“We know that Museveni is planning to rig the election, he has done it in the past … But we are banking on overwhelming him because a vote can easily be rigged if it’s not overwhelming. And ultimately, if President Museveni tries to rig the election … the people of Uganda will rise up and they will stop it … They are tired of this operation and they are tired and they will not take it any longer” – Robert Kyagulanyi aka Bobi Wine on Al Jazeera on the 30th November 2019
That no one can conquer or win in an election with President Yoweri Kaguta Museveni should be common knowledge by now. The 2021 Polls is only done for the facade sake and not because the will of people will be listened too. The public and the voters will not be listen too. Just like the rigged elections of 2016 and 2011, and so-on.
Bobi Wine needs to must er the character, the finesse and the ability to get people to listen to the amount of the gatherings, the demonstrations and the defiance of the Walk to Work in April of 2011. The W2W showed the government, that the public can rise up and stand-up to them. That time because of the rigged elections of 2011 and also the rising inflations as a cause of the overspending during the elections.
The People Power Movement and allies needs to collaborate like they predecessors did together with the Action 4 Change (A4C). They was capable of getting together and standing together against the authorities and the enforcers of the law. A4C and W2W did very well, it even made the authorities so scared, that they killed civilians, which the authorities never have investigated. Neither, taken responsibility for the wrongfully arrests nor the preventive arrests of the leaders behind the demonstrations.
The PPM and Bobi Wine needs to do it on a larger scale and be able to inspire in the midst of possible bloodshed and insecurity created by the power-vacuum, because this sort of operation will cost. The will be more pain and suffering. There will be hurt and damage. Bobi Wine should know this and that an army based government will not give way. They will use all military organizations and security outfits, which will stop all public gatherings, demonstrations and block every type of communications platform to silence it.
That should be well-known and should be the machinery behind the election of 2021. Just like it was in 2016, 2011, 2006, 2001 and in 1996. There been various names of the security outfits, but they have had the same mission. They will do the same thing again and if the people rise against the machine. The machine will answer, by the “high above” ordering it to pull the trigger. The hammer will hit and the bullets will come their way. Not because I believe in violence, but that is how this government answer dissidents. Either take away their civil liberties, take away their freedom or buy time. Either way, the government has always won.
It is a matter of time, when the centre loose hold and the ones who follow up on the orders says its enough. That the generals and other security leaders gives way to the public, instead of following the “high above”. But at this point, that is just mere speculation, when they see that their behaviour and acts will deem them unfit for the afterlife of Museveni. Still, as long as his breathing and giving them power. They will let their legacy go over a little envelopes.
Bobi Wine needs a big structure behind him. He needs his supporters to bring the same sort of energy, but even more resilient than during the “Walk to Work”. They need to be so resilient and so steadfast, that the public needs reassurance and security that its working. Since, if it seems like failing and that its fade quickly. Than the costs of standing up towards the dictatorship will not hold. Since its better to live, better to keep the health and await the possible end by doing nothing. Than risking it all, when it seems like it will be a fiddle.
This is the message Bobi Wine need to spread as well, since the PPM and their allies needs to know this. Especially, since the peaceful takeover will not happen over the ballot. The Electoral Commission, the state authorities are all blind in loyalty to the President. There will be no turnover over an election, but only toppled by a revolution. And a military government doesn’t give up easily and especially, when they have everything to loose by giving way.
I end here, but my point is already said. With that in mind. A Luta Continua. Peace.
The 27th November 2019 Presidential Elections of Namibia is already contested, because the counting is going on as we speak. The Electoral Commission of Namibia (ECN) have been doing the tally ever since the polls was done and three days later the official announced results aren’t out. Just the preliminary results.
That means the main contender, dr. Panduleni Filemon Bango Itula, the Independent candidate lost to incumbent Presidential Candidate Hage G. Geingob from the South West Africa People’s Organisation (SWAPO. The independence movement and liberation party of Namibia. His the third President since the liberation and this would be his second term. As his been in office since 21st March 2015.
What is really rich, as there been hours since the ECN released a preliminary results, where the incumbent was ahead, but his already on Twitter announcing his victory, as the ECN haven’t delivered its final verdict. The announced final results aren’t out after three days and seems like the Election Officials will work until 1st December and start of Advent before the proclaimed numbers are out. That shows the reality of it all.
That the Namibian authorities are cooking the numbers, when the ECN needs this long time to deliver a verified result. When they need the data-set, the sudden changes and fix the numbers to make sense. This because they are cooking the books, to ensure the incumbent and SWAPO dominance in the Parliament.
For counting the possible 1,3 million voters, this is outrageous long time. Even if some rural areas lack the good internet connection and whatnot, that the Electronic Voting Machines (EVM) crashes or something. That is the sort of things, that just happens and the handwritten forms should justify and verify, if the technical devices doesn’t work as its supposed to do. Therefore, that is an excuse and where the algorithms comes in and crushes the numbers, which usually hits the needs of the incumbent.
