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Ethiopia: The Draconian rules of the previous State of Emergency is back in full effect!

The Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) and Ethiopian People’s Revolutionary Democratic Front (EPRDF) are still doing whatever they can to quell and silence the provinces. This is just a few brief months since last State of Emergency. Clearly, the Oromo and Amhara provinces are a handful, but instead of listening and actually taking it into account. They are planning a hostile takeover and actually being an occupying force in its own nation. That is what the Aghazi Squad and mercenaries are doing in these regions, will not hit afar or even Tigray, it will be Oromo and Amhara, where the demonstrations, the shutdowns and the protests has been lit.

The Addis Ababa Central Government and the Council of Ministers are doing a fatal mistake, the demonstrations has shown effect already. They have gotten many of their leaders and people of impact in the community back again. These has been the voices of the opposition. Now they are tried again to be silenced by the leadership. With a force that will be bloody and will be direct countering the recent measures and trying to soften the approach. Instead, the Council of Ministers are now going into warfare in the regions instead of trying reconciliation.

Addis Ababa, February 17, 2018 (FBC) –The State of Emergency declared yesterday will remain in effect for six months, said Ethiopia’s Defense Minister Siraj Fegessa. In his press briefing today, the Minister said the the decree will be tabled to the House of People’s Representatives with 15 days. According to the Minister, the State of Emergency was needed to protect the constitution and constitutional order. He also dismissed as false rumors of military takeover of the government. Siraj said a Command Post has already been set up following the declaration of the State of Emergency by the Council of Ministers yesterday. The decree prohibits preparing, printing and circulating via media writings that could cause disturbance and suspicion among people as well as displaying or publicizing signs which could stir up violence. The decree allows law enforcement bodies to detain without court warrant any individual who orchestrated, led and organized as well as took part and suspected of taking part in criminal acts against the constitution and constitutional order. The individual will face justice after necessary investigation. In order to seize materials which were utilized or could be used to commit crimes, they could search any houses, areas and vehicles as well as stop, ask and search a person without a court warrant, the Minister noted” (Fana Broadcasting Company – ‘State of Emergency remains in effect for six months, says Defense Minister’ 17.02.2018).

So expect that the regions of Amhara and Oromia to be like warzones, where the police and military will look for the ones behind the protests. Be there and act like foreign mercenaries, not respecting and spreading fear. Being there arresting, detaining and flogging people on the street. They have already killed kids during religious festivals in the regions. I expect killings in Bahir Dar, Gondar/Gonder, Dire Dawa and Awasa. That the expected ones where the government forces will go all out, as they have done in the past.

They will look into civilians houses, does random raids and stop people on the street. As they are passing through, that is how they made many political prisoners. That is why there are already lingering 20,000 prisoners because of the latest State of Emergency from 2016 to 2017.

So when I saw what the Defence Minister Fegessa said what he ordered today, it was much more of the same of the previous ones. Taking away all freedoms, this will effect the regions where the protests been in. Not like the Council of Ministers will kill civilians in Aksum or Mek’ele. Neither directly in Gambela, unless Kenyan or South Sudanese Cattle Rustling between the porous borders there.

So now the state and the mercenaries will be back, their violations of the freedoms, liberty and personal rights will be on hold. Because the state fears their voices in the streets, they fear their feet bouncing on the roads and shutting down all the businesses. Their wise closing of the main roads and stopping transports into Addis Ababa. That has been efficient demonstrations by the protesters who has hurt EPRDF and the pride of TPLF.

However, let’s hope the TPLF will not get away with the violence, the desperation and the inception of possible destruction of themselves. Since they are not able to see, they are shooting themselves in the foot. Last time around, the arrests and the violence, ignited the demonstrations and protests. Therefore, it might grow even more and no amount of soldiers, mercenaries and hired guns cannot kill them all. They cannot detain them all.

