Opinion: Barefooted or not, POA needs to run a marathon…

The Forum for Democratic Change (FDC) is in a unusual space. The FDC isn’t the one causing the most havoc or being the apparent target of the authorities. Yes, the FDC still has issues with the Police Force. The authorities are still monitoring all their moves and acts with impunity. However, not to the extent,which they have done before and not in the manner we are accustomed too.

The FDC has a new Presidential Candidate, this being Party President Patrick Oboi Amuriat. A Besigye hard-liner and staunch supporter. POA has the drive and the resilience of the party. He has seen what the authorities and the state has done to the party. However, his able to build support within and collect added support outside.

I still don’t see how POA is going to galvanise and extort big-man-ship ahead of 2021. The man doesn’t extend the hand or the words to address the concerns. His the sort of technical politician. The man knows his game and is a perfect technocrat, but he hasn’t the charisma or the edge to gain major popularity.

POA can build on Besigye’s Plan B with his Barefoot campaign, but he will always be in his shadow. That is an impossible task and a race he cannot win. POA can be genuine and show mercy towards people. However, he will not bring the masses to the streets.

POA and the FDC is weaker with him running. They shown maturity as a party to not have a sole candidate. The FDC has shown character and shown to have a machinery. The same organization that brought fear and got intimidated on a daily basis, because of the defiance campaign. However, this barefoot strategy will spearhead the supporters who are there. Nevertheless not bring so many new people to the fold.

The opposition is divided. There are already to moderate candidates, Muntu and Mao. POA is fighting in the same space as Bobi Wine. They are two different breeds and it shows. POA doesn’t have the same reach or scope as Bobi Wine. Even if they are fighting for the same cause and wanting the same change. These two are still not at the same levels.

POA is the poor-mans Bobi Wine. That is sad to say. Besigye would the one that resembles Bobi Wine the most. POA is like knock-off version who aspire to be there, but falls flat. The man means well and shows his character again and again. He proves that he can stand under storms, but he will not be able to sort everything out to get to port. Not by his own self and not by his leadership as a captain. The man always needs to bend on the previous leader.

The Barefoot campaign can be a wise move, but compared to Bobi Wine whose spearheading a revolution. Those two are two different animals. The revolution of Bobi Wine is more like the Defiance. Therefore, POA should use the Plan B and make it his. Do it even together with Besigye and be a duo to the public.

We knows this man wants to do well and make a difference. However, his means and the way he moves doesn’t scare the government as much as it used too. Even if the FDC is blocked and has issues to campaign. Still, it isn’t on the same levels and it is visible.

POA cannot just walk barefooted, he needs to run a marathon. He needs to run circles around the authorities and the state itself to even have a chance. However, by the way his conducting himself. I cannot see it. This is why he needs the old brigade to bring him a structure and a edge. Peace.

A Besigye Entanglement: The deception of 2015 resurfaces to praise Mzee

Today, Don Wanyama the Senior Press Secretary for the President. Who was hired directly from the Daily Monitor to serve the President. Now, his using a old video that was shared on WhatsApp before the Tarehe Sita celebration in 2015. It is a 1:05 video clip, which is edited to fit a narrative.

That the National Resistance Movement is using a doctored clip from 2015, which was used to booster the President in 2020 before the 2021. They are using the Besigye clip and a few wordings. As they wouldn’t use the whole clip. Because, Dr. Kizza Besigye wasn’t praising him senselessly, but instead was speaking the truths about it all. Which is something he has done all along.

That is why I will drop further parts of the interview from 2015. These quotations are really saying it all. We all know what he will say, but it still shows the sinister side of the “strategic thinking”, which is what the Don wanted to sell the crowds today. However, if he gave them the whole view. It would be more painful and not such a fake puff piece.