What is ironic about the EVM is this: “Direct recording electronic (DRE) voting machines with and without voter-verified paper audit trail (VVPAT)” (…) “The EVM is meant to enhance the conduct of fast, reliable, free, and fair elections in Namibia. In this regard, the EVM retains all the characteristics of voting by ballot papers, while making polling efficient and expedient. It is fast, reliable, saves considerable time, money and personnel power. It also maintains voting secrecy and is tamper proof. At the end of polling the results are automatically available through the press of a button” (IDEA, 2019).
This here says what the EVM is supposed to do, which it doesn’t do. For the 1,3m voters, it takes 500,000 each day or so. The technology of EVM and the VVPAT is clearly not fast and reliable. The ECN just using the EVM to mask what its doing. If not, then they could have released the results before 48 hours. But the longer it takes, the more chefs are making the dish ready for the Head of State, nothing else.
These results and the pronounced results when they come for these elections will be challenged in the Courts. As this sort of questionable work will be tested, hopefully all parties work together to have liable proof and evidence of the rigging. The rigging doesn’t seem unreasonable, since the ECN and the SWAPO needs positive and winning results to continue to prosper and rule.
Let’s see how this goes. Peace.
If the Chama Cha Mapundzi (CCM) and President Joseph Magufuli got done with his actions against the media. There might been slow days and also better broadcasting, as the state and the authorities are arresting journalists, revoking licenses and suspending media houses for days. If their reporting or their stories isn’t in the same vision as the President. That is just measure and reasoning for all the activity that has been done during the reign of Magufuli. His track-record on this matter, speaks for itself and the ones hurt it, are either in jail or at unknown locations, because government take them away and they haven’t been seen again.
So, the onslaught against unfavourable reporting, articles and statements on-air is steady from this regime. It exposure to the reality of people thinking for themselves and making up opinions is such a vast challenge. That the ones collecting data and making statistics, even needs the anointing spirits of the President to publish it. Nothing that is written or said, should hurt his pride and his achievements, even if it means trading-off bad deals to save his shallow mind.
In this regard, after rigging an election and not celebrating it. The Tanzanian government feels a bit hurt by the reporting on the subject of local government elections. They thought it should be celebrated and be grandest elections of them all. Even if the process to it, was flawed, open bazaar of unopposed candidates and a cluster-fuck of “multi-party” democracy. Which made the CCM become superior beyond any doubt. Because, they ran against none of serious challenge and if they were, than it was the ghosts of Christmas past. Therefore, the reporting on this matter, is now called fake-news, even if the CCM is faking it all on their own.
First the attack on the media owners and who they hire:
“Through a notice published in the daily Tanzanian government Newspaper by the Tanzania Communication Regulatory Authority ( TCRA), the media owners who will fail up to acknowledge and heed to the act will be fined or have their licenses withdrawn as stipulated in the law. “Those who don’t heed to this warning will be fined or have their licenses revoked as stipulated in the law,” the notice from Tanzanian Communication Regulatory Authority read” (Howwebiz.ug – ‘Magufuli: No More Jobs For Djs And Comedians On Radio and TV in Tanzania’ 28.11.2019).
Then the attack post elections 2019:
““Some news outlets in the country have been approached, used and act as agents in spreading fake news, rumours and propaganda against our country from international organisations and representatives of foreign countries” reads one of the tweets. Mr Abbas accused journalists of neglecting the principles of their profession by failing to fact-check. “The government has made enough explanation, given enough warnings and enough pardons. Now we will take stern legal measures,” he added” (The East African – ‘Tanzania in fresh crackdown on freedom of the media’ 30.11.2019).
Surely, the CCM wants good press, but that under fear, that if the Media Houses, the broadcasting companies and the ones writing isn’t writing what they like; they will loose their licenses and their rights to broadcast. Certainly, they will stop the press, the publishers and the block their pages. They will have their content deleted and silence the ones who says the wrong thing.
No DJ or Comedian should joke on-air or on Twitter for that matter. No one should write anything that insults the CCM nor its President. Because his the grandest head of state, the magnificent human being who self impose himself everywhere. His so wise and has such a grandeur of a spirit, that he will excel straight to heaven. Just by him breathing and speaking, he will make wounds heal and make bank-accounts pregnant. That is just what the President and CCM does.
I’m just kidding about that, but if the CCM want positive headlines. Want a favourable press and get coverage, which it deems fit. Maybe they should act more righteous and not block the opposition. Maybe not arrest comedians and investigating journalists. Maybe if the CCM and the President doesn’t want foreign bad press. Maybe let the opposition be able to field candidates, hold rallies, press conferences and do party work without needing prior acceptance from state authorities. There should be measures and levels of registrations of political work and parties, but into these superficial levels, which has been created under Magufuli. Wonder if the CCM could have managed to run the country, if they had to answer to the same arrangements and protocol that the ACT Wazeledo and CHADEMA. I doubt that!
So, with this in mind. I stop it here, but lets be clear. Magufuli fear the written word, he fears the press and the ones reporting on him. Because, people are just supposed follow the script of him and his CCM. If you don’t, your malicious and devious to damage his calm. Peace.