Ethiopia: Rising inflation [is it a result of the Law Enforcement Operation?]

In Ethiopia there been open warfare since November 2020. This is now seeing effects far away from the Tigray region. The truth is that warfare and conflicts cost. You pay for mercenaries, soldiers, food, shelter and heavy weaponry. All of that costs and implicates the economy. The spending have to go from somewhere and has to settled. This means certain other parts of the economy looses its value or gets less of investments. In which things gets scarce or get hit by the new demand. Since the Tripartite Alliance needs more supplies for their warfare.

Addis Fortune Reported on the 5th April 2021 this:

There appears little solace for consumers in Ethiopia, with the year-on-year headline inflation reaching at 20.6pc in March this year, a little over the nearly 20pc annual average last year. The largest increase in prices was seen in food items such as edible oil, fruit and vegetables and spice, according to a statement by the Ethiopian Statistics Agency. The consumer price index (CPI) for the month of March shows a 22pc jump compared to the same period last month. Non-food items such as fuel and energy, alcohol, tobacco and chat as well as transport, medical expense and construction materials have seen an increase in prices of 18.9pc” (Addis Fortune – ‘Headline Inflation Reaches 20.6pc on Year’, 05.04.2021).

This is the government excuse for the rising inflation:

ADDIS ABABA–The continuous demand-supply imbalance and ill-investment strategy of the former administration have resulted in the structural and worsening current inflation, so disclosed Planning and Development Commission. The Commission’s Deputy Commissioner with the rank of State Minister Nemera Gebeyehu (Ph.D) told The Ethiopan Press Agencey (EPA) that even though many people believe inflation is worsened after the reform, the reform measures taken by the government do minimize the inflation, but a lot remains to be done since it is structural driven from the ill-investment strategy of the former administration” (Dargie Kahsay – ‘Ethiopia: Previous Maladministration Takes Blame for Current Inflation – Commission’, 03.04.2021, The Ethiopian Herald).

We are clearly seeing here the effects of the mismanagement or priorities of the state. A steady war is costly and the price of that is on the citizens. That is why the prices are going up and the state will lack currency. The state will do whatever it can to continue supply and generate enough funds. Which in the end means more inflation and devalued currency, which will also means the citizens will get less for their money and imported goods will be more expensive. It is a vicious circle and a negative spiral. That this government is doing by its efforts as a Tripartite Alliance member and fighting on its own soil.

The Prosperity Party is also blaming the old EPRDF, which it was in coalition with and consolidated power from. The PP is practically not taking responsibility for the actions in office and only pushes it on the previous government. That is really rich. Just like all warfare is the TPLF to blame in Tigray. This is following a pattern and the excuses is getting old.

The PP should seriously be worried about the rate the inflation is going and what shocks this will have for the citizens. There is already videos reminiscent of the fuel crisis in 2015. This being leaked clips and statements of troubles getting fuel in Addis Ababa all week. That is a sign of what to come and costs of the war.

The Addis Ababa administration should be worried about this. The costs of war is coming forward now. Not only the loss of prestige with the Prime Minster and the image as a whole. The PP and the PM isn’t looking like reformers anymore, but as a warlords. They are not only brining destruction to the Region of Tigray, but also destroying the economy as a result. This will be carried for long and effects of the war will take a toll. We can just wonder about how many will pay the additional costs and struggle because of it. That is how these things goes. The elites and the one in-charge will not feel it, but the average citizen has to live with the new standard. They are paying the price for the inflation and have to collect whatever they can out of their currency. Peace.

RDC: Lamuka – Communique Final de la Reunion du Presdium (10.04.2021)

Djibouti: Guelleh’s Walkover Part II [98,58% Win]

The Djibouti President Ismail Omar Guelleh won yesterday’s Presidential Election with 98.58%. He only had one challenger who was Zakaria Farah. As the rest of the opposition boycotted it and knew it was just an needed exercise to validate his “legitimacy” and his office, which he has held with an iron fist since 1999.

This is not a shocker or a surprise. The numbers only proves what sort of election this is. It is even more hostile to opposition than the last time. When there was several of candidates in 2016 and he only got 87,07%. He had five candidates going into that election.

