“We mustlead from a position of strength –with unrivaled military might, a dynamic economy and the unmatched strength of our human resources” – Anthony Blinken on 19th November 2014
It is now reported that President-Elect Joe Biden going to appoint Anthony Blinken as the Secretary of State. The Democratic Party and this shows the signs of what the Biden administration will do. However, this shift isn’t that visible with a character like Blink.
Who used his time out of office as a Lobbyist and formed the company WestExecs. The WestExecs are said to be funded by defence and military companies. Now, his returning to office by being appointed Biden. Blinken worked as Deputy Secretary of State between 2015 to 2017.
A man who prefers using “tough diplomacy” and a man who votes for warfare. This man had no issues bombing Libya or Iraq. The man is proud to be in the Situation Room when they United States killed Osama Bin Laden. Therefore, this man is a war-hawk and his coming to office under Biden.
So Blinken will not change the methods and the means of the American army. This man will further expansion and the “empire” with usage of the US Army. Expect him to vouch for military operations, as long as he see it benefiting US interests.
That’s why this is not a positive appointment. His a man who has used the years to enrich himself on lobbying for military contractors. This man has no issues going to war or fighting a war.
Blinken is the perfect for Pentagon. They have gotten a man of their heart. This man will not come with progressive ideas in concern of the Foreign Affairs. His a neo-con sort of “democratic” bureaucrat who Biden trusts.
Therefore, there will be no big shift in how the US manoeuvrers. They will maybe be more “diplomatic” in language and shows some restraints. However, the will be a null sum game. As the US will continue their prospects abroad and further their interests.
I don’t have faith that their wreckening foreign policies will not cease. The Trump Administration was brash and erratic. The Biden Administration might be more subtle. However, their ideals on Foreign Affairs might not change so much. Maybe even send more troops to Syria and Afghanistan. They might even go into Somalia. Who knows, but the US will not be without War-Hawks in their governments apparently.
Blinken is one of them. Just like Bolton was under Trump. Blinken will be under Biden. The only difference, is the language, but the bullets will not care if you speak softy or brash. The hurt and the pain is still same when it hits the skin.
I am not positive to Blinken. He will go to war… he will find arrangements and make reasons to go to war. This wouldn’t shock me.
Maybe he could surprise me, but he has a history and he could easily repeat it in office. Peace.
It is evident for every single day. That the Republic isn’t the same for the opposition in comparison to the National Resistance Movement (NRM). It is two separate entities, as the rules are not the same for one party versus the others. That is really proven by the actions made by the state in recent days.
A few times now, a Presidential Candidate, I don’t take seriously, but the state does. Lt. Gen. Henry Tumukunde has been blocked from campaigning several of places. The local authorities have blocked him.
Also, a lot of tear-gas and blocking of rallies towards Patrick Oboi Amuriat. The Forum for Democratic Change (FDC) Presidential Candidate is also seeing the blunt force of the authorities. They are coming with weapons, tear-gas and using all tools to stop the campaign of the FDC front-runner.
They you have Robert Kyagulanyi aka Bobi Wine, the National Unity Platform (NUP). The Presidential Candidate who are always under fire. Bobi Wine cannot do anything without being followed by both Police and army. The police has already arrested him and he spent two days in jail for trying to campaign. His Presidential Advance Team was arrested yesterday. Several of the Aspirants for MP has been behind bars in the recent days too. Therefore, know that the NUP and Bobi Wine is challenged at every single move.
So, today’s tear-gas and blocking Bobi Wine from accessing a town isn’t new. However, it shows how the state operates. Because, the state and the ones aligned with the President can breach the COVID-19 regulations, they hold processions and have giant rallies in their campaigns. As long as your Yellow. The sickness and COVID-19 doesn’t affect the politics. Nevertheless, it is easily spreading when the Opposition candidates shows up. Then its a danger and read-all-about-it.
Not like the President and his candidates isn’t breaching it. They will claim they have smaller rallies for the photo-ops of the H.E. Nevertheless we are seeing the pictures of Bebe Cool and others waving on the roadside with several of people. Far reaching the levels of appreciated crowds for the opposition.
That is why there is one Republic for the NRM and the President. Where certain rules and regulations doesn’t matter. It hasn’t any consequences…
Still, the same laws and regulations are applied totally differently for Bobi Wine and the rest of the Opposition. These are living in a different Republic…
It cannot be the same place or with the same rules. As it isn’t applied in the same manner. It got to be the same place. If it was, why do they at all crazy and violent when the opposition shows up? But is all at ease on the crowds with the NRM?