Here’s some of the quotes:

they were moved by his leadership and articulation of problems that our country was going through and what kind of remedies the country could have after the Idi Amin war.” (…) “one of the most eloquent, articulate leaders of that period in terms of painting a new picture of Uganda should be and that is what enthused us; that is what rallied us behind his leadership. And so we viewed him with a lot of respect and even love” (Besigye, January 2015)

It doesn’t matter whether the strategy is wrong, but nonetheless, he has one (strategy) in pursues. As we realise now he is on a totally wrong trajectory, a disastrous one in fact; but nonetheless, he has one he is pursuing it whether wrong or right” (Besigye, January 2015).

Museveni builds a plan (it doesn’t matter whether it’s right or wrong plan) and works hard and focuses on it aggressively everyday. Part of the reason Museveni is still here is because many of our people are not focussed; today he is pursuing one plan and tomorrow pursuing another plan, not following particular path of a plan leading to a particular path and avoiding all sorts of distractions. As you go on that plan, there will be all sorts of distractions; many of our people when a distraction comes, they leave their plan and first pursue the distraction and by the time he comes back, another distraction has arrived” (Besigye, January 2015).

I think those statements says it all about it. They are directly saying what is special and unique about Museveni. About his “strategies” and “strategic thinking”. A sort of leadership that Don Wanyama wouldn’t sell as Rollexes in Wandegeya, Kampala. It wouldn’t be edible and would lack the eggs. It would be part of it, but not the whole deal. You might even miss the red onions, as Museveni would have to many distractions. While you ordered your rollex to eat.

Therefore, the NRM are trying hard. They are working on overtime trying to sell Museveni. Using his old arch-enemy Besigye even. Ronald Muhinda addressed this clip on the 11th February 2019 on Facebook. The video and interview was originally uploaded by blogger Martha Leah Nangalama. So, her means as a government critic has been used as propaganda before and now again.

The NRM cannot help themselves and that’s why I got disturb the peace. In such a manner, where it all get to the court and you for yourself can see the deception made by the Don. Because, he would never use the rest of the interview. Because, that would damage the purpose and the cause. Peace.

Opinion: Mao is in a losing battle [even before he starts]

The Democratic Party President Norbert Mao seemed a little minute like they were not fielding a Presidential Candidate. This because the Electoral Commission didn’t have the candidate on the list. Just like other parties who was not on the listed to be verified and cleared. This is why it seemed like he wasn’t running.

Mao haven’t looked strong and his politicking ahead of the General Elections 2021. The Democratic Party looks more shallow and more of a side-show, than a well governed machine. This with a Party President in his third term.

The DP has already lost their trying out of DP Block or the Special Purpose Vehicle (SPV). These two combination have lost out. Mao have tried to become more important and a bigger star. However, it has fallen flat. He has lost his own MPs to both other opposition parties and to the National Resistance Movement (NRM).

Now, we have a sudden letter of intent from Mao and the DP Party. After everyone else have been open and vocal. It seems like he has waited as long as possible to unleash it. To make a flash in the pan.

Mao at this point has to battle the same moderates as Muntu. The thing is that Mao never have been directly challenged by a man like Muntu. They are in the same space and with similar behaviour. Mao have been out there on his own more than Muntu. However, Muntu is more respected and credible. Even if he will negotiate and have dialogue into oblivion, instead of actually make a change, which is needed asap.

Mao is neither ruthless or brash. Neither does he has the finesse or the ability to score high. The man has failed in two elections already. First in 2011 and totally abysmal in 2016. Now he returns for the third time and second time Presidential Candidate.

He has not seasoned like wine. Mao haven’t gotten better with the years. To be honest he was better in the early 2010st than he is now. It is like he has lost the spunk and the flair. Mao is running the same game and hoping it will give returns.

However, the main challenger isn’t Muntu, even if he is the man in the same space as Mao. Mao got to challenge Bobi Wine, which he cannot. The People Power Movement and National Unity Platform (NUP) have rocked the opposition. In a manner, which haven’t happen in a while. Besigye had popularity and people behind him. Bobi Wine has the same for this generation.

