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Opinion: I don’t expect Dictators to fall, unless serious changes befall on them!

After Zimbabwe, people have started to blaze the horns and expecting other dictators to fall. Well, I am humbly saying, I hope so, but don’t expect so. Unless, there are vital changes, unless they lose their support and their weapons behind them. If the support and armies are not behind them, than the Robert Mugabe story can be repeated elsewhere. But it will be different from state to state, from president to president. As each President has built around a stronger or weaker system of orders, strength of institutions and also personal cult around themselves. We also know they are using their myths and their state media to serve their interests.

President’s that I will honor with a mention are Joseph Kabila, Yoweri Kaguta Museveni, Pierre Nkurunziza, Faure Gnassingbe, Hailemariam Desalegn, Isias Afwerki, Omar Al-Bashir, Idriss Deby, Paul Biya, Teodoro Obiang Nguema Mbasango, Mahamadou Issoufou, Paul Kagame and Ismaïl Omar Guelleh. These are a list of honorable mentions, there several more that could be put on a list, but these was the first to mention, if feel someone is left behind. Please leave that in the comments down below(I know that sounds like a Youtuber, but I had to take inspiration from somewhere).

All of these men in their republics knows that they use power and security organizations to quell, silence and oppress their opposition. They are keeping control of the state reserves and has their party as filled of loyalists and cronies. All of this states are militarized, there is state controlled media and has various of different rules. They are strict and controlling from the state houses and the freedom in these states are limited. The state and business are usually connected with the President and his family. If not there are cronies who also have business and fortunes. So the dictators are for the moment having control and making sure the people is not uprising.

What we can know is that if these dictators take it to far and the fear for the repercussion from the state. So as long as the public and opposition are detained for arbitrary arrests and citizens hurt after demonstrations. While the state reserves and donor funds are eaten by the elite, while the countries are kept poor. As long as the republic’s are poor, than they still need more foreign donors and supply. So it is good for the dictators to keep their nations poor, as the Western and Multi-National Organization can continue to supply them with non-binding funds. That they are free to use on military and one themselves, instead of building institutions and good governance, it is all controlled by the one man on top and his loyal subjects around.

This is well known and for different reasons, these men should always worry about their decisions and their capacity to rule. Nothing last for ever. There will be some who might want to take their place and replace them. Someone will always be opposition and fight for democratic values, but sooner or later they will succeed. It is just a matter of how and how long it takes.

They are all based on strong military control, even minor specialized groups who are like Presidential Guards/Republican Guards or Special Forces. These are controlled usually by either relations or trusted generals, who are loyal not to turn against the President. The Presidents promotes and demotes leaders inside their armies often, the same in the police force/service to compensate and also to make sure the old guard of warrior and soldiers who fought for the President. Will not be seen as a threat or have power to ever topple him. That is why they are trying to distance themselves from the ones who brought them to power, because they will know their inner-tactics; that is why the stalwarts and historicals are more public personas, but not people of power. Even if they did have so in past.

That is done to secure the role and secure the commander-in-chief, even the President always need the historical battles and origin story to keep himself relevant and prove his place. He don’t needs ones who fought with him and his cause. They will just ask for checks- and balances on the promises made in liberation and in the battles against previous oppressors. That is why they are not entangled with these, unless they give them phony medals and grant money, to hopefully silence them.

Still, with all the protocol and strength of the army, they are still vulnerable as they know this too. That why they are calculating and trying to find out the next person who wants their role and their positions. Which is why there are changes in their cabinets, Vice-Presidents and Prime Ministers. Until they find persons and people they trust to not ambitions to overpower them. Also, they want to stop other MPs and other voices to install hope in the population and to create popularity that is bigger then their personal cult and their teachings.

However, there are ways to bring them down by actually not fearing the state security organizations, waiting for the President to act swiftly without feeling the tensions within his own party. Like President Robert Mugabe did recently. If not actually know you have lost all legitimacy in recent elections, but not willing to step down like Yayha Jammeh. That was ECOWAS and Senegal who intervened on behalf of the newly elected President. Which was the reason for the dictator ending in Exile recently.

Therefore, we have to hope for leaders who have capacity to capture the pulse of the people who are oppressed, of the ones who are marginalized and the ones who are captured by the state. Since the dictatorships doesn’t give up easy, unless there is no escape. History has learned us that and therefore, the lesson needs to be learned. We in our time cannot give in and accept that the liberty, freedom and government are taken by one elite and one ruler.

