On the 2nd December 2021 UN OCHA Situation Report on Ethiopia was released and the numbers are staggering. The needs are vast and the hands to do so is tied. The Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia (FDRE) is clearly behind on its mandate and the UN Organizations must cover the needs, which is happening the FDRE territory. Despite all the vilification of “wheat aid” and other measures. The needs are there and the total picture is ghastly.
“The situation in northern Ethiopia remains precarious and volatile with the continuation of active hostilities in several locations leading to increased humanitarian needs and vulnerabilities due to large-scale displacement, loss of livelihoods and access to markets, food, and basic services. Humanitarian partners have limited or no access to a large segment of the population across the three affected regions, hampering the delivery of life-saving humanitarian assistance” (OCHA, 02.12.2021).
The three regions who is hardest hit by this is the Tigray, Afar and Amhara region, which all has been inflicted by the warfare. While the Tigray Region is where the most is still affected and where the humanitarian blockade have stopped all proper humanitarian assistance, a man-made famine and weaponizing hunger. Which the FDRE is denying but is a clear fact by how it has operated over the last year.
The total target in the three regions now is 9.4 million citizens in dire need of humanitarian assistance. As the conflict and warfare is on several fronts. While other zones and woredas are now accessible for the humanitarian assistance to return to as well. This means the organizations who is responsible and delivering the assistance have to be allowed to enter and do its job, which haven’t been the case.
“WFP reported in a statement on 26 November that the number of people in need of humanitarian food assistance across northern Ethiopia has grown to an estimated 9.4 million as a direct result of conflict. Amhara Region has seen the largest increase of people in need with 3.7 million people now in urgent need of humanitarian assistance. The humanitarian situation in parts of Amhara, including North Wollo, Wag Hemra and parts of South Wello, as well as in conflict-affected areas in Afar, are of particular concern due to disruption of livelihoods and markets and lack of access to humanitarian assistance. In Tigray region, 5.2 million people in need of humanitarian assistance, of which at least 400,000 are believed to be facing famine-like conditions” (OCHA, 02.12.2021).
Here you see the distress and the dire needs explained, as the situation isn’t becoming better, but only slightly worse. As new areas and new issues are becoming prevalent. That is very clear by this.
The whole situation report is shattering, as so many lives is at stake and it’s all done for one man to consolidate all power under him. They are all victims of his anger and vengeance against one group people. Therefore, everyone must suffer consequently. That is tragic, but the world we are living in. Peace.
The Nationwide State of Emergency and the “Campaign of Survival” is steaming ahead. The ‘Counteroffensive’ of Ethiopian National Defence Force (ENDF) is going ahead on the fronts of North Wollo in Amhara Region or on the fronts of Afar region. Where the Tigray Defence Force (TDF) and Oromo Liberation Army (OLA) union are retreating from. However, we don’t know what sort of plan is behind here.
What is striking is that the Ministry of Education is releasing this sort of statement and press conference. We have already seen some regional government have trained the civil service for the army. This meaning that teachers and others got training like soldiers. Therefore, now children and students is supposed to go to the fields and harvest crops.
Here is the statement:
“It is reported that during the closure of the schools, there will be a widespread harvest of non-collected crops and family support campaigns. It is also stated that all school days will be reimbursed in accordance with the compensation program issued by the schools. The Minister of Education, Prof. Berhanu Nega, said in his statement that it is impossible to live without a country and everyone has a responsibility to protect the country. Therefore, the education sector will fulfill its national responsibilities. It was also decided that those in the education sector should participate in donating money, donating blood and preparing food. Students are also invited to fulfill their national duty and participate in the process of building our country” (Ministry of Education, Ethiopia, 02.12.2021).
This sort of message and statement shows that everything isn’t in order. When the Ministry of Education see this as a fit thing to do. That the schools and universities are getting closed. So, the children and youths will be ordered to harvest crops. If not… they will be left behind or be home.
If the Prosperity Party and FDRE thinks this is a winning formula. They are certainly telling how bad the situation is. This the same government who communicates against the man-made famine and humanitarian crisis in Tigray region. A government who only communicates about the previously taken zones and parts of regions where the TDF/OLA had taken control over. Where they are dropping knowledge and saying what has occurred. However, it has distanced itself and dismissed all about where they started the conflict. Which has implicated the rest of Republic.
Now, kids and youths are supposed to be on the fields and harvest crops. Peace.
As the ‘counteroffensive’ is going on the Afar-Region front and in Amhara region. The Tigray Defense Force (TDF) and Oromo Liberation Army (OLA) is meeting new forces against it. The Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed Ali being on the front-line or claiming to be so. While promising yet another victory in the war, which was supposed end in the late November 2020.
