Media Council of Uganda: Statement on Video Interview of the Rt. Hon. Prime Minister (23.01.2022)

Muhoozi’s one-day affair in Kigali: When diplomacy is set to die…

You can wonder sometimes… if blood is so important that state affairs and diplomatic agencies loose all values. Because, the Government of Uganda has a Ministry of Foreign Affairs, it has a diplomatic corpse in Kigali and has a Ministry of Interior, which all could have enforced and ensure protocol on the matter. However, the GoU sent Lt. Gen. Muhoozi Kainerubaga, the first son of the President and Commander of the Land Forces in the National Army to represent and negotiate with the Rwandan President Paul Kagame. That says it all… and that’s brazen, if anything.

The National Resistance Movement, the State House and the whole “yes-men” will call it an achievement and proclaim whatever the son of the old man with the hat brings home. He could have brought stray-cats from Kigali and they would called him an environmentalist. However, there is no joint-communique or joint statement on the matter. None of the parties have let out much information, if any of substance.

Rwandan Government friendly press New Times states this about the meeting: “Details of the meeting between the two were not immediately made public but the Office of the President described the talks as cordial and productive. “President Kagame and General Muhoozi Kainerugaba had cordial, productive and forward looking discussions about Rwanda’s concerns and practical steps needed to restore the relationship between Rwanda and Uganda,” according to Presidency” (Edwin Ashimwe – ‘Kagame, Gen. Muhoozi discuss mending Rwanda-Uganda ties’ 23.01.2022, New Times Rwanda).

While the Ugandan Newspaper Daily Monitor reported this: “However, following his one-day working visit to Rwanda on Saturday to meet President Paul Kagame in what seems to mark warming relations between the neighbouring countries after years of tension, Lt Gen Kainerugaba who doubles as UPDF Commander Land Forces said Pte Arinda had been released” (Job Bwire – ‘Rwanda releases SFC soldier after Muhoozi’s visit’ 22.01.2022, Daily Monitor Uganda).

This shows that both nations are happy with the meeting, but the ties are not totally mended. We know the Rwandan government have come with clear stipulations to open up border and get back on good terms. However, even with the former meetings and negotiations it hasn’t gotten further.

What is only proof of goodwill is the return of a Ugandan repatriated after being arrested a few month ago. The challenge now… is to use the momentum and continue the talks. Since, the parties and neither state has shown true progress. If there was any progression, the would be a written communique or a statement saying something. There would be a possible Memorandum of Understanding to work to a new diplomatic agreement. However, that seems far away…

The first son can bring home a soldier, which has belonged to a unit and outfit, which he used to be commander of. Therefore, he can boost his ego and make himself look smart. However, that meant nothing to Kagame. Only a few positive headlines, which he didn’t pay anything for. While he gave no way or indicated for changes. As the stalemate and tensions aren’t resolved. That’s because the parties, presidents and authorities haven’t given way to each other.

Lt. Gen. Muhoozi wants to be seen as a diplomat and politician, capable of the big-league, but this meeting has proven that. Only that he can take a few snaps and return home nearly empty-handed. The release of a SFC soldier isn’t anything in the greater scheme of things. There been people wrongly arrested on both sides of the dispute, which has been dumped on the borders to return home. That has been the practice of both parties over the last few years and this isn’t changing anytime soon. Especially, when anyone becomes a dissident in Kampala, they are easily being maligned to counter espionage of Kigali. So, as long as this is happening. We know the things aren’t changing or becoming for the better.

Muhoozi couldn’t win this one and Kagame wouldn’t let him either. That would infuriate the elites and be a shallow one. Therefore, maybe it was for the better, that they only got a token of goodwill and the real diplomats can resolve the issues between them. Since, this was just a publicity stunt to boost the ego of an aspiring son of the President for Life in Kampala. Peace.

Ethiopia: Oganden National Liberation Front (ONLF) – Communique – ONLF Executive Commitee and Resolutions (21.01.2022)

RDC: Union pour la Democratie et le Progres Social (UDPS) Ligue des Jeunes UDPS – Declaration de la Ligue des Jeunes de l’UDPS (23.01.2022)

Opinion: Ruto have torn OKA apart today

We will work with ANC, Ford Kenya and all the other parties that want to walk this journey of bringing Kenyans together. We are going to raise the bar of leadership so that deceit, lies and conmanship do not become the equation of leadership” – DP William Ruto (23.01.2022).

We knew deep in our hearts that the One Kenya Alliance (OKA) was on shaky ground the moment it decided it’s Presidential Flag-bearer. The outfit has already by it’s technical committee decided that Stephan Kalonzo Musyoka was the guy and candidate to run. Therefore, the principals and leaders had to back-down for the Wiper Democratic Movement leader. Alas, that would shake the coalition and it’s members.

Nevertheless, today has proven why it was such a vast moment. Since two other principals are now running behind United Democratic Alliance (UDA) DP Ruto and being part of their campaign. Meaning, they are ditching the OKA and it’s alliance… this being Amani National Congress (ANC) Musalia Mudavadi and FORD-Kenya Moses Wetangula. Both of these are practically part of the Hustler Nation and the Wheelbarrow Movement ahead of the polls in 2022.

This means the ones running out of Bomas today, Kalonzo and Gideon Moi (KANU) both have to go to the drawing-board and find a new home. Since two parties and leaders has chosen a side. These two has to either join Azimo la Umoja or go “independently” into the polls. That means in near future we might see Kalonzo and Moi together with Odinga at a rally. In the grand scheme of things… that wouldn’t be shocking, as Kalonzo has already been a Special Envoy this term and could easily be part of the state machinery who is pushing for Odinga this time around.