That is why Mao got nothing to give. His a lucky loser here. He will play, but will only loose. A nice mantle and fun games, but the cards he has is only good enough for bluff. As a Presidential Candidate in 2021 he can never win.

Mao could become someone in Gulu, even an MP representing Gulu. Nevertheless, he aims at the throne. A place where he got nothing to entertain and nothing to offer. Other than being a man who fights for the same secure space as Muntu.

Mao wants to be more. He wants to be the educated and wise brother. The former Guild President wants to be the elite and the modern nobility of the Republic. However, he got nothing to gain or to win. This is a losing battle, even before it starting.

It’s a tragicomedy and the main act is Norbert Mao himself. Peace.

Opinion: The “Scientific Elections” will unmask the brutal truth

As we are beginning the campaigns and the run-up to the elections of 2021. The reality will hit the public. We will see the truth about how the authorities and law enforcement act upon the dissidents and opposition. The regime will show it true colour and cannot act surprised. The way they do and what happens will clearly show a significant pattern. That cannot be judged on sudden reaction to an rally or a consultative meetings.

The National Resistance Movement (NRM) have before the campaigns already shown unfair the society is. As they have had the capacity to hold rallies and be in the general public. While the opposition have been blocked from radio stations and holding consultative meetings. This being the pre-equal to the General Election next year.

As well, as the same rules are allowing rallies, processions and so fourth for the aspirants of the NRM. While opposition cannot even be nominated or have a press conference without being directly arrested a hot minute after. That has happen to so many, that its total obstruction of their justice and rights to campaign.

These “Scientific elections” are supposed to be like this because of the danger of COVID-19 or Coronavirus. The pandemic that are upholding social distancing and PPE. The reality is that, we will see a double standard, which will be common. The opposition not allowed to rural radio houses and up-country. While NRM can campaign both within media houses and on the streets, The posters of opposition will be taken down. The NRM can even spread posters through Bukedde, Daily Monitor and so fourth.

The Uganda Communication Committee (UCC), Uganda Police Force (UPF) and Uganda People’s Defence Force (UPDF) will all work directly for the NRM. These will order media houses to not have opposition leaders on-air. Neither, will the UPF and the UPDF allow the opposition to greet the public. While the UCC will not block the NRM from appearing on-air and neither will law-enforcement block the NRM for greeting the public. The UPDF and UPF will walk side-by-side with the NRM aspirants.

That is why we know the game is rigged. The NRM will have all favours and always have a helping hand. The authorities and all part of the state apparatus will work for them. They are serving the NRM and not the general public. It doesn’t matter if it is DP, UPC, FDC, NUP, JEEMA or anyone else. They are troublemakers and will be hit by the state.

These elections and campaigns will not be fair. The state and all of its actors will use their mandates to put hurdles in the way of the opposition. The NRM will have a soft landing, while the others has to go on a crash-course and hope for as little damage as possible. Because, no matter what the opposition does. It will be countered and there will be resistance. The NRM will not offer any goodwill and will only cause havoc.

The NRM will use the state as their partner in crime. Every possible way to act will be punished and there will be no remorse. The state will have no sympathy and show no heart. They will not condone and not beg for forgiveness. That is because, the NRM and the state believes you where stupid to challenge it and to stand up against it. You were supposed to be blind and submissive.

The NRM will have all the perks, all the opportunities, while they will undermine and mock the opposition for their troubles. The NRM wouldn’t be able to run, if they had the same hectic mess the opposition has. The NRM would malfunction and be on self-destruction, if they met the same obstacles, which it serves all opposition. They are used to have no way, while the NRM has the big high-way and a free way of opportunities. That is a luxury, which nobody else have. This is why the “Scientific Elections” only will amplify this and expose this rotten game. Which is rotten from the head to the grassroots. A system blessed from “high above” to the lowest civil servant. Peace.

