November 2024 – MinBane

Mali: Pacte d’Honneur pour l’Unite du Peuple de Azawad (30.11.2024)

Rwanda: Actors for socio-political change in Rwanda – Escalating Threats Against Rwandan Opposition Leader Victoire Ingabire Demand International Action (29.11.2024)

Haïti: Primature – Le Gouvernement de la Republique rend hommage aux martyrs de a Ruelle Vaillant : Un devoir de memoire (29.11.2024)

RDC: Alliance Fleuve Congo (AFC) – Communique Officiel (30.11.2024)

Syria: National Coalition of Syrian Revolution and Opposition Forces – Syrian Opposition Coalition – Military Operations in Syria Aimed at Protecting Civilians (28.11.2024)

Tchad: Is Gen. Kaka going for Abu Dhabi instead of Paris?

Yesterday it was announced that the Government of Tchad has ceased the military agreement with France. That is a 66 year old military agreement, which has connected N’Djamena and Paris for decades. This has been an agreement that has been revised and amended over the years too. Just so the leaders of the nations could feel it was filling in the needs of joint military operations and training in Tchad. Meanwhile Tchad would also ensure the French interests was on stand-by and kept as status quo.

That’s why we know things are changing. General Mahamat “Kaka” Déby Itno has now officially shifted the foreign alliances. This is directly aligning itself differently. It isn’t the first nation to do so in the Sahel region. He is now not only risking the loss of logistical support and military training. That is the cost of ending the joint military agreement.

Alas, maybe N’Djamena has felt it has to many strings. The government of Tchad is felt like a subpar ally and a underling. Meanwhile it was just supposed to nod along and accept the stipulations the French pinned on them. While the French wouldn’t take part or help in the hours of need. Therefore, the French was there only for the French interest and selfish indulgence in the Republic. As it safeguarded French businesses and extraction industries. However, that sort of transactional favour will backfire eventually.

Gen. Kaka is now turning to Abu Dhabi. We know Tchad is getting as brothers in army with the United Arab Emirates (UAE). As the Generals and the leadership surrounding Gen. Kaka is getting funds and a logistical hot-spot for the Rapid Support Force (RSF). The RSF who is also partnered with the UAE in the civil war within Sudan. A war that isn’t all popular within Tchad, but many are profiting from it and has the ability to enrich military commanders in Tchad.

That’s maybe why Gen. Kaka isn’t afraid of leaving the French. He already has his back covered and know the UAE will serve him. They are there for him and can also be there to top off his needs. Nevertheless, we don’t know how this one will play out.

There will be the fear-mongering and talk of more instability in the region. Just like the French did after being ousted out of Niger, Mali or Burkina Faso. They have already felt the pinch and been touched.

Tchad has now decided on its own. They are not part of the juntas of Sahel. Neither is it part of the Alliance des Etats du Sahel (AES) and the ones who took power by the guns in Burkina Faso, Niger and Mali. All of these leaders are now aligned and becoming their own federation over time. Which means they are not associated with the ECOWAS or other bilateral entities of old. Meaning they are creating new spaces for themselves and how they want to operate as sovereign nations.

N’Djamena and Gen. Kaka is taking steps in this direction. Some are already speculating if they plans to get closer to Russia/Kremlin. Nevertheless, that I don’t think is the case. As the Tchad leadership is aligned with UAE and part of the RSF conflict in Sudan. Which means this alliance is more important and a way of enriching the elites N’Djamena already. These priorities are more vital than keeping up with the stipulations and being directly controlled from Paris.

Gen. Kaka is bravely doing this. His doing something his father never could do. I didn’t see this one comnig, as Gen. Kaka has kept things on the low and been one of them allies of the French. I don’t see him joining and being directly a part of the AES. That is unless his offered a pay-day and a new revenue stream. That’s when he will jump ship, because N’Djamena are willing as long there are a loot in the offer. This is what the Republic of 1000 Generals needs and they are all waiting for their envelopes. Peace.