The Ministers of the Council, the EPRDF and TPLF has really forgotten their place, now ushering more violence, instead of serving the regions. That is proven by this. Therefore, don’t expect the Oromo and Amhara to silence themselves over this. Last time there was burning foreign investments in the region. To hurt the buttom-line of the wealthy in Addis. That might happen again, while also prison unrest and big demos at Universities. There might roadblocks and other public display that show the force of the public. Even if the army will try to settle the score.

Let’s hope the EPRDF get some sense, though they are instead digging their own grave, while the protesters are already gaining momentum. Doesn’t seem like they are getting it. Peace.

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Gabon: Minister de l’Eau et de l’Energie – Communique de Presse (16.02.2018)

Burundi: Recent reports indicates that CENI is preparing to rig the referendum!

I wonder if the Commission Electorale Nationale Independante (CENI) are preparing to rig the next election, as their voting register and the quickly rising numbers making it seems so. Since on the 13th February 2018, the total registered voters was 2.505.829 voters. This was numbers vouched by the CENI Ambassador Pierre Clavier Ndayicariye. But now the official numbers on the 15th February are now the registered voters risen to 4.105.481. This to prepare for the referendum that fixes the Constitution so that President Pierre Nkurunziza can continue to rule for his fourth term. Since he is already on his third term after the 2015 election. Therefore, the reasons for the crackdown and aggressive attacks on opposition ever since.

So even with the changes and rising amounts of voters, the extended registration is supposed to end today. That is why we shouldn’t expect anyone of the numbers previously mentioned to be the final. As the algorithms and the end-game isn’t ready fixed yet. That is why CENI has already worked to fix it and find their masses of functioning numbers to crunching correctly. Nothing else makes sense at this point. Why else come with such different numbers and make sure the process of registration takes longer time? If you didn’t plan to use the numbers in a manner that isn’t preparing to cook them. 

To make it even worse there are open reports that the CNDD-FDD ruling party have called to “tie up” and “break the teeth” of the ones who are planning to vote “no” in the coming referendum. That referendum, which would give power to Nkurunziza until 2034. So, they are planning to continue their oppressive behavior and also oppress the public for one person and no-one else.

Also to get people to register themselves to the next elections, the Youth Militia of the Ruling Regime Inbonerakure has been used to spread fear and pick up people at the market. To make sure people are going, as much as the spreading of fear. There isn’t anything that Nkurunziza wouldn’t do to make sure he is ruling as long as he can. If he has to cheat and make the numbers sounding better for him. Why not do that? Because he does whatever else to stay in power? Taking down opposition, making them vanish or even becoming dust. Nothing has stopped him and nothing seems to be far fetched in his Presidency. 

The CENI, CNDD-FDD and Inbonerakure are all ready to serve the President and bring enough power to the public. To make sure they are all falling in line, if not they will start suffering. That is the signal the Presidency and the Ruling regime do. Peace.

Russian Probe: Recent updates proves how far the Russians went to interfere in the Elections!

If you been blind or cut off your ears in the recent months and since 2016, you haven’t heard or seen anything in connection with how the Russians interfered in the United States Presidential Election of 2016, which was where the Republican Candidate Donald J. Trump won. He and his family, also his business has for years had Russian business interactions. Therefore, the knowledge of Russians would be there, they have even gone to the press for the years praising it. Not after the elections and during the campaigns… However, they have done it until right before the Trump did the final decision to run as Republican. The Republican’s and the President, the White House has done whatever they can to play the Russian Probe down, while firing anyone they can whose investigating it. Therefore the sacking of FBI Director James Comey, Attorney General Sally Yates, Attorney General Preet Bharara and also appointed and fired Michael Flynn as the National Security Advisor.

So since this has happen, there been plea deals from George Papadopolous, Michael Flynn and now this week, which I will quote the partner of Paul Manafort, Richard Gates has made his deal with Special Counsel of Robert Mueller. Mueller has now put up the anti and proves again he has investigated slowly and gathered intelligence and evidence, that he can back-up before the takes it to the Court. He just dripping drops and small edges like in the past, but still proving the vindictive campaign by Russians in this elections. They smeared it and pulled strings through all sorts of operations. Therefore, that Trump is writing himself is stupid or ignorant, if not trying to wash his hands, while Mueller is getting more intelligence from his own camp, who are plea-deals to secure less sentences and not serve to much time in the end.