Today, the Prosperity Party and the OPM dropped a thread on twitter, which is filled with claims and ideals, as I will discuss. Because, it is in a need of addressing and questioning it. As the FDRE haven’t been truthful about anything of late and therefore, it is a need to question their words. Since, they want to peddle certain narratives without any questions or getting back-tracked.
W know the Tripartite Alliance, which is the Ethiopian National Defence Force (ENDF), Eritrean Defence Force (EDF) and Amhara Para-Military Group Fano. These has worked together to beat and destroy the TPLF. They started as a partnership to take down the TPLF in early November of 2020. Now, we are in December 2021 and it’s not stopping anytime soon.
“The terrorist TPLF which has been previously indicated to qualify as a Tier III terrorist by US homeland security incited the conflict. Yet a democratically elected government is equated with the clique just because TPLF has best friends in hegemonic circles in the West” (Office of the Prime Minister – ‘Disinformation campaign against Ethiopia: THREAD’ 01.12.2021).
As I begin the Third Tier list was rescinded by President Trump. However, the terrorist third tier list would be deemed as this: “The statute defines Tier III terrorist organizations as “a group of two or more individuals, whether organized or not, which engages in, or has a subgroup which engages in” terrorist activity” (Jesse Lempel – ‘Tier III Terrorist Designations: The Trump Administration and Courts Move in Opposite Directions’ 05.12.2017, Lawfare).
Well, the FDRE have designated TPLF as a terrorist organization. That was also done in the last term in the House of Federation. Therefore, the FDRE does what the U.S. government does as well. The third tier list of U.S. would be used in manners of deportation and designate members of a terrorist organization to be proven by U.S. authorities. Alas, there is no proof that the TPLF is the friends of the West. As there was until recently close relations between diplomats and everyone else in concern with the leadership of the Prosperity Party. Abiy is the only one of the mentioned who has a Nobel Peace Price and was seen as a new modern reformist. That was getting acclaimed, until the warfare started to backfire. Also, the FDRE tactics and strategies against dissidents and towards ethnic groups like the Tigrayans. Therefore, the OPM should know that every action has a possible reaction or ramifications. The OPM is only using the old relations and the previous meeting between TPLF and other Western powers. The same could be done with the OPM and his party affiliates since Abiy became the PM in April 2018.
“It is erroneously reported by many that media have been clamped down by the SOE from reporting on the conflict while the SOE prohibits unauthorized entities from announcing battlefront activities which have not been verified through the appropriate security channels” (Office of the Prime Minister – ‘Disinformation campaign against Ethiopia: THREAD’ 01.12.2021).
This would happened no matter what the state does. As there are affiliates of both parties who wants to inform and spread intelligence of what is going on. There is a lack of trust in the government friendly media and associates who only reports what the state wants to show. While it would not show the bad-news or even the realities on the ground. Because things are bad, but they only want the victories to be told. That’s why we know radio-stations, media houses and others has been silenced by the authorities. Heck, international journalists have been deported from the Republic as well. So, the FDRE wants to own the media space and the narratives, which is the reason to silence battlefront information to the general public.
“The purposeful crafting of the situation as genocide & ethnic cleansing continues by TPLF & their foreign allies to facilitate intervention while the war has not been in Tigray region for five months now” (Office of the Prime Minister – ‘Disinformation campaign against Ethiopia: THREAD’ 01.12.2021).
The FDRE have lied about everything. It has dismissed every part of the conflict. They have not taken any consideration or claims for their ill-will and devious acts during the warfare. While the same government can easily taint and claim terrorists acts done by the enemies. The FDRE and the Tripartite Alliance won’t take account for the massacres in Tigray region, neither the weaponized humanitarian assistance or going after “wheat aid”. So, we are just supposed to believe the folks who would block assistance for months on end to speak the truth about damage they did while they enforced war in Tigray?
In Western Tigray, the Eritrean Defence Force and Fano forces are still roaming the region. They have been there since the beginning of the war. The Tripartite alliance haven’t been in parts of it, but it’s a lie they haven’t been in Humera, as bodies have been floating into Sudan in November 2021 as well. Therefore, we know the FDRE and allies are still participating and killing there. This is just trying to downplay what they are actually doing.
“Attempts to silence pro-Ethiopia voices & propping up of pro-TPLF narrative are seen. We have reasons to believe that Twitter is targeting & suspending voices that are raising awareness about the TPLF’s atrocities & its lies which we have shared with their policy team” (Office of the Prime Minister – ‘Disinformation campaign against Ethiopia: THREAD’ 01.12.2021).