Opinion: Sorry POA, but your not cutting it…

It is official, the Presidential Flag-Bearer of the Forum for Democratic Change (FDC) is the Party President, Patrick Amuriat Oboi (POA). I have nothing against the man. He can stand on his own and on his own merit. However, the harsh reality needs to be told.

POA cannot galvanize or energize the masses. The man isn’t that great. The FDC has the wrong sort of Presidential Flag-Bearer now. Yes, the FDC has now another leader and candidate than Besigye. That shows the party is mature and isn’t a sole candidate enterprise. Which is all good in itself. However, that is not enough at this point.

POA has less of a presence than what Amama Mbabazi had before the 2016 elections. This man is as inspiring as a serious Elton Joseph Mabirizi. One that should feel hurt and feel betrayed is Mugisha Muntu. Who had to leave the party and create his own to do this. If Mugisha just had waited a few months. He could have run as a Presidential Contender in a party he has invested so much time in. Alliance for National Transformation (ANT) has actually a better Flag-Bearer, than the FDC. Who knew that would be the deal in 2020?

The FDC sending and nominating Amuriat Oboi is a sign of weakness. A sign that the FDC is now internally locked and not looking out for a broader candidate for the highest office. Yes, the FDC is free to pick whoever they deem fit. To go after Dr. Kizza Besigye will trying for anyone. POA has to achieve the likeability and popularity of the stratosphere. That is something he will never reach. Yes, he was able beat Muntu and Birigwa, but be up against the other Flag-Bearers. I doubt he has the character to do so.

Seemingly, POA doesn’t have the flair, the flex or the public persona, which is needed to get there. Unless, he wants to be the educated guess like Professor Venansius Baryamureeba, but with defiance in his veins.

POA really have to prove his worth. The man has to walk to the mountains and get Ten Commandments before returning back to the public. The FDC needs to reassure, needs to back him, but also build him as public figure. Because, the man has the ability to bottle it or make things worse. POA can be self-inflicting pain, instead of boosting confidence.

This is why this is a loosing game. POA now has to battle Muntu again. To prove his worth not only against him, but Museveni and Bobi Wine. The FDC Flag-Bearer now has to rise to the occasion and prove his worth. I doubt he has it in him. He has to create a trustworthy character and be sell-able across the vast public. In a manner, which this man never been sold. People have to buy his ideas and believe that he can carry it.

POA doesn’t ooze greatness. That is not his fault, but his handling of things post-Muntu haven’t been great. Neither, has the party made him look to great either. That is because of the deflections and the struggles to find a space post-Besigye too. This seems to make it harder for POA.

POA needs to navigate the folks following Besigye and the ones following the party. The FDC needs to make more than Facebook posts and posters. They need to re-think his methods and his mannerisms. POA might mean well and has honest intentions behind his drive as a Party President. However, it isn’t always coming across.

He needs a team behind him. The FDC needs to rejuvenate Amuriat Oboi candidacy, unless they want him to fall flat. I don’t see him as big-man or viable Flag-Bearer outside the internal party of the FDC. That is just what I see, but maybe others has another perspective.

Wish him well, but his road ahead is not easy. POA will struggle and feel the struggle. Just like has done as Party President. The FDC knows this and has to support him now. Also, make him viable and accessible outside the FDC. That is the first component the party has to fix and then make him ooze confidence with a plan for a peaceful transition of power. Peace.

Opinion: FDC has no ammunition [now that Besigye is on the sideline]

We can easily see that the Forum for Democratic Change (FDC) is challenged by National Unity Platform (NUP). That is why the FDC is attacking the means and the ways the NUP operates. The FDC without Dr. Kizza Besigye is lacking its edge. It is a blessing for the NUP.

Yes, using Besigye for the firth time as a Presidential Candidate would make him a automatically a “sole candidate” and make him no different then the President himself. If he he did stand, he would be in the same light and have same sort of actions. Therefore, him bowing to the side showed maturity and I admire that.

