Ethiopia: The newest OCHA Situation Report on the Tigray region states a dire need for more humanitarian assistance [5.2 million people in dire need!]

According to the latest unendorsed Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC) analysis, without urgent and unimpeded food aid, over 400,000 people in Tigray region are projected to face catastrophic food insecurity (IPC 5,Catastrophe); and over 1.8 million people now in Emergency levels of acute food insecurity (IPC 4) in Tigray could slide into starvation” (OCHA, 19.07.2021).

The conflict that started in early November 2020 has now it’s tolls. There been reports of the devastation and destruction of the agricultural sector, as the conflicts continues and warfare persist. The state have blocked access and made very hard to get any humanitarian assistance into the region. That is still an ongoing issue, as the conflict is taking another turn.

The UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs “Ethiopia – Tigray Region Humanitarian Update Situation Report, 19 July 2021” is a vital report on the current state of affairs. As the state will say everything is dandy and they are doing everything needed. While not proving anything and blocking humanitarian access or even convoys to cross into the region. That’s why you know the current affairs are bad.

There are reports of betterment, but that is just patching the hurt temporarily and not something sustainable. That is very clear by the wording and the amount of people still in dire need, which has reached 5.2 million civilians who needs humanitarian aid and their basic needs met. That shows how dire this conflict is and how many who are in the crossfire between the Tigray Defence Forces and the allies of the Federal Government.

OCHA reports:

Inside Tigray, aid workers are now able to access areas previously hard-to-reach, with an estimated 75 per cent of people in need of assistance (4 million out of 5.2 million people in need) now in zones where humanitarian operations can take place, compared to 30 per cent in May. However, stocks are rapidly depleting inside Tigray,as road access to the region has been curtailed over the last weeks. Road access to Tigray is now only possible through Semera, in Afar Region, via Abala, with heavy control by regional and federal authorities. The UN Humanitarian Air Service received, on 5 July, approval from the Government of Ethiopia to recommence flights to Tigray, and final arrangements and operational details are now being worked out to resume the service” (OCHA, 19.07.2021).

All of that just shows how hard the authorities and the Federal Government are acting in concern to the Tigray region. They are just blocking roads and ensuring the humanitarian convoy only gets one way in. Secondly, they also have to rely on “dumbo drops” of humanitarian assistance to the region. That says a lot about the unwillingness to open access and opportunities to directly deliver the assistance in the region.

OCHA continues:

In addition to limited humanitarian assistance, access to basic needs—including health care and water and sanitation—remains severely constrained. Lack of banking system and cash, scarcity of fuel, and limited access to commodities, are affecting the ability of the population to cope. Many rural areas still have no electricity and/or communications. Families remain unable to contact missing or separated loved ones due to the communications blackout in large parts of the region, while services and/or supplies that are reliant on electricity are no longer functioning” (OCHA, 19.07.2021).

This here has been reported, but shows the total blockade and that the state has initiated protocol not only to starve, but hurt anyone. They are ensuring the greater public of Tigray doesn’t have access to the basics. Everyone is targeted and there is no one who isn’t touched by the efforts made by the state. That’s why the state has ordered these measures and seeks to punish everyone.

OCHA says:

Although 80 per cent of people in northern Ethiopia depend on subsistence agriculture, so far very little financial support has been allocated to agricultural interventions that can help at-risk families resume productive activity and produce food for themselves and their communities, according to FAO. The current rainy season (June-September) offers a tight window of opportunity for farmers to get a crop in the ground and reboot local food production, but without funding and speedy supply of agricultural inputs, that opportunity could be missed” (OCHA, 19.07.2021).

I can say without a shadow of a doubt, that the Federal Government will supply or help the agricultural sector of Northern Ethiopia or the Tigray region. They have blocked funding of the Regional State Government for months ahead of the conflict and stopped aid organizations for participating in projects and combatting locusts. The Federal Government blocked other measures from humanitarian organizations as well ahead of the November 2020 conflict. So, don’t expect it to anything now. Now that it doesn’t allow or make it hard to access for UN Humanitarian Organizations to even deliver the food or basic necessities to the 5.2 millions in need.

The Prosperity Party and the Federal Government will not indulge funds for the agricultural sector now and has no interest in doing so. Not at this current stage and time. With frozen bank-accounts and locked out of ordinary communication. Neither, can other organizations fill the void and ensure farmers funding to buy seeds or seedlings for another harvest in the middle of the conflict.

