officio Member of the Politburo. Is just a reflection of the government and the ruling party in Harare. That the ZANU-PF isn’t considering the implications or the Constitution for that matter. There is only Presidential Decrees and his Presidential Orders. The rest is history.

I am not shocked at this point, that a military officer has a high ranking official or a party of ZANU-PF. Well, it wasn’t that long ago that Gen. Christiano Chiwenga was both Vice-President and Minister of Health. Currently his the incumbent Vice-President and kept that role after the ouster of Mugabe.

That’s why the appointment of General Sibanda or Comrade Gwenzi isn’t out of nowhere. No, it just more of the same. There was already a General in the Cabinet and his the Vice-President. The ones calling it unconstitutional, well, that is possibly true… and I have shown you the important sections of it. However, does that matter?

Because Gen. Chiwenga isn’t in question and his partisan in politics. His been so for years now and Gen. Sibanda will only follow his legacy. These two are just one of plenty in this regard. When President Mnangagwa took over power. I remember more army commanders and such got high ranking official duties, which wasn’t in military nature. Alas, that is the problem here and we can see how this just continues.

That’s because Mnangagwa needs the army and loyal army commanders on his side. It is important for him to have them on his side and give them perks. In such a fashion that they want him in office and willing to fight for him. That’s why he does this and also shows loyalty to armed forces.

Comrade Gwenzi will not feel a sting or a thing. This here will eventually die down and be forgotten actually. Just like the scandals of Kembo Mohadi, which has returned to office after a sex-scandal in the previous term. That’s how these people operate.

When we have seen Gen. Chiwenga for years. He violated the Constitution by being there and being appointed. Even if it was part of deal with Mnangagwa. That doesn’t matter, because the law of the land should affect him and his ally. However, we know how the story goes and the law isn’t subjected to these people. That is only for the poorer class or the dissidents. Peace.

Opinion: Besigye needs a new home

Today it was finalized, the leadership of Forum for Democratic Change (FDC) split itself from the People’s Government and the Katonga branch. This means Dr. Kizza Besigye and his allies needs to find a new home. The people of defiance and resilience against oppression has to start up fresh.

There been speculations that the Besigye fraction would do like Bobi Wine did and “buy-out” a defunct party. Nevertheless, there has no proof of it. The other side has said it should just become a part of the National Unity Platform, as it is already working with and coordinating with the NUP. Because, Bobi Wine and Besigye have a cordial relationship as politicians.

Today’s resolution from the FDC is just crystal-clear. There is no way to return now. No steps for dialogue or talk between Besigye or his former fellows in the FDC Najjanankumbi. These folks has detached themselves from him and called him an imposter. They are saying his wrongly using the FDC logos and posturing as a part of the party. That together with the rest of his allies. Therefore, there is no more between him and them.

This is why the people of the People’s Government and FDC Katonga Fraction has to decide what to do. They will not be taken care off or be favoured in the leadership from within the FDC. That ship has sailed and they have been evicted. Bluntly thrown out of their own party and if they don’t… then well… a disciplinary committee will come and will enforce sanctions on them.

With that in mind… we know there is no return and why should they?

The betrayal was in the city and they took advantage. They ate and has enjoyed the spoils. Now they are running the show and “legitimized” their own existence. While vilifying one of the founders and one of the reasons why the party was as big in the first place.

It is amazing that the party of Besigye has thrown Besigye out. That what happened today. In reality his own party has made him an outcast. That is the truth. Someone who fought for the party and helped building it from scratch. That person is one of them you throw out like garbage. It is just showing what the FDC leadership has become and who they are… when they act like this.

There is no returning back. Amuriat and Mafabi has sold it all and they are willing to do this. They are proud of it and announced it like nothing. Just a formality….

That shows that they are not considering the implications and what it signify. The signal they are sending is clear. The FDC they run are not aligned with the principals and ideals of Besigye. Which means they are more easily corruptible and easy access then ever before. Because, we know that Besigey will fight hard and take the punishment with ease. That’s something he has done for years and paid the price for the cause. Alas, that doesn’t matter to the FDC leadership.

This current FDC leadership doesn’t value Besigye or his kind. That is compelling and is a warning… We now know… and the ones proud party and resilient one is now mediocre and like so many others. Because, it betrayed its own for personal glory.

That’s why one of the founders and his allies has to find a new home. Either make their own or join another one. Since there is nothing left for them to return too….

A Luta Continua. Peace.

The FDC-Crisis Continues: Najjanankumbi detach itself from Katonga completely…

““FDC NATIONAL EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE RECALLED THE RESOLUTION THAT CREATED THE PEOPLES GOVERNMENT. After a period of reflection and thorough internal discussions, the FDC National Executive Committee reached a consensus to recall the resolution that established the Peoples Government. With immediate effect, therefore the FDC will no longer participate in any activities associated with the Peoples Government. This may only resume when the conflict between the two is resolved. This severing of relations comes after a series of challenges that the FDC has faced managing two centers of power which have conflicted since 2018 leading to a total misunderstanding immediately before, during and after the 2021 general elections” (FDC, 30.10.2023).