However, Besigye on the sideline with his ‘Plan B’ has shown that the FDC lacks certain fire-power. The FDC needs the like him to boost public confidence. Wassawa Birigwa and Patrick Oboi Amuriat doesn’t have the swagger. Neither does Nathan Nandala-Mafabi or Ibrahim Semujju Naganda. They are all honourable gentlemen in their ways, but cannot muster a revolution.

This is why the FDC looks weak. Not that they are missing the ones who has gone to the NUP or Alliance for National Transformation (ANT). Yes, the FDC is firing back at the ones who has left. Just like Winnie Kiiza who went after the FDC herself. Because, it is so easy to go after the former party. Than, seeing what you didn’t yourself to bolster the party you left behind.

The FDC has internal party functions, they have their meetings for the two presidential candidates. Alas, it doesn’t go outside the already admires and members. The FDC doesn’t go to a broader spectrum of the electorate at this point. That is shown by how the campaign is going within the FDC. It is not like they are rocking the boat or making significant change.

Besigye shows why he was vital by stepping aside. The FDC lacks the tenacity and the candidates to excel this time around. FDC have been the place, been the party of opposition and has a unique position in the Republic. Now, they are really challenged. The NUP is taking over the slot. In a manner that Go Forward and others never were able to do.

FDC is showing weakness, which we haven’t seen before. That is not because the ones who left to Muntu’s ANT. No, its because of NUP and their role within the opposition. They are maybe the baby of the Opposition. However, the baby is growing up so fast. That it might be in it’s teenage phase by the polls.

The FDC better reflect on its role and be statesmen like. The way Nandala-Mafabi acted yesterday on NBS TV showed their weakness. Instead of being up and fighting the struggle. They we’re busy flexing on NUP and not configuring ways to expose the NRM. That shows the lack of mentality to actually following the words of Besigye.

The FDC should follow up on the ‘Plan B’ of Besigye. They should work tirelessly to dismantle, destroy and cause issues for the General Election. Instead, it is working to be a blunt opposition party. Besgiye didn’t start Walk to Work and Defiance to be kind, but to challenge the authorities. The current FDC leadership and campaign is just peaceful and to subtle to care about.

The FDC has proven in the past that they had the courage and character to finesse in the midst of adversity. Now, they are going into the 2021 elections with a softball approach. This because, Besigye is on the sideline and not in the scope of the polls.

The FDC needs Besigye more then they would like to show. They need the firebrand personality, they need his flex and his force. Because, he doesn’t care about the repercussions and the costs. He will fire on all cylinders and battle the law enforcement with everything he has. While, I am only seeing mediocre statements and posts.

Yes, the FDC are more than Besigye and its trying to prove itself. However, it shows that they need to learn from him. If they want to create a space and make a difference. At this very moment. They are neither slick nor moving in the right direction. They should go to Kasangati and get advice on how to move forward. This is not cutting it.

FDC had firepower and was feeling powerful ahead of 2016. Now in the 2020, they could just be another DP or UPC. They are bigger and has more known characters nationwide, but they are not frightening for the authorities. That is why the two Presidential Candidates can walk-around. As the President and NRM isn’t afraid of POA.

BTW: Besigye did the right thing not standing and showing true statesmanship. However, he needs to hold some private lessons with the FDC leadership to give them the edge that they are missing at the moment. Peace.

 

Opinion: NUP blocked Chameleone, so they should block Naggayi Sempala too!

In politics, stupidity is not a handicap.”Napoleon Bonaparte

I find the stages of the second round of aspirants for the Lord Mayoral position Kampala to be obnoxious already. This is the second party to make a fool out of itself by the first round about it. Dodging several of candidates and having the main candidate Latif Ssebagala dropping out of the race to favour Forum for Democratic Change (FDC) Erias Lukwago.