Certainly, it will not be easy, the fight against oppressors will cost and take time. That is proven time in and time out. The same will happen here, but with their aging and their lack of control. Their trust in family members and trying to create family dynasties. They might fall like Mugabe. Even if some are sons of former presidents. Doesn’t mean they can continue owning the title and running the state. It is proven that is not accepted and that is all within reason. This is what happen in Zimbabwe and we understand if similar events transpire elsewhere.

In the end it is all up to the public for change, the public reactions and their demonstrations, boycotts and their inner works to dismantle the oppressive dictatorship. Often the international community and international counterparts will not intervene as they wants mineral resources and other commodities for cheap; and as long one partner can be bribed, the workers and resources don’t need to paid-in-full or proper. This prospers foreign investments and multi-national companies. This is not well-spoken of, but should be revealed, as it is so often shady dealings with resources sold or land to investors from these dictators. They are funding the state and military, that together with aid are keeping these regimes afloat.

With all this in mind, we have to continue the struggle against these men that are keeping people hostage and taking away freedom and liberty, freedom to assembly and to be activists. They are licensing and authorizing businesses and if people are allowed to have parties and civil society organizations. This are all in different ways, the same with the media and other public ways of sharing information. These are often controlled like all else are in society and in the republic.

We can just wonder if we let this repeat itself, let them continue to oppress and letting these multi-national corporations earn on this forms of government. If we can accept that aid and multi-national organizations keeping budgets and keeping them as leaders, because if these leaders would struggle more economically, more loyalists and more cronies would actually deflect quicker. Also, that if the economy struggle and the security organizations are not paid-off. They could instead of turning their weapons against the public, they could turn against the government/regime. So there are many ways together with public uprising that is needed to topple these dictatorships. Peace.

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Communication Authority of Kenya letter to Nation Media Group Limited: ” Re: Transmission of Live Broadcast” (17.11.2017)

Togo: “Manifestation de la coalition de l’opposition ce 18 novembre 2017 :Un avant-goût” (Youtube-Clip)

Clip 2:

Opinion: The Solidarity March in Harare today should be celebrated!

Today is a day should be coined either Un-Coup Party or 2nd Independence Day, as the crowds and people have been marching in Bulawayo and in Harare. Where they have been marching in solidarity and in peace. Where there been people taking selfies with soldiers, even some have polished the shoes of the soldiers. They have taken down the Robert Mugabe Road sign. They are filling up buses and marching towards the State House while saying “Mugabe Must Go”. Dough Coltart proclaims this: “ Corner 4th & Baines Ave in central Harare. It is packed like this for blocks and blocks and blocks. People have had enough!” (Doug Coltart, 18.11.2017). So people have been walking from Freedom Square and towards the State House. The military have blocked the crowds from getting to close. But the message and the levels of peaceful march. Proves that all society and everyone is ready for a change from Mugabe into something else.

Today, the masses is speaking and the proof of the real unpopularity of Mugabe, as the streets are packed. The marches filled with placards and slogans, which all about the end of the Mugabe era. While that is happening the nephew Patrick Zhuwao says Bob and Grace are “Ready to die for what is correct” (Sky News, 18.11.2017). Well, what is correct now is to step down, that is proven by the public. Who are greeting the soldiers and the state has even been giving out juice to the protesters was walking from Freedom Square towards the State House.

No deal signed in talks at State House. ZanuPF will decide tomorrow when Central Committee meets. Army generals have come out, thanked the marchers and asked them to go home” (Zim Media Review, 18.11.2017). So we still have to wait, but the message from the people has been sent with their peaceful demonstration together with the army. They are so tired of Mugabe that anything else is positive. This day has turned into a public display of wanting liberation and freedom.

There been no disorder, no mutiny and no violence. Just a peaceful display of fatigue against the Mugabe dynasty. Where they finally seeing the end of the tunnel and the second liberation. When the people and the army can create a better republic. There have even been shown clips of people demonstrating directly on the outside of the “blue roof” Mugabe’s residence. So today is a day in the name of democracy and change.

It has been done with peace and with positive movement from the people. All Zimbabweans should be proud of today, what sort of public display and act of civic duty to walk in the streets, marching against the tyranny and also for a new beginning.

Even the Herald of Zimbabwe reported this: “A spirit of unity prevailed as Zimbabweans took to the streets in a solidarity march supported by war veterans, activists, political leaders” (The Herald Zimbabwe, 18.11.2017). All of this shows the changes of Harare and the republic as whole. When even state media is supporting the movement of the people and not chanting proverbs of Mugabe. This week has really changed Zimbabwe.

