This was really inspired and not well thought out of, the Department of Exiting the European Union and the rest of the Tories. Really didn’t care much for the estimates of the costs, nor the consequences in concerns of their amended Bill to Parliament. Prime Minister Boris Johnson wants to just pursuit the ending without doing the proper work. This is shoddy, disrespectful work, which he wanted to be over within 3 days or so. Within the parameter of when he wanted to suspend the Parliament.
So, his acts and his vision is blurry, as the whole law and amendments of it. Is substantial and needs time to be addressed properly, that is if, the Brexit process and withdrawal of membership has consequences. Which it does, but apparently it is more important to leave, than to know why your leaving.
I have today looked through the Impact Assessment Report on the bill, which in itself is a sad report. A disgraceful attempt of justification and proving the possible outcomes of the withdrawal. Apparently, that didn’t matter, because my quotes are very striking. Take a look!
“There could be costs to business associated with the arrangements in the Northern Ireland/Ireland Protocol. But these are inherently uncertain in their nature and intensity, as such, these costs have not been quantified” (Impact Assessment, 2019).
“Businesses in Great Britain and Northern Ireland may face familiarisation costs in adapting to the new customs processes, such as the requirements for customs declarations, in particular if they have not undertaken such processes before” (Impact Assessment, 2019).
This isn’t rocket science and will cost both the state and the businesses. It will cost both time and money, to fill forms and secure the movement accordingly to the regulations on both sides of the customs.
“Northern Ireland will be required to align with certain EU VAT and excise rules. VAT collected in Northern Ireland will be retained by the UK. Specific practical arrangements will be the subject of discussions within the Joint Committee, and it is not therefore possible to assess costs or benefits at this stage” (Impact Assessment, 2019).
The taxation on goods will be an issue and how its issued. This will add prices possibly on the consumer and also on the businesses. But the HM Government don’t know to what extent and how to operate. That is clearly a smooth transition.
“No tariffs will be paid on goods moving from Great Britain to Northern Ireland unless they are deemed to be at risk of entering the EU. The appropriate UK tariff will be paid on goods moving from outside the UK or EU to Northern Ireland unless they are deemed to be at risk of entering the EU. The Joint Committee will agree the criteria to be used in determining whether goods are not considered to be at risk of entering the EU” (Impact Assessment, 2019).
So, there will certain cost of moving goods into the EU as per the tariffs stipulated by the Joint Committee. This means, the UK-EU on accord will find the fitted prices on movement of goods form the UK into EU. That means, the goods moving across the borders will cost more, than today, as there is no-tariff on lots of products crossing the borders at this very moment.
Agri-Foods from GB to NI:
“Agri-food goods moving from Great Britain into Northern Ireland would need to be notified to the relevant authorities before entering Northern Ireland and would be subject to checks including identity, documentary and physical checks by UK authorities as required by the relevant EU rules. These processes would introduce additional costs, both from one-offfamiliarisation and ongoing compliance, to businesses compared to current arrangements” (Impact Assessment, 2019).
This will surely cost and make it more time consuming. Not making it easy or smooth either. Surely, all of this is hardening the trade of this to NI.
Manufactured goods from GB to NI:
“To ensure regulatory compliance, businesses in Great Britain selling to Northern Ireland may incur additional costs from product testing and corresponding administrative processes. The nature of the costs will depend on the product-specific requirements in EU law and on a business’s current approach to meeting these requirements. These costs may be passed through to businesses in Northern Ireland” (Impact Assessment, 2019).
Here the costs will be put on the consumer in Northern Ireland for the goods coming from Great Britain. The manufactured goods will not be cheaper, but more time consuming to get and has to follow other protocols, than the ones coming from Ireland/EU. This means for the NI it will be more profitable to get EU goods, than GB goods, because of the cost. That is simple calculation.
We can all see, that the Withdrawal Agreement and new legal text makes business, movement of goods and borders to the Northern Ireland more harder. That without swimming into the legal text nor the statutes of the Withdrawal Agreement. Because, this is just the mere chip-shape of the impact assessment of it all.
The whole thing is lazy and that makes me grim. Because, this shows the people releasing it. Didn’t do their job and show the real estimates nor the possible costs of doing business. Only that it might cost more, which it most likely will do, because you have more things to do before doing business. Peace.
European Union (Withdrawal Agreement) Bill – Impact Assessment, 21.10.2019
This Tories Government cannot win in the House of Commons. Today on a Saturday, special sitting to get their revised deal passed through the House. Seems to have gotten into a hitch, as Sir. Oliver Letwins Amendment was passed.
The Amendment literally means: “MPs are voting on whether to amend the Government’s approval motion for the revised withdrawal agreement. Oliver Letwin’s amendment would withhold Parliamentary approval for the deal until further primary legislation has been passed” (UK House of Commons, 19.10.2019).