Nabilah Naggayi Sempala shouldn’t get this National Unity Platform ticket. She has already gone for it in the Forum for Democratic Change (FDC). Already, dropped out her incumbent-seat of Kampala Woman MP. Where she would meet head-on with Dr. Stella Nyanzi. A race she knew would be tougher than ever before. Therefore, dropping out before even trying.

In that regard, she has been fishing for relevance after losing both the option of becoming the Lord Mayoral Aspirant in the FDC and losing the Kampala Woman MP candidacy too. This while she has been throwing shade against her party since 2018.

In the previous election cycle she was also fishing a secure ticket and party. She was running around with Go-Forward one day and the day after running back to the FDC. That happen in 2015. Not a to far distance time, but enough that people have forgotten that.

So, Nabilah is clearly shopping a seat. She is fixated in being in this race. Even, if by most margins and levels of trust. The way she has used her platform and her political games. We can see, that she is savvy, but only for personal gains. She is not there for service delivery or pushing any agenda.

That is why she can cry havoc and bring all the tears. As she was out manoeuvred in the FDC earlier in the year. However, now in the second round of nominations for Lord Mayoral Aspirants. She suddenly shows up…

We know she has been vying for this for months. Alas, it is because her own seat was suddenly contested and she wouldn’t even try to face Dr. Nyanzi. Nevertheless, the same person thinks she’s capable of bringing down incumbent Lukwago. Which is foolish to begin with.

Nabilah’s case within the NUP is as strong as Jose Chamelone was. They are both in it for the same. These people are not in it for the struggle nor the betterment of the Republic. They are there for their livelihood and their own pockets. Chameleone was shopping the best ticket for success. The same is Nabilah now.

That is why Nabilah was waving between Go Forward and FDC in 2015. She wouldn’t be like this, unless she tried to fish in every pond. Hoping people wouldn’t catch onto her game. Alas, we do and the game is getting old.

The reasons for failing to be viable for Chameleone should be nearly the same reasons Naggayi Sempala wouldn’t be up to par. She isn’t it and isn’t even the second best. Neither is she the third best. It would be better to follow Latif example and back Lukwago. Than, send a false prophet. A meal-ticket politician and an empty shell of an politician.

She isn’t in this for the NUP. The NUP is only a platform and a ticket to give her hope. It isn’t done for Kampala. Neither is it done to help the opposition. She just needs a home and fast. Suddenly, ditched the FDC and became NUP overnight.

Nabilah is cutting it, unless the NUP is fine with a sell-out. However, then they could have just settled with Chameleone in the first place. Peace.

Opinion: Chameleone is now without a home

Yesterday, the National Unity Platform picked their nominee for the Lord Mayor in Kampala. That happens not to be Joseph Mayanja aka Jose Chameleone lost that one to Latif Ssebagala, the MP for Kawempe North.

Now, Chameleone have gone from National Resistance Movement (NRM) to the Democratic Party (DP) and finally to the National Unity Platform (NUP). Yesterday was a final blow to his campaign. The NRM have picked Ragga Dee, Democratic Party have picked Beatrice Kayanja. Forum for Democratic Change (FDC) have incumbent Erias Lukwago and now the NUP have picked Latif Ssebagala.

The race is settling in now. There aren’t many places to go. Only one will win too. The race is hardened too. There is also the independent Nabilah Naggayi Sempala, who was the Kampala Woman MP for FDC. Chameleone might have to follow the same route now. As all the doors and venues where he had friends is closed.

Chameleone have toyed around in every circle and gotten opportunities, except for the NUP. Where he was barred from entering. He surely should regret leaving the DP and the steady home of Mao. A place where he was a mobilizer and prepared for him. Still, he left that one for the NUP and lost.