In 2011, Guelleh won with 80,63% and only had one candidate against him this time as well. The other candidate was a coalition party candidate on a independent platform. Clearly showing the same sort of control and no traction of the opposition.

In 2005 Guelleh got 99,99% and he was the only candidate for this election. This shows his true intent in his second election.

All the way back to when he took power as well. He had an election where he was the main candidate and one opposition one. Even with that he had massive numbers. In 1999 he got 74.4% of the votes. This shows a pattern.

We are seeing that Guelleh is either running against just one person and not even trying to hold credible elections. He is just having it to be legit. We can see that his gone back to over 90% just like he did in 2005. He clearly wants to prove his majority and total control. It is really just one type of leaders that has such numbers and such elections. It is not the democratic or the popular leaders.

He is another despot and dictator. A man who steers everything and has the order of the day. That is why the Presidency is so important to him. The opposition knows there is no chance in hell to win. Since, the game is rigged and the elections are just a necessity. They are hold to give him time, but not to really be a reflection of the will of people.

President Guelleh doesn’t care about that. He just wants power and continue his prolonged reign in-charge. If you are in opposition of him. Expect jail-time and be in legal jeopardy. That is what his sort of folks does.

When you see the elections of the past and how it was done yesterday. The results was written in the stars and there was no other way for this to go. This is the second time he gets his total majority in an election. The 98% only shows how he has his hands in it and wants it to look like his the hero of the nation. That Guelleh is the Statesmen and is righteously the big-man of the Republic.

With this sort of play and been doing it for so long. We all know the drill and the game. Guelleh might thinks people is this gullible. He maybe think he has outsmarted us all. However, the proof is in the pudding and the gig is up. Peace.

Mali: Communique du Conseil Superieur de la Defense Nationale (09.04.2021)

Tchad: Communique de Presse du Gouvernment (09.04.2021)

Ghana: National Democratic Congress – Press Statement by the National Democratic Congress on the Murder of Young Ishmael Mensah Abdallah at Kasoa (09.04.2021)

Somalia: Ministry of Foreign Affairs and International Cooperation letter to the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) – (09.04.2021)

Tchad: The Field Marshal who intends to rule for life

In N’Djamena, the capital of Tchad the President since 2nd December 1990 is now known as the Field Marshal (maréchal) of Tchad, Idriss Déby Itno, the President of the Republic and the head of state (chef d’État).

This man with so many titles is now running for a sixth term. A man who has made it impossible for the opposition to run or be viable. The ones who dissent gets into trouble and the state keeps things under wraps. That is what the state does and keeps everything close to the chest of the President.

Déby Itno isn’t playing around. He has gathered the control and become the personification of the state. He has given himself such vast titles and roles. That is why everyone knows this election on the 11th April 2021 is already fixed. The President will have his sixth term rather people like it or not.

We know it doesn’t stop here as by law he can run for the 7th and 8th Term as well. Also, the new constitution in 2018 have given every term one more year. So, the previous terms was 5 years and now it will be 6 years. This means he got more time in office. It can practically end in 2033.

We know this sort of game and Déby Itno and by the means of the law. The President will extend into 2033 and means he will rule another 12 years. So, the President of 31 years is aiming for 43 years. That is the reality of it all.

The election happening this weekend isn’t really an election. There is no real competition and challengers. The opposition haven’t a chance and that’s the works of the President. Who is making sure they cannot manage or have any sort of ability to become a danger to his power.

The Field Marshal, Head of State and President is clearly never letting go. This is a man who intends to stay and wouldn’t let this one pass. The President will keep all power and be in office. There is no other fitting for this role and in Tchad, Déby Itno is the man.

So, in Tchad, Idriss Déby Itno is the Field Marshal and President for life. Peace.

Djibouti: Guelleh’s Walkover

Polls close in Djibouti as 73-yr-old President Ismail Omar Guelleh looks to extend his 22-year rule. Guelleh was in power since 1999 when he was picked to succeed his uncle, Hasan Guled Abtidon, who, with support from Somalia, led the country to independence from France in 1977” (Morad News, 09.04.2021).