Just like the OCHA stated in the beginning 1.8 million people could face starvation and most of the people needs to agricultural sector going to get feed. That’s why the humanitarian assistance needs to go there and reach in time. So, that this season can save and help out a little in this crisis. As there are plenty of people in need.

There is need for change and making things easier for the humanitarian organizations to reach the people in need. As this is only prolonging the agony and the hurt. The Federal Government is doing this deliberately and its tragic. Because so many lives are touched by this. Peace.

Ethiopia: Abiy’s dangerous rhetoric

Today’s statement is exposing the narratives and the mindset of a government in the middle of war. Who can deliberately state that the government and its allies is getting rid of the “weed” and shielding the “wheat”. That is a way of killing off and demeaning the enemies. This is in the same manner, which a Prosperity Party leader in Oromia said months ago that they needed to clean the sea of the fish.

Prime Minister Abiy is showing a sort of rhetoric and political language who only fits a genocide. Where everyone of one ethnic group is the enemies. The nation can only be unified and cleaned of he “weed” if these are gotten rid off.

That is the initial game here. It isn’t just a nice metaphor, but a destructive language, which intends to dehumanize and allow war-crimes. That’s how the state is allowing ethnic cleansing, crimes against humanity and use illegal methods to destroy the enemy. That’s why the Prime Minister doesn’t mind blocking humanitarian aid, humanitarian convoys, besieging the Tigray region, blocking electricity, jamming phone-lines and a media blackout in the Tigray region. That’s all fine, because it’s destroying the “weed”.

Everything is fine as long as you shield and secure the wheat. Since you are targeting and stopping the “weed” from growing. The “weed” will destroy the harvest and the quality of wheat. That’s what the Prime Minister is speaking off.

This is with intent and incite, inspire and making people battle-ready. The Prime Minister is calling out for war and annihilation of Tigray. He wants them to burn and suffer, because this way he is securing unity on the cost of one group. As long as one group of people is destroyed and their livelihoods. Than he see a possibility for unity…. which is insane and dangerous.

A man that uses this sort of derogatory words against others. Only shows that he devalues and describes others as “sub-human” and allows their demise. He is defending his rights to assault, kill and massacre the “weed” because that’s what the state needs. This is a worrying sign in itself and that the PM does it so publicly.

He spread this message to the nation on Twitter and it got translated. The language is showing his intent and purpose. The PM and his alliance is going to the core. They are not valuing or caring for the “weed” and working in groups to get rid of the “weed”. That says it all and it’s nothing hopeful in this language.

So, if things turns to genocide or genocidal, they have been told to do so by the Prime Minister. While we know the Tigrayans are being targeted, losing their businesses, abducted and incarcerated without due process. The state is blocking banking services and other measures as well. Therefore, the state has already prepared for this…

The world should be worried when the Prime Minister announces things like this. Today’s statement is a public warning shot and a war-cry. The state is now willing to collectively get rid of the “weed” and that can legitimize a possible genocide. That should worry us all and nobody cannot say they didn’t see it coming.

Prime Minister Abiy words are horrifying and the world should watch out. The rehashed and new recruits have a clear mission and that should worry anyone. Not just winning a war, but annihilate as well. Peace.

Opinion: Abiy’s war-cry!

The enemy we are facing is an enemy which is the cancer of Ethiopia. The junta is probably the only group in history that used its political power to disintegrate its own country. As the saying goes “a familiar devil is not easily dislodged”, so the junta will attempt to cling on desperately” (Abiy, 18.07.2021).

Just as all the news of deployment from all the regions of the Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia to reissue the war in the Tigray Region. The Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed Ali has published his war cry.

The war that he ordered early in November 2020 and “ended” with a “ceasefire” in the end of June. However, that never happened and the state besieged the region. They blocked the roads and region. The Amhara Special Forces and Amhara Para-Military Group “Fano” was still active. Troops was circling the region and blocking everyone from entering. The Federal Government was also destroying vital infrastructure like bridges to block even humanitarian convoys from entering. Blocking aid agencies from warehouses in Amhara. So, that the humanitarian organizations needed to reroute and drive through Afar Region to get into Tigray region.

That’s why we know today message to galvanize the troops of Ogaden (Somali Region), Sidama, Amhara and Oromia who has been called up. The Special Forces and new recruits to combat the Tigray Defence Force (TDF). That’s why he is coming with this statement to show strength ahead of the battles and continued warfare in the North.

Forces who are afraid of our unity will do everything they deem to be divisive. They conspire to divert our wrath from them toward our own. But we will never do that. The unity we have created now is what destroyed the old conspiracy of the junta and what will destroy the owner of the conspiracy and which will ensure the renaissance of the country they had conspired against” (Abiy, 18.07.2021).

