“Even though Eskinder Nega, the leader and coordinator of the armed group, tried to hide from the area, mainly the defense army and the Amhara region security forces are carrying out a coordinated operation to arrest them. In a press release sent by the Security and Security Joint Force, Eskinder Nega, who has been working under the cover of a political party called Balderas, mentioned that he was trying to create chaos and chaos in Addis Ababa when he couldn’t achieve his goal by ensuring the superiority of ideas” (A statement given by the joint security and security force, 03.06.2023).
The journalist and politician Eskinder Nega, the now militia and rebel leader of Amhara Popular Front have now arrived at his end-game. That is being done because of the fall-out between the Federal Government and the Amhara allies, which was weapon-brothers in the war in Tigray. After the fall-out and plans to reform the Regional Special Forces into the Ethiopian National Defence Force (ENDF). The full out conflict between the parties happened and we are now seeing the effects of it.
The Amhara leaders and nationalists are now fighting. They have gotten together, the para-military “Fano” who participated in the Tigray-War and is still stationed with brigades in Western Tigray. In addition, the Amhara Regional Special Forces have also gone together with “Fano” to create the Amhara Popular Front. The new enemy of the state and a military movement to address the misgivings of the current regime.
The leader is Eskinder Nega, a war-hawk and a nationalist himself. He wanted to retaliate and do a scorched earth tactic on the Tigray region. The man has called for prolonging the war and ensure a total defeat of the Tigrayan leadership. That has been done since the “Operation Law Enforcement” in November 2020.
However, now that the state is doing the same in Amhara. The politician and former journalist decided to take up arms himself. He has now become the leader and the head of an ethnic militia, which is fighting for the rights of Amhara.
“When the individual realized that this was not successful, he created an organization called Amhara People’s Front Shimelis Simachew, Seummehon Wertaw and Menberu Kasse and a few other extremist forces of the region, he was working together with the armed forces of the region to recruit, organize and give them the name of the armed forces. The press release that said that the front will be coordinated by a person called Dawit W/Giorgis, who is leading the front both in the country and abroad, has also shown that the joint peace and security forces have been trying to push the people into an unrelenting war” (A statement given by the joint security and security force, 03.06.2023).
We can await the House of Federation and the Prime Minister Abiy coming out with brutal statements. That is clear here… just like he did against the TPLF and OLF. We have seen it before and the likelihood of being called a “terrorist” is very near for Nega. The leadership of the Amhara Popular Front should expect so too. Because, they are fighting a war and doing so on their own merit. Therefore, the regime which is used to use brutal force will have all the reasons to do so. They have called war just to consolidate power and could easily do so again.
This time around… the leaders and the ones with influence is taking up arms. That is a game-changer. It just shows what people is willing to do to get ahead. There isn’t becoming more peaceful in Republic. No, it is become more hectic and chaotic. The ones who was allies of the PM is turning on him and his turning on them too. While his making “temporary” reliefs for his previous enemies. Therefore, things are not moving ahead, but continuing a war-path. Just battlefields and enemies of other kinds. It is just a never ending cycle of violence and the PM is thriving on it.
Nega is following others before him. His not making himself into a villain and a nightmare of the state. The man is doing it for personal gains and belief in the cause. That is done for the greatness of Amhara. It isn’t a kept secret, but just the way it is. They are fighting for self-control and less imposed restrictions of the regional state. The same fashion that the Federal Government wanted to impose itself and hold “elections” in Tigray. Abiy wants his men and his allies on the throne in Bahir Dar or Gondar. He don’t want people who defy or resist him. That’s why there is bloodshed. Just one man, yet again consolidating power. It is that simple and the citizens are the ones carrying the burden.
Nega will only be deemed a hero if APF achieves its goals and objectives. However, the same forces couldn’t defeat the Tigray Defence Forces or complete the “Operation Law Enforcement”. That’s why I doubt these will be able to silence the guns quickly or end the war in a snap of finger. To achieve that… the ENDF or the APF have to do the impossible and I cannot see that coming. This will be prolonged effort and possible along the lines of Oromo Liberation Front (OLF). The APF might have to settle in for the long run and become infamous. Nevertheless, don’t expect a quick fix, but expect the “medemer terror” to be re-occurrent issue in Amhara region. That is bound to happen and it has already started. Peace.