What is striking today is that Mudavadi is rallying with UDA. The whole UDA shown up strong and don’t expect DP Ruto to be the second on the ticket this coming poll. No, there has been an agreement and arranged between the parties. Which means there are promises made and it would be profitable for both.

That’s why Mudavadi and Wetangula has banked on Ruto. That they together are stronger and can become a force to be reckon with. While I have a hard time seeing ANC or Ford-K being anything to take to bank. Neither of them has the parties nor the general support of which will make them viable everywhere. These two doesn’t even have the reach within their own communities to bring MPs or Governors on their side. Therefore, the UDA alliance is a fragile one and only is a blow for OKA.

An OKA that was already failing and with the recent choice of Kalonzo it was to easy to speak of ramifications and fall-outs as a result of it. Now it’s not hyperbolic, but a clear realization why Mudavadi didn’t show-up to the Technical Committee meeting. As he has been scheming and planning the whole thing with Ruto. They are now comrades and Wetangula is in on it too.

The Tanga Tanga brigade can celebrate the earthquake today, as OKA is on it’s knees and soon shelved like CORD or NASA. All of these are forgotten coalition, which wouldn’t last or becoming winning formulas in an election.

Now the UDA and Hustler Nation has strengthen it’s cause. Just like Odinga showed strength and finesse, when the governors joined his Azimo la Umoja earlier this month. This is all political play and a way of showing relevance in each others backyards. Therefore, Ruto just got two parties for a bargain. He got their leaders and by doing so… he humiliated OKA and the ones falling behind there.

Mudavadi in a way mocked OKA too, by inviting and showing who he works with. As he has already found a home. He has now launched himself and with his party together with his new allies. The same can be said by Wetangula too. These two have now shown their cards and their way forward.

Now, Kalonzo, Moi and the other OKA leftovers has to show their cards. They have to show their loyalty and where they stand. As OKA is practically over… and on life-support. Unless, Moi and Kalonzo will play like big-shots… which they are not and everyone knows that.

Mudavadi outsmarted them today… but his not a kingpin and never have been. Mudavadi has been looking for shelter and a home. Now Ruto has promised him a safe-haven and a safe passage. However, by the scheme of things… it is only getting more dire and the test is in the coming months.

Now its the moments of confetti and salutes. However… the true campaigns and rallies are ahead. The tear-gas and the hurdles are ahead of them. There will be ramifications and reactions to this. Ruto is the winner today. He got a price and a token under his belt. However, it is not a grand price, but a nice possession, nevertheless.. and he has all rights to be giddy.

We just have to wonder… what it did cost and what promises that has been made. Because, that bill has to paid and in full. Peace.

Republique Centrafricaine: 3R – Communique No 10 du Mouvement 3R (21.01.2022)

Burkina Faso: Ministere de l’Enseignement Superieur de la Recherche et de l’Innovation Porte-Parole du Gouvernement – Communique (23.01.2022)

South Sudan: Western Equatoria State – Governor’s Office – Press Release (22.01.2022)

Opinion: Mr. Sunday has still not repaid his dues to his combatants

As the celebrations to mark 36 years of President Museveni’s reign draw closer, several veterans are still demanding their compensation. We have talked to some of them who want to meet the President and tell him how his government has neglected them. The Ministry of Defence is on a countrywide verification campaign for the veterans. However, in the Rwenzori region, some veterans with missing documents claim they were washed away by River Nyamwamba that flooded recently” (NTV Uganda – ‘Ex-combatants stuck over missing discharge certificates’ 22.01.2022).

We are in January 2022 and these combatants was participating and fighting the liberation war, which the President and his patronage have been living large on for years. The National Resistance Army/Movement (NRA/M) have held power since 1986 and had the opportunity to pay and help the NRA war-veterans. However, they have clearly failed in doing so.

The Ministry of Defence has the biggest budget posts and huge war-chest year-upon-year. It is like the Veterans Assistance Program of the early 1990s didn’t catch up or was properly built to help the ones who fought. The Uganda Peoples Defence Force (UPDF) and Ministry of Defence has the sufficient funds and manpower to make things happening. As well, as the International Monetary Fund (IMF) was funding the establishment of VAP, because it was a paid planned for demobilization and disarmament. Therefore, the Government of Uganda had a plan and issued programmes to secure their compensation. However, even with IMF and donors giving funds back in 1992. The combatants was lost in the web and forgotten.

The ex-combatants was supposed to get a setting-in package. That is what many has never received. This is empty promises to the ones who made it possible and fought with the President. These was the ones who risked their lives in the bush and could easily been killed in the war. However, he haven’t appreciated them or valued their role. That is why they have been paid to this day.

It is really tragic, when you know the Government of Uganda and IMF had set-up programs and phases of unleashing this. Not only to silence the weapons and the ex-combatants, but give them a future beyond the battlefield. However, the greed of Museveni never cease to amaze me. As he wants even the ones who fought to beg from him. Instead of paying their dues and with added cost.

This just show how little other people lives matters to the NRA/M. When they cannot even take care of their own. So, many of the ones who deserved the setting-in package and be secured with the VAP. Nevertheless, that was too much to ask for and he wouldn’t even do that for them. That’s the sort of fella Yoweri is…

It feels even absurd when you know… the IMF and donors was about to help the Republic to facilitate it and give the ex-combatants what they needed and deserved. However, that was clearly too much to ask. Peace.

Mali: Communique No. 012 du Gouvernement de la Transition (22.01.2022)

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