Now, we can wonder is his plan ahead. Since, he doesn’t have a chance in the NRM, neither in the DP or in the NUP. Not likely that he joins the Justice Forum, Uganda Federalist Alliance or anything else. I don’t think they have open arms to him either. They have seen how easily he has ditched a party to greener pastures…

Chameleone played the political game, he gambled and apparently lost. This is not shocking, but for someone who has invested in it. He clearly haven’t got much left for his work. The man are now without a home and a base. Just another “independent” candidate in heavy contested field over one seat and one title.

The Lord Mayor of Kampala is only one of. All of these running for it. Only one will get it. Not like they can get various of councillors seats in a local council. It is only one mayor. Chameleone have to beat not only Lukwago, but the rest of the candidates too. Which would be a magical feat in itself. Alas, he will most likely lose no matter what party he represent.

However, he could have someone behind him and make him relevant politically after the race in 2021. Which will not happen now. Now his a single running candidate in a sea of candidates. He might be a known character, but not a trusted one. He has shown his savvy ways and how easily he could shift camps.

Chameleone was a fool for this one. Even if he build parallel structures while aiming at the NUP seat. His still a looser before the race begins. He had a safe bet in the DP. As Lukwago was leaving already. Something that went official. Alas, that wasn’t enough for him and he wanted a bigger flag-ship. Which wasn’t his anyway… Peace.

Opinion: Birigwa should join Muntu [and if you don’t, opt for ‘Plan B’]

Birigwa stressed the need to continuously engage President Yoweri Museveni in a discourse on the future of the country” (…) “We need a negotiated settlement with the Government, without fighting” – Wassawa Birigwa (Jeff Andrew Lule – ‘FDC’s Birigwa wants dialogue with museveni’

16.09.2020)

I don’t know about you, but it seems like Wassawa Birigwa better leave the Forum for Democratic Change (FDC). The man sounds like another edition of Mugisha Muntu. The FDC Presidential Contender should act and have a more hostile stance. His a bit to peaceful.

Birigwa sounds like a bargain for Museveni. It seems like Birigwa haven’t learned from dialogue and negotiations with Museveni. In the end, Museveni will win. He will trick you, give you credit and dole out gifts. However, in the end you will loose.

Birigwa is playing a game he will not win. Wassawa is talking so softly and pragmatic that he seems to be in the wrong party. He should maybe switch to the Alliance for National Transformation (ANT). Because, if he believes in a negotiated deal with the NRM. He seems like a brother in arms with Muntu.

The FDC is the ‘Plan B’ and Defiance party. That is why the Mwenda’s and others are directly hostile. They are damaging the calm of the elites and the cronies. The one earning millions of shillings on impunity. They despise the FDC and the whole paradigm shift on weakening the government before a peaceful transition. Using civil disobedience and protest to get rid of the government. That means, no talks, but direct action to hurt the heart of power.

Alas, Birigwa seems to be on a crash course on this one. He is going head-to-head. This man could be the side-kick of Muntu. Especially sound like that. That is giving way to the man of 34 years. The one who duped the Nairobi Talks, tricked others and made a fool of other former heads of state.

Museveni will not be soft, he will sound smooth, but we stab you in your back when your not looking. That is what he does and Birigwa should know this.

That is why the idea alone should be buried and forgotten. It will not happen and will amount to no good. Unless, he wants to get a new deal to be Leader of Opposition in Parliament and get some millions shillings for the service.

Birigwa don’t need to engage Museveni. The FDC and the Presidential Candidates needs to challenge him. They need to aim at his heart, go directly at the things the President treasure and ensure he can loose it all. Not sweet talk and be a sweetheart. That will work in romcoms, but not in reality.

Birigwa this is weak tea. This will not work. Negotiate with Museveni is a lost cause. There is nothing to get there. He will get rid of you and ensure your fate. You will go missing and will not be found. If not end up in exile. There be no safe journey if you tries. Museveni will not give away power. The power he has held all of these years. That’s not happening.

