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Opinion: I don’t expect Dictators to fall, unless serious changes befall on them!

After Zimbabwe, people have started to blaze the horns and expecting other dictators to fall. Well, I am humbly saying, I hope so, but don’t expect so. Unless, there are vital changes, unless they lose their support and their weapons behind them. If the support and armies are not behind them, than the Robert Mugabe story can be repeated elsewhere. But it will be different from state to state, from president to president. As each President has built around a stronger or weaker system of orders, strength of institutions and also personal cult around themselves. We also know they are using their myths and their state media to serve their interests.

President’s that I will honor with a mention are Joseph Kabila, Yoweri Kaguta Museveni, Pierre Nkurunziza, Faure Gnassingbe, Hailemariam Desalegn, Isias Afwerki, Omar Al-Bashir, Idriss Deby, Paul Biya, Teodoro Obiang Nguema Mbasango, Mahamadou Issoufou, Paul Kagame and Ismaïl Omar Guelleh. These are a list of honorable mentions, there several more that could be put on a list, but these was the first to mention, if feel someone is left behind. Please leave that in the comments down below(I know that sounds like a Youtuber, but I had to take inspiration from somewhere).

All of these men in their republics knows that they use power and security organizations to quell, silence and oppress their opposition. They are keeping control of the state reserves and has their party as filled of loyalists and cronies. All of this states are militarized, there is state controlled media and has various of different rules. They are strict and controlling from the state houses and the freedom in these states are limited. The state and business are usually connected with the President and his family. If not there are cronies who also have business and fortunes. So the dictators are for the moment having control and making sure the people is not uprising.

What we can know is that if these dictators take it to far and the fear for the repercussion from the state. So as long as the public and opposition are detained for arbitrary arrests and citizens hurt after demonstrations. While the state reserves and donor funds are eaten by the elite, while the countries are kept poor. As long as the republic’s are poor, than they still need more foreign donors and supply. So it is good for the dictators to keep their nations poor, as the Western and Multi-National Organization can continue to supply them with non-binding funds. That they are free to use on military and one themselves, instead of building institutions and good governance, it is all controlled by the one man on top and his loyal subjects around.

This is well known and for different reasons, these men should always worry about their decisions and their capacity to rule. Nothing last for ever. There will be some who might want to take their place and replace them. Someone will always be opposition and fight for democratic values, but sooner or later they will succeed. It is just a matter of how and how long it takes.

They are all based on strong military control, even minor specialized groups who are like Presidential Guards/Republican Guards or Special Forces. These are controlled usually by either relations or trusted generals, who are loyal not to turn against the President. The Presidents promotes and demotes leaders inside their armies often, the same in the police force/service to compensate and also to make sure the old guard of warrior and soldiers who fought for the President. Will not be seen as a threat or have power to ever topple him. That is why they are trying to distance themselves from the ones who brought them to power, because they will know their inner-tactics; that is why the stalwarts and historicals are more public personas, but not people of power. Even if they did have so in past.

That is done to secure the role and secure the commander-in-chief, even the President always need the historical battles and origin story to keep himself relevant and prove his place. He don’t needs ones who fought with him and his cause. They will just ask for checks- and balances on the promises made in liberation and in the battles against previous oppressors. That is why they are not entangled with these, unless they give them phony medals and grant money, to hopefully silence them.

Still, with all the protocol and strength of the army, they are still vulnerable as they know this too. That why they are calculating and trying to find out the next person who wants their role and their positions. Which is why there are changes in their cabinets, Vice-Presidents and Prime Ministers. Until they find persons and people they trust to not ambitions to overpower them. Also, they want to stop other MPs and other voices to install hope in the population and to create popularity that is bigger then their personal cult and their teachings.

However, there are ways to bring them down by actually not fearing the state security organizations, waiting for the President to act swiftly without feeling the tensions within his own party. Like President Robert Mugabe did recently. If not actually know you have lost all legitimacy in recent elections, but not willing to step down like Yayha Jammeh. That was ECOWAS and Senegal who intervened on behalf of the newly elected President. Which was the reason for the dictator ending in Exile recently.

Therefore, we have to hope for leaders who have capacity to capture the pulse of the people who are oppressed, of the ones who are marginalized and the ones who are captured by the state. Since the dictatorships doesn’t give up easy, unless there is no escape. History has learned us that and therefore, the lesson needs to be learned. We in our time cannot give in and accept that the liberty, freedom and government are taken by one elite and one ruler.

Certainly, it will not be easy, the fight against oppressors will cost and take time. That is proven time in and time out. The same will happen here, but with their aging and their lack of control. Their trust in family members and trying to create family dynasties. They might fall like Mugabe. Even if some are sons of former presidents. Doesn’t mean they can continue owning the title and running the state. It is proven that is not accepted and that is all within reason. This is what happen in Zimbabwe and we understand if similar events transpire elsewhere.

In the end it is all up to the public for change, the public reactions and their demonstrations, boycotts and their inner works to dismantle the oppressive dictatorship. Often the international community and international counterparts will not intervene as they wants mineral resources and other commodities for cheap; and as long one partner can be bribed, the workers and resources don’t need to paid-in-full or proper. This prospers foreign investments and multi-national companies. This is not well-spoken of, but should be revealed, as it is so often shady dealings with resources sold or land to investors from these dictators. They are funding the state and military, that together with aid are keeping these regimes afloat.