Like during this week, a Richard Pinedo, who pleaded guilty of identity frauds and using these fake identities. He sold these identities and their accounts to foreign interests. This sort of actions fits very well with another indictments against foreign entities and Russian individuals who we’re indicted this Friday. The 13 individuals and Companies used forged identities to mask their activity on Social Media. The Internet Research Agency LLC, Mediasintez LLC and Azimut LLC. These companies was fueled with funds, which isn’t disclosed, but fitting with other state interference reports out there.

An Estonian Report made earlier this month said this: “Russian cyber groups – examples include APT28 (Sofacy/Fancy Bear) associated with the military intelligence GRU, SNAKE (Turla) tied to the federal security service FSB, and APT29 (Cozy Bear/The Dukes) associated with the FSB and the foreign intelligence service SVR – play the key role in Russia’s influence operations toolbox. These are long-term Russian cyber operations with a clear direction based on Russia’s interests and objectives” (EFIS, P: 53, 2018).

So that the indictment of Mueller, fits the paradigm of the Estonian Intelligence Report. It is similar in efforts and events that transpired. Even the international boundaries, shows that the other foreign investigations into Russian activity proves their types of interference. What is unique in the 13 individuals indicted and the companies also. Is the way they used their funds and methods to push their agenda. That is what is important from this document. They we’re Russians who made up American Web Groups and Message, acted like United States Citizens, but that was pose online. Even in the indictment the individuals were directly in communication with associates connected Trump Campaign.

They were using their methods since 2013 in St. Petersburg, the Internet Research Agency used Twitter, Youtube, Facebook and Instagram to spread their messages and get connected with American people. They gathered intelligence and got visas to travel in states, which would be important prior to the elections. Where they found real people inside grass-root operations within the Texas based organization. To swing election in favor of Trump. They did with their digital mass media operation made groups like “Secured Border”, “Blacktivist”, “United Muslims of America”, “Army of Jesus”, “Heart of Texas” and “South United”. All of this was groups who got members on Facebook and played into narratives of religious activity, race issues or even patriotism in areas like Texas. While doing so, the organization bought dozens of ads and commercial content on Social Media, to spread their profound message to swing the elections, as well as make accounts on Twitter to appear as United States citizens and Groups. While doing so they used VPN to mask their IP address and their location of operation, to make sure their digital footprint wasn’t out of whack. So this was a sophisticated operations with many layers to secure the narrative of a better tomorrow with Trump and say that Hillary Clinton was the devil. In directly these fake persons from the organization also paid US residents to participate in Trump rallies and grass-root organizations in Florida, this also happen in New York and Pennsylvania.

So these crimes proving how detailed and how far they went to secure their support of one candidate. They tried to hide it and use forged identities, wire fraud and also fake ID’s. So this wasn’t a light heart that they went into it and they spend fortunes to change the narratives during the elections. It was done covertly and isn’t that unique. As the quote from Estonia proves. Combined with all the non-disclosed meetings and the associates who has met with Russians during and previous before the elections. Proves that Trump Campaign has a hard time to debunk it.

So with the indictments of the 13 individuals and 3 companies. Are proving that the Russian planned carefully and interfered with gathered intelligence. We can wonder if this was part of the “toolbox” as the Estonians are assessing it to be. Because their reports on the Cyber Activity and interference are similar, but the agencies are deliberately expelled to show their connections. Therefore, even if the indictment does explain where the funding of the Internet Research Agency, it still shows their activity and planned attacks on the citizens and electorate during campaigns. This was all made to make sure the public stood behind Trump and not Clinton. That without using WikiLeaks, DC Leaks or any other page that was supported by Russian hackers and fellow straw-men. Peace.

