The ones expecting any sort of shocks or sudden changes in the East African Legislative Assembly Members of Parliament (MP) race will be in a dire loss. The EALA MP race which is already scheduled will most likely be a settled affair already.
It is the MPs that elects them and the majority will go to the National Resistance Movement (NRM). The NRM has already 6 candidates or Flag-Bearers and you should expect all of them to be settled in. The Democratic Party (DP) will get one MP as that was signed off in the DP-NRM agreement, which was signed of earlier in the year. That means 6 of the 9 slots is already taken. Further, the Uganda People’s Congress (UPC) should also get a candidate in for their loyalty and working relationship with NRM. That means 8 of the 9 MPs are already elected without much say. The last will be to a NRM leaning Independent and a “vetted” one like that. This is what you should expect and anything else would be weird at this point.
The NRM will have the majority and that is reflected in the NRM Caucus with their 6 Candidates. This is an easy pick and securing plum-jobs to former MPs and Ministers who has lost out. That’s why the EALA is a nice place for them to be put. When there is no parastatal or government entities to get appointed into. Therefore, the EALA is a well fitting place to do so.
The others are giving favourable and friendly parties of the Parliament a “shout-out” or “props” for their loyalty. They are getting a EALA MP slot and that’s why its easy to see the 6+2 or 8, which is al but missing 1 of the EALA MPs.
That Forum for Democratic Change (FDC) is fielding a flag-bearer is futile. The same can be said about whoever the National Unity Platform (NUP) would pick or have in this role. The Justice Forum (JEEMA) has also a flag-bearer, but that person will not go nowhere either. As the JEEMA has been an ally of the People Power and the NUP. So, with that in mind these parties candidates will go nowhere. There is no way that the majority of the Parliament will give them way. They are really wasting their time and only playing into the procedural games of the state. Yes, they have a right to have a flag-bearer or a EALA MP candidate, but it’s totally pointless. The opposition could have the best man or woman. They could have the incarnated saviour of the planet and all souls. That person still wouldn’t have a chance, because the NRM has decided and there is no turning back.
The FDC, NUP and JEEMA has no chance here. They should just give up. The DP and UPC will get the other spots. There is little chances for the independent candidates in this race, if any. Yes there is a talk of 15 MP candidates, but as long as you don’t have suction or pre-arranged agreements. These shouldn’t expect much. They are fillers on a paper or if even that…
The ones believing this will be free and fair elections. I hate to say it’s partly sealed already. The only last seat is what is unknown. While that one will most likely go to a NRM leaning Independent and someone in favour of the NRM without being on it’s ticket. That meaning all of the 9 of 9 EALA MPs.
The ones thinking the FDC, NUP or JEEMA has a shot at this… well, I cannot see it happening. It isn’t like the NRM or the ones in power has allowed that before. No, they rather see their own there and no one else. The only reason why UPC and DP has a chance, is because of their working arrangements with the NRM. That’s why they are getting favour and office. Not because of their representation or the will of the people. No, it’s because of ceremonial reasons between the NRM and their allies. There is nothing else too this. Peace.
“Whenever judges resort to insults on advocates, it is as a result of disturbed conscience. Supreme Court is now in politics. Koome said that ruling was inspired by God, I believe it was inspired by the devil” – Raila Odinga (16.09.2022).
This here speech today… just a day after returning from vacation with family on Zanzibar. The Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) and Azimio la Umoja and One Kenya Alliance Presidential Candidate Raila Odinga is speaking his mind the recently ended elections. However, he seems far from finished with it and certainly he will go back to old ways.
Odinga seems to be back on the campaign trail again. He wants to run and be announced winner. That was anticipated ahead of the August 9th 2022 election. Nevertheless, the results told otherwise. He lost both the declaration and the Supreme Court petition. That’s why the election is exhausted this time around. However, we know that Baba isn’t the man to work in silence or be giving up.
That’s why I have a feeling of a new drive like the OKOA demonstrations and the “reforms” of the electoral law again. A man who tried to change the laws and constitution with the Building Bridges Initiative after the 2017 elections. So, it seems like a power thing now and not an honest effort anymore.
Just read these quotes after everything went down and Baba is certainly playing the cards of which we have seen before. Dismissing the state and the authorities, the government bodies who is in charge or had a say. Especially when they are not having a verdict or an announcement fitting his path.
“If you do not unite, you are going to be ruled throughout the life of this Parliament and yet we have the numbers and strength to be able to be the rulers in the House” (Odinga, 16.09.2022).
“We have three urgent tasks that we must not fail in; save the Judiciary and Legislature from state capture, transform and reform IEBC and make capable of conducting credible elections” (Odinga, 16.09.2022).
“We have had the worst election since the return of multiparty politics” (Odinga, 16.09.2022).