This is why it cannot be the same place, the same Republic and with the same government. It cannot be and it shouldn’t be. One is Uganda and the Wakanda. The NRM cannot defend this and it is impunity. It is injustice and unfair. However, that is what the NRM does and we know it is the same place. Even if it shouldn’t be. These two actions under the same regime shouldn’t be possible, but it is. Since, the army and police is only honouring the President and not the general public. Peace.
Now the continued “Law Enforcement Operation” continues as it has done since 3rd November 2020. The media black-out continues and the state enforce their rules to silence dissenting voices about their actions in the Tigray region. Surely, they would do the same if people leaked about the atrocities in Oromia as well. The Prosperity Party and Prime Minister Ahmed Ali Abiy doesn’t want everything out. Therefore, we have no clear idea what happens in Tigray and in Oromia. Both places has to be remembered.
However, the main focus these days are in Tigray region. As there is where the pressure, where the army and also foreign allies are supporting the warfare. This is done to get rid of one political party, the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF). The TPFL have a history, which is dark and grim. The TPLF should answer for those crimes in court and through due process. However, that is not what’s happening these days. The Prosperity Party, the former coalition party has gone head on with full armed forces attacking it.
The Prime Minister has cut of electricity, internet and blocked banking service. The government has closed of the roads and all sort of delivery of goods to the public of the Tigray region. The state has sacked and arrested people who Tigrayan ethnicity. Therefore, this war is more than just against the TPLF. They have attacked the general public too.
The Prime Minister have not only sent soldiers against civilians, he has bombed and used heavy artillery. Something he now orders and plans to do within 72 hours to the capital of the Region, Mekelle. The army has already been able to move closer and closer to it.
The Federal Government has announced that it will be no mercy and that the public needs finds shelter. The government are threatening the TPLF and everyone associated with it. Just like the world and the TPLF doesn’t know they are at war, which it has been for 20 days now. While they are both doing this. The state and the TPLF is taken all the other citizens hostage in the warfare. Ensuring innocent civilians becomes casualties and prey to their war-games.
It is hard to see what will give? Since the African Union Special Envoys seems futile. The Prime Minister is not willing to talk. Neither his generals or associates within his cabinet. The Federal Government only wants to secure the total annihilation of the TPLF. Therefore, what we can remember for this days is how the central government wasn’t willing and also to mediate to spare lives. Since, the ego of actually killing the enemy was more important.
With this in mind, what happens after the third operation in this war? What is the plan after this? Do you have any?
Because, even if the Federal Army takes Mekelle it doesn’t necessarily mean that you have conquered TPLF. It only mean you have taken the biggest city of the region. That you have bombed a city of half-million inhabitants and possible caused more havoc. This is the end-game.
The TPLF and Special Forces might flee to the hills to start insurgency battles instead. You are moving the battlefields and creating a possible guerrilla war. Where they will suddenly appear and they know their region. Well, it is their home and their hills. It is not like all the soldiers from other regions knows it as well. That they can read the terrain and have control of it. This is why, it’s like the PM is playing a big-man. However, haven’t thought ahead.
With all the war-games his playing. His only hardening the staunch supporters of the TPLF and the Tigray. As they got new grievances and pain of the general punishment from the state. The suffering put on them and their kin. It is like they are second grade citizens over night.
That is why, since there is no official game-plan only ad-hoc planning it seems from Addis Ababa. What happens after Mekelle falls? Do you have a plan for a possible insurgency and recruitment camps in the hills and rural areas of Tigray? Do you think the people of Tigray and TPLF will give way because you blasted their capital to pieces?
If you do… then your a naive man. Yes, men will bow their knees and ask for peace. Even if it is a fake peace. Because, everyone knows the war waged on the public here will haunt for a long time. It is not with an on- and off switch.
Mekelle is a step in a direction of consolidation of power for the Federal Government. However, it is not clear victory. Yes, it is a symbolic victory …
However, the game is not yet over. Prime Minister Abiy should know this. The world needs to know this. That this warfare and war-game of the PM isn’t over like that. Even if he writes some pieces stating the glorious achievement.
Still, he should prepare for the long game. Though I feel that’s not in him. It is easier just to get his way and get rid of the ones in his path. That is why he ordered the war in the first place.