Reference:

Estonian Foreign Intelligence Service – ‘INTERNATIONAL SECURITY AND ESTONIA – 2018’ (February 2018)

Maldives Police Service – Press Statement: “Their view of Opposition Demonstrations” (17.02.2018)

Ethiopia: The Declared State of Emergency of 2018 isn’t the needed remedy, but a hostile TPLF takeover of the provinces!

After yesterdays abrupt resignation of Prime Minister Hailemariam Desalegn and the release of several prominent political prisoners, as even more were released today. The thoughts that the State and the Ethiopian People’s Democratic Revolutionary Force (EPRDF) and the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) would counter the demonstrations with draconian laws seemed a bit foolish. This after three days of shutdown and off open in the streets demonstrations. Still, the TPLF, was already in the inner-works working on changes and making sure they can continue to muster force against dissidents.

That is why earlier today, this was reported:

The Tigray Central Committee has today announced a 43rd anniversary of the Battle of the Tigers. As a result of the weakness of the declaration of the TPLF leadership, we will renew our commitment to create a state of complete restoration of the problems and inconvenience of the people of the region. In a letter to a sister organization, he said: “We must jointly condemn enemy attacks on our organization and our country with the sole purpose of resolving the problem.” In a message sent to Ethiopians, the current wave of destruction against our people and our people will be eliminated in the EPRDF Rule” (Addis Gazetta, 16.02.2018).

So for the ones saying it was possible for a State of Emergency being reissued seemed likely after the TCC, as they wanted to send a message. Which would be stronger to take away again all sorts of ordinary activity, stop meetings and demonstrations, stop funerals and close shops. Because that is what the previous State of Emergency did to the public. They stopped people in roadblocks and made check-points, militarized Amhara and Oromia region. Clearly, the Tigray plans to do that again. Even as the demonstrations and the people are tired of being muffled with.

There it is with sadness, the Ethiopian Broadcasting Company (EBC) said this:

The state broadcaster said the Council declared the #StateofEmergency because it has become impossible to control violence including ethnic-related and lawlessness that is spreading wide throughout the country in various forms. But nothing is mentioned how for long” (Addis Standard, 16.02.2018).

Clearly, they are thinking of the actions done by the citizens in Oromo and Amhara, where the people have seen their relatives die on the streets or being detained in the thousands. This has been done on a scale that was insane during the previous State of Emergency. Proves that another one isn’t to create peace or genuine leadership. Its just for the TPLF to continue to control.

The State Controlled Media House Fana Broadcasting Company said this:

Addis Ababa, February 16, 2018 (FBC) –The Council of Ministers has declared a state of emergency effective from Friday, 16 February 2018 by adopting the decree providing for the emergency ruling. The Council of Ministers said the emergency rule is aimed at protecting the constitution and constitutional order, as well as ensuring security and stability of the country. Protecting freedom of movement and the rights of citizens to live wherever they choose as well as build assets, are also among the motives for the ruling. The Council in its press briefing noted that the violence that have been going on in some areas are undermining the security and stability of the country as well as the value of the people that promote peaceful coexistence. The violent activities have also led to ethnic based attacks which led to the displacement, death and injury of people, damage on property, and hindered investment. These violent activities are hurting the economy and put the peaceful and free movement of citizens under question. The Council said it is important to adopt the decree, as the public has requested the government for protection and the dangerous activities have continued to expand and extend in time” (Fana BC – ‘Ethiopia Declares State of Emergency’ 16.02.2018).

So the FANA is using the same rhetoric as the Tigray, the seemingly problematic affairs of the demonstrations, as they are blocking key roads and also shutting down business. This is hurting the economy and the life-line of the regime. That is why the definitions of them are practically the same. The TPLF and EPRDF thinks they can subdue and silence them through force, by either detaining even more now or use the military like last time. Occupy and destroy in 2018, like they did in parts of 2016 and 2017. It is not like they have stopped killing and not stopped arresting civilians who demonstrate against them. That is why there are numbers up to about 20,000 political prisoners from the previous State of Emergency. That is common folk and not the prestigious ones, which has been released during this week.