Just by reading these quotes and not listening in to the whole address by Odinga today. It is surely seeing a pattern of first attacking the IEBC and now the Judiciary. Because, none of these gave the results he wanted. Odinga was the next in line and he cannot accept that someone else gotten elected. Neither can he accept that the Petition to the Supreme Court wasn’t good enough and the re-use of the 2017 petition didn’t help the case either.
Odinga is now going back to seemingly revive OKOA stances and wanting similar reforms. Just because he lost yet another election. That’s how it seems to me. Now, he will use the Azimio and coalition to target the entities that blocked his entry into office. That’s why it’s the worst election in history, because he was on a strong ticket and had the incumbent aligned on his team. Alas, that was the fault line and he didn’t consider the total campaign. Neither has the Azimio Secretariat listened to wisdom of others or possibly mistakes, which could have ensured victory.
Instead of looking into the wrongs internally. Odinga is striking at the state and the entities who blocked his entry into office. He cannot phantom that it wasn’t enough popularity to get him into office. Neither, that Ruto was able to play the nation smarter and gain just enough support from his strongholds. That should hurt Odinga, but he surely doesn’t seem to be able to grasp this idea.
He rather go back to renegade and go to the streets again. Where we see the actions in similar fashion of the CORD and what it did in consideration towards OKOA. If he pushes a One Million March. Then we are back to 2014-15 sort of actions. That’s how it’s looking and everyone should be aware.
At this point it seems like revenge and avenge his own losses. Instead of asking what went wrong internally in the Azimio Secretariat. He rather vent his anger against the IEBC and the Judiciary. Peace.
“I have not read Kenya Kwanza’s manifesto or that of Azimio but I Know H.E. Ruto…I have met him a number of times in Uganda and I know he likes ideas and frank talking” – President Yoweri Tibuhurwa Kaguta Museveni (13.09.2022).
Today is the inauguration of the 5th President of Kenya, William Ruto. It is his big day as the celebration and festivities at Kasarani Stadium where. Plenty of foreign dignitaries and foreign emissaries as well. However, there was one man standing out and making a scene.
That was President for Life and the “regional” father President Museveni. He stood out not only in the manner of which he travels. No, he stood out with his mobile Mercedes luxury and fortified van for toilet purposes.
There is also the very talk that Museveni has been parts of the inaugurations since the days of Daniel Arap Moi. Museveni has seen Moi, Kibaki, Kenyatta and now Ruto. He has spoken at the functions and greeted them all. Seen the Kenyan Presidents come and go.
Now his the forever Head of State and a living relic of the past. His not the future and partly so, His Excellency knows this. That’s why he comes with history lessons and lectures on a regular basis. That’s why he had to mention what has happened over 60 years and that creation of wealth is the most important. Because, he himself has gone from being poor to one of the richest on the whole continent.
Museveni isn’t a beloved character. No matter how much propaganda or media outlets in the his country spreading the good message. There is still no signs of love or concern for the old man. They rather see what is happening in Nairobi today. The people rather see a peaceful transition between Presidents. That is something the era of Museveni never have delivered.
Museveni will never leave office in peace. There is no end in sight of that. Only talks from the new Minister of Justice, but that’s to usher in a Parliament to elect the President on behalf of the Population. That’s because everyone knows the President cannot have the energy or the spirit to visit every district or rally across the Republic like he used too. This is why President Museveni loved the COVID-19 and excuses to have “scientific” elections instead.
So, the stage and the actions of Museveni is now turning into a punching-bag. Museveni is himself mocked and his own speeches are quoted out of order. That’s because himself is so self-important, but not the people his talking too. This for a simple reason, his is surrounded by “yes-men” and they would never challenge him. That’s why his speech is a lot of sloganeering and titbits of nonsense.
The time of Museveni being the “new breed” or the “future” is long gone. Neither is a respected freedom fighter or a statesman. No, his another autocrat and despot who overstayed his welcome. That’s why he has now attended several of inaugurations of Kenyan Presidents. It isn’t without merit why people question him or his reign.
Museveni should know that his ruling on borrowed time. That’s because he see new faces everywhere he goes. Unless, he travels to Djibouti, Eritrea, Republic of Congo (Brazzaville), South Sudan or Equatorial Guinea. That’s where he get to see familiar faces of the latter decades. Not like the younglings in Burundi, Tanzania or in Kenya. No, they are not like him and that’s evident by now.
That’s why Museveni is a punching bag and a mockery of himself. His not made for this anymore and his not carrying himself for the times. The tide has turned… and it’s showing.
We know that Museveni will never accept this and neither show any remorse. He rather destroy, deplete and reign supreme until the final breath. That’s the sort of life he has chosen. Museveni has created this legacy and that’s why his speech is a foolery now. He is becoming a laughing stock just like Mugabe used too. We can soon await him reading the wrong speech or falling a sleep at the United Nations. That’s the future of Museveni.
He might not know it yet, but it’s so obvious. Peace.