To be clear, better sign up to ‘Plan B’, better start to listen to Besigye, because this is not it. If you believe it? Go to Muntu, his the pragmatic non-starter and the one for the future of the Christmas past. Peace.

Opinion: Is the DP dying since they cannot field candidates internally? [Mayoral Aspirant of Kampala]

As of today, the Democratic Party under Party President Norbert Mao has fielded an “independent” candidate on the DP ticket. This is happening for various of reasons. The DP as a party have lost vital members, leaders and lawmakers to other parties. The boat is leaking and there is no intent of stopping the leakage, apparently.

Mao has chosen a person who launched her own campaign back on the 22nd July 2020, Beatrice Kayanja to run as the DP Lord Mayoral Flag-bearer for Kampala in the 2021 General Elections. That is fine in itself. Her acumen as a businesswoman and entrepreneur speaks for herself. Her role as an activist for development and leading a conference to bring business to Uganda speaks for herself. Alas, Beatrice as the person isn’t the issue.

It is the supposed grassroot mobilisation. The party structure and the lack of potential new leaders, which should worry. As the man has dissolved the DP Block, the coalition ahead of the General Election. As it didn’t get the spark and the needed juice to become a TDA or IPC. It just became “hot-air” and got forgotten.

It must be a reason, why the party are picking out a person who has been vocal online and in social media. A person who has already retained her own aspiration for the Lord Mayor and would stand alone doing it. The DP must really be weak to do this. That they cannot find anyone of their members, inside the party and within the DP Kampala to stand as the Lord Mayor.

That is how it seems. Since, they we’re already pushing Joseph Mayanja aka Jose Chameleone as the Lord Mayor, but he ditched the party for NUP. Their previous and incumbent Lord Mayor Erias Lukwago has gone to the FDC. Therefore, the two big-shots, the ones who has a big platform and would be recognized would not stand as the Flag-Bearer this time around.

The fallout of Chameleone must really hurt Mao. As he offered appointments and political capital to him before he went to NUP. It was just the ambition and the meal-ticket politician who left DP for NUP. That wasn’t shocking, but shows that even Mao’s offerings wasn’t that sweet. If it was, a man like Jose would stick around.

You can wonder, why does the oldest party of the Republic got to pick a random candidate of their own? If their was picking outside their own party, why not start negotiations with Nabilah Naggay Sempala, the Woman MP for Kampala? She cannot stand as MP and have been blocked from the FDC. She has a name and is well-known, why go for Beatrice?

That is why the DP is weak. The decisions seems to be short-sighted at best. Yes, it is better to field someone like Sempala MP. If they are believing in the race and wants to invest in it. Use a familiar face and re-issue her as a priced deflector. That would be a bet and show some political game. Not that Sempala MP has any positive reputation and is another one of those who does what it takes during campaigning, but is never seen after the elections. Still, she would have some character into the mix. Not sure what Kayanja will do…

It only shows that the DP doesn’t trust their own and doesn’t promote their own. At least not to the positions that counts. The ones with prestige and honour. There they need the names, the shiny diamonds and the ones who can spark interest. Instead, of considering using own machinery and vet their own. It might have failed in the first run, maybe even in the second. But, when a man or woman campaigns enough and proves their pedigree to the public. They could easily get elected, as they know this activist and this politician isn’t all talk, but actual game too…

Mao seems to have forgotten that and wants to do the quick fix. His fielding someone new. Someone who hasn’t the grand stand, his fielding an “independent” as his own and apparently deliberately so. He has picked a quick fix, gotten Kayanja’s blessing and a agreement to make it happen. Before they did launch it and now made it official. Still, it’s more a gain for Kayanja, than it is for DP. It just makes DP look weak and lack of internal candidates to back-up the needs of the party. Since, they had to pick someone from the outside again to be fielded.

It was first Jose and now Beatrice. Who knows how they fix others, but this is surely not from a place of strength, but of weakness. Peace.