Isn’t it ironic that he speaks of unity? A man who is forcing his war on people. A man who has taken everyone for granted and getting the whole republic to fight his war. A leader who is not willing to talk, negotiate or have dialogue. However, he is willing to use all his allies to fight his war. While also dismissing every single dissident or such. That’s why his election is a fraud and the usage of military to get political gains in Tigray. He has only gone to this war to consolidate power, but however… that has backfired. The quick and brief operation, which was supposed end in the end of November 2020 is still on its 8th to 9th month. So, it is hard to build things together, when your constantly works to destroy your political enemies. That’s a road to destruction and the PM should know this, but I doubt he will live to say that. His arrogance and ego will not allow that.

We have a strict plan of why, how, when, where, and what to do. The result will soon be evident to both friend and foe. Our army is ready for a spectacular mission. We will work to remove the weed. But while removing the weed, we will try our best not to damage the wheat. In our country, we weed collectively. And this is what the children of Ethiopia are doing” (Abiy, 18.07.2021).

The PM is calling Tigray the “weed” away from the wheat. Deliberately saying they are dangerous and destroying the harvest. That they are the ones damaging the nations. That’s because the TPLF dared to jump out of the Prosperity Party and not being a part of the consolidation of the EPRDF coalition. So, his willing to remove the TDF and TPLF for that reason. It really says something about his mindset.

We can confidently say, the junta will be uprooted in a manner that will ensure it will not bud again. This will happen if we collaborate to remove the invasive weed. In the process, individuals may err; divisive information may be heard. Even though we are united as to our end, there may be arguments about the means. In any case, this will not stop us from achieving our goal. The children of Ethiopia have risen from all four corners to undo the plans of the junta. This itself is a victory. The children of Ethiopia have identified their enemy. And they know what they have to do. And they will do it” (Abiy, 18.07.2021).

The Prime Minister shows his warlord tactics … and there is no denying that anymore. His speaking of the mission and the mission is clearly to destroy, loot and total annihilate the Tigray region. To take away land and destroy its power. They are doing whatever they can and it’s not anymore about a constitutional dispute. No, it is about power and settling old grudges.

We now know… and he uses words like “cancer”, “devil” and “weeds” to describe his enemies. It shows what he stands for and who he is. His not a man of peace, but a man of war. Who is willing to use any word to fit his narrative.

Prime Minister Abiy has his war-cry after starting to deploy new recruits, using special forces and new soldiers from every other region. That’s because he didn’t have an army to bring to the table. That’s why he had to call a “ceasefire” to retool and rebuild. To have chance to return to Mekelle. A city that is in his eyes not “important” anymore. Peace.

Ethiopia: The Government of the National State of Tigray – On False Allegations Concerning Child Soldiers Serving in the TDF (17.07.2021)

Ethiopia: The TDF have entered the Afar region

The Tigray Defence Force have now entered a stage where they have crossed the Tigray Region borders. The Afar Regional State Communication Affairs Office has verified that the TDF have entered there.

This is happening while the Federal Government is restructuring it war and recruiting troops for other regions. There is reports that from Ogaden Region alone is sending 4000 Liyu Police towards the National Effort to combat the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) and their means of surviving the continued war-effort against them.

There been reports that the Federal Government have also done this Sidama region. Where the Special Forces are called up and the state is calling up youth to fill their quota. Just like the quota in Ogaden. There was a call-up for the Oromia Special Forces as well. This shows that the Prosperity Party is now clearing up every other regional state and having their armies to fight their battle in Tigray.

That’s maybe why the TDF is entering into Afar region. As they are in defence outside its region to secure its own borders. As there is coming new troops from all the others to participate in the conflict.

The Afar Regional State Communication Affairs Office stated this:

The terrorist TPLF has opened war on the people of Afar by expanding its terrorism to Afar. The brave Afar farmers who don’t negotiate with the people of Fanti Rasu zone Yalo Woreda who opened the war with our people” (Afar, 17.07.2021).

This shows that the TDF have entered from the Southern Tigray region into Afar region. That is maybe a strategic move to block and diverge the new recruits from the rest of Ethiopia. This however shows the strength of TDF. We cannot know what sort of casualties or civilian destruction of this. The Afar regional state doesn’t specify that either.

We don’t know at what border points the Federal Government have besieged the region. What we do know is that the World Food Programme used the Afar region to cross into Tigray region to help out the humanitarian efforts to combat the man-made famine. We just have to hope that this doesn’t stop another convoy or make the humanitarian missions more dangerous. As the conflict is spiralling out.