As the Tories continue to loose, the House also approved an motion stating this: “The House of Commons has approved the amended motion on the new Brexit deal agreed between the UK Government and the EU. The Government must ask for an extension of Article 50 under the Benn Act and set out how it intends to proceed” (UK House of Commons, 19.10.2019).
They are all postponing and awaiting scrutiny of the new revised deal, which has already been discredited since dropped on Thursday this week. Now, the PM has configure his deal and everything to fit the House. Surely, his finding out how hard Theresa May had it. Going through wind and fire to get into heaven. Because the Tories cannot manage to get enough votes or fining a fitting agreement for the withdrawal from the European Union (EU).
The EU must really wonder how the islanders are taking care of themselves. The continuation of the stalemate, the continuation of the hanged Parliament. There will be no possible outcome. The PM has made it more difficult for himself, as he has not reliable allies in the DUP. Neither, has strong support of the de-whipped MPs, who he kicked out of the party. Therefore, his own political game has backfired.
Boris cannot win this. He cannot sustain the love of the ERG/Brexiteers nor the Remainers. He cannot find something passing the Customs Union, the fair level-playing field, while being a Third Country to the EU. That is why this game is a losing one. It just depends on how much he wants to loose.
Right now, he cannot get things passed. He can only loose and its evident. Because, I cannot remember a bill, a motion or anything significant he has passed since getting in power. A justified loser is what Boris is and that is also because of his actions. His made his bed and he has to sleep in it.
This Brexit might crash out, this Brexit might make things burn, but that is evident by the characters of the leadership of the Tories. They have decided to make new votes and even do the previous deal three times. But they are not accepting a new referendum as the public now knows the consequences of a possible no-deal, a possible withdrawal agreement or continuing being a part of the EU.
Boris cannot win and its evident. Now he has to beg for mercy and extension. As the MPs and Commons wants to study the revised deal. This was a loss and was expected. But the PM better humiliate himself. Because, there will be “ifs and buts” ahead. Peace.
The looming important date of 31st October 2019 of the Withdrawal from the European Union for the United Kingdom. That Prime Minister Boris Johnson is happening with “no ifs or buts”. However, what happen today was really an vindication for former PM Theresa May. As dually noted before, she made the best legal withdrawal agreement possible. The modifications made wit the current negotiations isn’t that big. Its minor tweaks.
Boris has now his “own” deal, but only partly. He can sell it as his own, but we all know the drill and seen what was in the first package. Therefore, what is delivered today was more of the same. They are still hoodwinking the public of the important stuff for the Brexiteers, while not delivering the key parts for the Remainers either. Just like May did. She must have a blast knowing all of this, because of the all added pressure and scrutiny she had from folks like Boris and ERG. She can now be rest assured, that she did as well as she could.
So, with that in mind. As there is special sitting on Saturday, coming from the same Government that prorogued the Parliament. Just because it couldn’t muster courage to defend its own action. Are now calling and tabling debates to finalize the “new” withdrawal agreement. That the DUP has already said “hell no too”. While Labour is also saying its not “good enough”. We can just await SNP and Lib-Dems too. We just know, that the Minority Tories government are needing some serious help to pass this hurdle. To pass a revised edition of the previously non-passable agreement, which was voted down: Three times in the House of Commons and the Speaker dodging the tabling of it the fourth time.
Now it will arrive, as the statutes and some parts has changed. It has even given more power to the EU. Which is surprising concerning the hard-liner stance of the Tories and whose in-charge at this recent moment. Like the Tariffs, the Institutions and so-on will still follow direct guidelines of the EU without any sovereign hold, while still being on the outside. That is win for being part of the EU market, but a loss of control. As the UK also loose their ability to vote or change within the system. Even if it jumps out of the Customs Union. Therefore, it will likely also pay the famous financial settlement too. Which shows how much crap Boris has swallowed.
All of this is proving a point. That Boris who promised so blatantly that he would get a good deal, get a modified and shady, indifferent deal, which is not substantial for anyone. The EU has accepted this one, but they are the winner in this divorce. They have the transition and has the legal binding things. While UK has to configure the rest and find new ways to move.
The UK are really the losers, Boris Johnson ensured that. That is why the EU was quick to ratify the agreements made. These are ensuring the same sort of arrangement. Now, it is just up to the British Parliament to figure this out and get along. Which is most unlikely. Because, who want to sell this one?
The Pro-EU, the Remainers will not and the Brexiteers will not either. That is just a mere blunt fact. Squinting at the pages and boggles, how little that the PM has learned. Did he forget why the other one went to smithereens in the first place?
Seems so. Cheerio Bye Bye. Peace.