If you didn’t know, but now you do, as they proven time and time again. That the Tigray deserves more and has more say than the rest. There was even sources saying that this the parties of Oromo Peoples’ Democratic Organization (OPDO) and the Amhara National Democratic Movement (ANDM), who are members of the EPRDF. Where against the move of State of Emergency, not that it mattered. The TPLF had the final say and they we’re terrified of the surge of demonstrations and possible blockades of Addis Ababa. They cannot manage the possible resistance and movements on the rise, who are not fearing the Central Government, but actually and openly standing against it.

So if the EPRDF and TPLF are wise, they would do it differently, try another approach and actually listen to the grievances and actually patch the wounds. Instead they are pouring more salt in the wounds and hoping the citizens will give in. They are actually doing an unnecessary move and will trigger more of the dissidents to act upon the unwillingness of the state. It is like it cannot learn and understand the efforts being made to matter and to get their voice heard. Addis Ababa has acted provincial for so long and acted with colonization of the regions. That is why they are tired of being muffled with.

Now they have seen that the demonstrations has resulted in getting their leaders back. Their voices too, that is why the State should reconcile, not go back to the barricades; however that seems like the only thing they know how to do. Peace.

White House Chief of Staff Memo from John Kelly to McGahn, Hagin, Sessions, Coats and Wray – “Re: Improvements to the Clearance Process” (16.02.2018)

World Food Programme Broadens Operation to Stem Severe Hunger in Democratic Republic of Congo’s Kasai Region (16.02.2018)

Assessments showed that 3.2 million people, a quarter of the region’s population of mostly subsistence farmers, were desperately short of Food.

KINSHASA, Democratic Republic of Congo, February 16, 2018 -In the face of escalating violence, daunting logistical challenges and insufficient funding, the United Nations World Food Programme is energizing two key elements of its emergency operation to prevent famine in war-ravaged Kasai: cash distributions to the most vulnerable and specialist support to check acute malnutrition in women and young children.

Since the launch last week of the cash initiative – a cost-efficient alternative to in-kind support that allows beneficiaries to buy what they want in recovering local markets – 38,000 people have received the equivalent of US$15 each for a month, enough to meet their basic food needs. The intention is to more than double that reach in the coming weeks.

Recent airlifts from France of Plumpy’Sup, a micronutrient-rich ready-to-use supplementary food, have enabled a significant scale-up of WFP’s nutrition interventions in Kasai: 56,000 malnourished children treated in January, up from 21,000 in the final quarter of last year. The number is to grow by 20,000 a month, to 140,000 in June.

“The nutrition and cash programmes are life-saving, and must quickly expand”, said Claude Jibidar, WFP’s Representative in DRC. “We’re not doing nearly as much as we could in Kasai because the obstacles are huge. But unless we collectively rise to the challenges, many more people, including the weakest women and children, will die”.

WFP launched its assistance programme following the eruption of brutal political and ethnic violence in mid-2016 that claimed countless lives, razed entire villages and forced hundreds of thousands of families from their homes. Assessments showed that 3.2 million people, a quarter of the region’s population of mostly subsistence farmers, were desperately short of food.

Without a prior presence in Kasai, between September and December last year WFP achieved a tenfold increase in the number of people receiving food rations, to 400,000. But lagging donations forced a heavy reliance on scarce internal funds, and a halving of those rations – of cereal, beans, vegetable oil and salt – in November.

Continued funding constraints, an upsurge in fighting between pro- and anti-government forces and a rapid, rainy season deterioration of the already poor road network saw the number receiving half-rations drop to 130,000 in January.

“That reversal has to be corrected, and quickly”, said Jibidar. “We’ve shown we have capacity to deliver, but to reach sufficient scale we need the fighting to stop and donors to step up”.

Limited funding is also a major challenge in the eastern DRC provinces of Tanganyika and South Kivu, where WFP is scaling up to meet the needs of growing conflict-displaced populations as part of a broad push by UN agencies and NGOs.

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