We also know that Oromia Special Forces have been stationed in Afar Region before they we’re participating in the Tigray conflict. Therefore, the TDF entering the region is a way of self-defence at this point. But it shows also the weakness of the Federal Government. As the TDF is able to enter Afar.

There will be more reporting on this, but this shows that Abiy is losing control of the conflict and its now coming closer to home for him. He doesn’t have the army or the strength to compete. Since he TDF is able to get this far as Afar region. Peace.

Ethiopia: Tesfa – Tigray-Eritrea Solidary Forum Statement demanding withdrawal of Eritrean and Amhara regional forces from Tigray (17.07.2021)

Opinion: The SNLF calls Abiy out!

Yesterday, the Sidama National Liberation Front (SNLF) released a statement called: “The SNLF Condemns with The Strongest Possible Terms the Forced Deployment of the Sidama’s Forces By Abiy’s regime installed Sidama’s Prosperity Party (PP) Cadres”. This message is clear and not shocking. As it was reported that Special Forces from Sidama, Oromia and Amhara would all participate in the Tigray conflict. Today, it is also reported that the Somali Region or Ogaden Special Forces will join as well. Therefore, all regions are participating in going after one Regional Government and their Tigray Defence Force (TDF).

What is striking in this statement is for instance this:

The Ethiopian government is also pushing with its incoherent approach in the aspect of its promises to uphold unilateral ceasefire it has declared few weeks ago. Instead of finding amicable solutions, the regime and its Eritrean ally with the Amhara’s regional government that is calling another regional allies to fight its war in Tigray; are actively engaged in ongoing military operation in Tigray, Oromia, Benshangul Gumuz and Kemant causing further bloodshed, severe material and human costs. This must be wholly denounced and immediately stopped. This is the time when the nations of political south were called to support the Amhara elites’ expansionist war on Tigray on July 11, 2021. Due to Abiy’s regime plotted Amhara elites call, the Sidama special force was summoned to an urgent meeting on the evening 12th of July 2021where the Sidama state’s Abiy’s regime installed cadre including the state’s President ‘Desta Ledamo’ and his accomlices have advised the Sidama forces to be ready for deployment to support Amhara elites’ war in Tigray under the pretext of ‘in defence of Ethiopia’. The Sidama’s special forces have out rightly rejected and advised they do not want to kill Tigray civilians and do not want to be unnecessarily sacrificed” (SNLF, 15.07.2021).

Here we see a clear message from the SNLF. It is saying things that the Prosperity Party and Prime Minister Abiy doesn’t want out. He wants to be the grand leader and the one searching for peaceful. However, the ones that follows his tracks knows that his just another Warlord. That’s clear by this statement as well.

Especially, when you see the statement on the ceasefire and how its now reinforcing troops from all the regions. While only listening to his allies of Amhara to continue the war in Tigray.

The SNLF continues:

Subsequently, most these Sidama special forces have disappeared into their own districts and remain in various discreet locations. Additionally, on the evening of the 13th and morning of the 14th of July 2021, the Sidama’s Abiy’s desperate cadres called for the Sidama’s ordinary police personnel with some new and untrained recruits from various districts of the Sidama state to fill in their quota and advised them they will be deployed to the Afar not to Amhara. Although these also refused, the recruits were forced and given false promises in return for their services by stressing that upon their return they will be rewarded with unknown kind of prizes. Abiy’s regime-controlled state Media has announced in the evening of July 14, 2021 that the Sidama state has prepared 200 special forces to join the war on Tigray nation under the pretext of maintaining law and order” (SNLF, 15.07.2021).

Here we see what the Federal Government does to continue the conflict as well. They are just randomly recruiting and sending them to the battlefield. It wouldn’t be surprising if the state did the same in Oromia and Ogaden as well. To get a “quota” of new recruits quickly. As the Prosperity Party and Prime Minister needs new soldiers to be able to defeat the TDF. Which he haven’t been able too and now his sending in new blood without long training. Against guerrillas and soldiers who has fought for months. This is sending civilians and youths to their death in a battle, which isn’t theirs, but is all on Prime Minister Abiy.

This sort of message needs to go out far and wide. It shows what the Federal Government is doing and also what its objective is. What is tragic is what will happen to the new recruits and their possible demise. As they are caught up into a conflict, which not earn them anything. However, they will just become another casualty in the war of Abiy. Peace.