So, I am just wondering… what’s next? How do you plant to do this?
Prime Minister have made the TPLF a “treasonous” and “illegal” organization, the PM have made their former legal entities of the armies into “militias”. That’s why you need a plan ahead. In the short-term there is a lot of gains for you and your allies. However, in the end… can these back-fire and someone else can return the favour? Have the Prime Minister considered that?
This “Law Enforcement Operation” will not be quick-fix. That can be long lasting and the heartache it has created can last for a generation. Not like the ones losing loved ones, the ones scorned by soldiers or the ones fleeing their villages. Will not remember the devastation that meet them.
It is something that will haunt them. This was done by their government towards their regional leadership. The PM better have some good plans and legislation ahead, better have aid packages and rebuilding projects lined up. Since, he ordered this and need to fix everything was broken during these days of warfare. His the man in-charge and his accountable for it.
That’s why the PM needs to address the inevitable. It is easy to come with warnings and threaten the opponent. However, what happens after Mekelle? Peace.
“You may say it is politics but politics without God is failure and God commands us to accept the truth. If you see people who can’t accept facts you feel sorry for them” – Yoweri Kaguta Museveni on Saturday 21st November 2020
I know this is a story, which you will never tell or any of your apologists. You easily take credit for small treats and achievements. Like they are so magnificent. However, deep inside your heart and mind. You know you have failed. Because, all the issues that was there when you came to office. Is there now, but the difference is that you let it happen.
You can speak game of numbers, but we all know the fact. If it wasn’t for donor money or loans. The Government of Uganda would struggle to run. Since, the tax-base is bare minimum and the average citizen isn’t benefiting from your reign. They are still living in poverty, in a gig-economy and living hand-to-mouth. That is something you cannot deny, but you will deflect that.
The state is living in infamy. You are seeking another term. Your 8 term and has little to show from it. Other than an excessive patronage, a cult following and tribal appointments within the armed forces. Your government is corrupt, the deals with investors and back-channels is done in secrecy and God knows how much your earning on every transaction. Therefore, the truth is dire and a truth you will never reveal.
The county is running in a cycle of debt. As you are issuing new loans to cover the old ones. Which will be a bill for the future generations to pay. Who knows of the oil money will even be able to spend, as the state as has cough up dough to pay creditors with interests. If not sell assets and lose enterprises and infrastructure that is generating income to cover the collateral damage.
You want to speak well about a few roads and bridges. That is because the education, the economy and everything is tired. It is in fatigue, the state cannot even pay salaries for most of its civil servants in November and December. Still, you are speaking of achievements. Mr. President, you cannot even stomach the basics. How dare you expect the opposition to glorify you?
The government who was supposed to deliver radios, food and other supplies during the lockdowns, but bearly did that. Only a few small runs of supplies and then it couldn’t stomach it. That just shows how much the governments or are capable of delivering to the ones in need. The only way the public could have gotten it during lockdown would be if a UN Organization or NGOs went together with donors to spread the needed food and goods. Alas, that didn’t happen, because the state doesn’t have the capability or ability to this. Not even after 35 years governing, having Disaster Preparedness and Management under the office of the Prime Minister.
“Now NRM has been here for 34 years and so much has been achieved. The changes and stability we have had must have a reason behind it” – Museveni, 21.11.2020
Mr. President you can speak of stability, but a stability for who? For you it has been stable. You have gotten planes, choppers, military outfits and eaten of the government plate. However, the public isn’t feeling that. A small elite is eating with you and cheering you on. Nevertheless, the majority of the general public is hurting. While you want to credit for their steady hurt and your schemes aren’t working.
We know you and your party is the reason behind it. A party and president that is living on the poverty of others. Using it to get donors, but not building institutions strong enough to shelter and make it possible to come out of it. Because, if they did and became like that. They wouldn’t need your leadership and wouldn’t be forced to subscribe to your message. Alas, that is default setting you have put in place. As long as this game continues. As long as you can be the Lord of Poverty. There will be no real substantial change. Only a few nice glossy stories. However, the reality will remain the same.
If you would have achieved something. Then you wouldn’t need to borrow money to build roads after 30 years in office. No, you would have created a bigger market and opportunities for the general public. Which had created the tax-base to actually pay for these roads. Alas, that you haven’t created or made possible.
It seems like you never intended too. As you are more concern with your pocket, than with the pockets of others. Peace.