Today Ismail Omar Guelleh is just doing his final stretch to his fifth term today. The election in Djibouti is just a formality at this point. If you are an opposition or an dissident, you will get into trouble or be arrested. If you try to go to exile in Ethiopia. The co-operation in Addis Ababa will deport these dissident and ensure their detention to continue in Djibouti.

Therefore, Guelleh is anticipated to win. There is no real opposition and if they were… they wouldn’t be allowed or have the ability to compete. He has run the Republic since 1999 and there is no slowing down. He is the sole candidate and self-styled President for life. That is the sort of fella he is.

We know he uses the state and is issuing everything in need. The only reason for longer and stronger control is that he has foreign allies and built support by building army bases inside the Republic. These are now in favour of Djibouti and Guelleh who has these partners.

The Djibouti President will prolong his reign and this election is a formality. It isn’t really an election. He could just show-up and be sworn-in tomorrow. This is a charade and a exercise only done for the publicity sake.

The President will continue to rule and this was a walkover. It wasn’t even necessary act to do. Only done to buy “legitimacy”. There is no competition and he will win. There is no other choice and everyone knows this.

Ismail Omar Guelleh knows this too. He can act like it, but we all know the drill. Peace.

Opinion: Museveni should just graze those cows…

The President since January 26th 1986 should resign and retire. The old man with the hat and advanced age should be humble and hang up his boots. Thought we know deep down in our hearts that this man will only retire when he catches his last breath. This sort of man doesn’t retire or let go. No, his a man who will prolong his stay and overstay in office.

President Yoweri Tibuhurwa Kaguta Museveni will not retire. Though it would be a friendly surprise to see him constantly be grazing his cows at various of farms or ranches he owns. Where he could drive between them in his SUV and not be continuing his overdue time in office. However, this man who came in with the gun, will die by the gun or if not… by age.

Yoweri will not go out easy. That is why his still there and has outlived most of his enemies. The old man has overcome big hurdles and even gotten away from several of wars. This man has gotten rid of people who could have succeeded him. However, that will not be told stories about now. He has also been implicated in changes of powers in the neighbouring countries as well. That has been done to further his role and also wanting to become a “kingmaker”. Where everyone has to be loyal to him.

President Museveni wants a favourable legacy and known as farmer. Though his CV is filled with bloodshed, conflicts and use of war. This man is a General and a Warlord. Museveni will not be known for peace or negotiations. He will only be able to settle the score across the borders, but never within. In his own neighbourhoods or districts he will get rid of the enemies or silence them with compromising agreements. Where he get the upper-hand and sold out their causes to buy “peace” with him. Museveni doesn’t accept to loose, but he will win by all tricks possible.

That is why the pictures of his grazing the cows is fine and dandy. Nevertheless, the farmer should stay on the farm. He should maybe avoid the State House or politics in general. As it seems his now fitting here more and is more relaxed. Instead of stressing with politics and politicking. He could just chill and be out of sight, and out of mind. That would be healthy for the Republic.

After his been for years now the Personification of the State. The President should try to figure out a way to retire or going into another chapter of life. Surely, the President fears to do so. Since, he has created so many enemies. The old man has used power with ruthless force and the general public isn’t really loving the old man.

The President should consider this, but we know that won’t happened. The old man has promised several times of retiring. Promised to not to change the Constitution or laws to fit his prolonged rule. Nevertheless, betray all of those and hope people forgets.

President Museveni should just stay on the farm and leave the general public a rest. We know that will not happen. The President will only bury all of his enemies and use the state for his own benefits for yet another term. We can expect him to continue this scheme until death. That is just who he is and what his reign is all about.

There is nothing else to speculate on and the pictures on his farms is just to make him more a “commoner”. Though his richer than God and has more money than anyone else in the Republic. Museveni and his family owns the vital businesses and keys to Republic. That is the general rule and how things are going. As Museveni micro-manage everything and has to have his verdict before things get resolved.

The “high above” will stay the “high above”. Nothing will change there and he will not change too. That is a cause you can give up. Even if it would be progress and would be huge achievement to have a peaceful transition without guns involved and have a former president grazing some cows. Peace.