Ethiopia Media Authority: Advising to refrain from using terminologies that violate Ethiopia’s sovereign Territorial Integrity (16.07.2021)

Ethiopia Human Rights Commission (EHRC): Protect Civilians from Harassment, Arbitrary Detention and Attacks (15.07.2021)

A look into TPLF President Debretsion Gebremichael recent address

It’s been a long time since Tigray Peoples Liberation Front (TPLF) President Debretsion Gebremichael have delivered any message, letter or been vocal. Now, that the Tigray Defence Force (TDF) is regaining territory and the Tripartite Alliance is now resurging new troops to combat the TDF. Therefore, what his saying in this message is important.

As there haven’t been much said or released from the leader of TPLF. That’s why we need to go into it and digest it. Since, it will show his side, character and also his stance ahead of this prolonged conflict in Northern Ethiopia. A conflict that has been on-going on the regular since early November 2020.

First he says:

Dear Ethiopian People,

Serious atrocities have been committed against the Tigrayan people by Ethiopian Defence Force, Eritrean Defence Force, Amhara regional police and militias and by foreign forces. Furthermore, in order to exterminate the people of Tigray; bullets, starvation, horrifying sexual violence and a coordinated looting of property have all been employed for the past eight months” (Debretsion Gebremichael, July 2021).

All of this has been reported, as the massacres, rape and other atrocities has been verified. The Tripartite Alliance has been behind a lot of damage, destruction and weaponized everything in the region. The blockage of all goods, food and destruction of the agricultural sector has secured a man-made famine. Which results is still unknown, but the dire hunger and distress is hitting most of the region. Just a few days ago, the Prime Minister down-played this. While the TPLF leader re-issues it again. To show that is a continuing battle and a consequence of this civil war.

He continues:

Amongst the many things that have happened for the past eight months, with a complete disregard to the constitution, is that the criminal forces have arrogantly seized Tigrayan territories through force. Despite calls for them to immediately withdraw to their origins, they are refusing, believing in their might, to relinquish their hold and have been in preparation for what would be a catastrophe. Still, we are again calling on them to leave the places they have forcefully occupied. Otherwise, as we have done the past 8 months, we will fight and reinstate our rights” (Debretsion Gebremichael, July 2021).

Here we are seeing the ironies of the conflict. That the Tripartite Alliance, the Federal Government and all of its soldiers have breached the Constitution by attacking the Tigray region. They have disregarded it. That is striking when the government of FDRE or legality of the Law Enforcement Operation was to restore “law and order”. While it has been revealed that the only mission was to destroy and weaken Tigray. As the will of the state is to consolidate power and control it by force. Instead of in co-operation and within the means of the constitution. Which the Federal Government always uses as a tool to oppress and silence its critics.

He continues to say:

The people of Tigray have never labelled any people as enemy. The people of Tigray were never an enemy to the Amhara, they are not today, nor will they ever be an enemy in the future. In spite of this, in order for those in power to maintain their power they are leading the Amhara people into grave danger. The people should therefore resist, and say lives should not be lost for the greed of power” (Debretsion Gebremichael, July 2021).

In the times of tribulations and with horrific acts done against you. Still, the TPLF leader says these words. That shows character. In the middle of the times, when Tigrayan is ethnically profiled, arrested, detained, banned from working and being part of the army. When the state is issuing orders and taking way their lands and homes. The TPLF leader says these words. As the state has created a famine in their homes. Destroyed their towns, villages and factories. The time when the state has raped, sent people to seek refuge in Sudan. Still, he said this words and he could have chosen differently.

Especially, knowing that the Amhara has annexed land. They have used the Special Forces and the Amhara militia “Fano” to participate in the war and invest in the conflict. So, saying that they don’t see the Amhara as an enemy. Really says a lot. Also, knowingly that the state calls them terrorist and criminals. That the state are using all its machinery to end them. Even with all that knowledge and all the costs of the conflict. Still, saying loud and clear that they are not enemies. That is something the Prosperity Party or the Prime Minister never could utter. He and his allies would bring the fire and the fury. They would come with insults and rebuke the ideas of reinstating the TPLF.

These words from the TPLF leader show the difference between him and the Prime Minister. It shows the manners and the attitude, which is important. The TPLF leader could have chosen different words. However, he said these things and they can be verified.

Now the TPLF leader have to prove some of them. The others have been shown and the world is yet to see it. The Tigray region is suffering and paying a huge price. Still, the TPLF and the TDF is fighting to regain it all. Time will tell, but until that’s done. We can what choices the Mekelle leadership will do. Peace.