Today was the final day for the current leadership of Forum for Democratic Change (FDC) and their allegiance to some of their founders and leaders. They have now decided to leave them behind and finalized a break-up. While promising much more.

The leaders from within and who conspired to do this is Patrick Oboi Amuriat and Nathan Nandala-Mafabi, as well as others who has complied and accepted to partake in this quagmire. The FDC as we know it is now gone. The principals and the ideals of the party has been sold on a altar and these gentlemen danced at the wake.

The FDC leadership continues:

“Our party has experienced internal conflicts, accompanied by allegations and counter-accusations that have contributed to considerable turmoil within our ranks with resultant negative publicity in the media. Regrettably, some members of the FDC have chosen to adopt a hostile stance against their own party in complete contravention of Article 12 of the party constitution. They have for example continued to posture as the legitimate leaders of the party which matter was settled at the 6th October National Delegates Conference with the election of new leaders. They continue to issue illegal notices using FDC headed paper, use party symbols, slogans and colors and continue to brand themselves as such; and have also abused party documents during unauthorized meetings. The Party is now prepared to take disciplinary action through a well constituted Committee on Discipline against these errant members and we strongly urge them to cease presenting themselves as FDC leaders. We also call on our members to shun these individuals who chose to masquerade as ‘interim’ or factional leaders in order to cause a split in the party for their own selfish interests” (FDC, 30.10.2023).

We can see how POA and the FDC Najjanankumbi fraction is spinning it. It is so obvious, as they are acting supreme and the legitimate ones. While they never took any accountability and only threw stones at the other fraction. The FDC never resolved the matter and the ones in-charge now has practically hijacked it on their own accord. So, it is rich reading this text and knowing how it transpired. These men don’t lack courage to boldly say it and publish it. Because, they don’t mind the outcome or what they have become by doing it.

To further it’s case…

“We want to emphasize that there are no factions within the FDC, contrary to how it has been portrayed in the media. Claims of a “Katonga faction” or a “Najjanankumbi faction” are entirely unfounded. There is only one FDC, and it is crucial that the media immediately cease perpetuating these misrepresentations. However, in keeping with the Guiding Principle in the party constitution Chapter 8(e) that relates to peaceful resolution of conflict we continue to extend an olive branch to the FDC members “out there”. This however applies to only those holding corporate or life membership cards and those who are up to date with their membership. For those whose membership expires every year and have not renewed it by registering in their village registers they can only be supporters and sympathizers and not members and accordingly are at liberty to decide whether they want to regain membership of the party or not. For now, we implore all of them to stop masquerading as FDC leaders” (FDC, 30.10.2023).

If they are thinking this is wise… well… it is not and this is a strategic blunder. As they are no disfranchising plenty of members and the ones who sought “shelter” at Katonga or People’s Government. They are the ones that even brought POA into power and he betrayed them. Now he has finalized it and now he speaks ill of them. Trying to downplay them and making it illegitimate. While he sits on a throne of lies… maybe bare-naked, but most likely bare-foot like he was during his campaign in 2021.

This part ends with:

“We wish to clarify that during the Delegates Conference held on October 6th, 2023, a new National Executive Committee was democratically elected and sworn in. The conference also took a number of key decisions including extending the life of the Electoral Commission by six months and replacing the Hon. Ibrahim Ssemuju Nganda with Hon. Yusuf Nsibambi whom we congratulate, as the FDC whip in Parliament. The FDC remains committed to its mission and values, and we believe that these decisions are essential to restore unity and cohesion within our party” (FDC, 30.10.2023).

When you want to talk rubbish. This part is over the moon. The stars are aligned and the whole picture is just blossoming. The colours are all there and the flavours of heaven is at your fingertips. However, the reality is much more grim and dark. These aren’t fact or real. If it where… there wouldn’t be this stand-off, which the current leadership never wanted to resolve. They rather wanted it to die out and be forgotten about. However, by their recent action. These people are just proving how they are in the wrong. That’s why they have targeted Besigye and his associates, because they know what they did…

That was just one part of the FDC Press Release today, but I want to end with this one, which was particularly interesting considering everything:

“As you are aware the FDC has a new leadership and the new leadership has a big task ahead to give the party a face lift and to enable us to regain our glory in the political landscape of this country. As the new team, we mean business from the very start of our 5 year tenure and we will soon be heading out to the field We urge all our members to prepare for an extensive plan aimed at strengthening the party’s infrastructure nationwide, which includes the redevelopment of the ‘Blue House’ which remains pending from the previous term” (FDC, 30.10.2023).

I hate to be that guy, but by detaching yourself from Besigye and his associates, you are practicality never able to regain old glory. He is one of the reasons why the party had any glory and was built up the way it is. It is his character and message that brought people under the banner. He and others who has also left like Muntu. However, POA and Mafabi can try… but they have burnt plenty of bridges and there will be less goodwill now. Especially, we now know how they operate from within. So who wants to trust them from the outside looking in?

This FDC is broken and in self-destruction mode. It isn’t one you can trust and the leaders are to blame. They should have known better, but apparently the shillings was to juicy to say “no”. Peace.

Mozambique: Prof. Adriano Nuvunga – An Open Letter to the Anglican Bishop Carlos Matsinhe (28.10.2023)