The Zimbabwean people deserve credit for their solidarity march to the State House and the War Veterans Rally at the Highfield in Harare. This event today has shown the value of people’s power and a peaceful rally. This has to be celebrated. The Zimbabwean people deserve be praised for today. Peace.

U.S. Congress Committee on Oversight and Government Reform letter to Vice-President-Elect Mike Pence (18.11.2016)

NASA Statement: Personal Statement by Rt. Hon. Raila Odinga on Police Violence (18.11.2017)

My honest letter to President Uhuru Kenyatta after the Heinous Welcome at JKIA for Raila Odinga!

Oslo, 17th November 2017

Dear Sir, His Excellency Uhuru Muigai Kenyatta!

I am writing to Mr. President in haste as the police brutality at innocent civilians are overpowering. That several people, people just gathering to show up for their Raila Odinga of the National Super Alliance lost their lives nearby Jomo Kenyatta International Airport in Nairobi. This is a sad day, because it is so unnecessary loss of lives. Mr. President, these deaths are done on your watch and with the decisions of the Inspector General of Police Joseph Boinnet and Cabinet Secretary of the Interior Fred Matiang’i.

The NASA did notify of their actions and did comply within the law. That NASA told the authorities and they showed up. It wasn’t until the police came with water-canons, live-bullets and tear-gas the scattering of the public became violent. That the Police Service made it worse and in the cost lives. Shows the impunity of the Police Service and your government. You should be ashamed. Especially, considering your own history when it comes to this matter.

While you in power has not allowed the NASA to welcome Odinga home on the 17th November 2017. However, when you arrived from the International Criminal Court in Netherlands on the 9th October 2014, you got the grand welcome at the JKIA. The authorities accept this and didn’t stop you from bashing in glory. It wasn’t any problem or excuses to stop it, like you have done to NASA/Odinga. Clearly, you are of a higher class than him, since you can do everything. While he can taste tear-gas and see his supports harassed by security forces. You must be proud of your actions and hypocrisy.

Also, as you have claimed the NASA only demonstrate and create trouble, you might have forgotten the days of opposition as a KANU leader, Mr. President. When Mwai Kibaki in December 2006 claimed you demonstrated together with 20 MPs illegally and used tear-gas against you. You we’re quoted at that time with this: “What has happened today is a travesty of justice” (BBC News – ‘Police tear-gas Kenyatta protest’ 05.12.2006 link: http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/6209470.stm). ‘

I am sure what happen in Uhuru Park on the 5th December 2006 could be called a travesty of justice. The same can be said about JKIA attack on peaceful procession while meeting returning Odinga. That is also a travesty of justice. It was injustice and fatal for some. These are tragic and shows the violent security forces are against their own citizens. Instead of protecting them, they are getting rid of them. The opposite of their mission.

Today was a travesty, there we’re no need to become like that, but ended so. That this happen was unnecessary and acts of evil. President Kenyatta is this what your legacy and what you want to be remembered for? Totalitarian Musevenism and crackdown on opposition into the foolishness. Will you soon detain people for acting on twitter on other than Cyprian Nyakundi? Will you pursuit other activists and other Civil Society Organizations?

Is that what your family legacy and your name to tarnished into, that in seeking power again. You will use violence and intimidation, you will crush institutions and destroy society for your gain. Just so you can stay in power? Is that all your worth? Is that your belief of greatness and brilliance?

Kenyatta, I thought you were better and had hope when you got elected. Clearly I was wrong. I am often so. But you are just another totalitarian and autocrat who uses the power to silence opposition. You even take lives just to prove your power. Instead of showing grace and servitude, your showing arrogance and ruthlessness. Don’t believe that is wise, that will lead to your demise. Not only your name, but your legacy.

The people showing up for Odinga deserved better, they deserved to made sure the procession went in peace. Not be afraid of violent acts of oppression from the Police Service. That is sad and travesty against justice.

To use your own words again:

What has happened today is a travesty of justice” – Uhuru Kenyatta

Best Regard

Writer of Minbane

USA: Attorney General Sessions Memo – “Subject: Prohibition on Improper Guidance Documents” (16.11.2017)

ZANU PF Harare Province – Resolution by the Harare Provincial Coordinating Committee (17.11.2017)

ZANU PF Manicaland Province – Extra Ordinary Provincial Coordination Committee Meeting (17.11.2017)

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