We saw earlier that the FDRE and OPM had issues with people dropping knowledge and intelligence in the media of the battlefront. Nevertheless, going after their enemies are fine and dandy. While there is not proof of this and there is a lot of projection here. Since, the FDRE will never accept or take any accountability for the Tripartite Alliance actions. Alas, they are never doing the ills or the dehumanization of the Tigrayan people. As well, as the targeted ways of which the warfare has been. That’s why the OPM and the FDRE should consider how they work themselves and blocks voices in general.
The FDRE expect the Twitter company to respect free and fair speech, while the authorities or the FDRE couldn’t be if you throw anything at it. The OPM would only expect praises and be told to be brilliant. As he don’t want dissidents or critics, because if you are … expect the authorities or trouble with the law. They speak of lies, but the OPM and the FDRE haven’t been truthful either and been caught in plenty of lies since the start of the war. Therefore, don’t plan mechanical divisions, Special Forces, Fano, EDF and attack the Tigray region from various of fronts in November 2020. So, it is not like the FDRE and OPM is truthful either. Therefore, the attacks on anti-TPLF sentiments is just to stop hate-speech and fascism on a online platform. However, that is clearly fine by the Amhara allies and the FDRE counterparts.
“Some mainstream western media are obviously dominated by anti-Ethiopian Government perspective. Such trend has been repeatedly utilized in many countries where media was used to effectively demonize governments and their leaders in order to facilitate regime change” (Office of the Prime Minister – ‘Disinformation campaign against Ethiopia: THREAD’ 01.12.2021).
To call certain mainstream western media anti-Ethiopian perspective is to degrade all reporting and undermine what they are writing. Yes, the Western media will be biased, just like EBC, ENA, Borkena or Fana BC is biased towards the government. The Ethiopian media houses I have mentioned are reporting in favour and could directly just write what the Ministries and the Commanders told them to do. There is no analyses or commentary, of which would dare to question the leadership. Alas, to critique and dare to question the OPM or the FDRE is directly anti-Ethiopian sentiment at this point of time. Any real patriotic stance is to be behind the leaders and the ruling regime. Alas, anyone should be able to critic a government, but not be against the citizens or the nation itself. Because, they are connected, but you should still be able to differentiate.
The OPM and FDRE claims this reporting have been done with a deliberate act of overthrowing them. While not proving any proof of that and it doesn’t explain what it did with that. This follows a pattern saying any reporting is misinformation or disinformation. While not supporting or allowing media to report in general. This government has been one of the most critical to all reporting and not given the media houses ability to report from the ground. They have only dismissed everyone who haven’t parroted the narratives the FDRE wants the world to know. This is why you can question this government and what it tries to hold back. Alas, it has also tried to leave the world in the black and not matter what the media would write. The FDRE would push back….
OPM and FDRE is disingenuous and insincere here. Continuing to vilify everyone else and your just supposed to trust them. Trust the same guys that lied about the refugees into Sudan, Eritrean involvement and whatnot… Peace.
“The youth of Tigray is perishing like leaves. Knowing it is defeated, it is being led by one who does not have a clear vision or plan. It should surrender today to the Ethiopian National Defence Force, to the special forces, to the militias and to the people” (…) “The enemy has been defeated. We scored an unthinkable victory with the eastern command in one day… Now in the west we will repeat this victory” – Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed Ali (From footage released on 30th November 2021).
On the 17th November 2020 after about two weeks of conflict and civil war in the “Law Enforcement Operation”. The man high on power and brief successive victories proclaimed to the world, that the Tigray conflict was in it’s “final phase”.
“The three-day deadline for the Tigray regional special forces and militia to hand themselves over to national defence forces instead of being a tool for the greedy junta has expired. Those Tigray special forces and militia who used the three-day deadline are appreciated, Since the deadline has been completed, in the coming days the final law enforcement activities will be done” (Abiy, 17.11.2020).
Now a year later on the 30th November 2021. The same man coming with similar threats. There been plenty of offensives and now a ‘counteroffensive’. The ENDF and allies has used all of their means to win the war. They have used all tactics and deployed all sinister means to gain advantage. This is everything from weaponizing humanitarian assistance, blockage of utilities, communications and whatever the Federal Government deemed fit. Therefore, the PM cannot think people will believe his stories now.
The PM did state again on the 26th November 2020 that it was the “final phase” and ending of the conflict. However, we know perfectly well that didn’t happen and the threats was useless. The PM and his allies didn’t have the knowledge or the strategic thinking to think differently. As the Tigray Defence Force (TDF) restructured and started warfare in a different manner of which the state underestimated. That is why they are on the advancing end and the ENDF is trying to regain lost territory, as it has lost 10,000 soldiers only defending the Afar region over the recent days. This is the results of the civil-war and the burden Abiy has put on his own people.
The PM is doing like he did last year asking the TDF and its allies to surrender last year in November. When the TDF and allies in encircling Addis Ababa. Why would they do it now? When they could have done it … when Mekelle was bombed and their territory was controlled by the Tripartite Alliance. Nevertheless, this PM isn’t that bright or smart to figure that one out.
He rather sounds boost-full and having it all in order. As the “survival campaign” and Nationwide State of Emergency isn’t regaining quickly enough territory or weakening his adversaries. Clearly, the TDF-OLA union has ensured the warfare to turn the tide. As they taking territory and planning joint manoeuvrers. That was a luxury the Federal Government had with ENDF, EDF, Fano and Special Forces all combating one enemy. Now this has become much more hectic and with several of Liberation Armies to beat.
The ‘counteroffensive’ and the publicity stunt of having the PM on the frontline must be a golden opportunity of the FDRE. However, it is also showing it’s weakness. As they are supposed to need the manpower of the man who should sit in the situation room and get all intelligence from the front. He should navigate together with the generals and commanders. Find the best strategy and not just look at the sky, the moon and the dust. Figuring out from which hill he should cross or what sort of trick he should pick out of his sleeve. Nevertheless, that is where we are and he thinks he can repeat itself and it will work wonders.
The fools that is joining his war and many are dying on the front. That’s why the 10,000 revelations shows what price it has cost the FDRE to regain territory in the Afar region alone. Therefore, the PM maybe needs to boost his ego and show some finesse.
Still, that is a lot too ask this late in the game. There is little wiggle room and the PM uses whatever he has at this disposal. We know the TDF-OLA alliance has hurt his prospects. We know they been able to capture lot’s of prisoners of war. That has been proven and displayed. Nevertheless, that has never ended the war.
The PM can be in public and create a lot of theatre, but everyone knows that this doesn’t win him the war. It is just prolonged and the agony continues. As the people are starving, struggling and the pain is delivered to the door-steps of even more people. This isn’t only happening in the Tigray region, which have gotten the blunt force of the state, but also in Amhara, Afar and Oromia. Where there is various degrees of suffering, because of the conflict. It all has to be addressed and the pain, suffering and the adherent needs are growing. As the state and FDRE vilifies the UN and everyone delivering “wheat aid”. Therefore, this isn’t becoming better by the day, but much worse. As we cannot know the true extent or what sort of levels of devastation in the Republic.
Time will tell… but Abiy needs new tricks and new measures. Since, re-issuing the same sort of statements. Only shows that his not winning, but slowly losing. Peace.
Just as the supposed Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed Ali is at the front-lines. While sitting in the middle of the field with fancy conference-room chairs and a desk. Where he held a massive speech to the Republican Guards and other military leaders. As well, as sitting beside him was “liqe mekwas” or his body-double, which is his impersonator or the “double of the emperor”. That was very visible on one of the pictures leaked to the press.
PM Abiy copies the meeting outside and gathering people to get the vision like the Tigray have been doing. While also wearing a Tegaru scarf just like TPLF President Debretsion Gebremichael is known for doing. This is emulating and copying his enemy, but doing it without any sophistication.
The man is supposed to be on the front-line, but the chairs looks from a half-way decent hotel and they are clean too. Abiy looks like he has had a shower and been groomed for the meeting. Secondly, the “liqe mekwas” wearing a suit and tie, which wouldn’t fit on the battlefield. Unless, you are playing around and mocking the whole war from afar.
Some reports even say he was in Bishoftu at the Kurufu Resort or the Tadiyos Hotel, while the private jet the PM uses was stationed at Bishoftu Air Force base. While the PM held the meeting on the grass in-front of the forest there. However, that haven’t been verified, but he looks so fresh and so clean for being on the front-line.
The PM looks like he haven’t had dirt, dust or anything under his fingernails even. As he walks impeccably with his military fatigue and held a speech. The publicity stunt isn’t working smoothly. It isn’t making it believable. Only the cult will believe this stunt.
This is not a PR victory. Only shows how he want to be a carbon-copy of his enemies. While never ceasing to compete on all fronts. Abiy is only showing out of touch and how he thinks this will work. This is not clever, but only proving his arrogance and his hubris in the midst of war.
When you take a conference room from a hotel or a resort and station it in-front of a forest to stage that your are at the front-line. That just shows that you have lost the plot. Not only that, but you have tried to make it look like a leadership gathering like your enemies and wearing their scarf. That just shows what sort of mental game-plan the Prime Minister has at the very moment. He is just boosting his own ego. As the ‘counter-offensive’ is happening in the border-region of Afar. Since the takeover of certain towns there of late. However, nobody knows for how long this can last. Certainly, Abiy isn’t there fighting, as his to nurtured to be there now. Peace.