With all this in mind, we have to continue the struggle against these men that are keeping people hostage and taking away freedom and liberty, freedom to assembly and to be activists. They are licensing and authorizing businesses and if people are allowed to have parties and civil society organizations. This are all in different ways, the same with the media and other public ways of sharing information. These are often controlled like all else are in society and in the republic.

We can just wonder if we let this repeat itself, let them continue to oppress and letting these multi-national corporations earn on this forms of government. If we can accept that aid and multi-national organizations keeping budgets and keeping them as leaders, because if these leaders would struggle more economically, more loyalists and more cronies would actually deflect quicker. Also, that if the economy struggle and the security organizations are not paid-off. They could instead of turning their weapons against the public, they could turn against the government/regime. So there are many ways together with public uprising that is needed to topple these dictatorships. Peace.

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Minister Okello Oryem Meets Troika Representatives (17.11.2017)

 

The meeting addressed the current political situation in South Sudan and the resultant refugee crisis in the neighboring countries, especially in Uganda.

KAMPALA, Uganda, November 17, 2017 – On November 15, 2017 the Minister of State for Foreign Affairs, Hon. Henry Oryem Okello met with Representatives of the South Sudan peace-guarantor Troika member countries (Norway, United Kingdom and the United States) at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs in Kampala. The Troika Representatives were Mr. Paul Sutphin (USA), Mr. Chris Trott (UK) and Mr. Ering Skjonsberg (Norway).

The meeting addressed the current political situation in South Sudan and the resultant refugee crisis in the neighboring countries, especially in Uganda.

The members of the Troika reiterated their strong support for the combined efforts of the African Union (AU), Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD), and United Nations to end the conflict in South Sudan, and joined their recent calls on all armed parties, including the Government of South Sudan, the Sudan People’s Liberation Movement in Opposition, and other armed groups, to commit to a ceasefire.

They emphasized that the dire humanitarian crisis in South Sudan is the direct result of the conflict and called on all parties to cease violence against humanitarian workers and obstruction of humanitarian assistance.

The Troika endorsed the ongoing efforts by IGAD and praised Uganda’s peace initiative which aimed at bringing the warring parties to the negotiating table, positively noting that this initiative was endorsed by both parties to the conflict. The Troika expressed pleasure that Uganda is in full support of the IGAD process. In addition, they endorsed the work of the UN Mission in the Republic of South Sudan, and the deployment of its Regional Protection Force.

Hon Okello welcomed the visiting team and stressed the importance of the support being extended towards all the peace initiatives. He reassured them that Uganda will continue playing a mediatory and conciliatory role between the belligerent parties to ensure that an agreement is reached.

In attendance at the meeting were the Heads of Diplomatic Missions of the Troika resident in Kampala and senior officials of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs.

Opinion: Minister Tumwebaze flawed defense of lifting the Age Limit!

 

Well, Mr. Minister Frank Tumwebaze, my view is seen your eyes as propaganda, but coming from you. That is props in my ears, because that means I have understood the world differently from you. In this aspect the lifting of the Article 102(b) from the 1995 Constitution. I know it hard for you to understand, because your eating of the plate served by the President. That is the reason for you suddenly long written article of sorts. Which I only quote on part of, because I don’t have the time to waste commenting on the rest. Need to live life, not only discuss already basic facts. Facts that you dismiss and blatantly undress, when the king is already without clothes. The change in the constitution isn’t to create a better republic or create progress. It is to secure President Museveni’s long rule and give him more time to become as old as Mugabe. That is the reason. Not to build a better and richer country, no, it is secure the stay of Museveni last as long as possible. That is why I don’t care for exposing the rest of your wasted energy on writing about my type of propaganda. Thanks for honoring my words and others, who address the madness of Life Presidency and entitlement to one-man over all in the Republic. Let’s you have the word for a little moment. Before I address the matter at hand!

The claim that removing the age-limit will institutionalize life Presidency of Mr Museveni is also hogwash. The power to vote in and out any leader is not being taken away by the amendment bill. Instead it’s being reinforced by the same Magyezi bill. Removing limits makes the power of the people to vote in and out any leader the ultimate limit. So how can life Presidency be so in this case? It’s true that If a leader is good, he/she will be voted for many more times. That can only lead to longevity but not life Presidency. Longevity perse isn’t bad. It has its known advantages. Famous Amin didn’t need 30 years to cause the havoc he did and neither was he a creation of having no age-limit. With or without term/age-limits, dictators can wreck havoc. The sustainable way therefore, to fight dictators is not by putting term or age-limits in the constitution, but by civically empowering citizens to choose leaders of their choice and be able to resist bad in favor of good at all times. That is how NRM with the support of the Citizenry was able to defeat the dictatorships of the past. Full involvement of the citizenry in determining the affairs of their governance and not symbolic term or age limits; is the permanent therapy to the emergence of dictators. This is what the NRM government invested in. Even before full take over of government in 1985, the NRA then, immediately mobilized people in liberated zones to form their own elected village councils called Resistance Councils(RCs) so as to manage their own affairs. All interest groups of the citizenry(Youth, women, disabled, elderly, workers and army that hitherto was used as anti-people tool) were catered for in the governance structures by the NRM. This is what civic empowerment means” (Tumwebaze, 2017).

That you call it hogwash is endearing of you, but you know that this is cater made and right before Mr. President turns 75 years old. This is not done a decade ago, when he needed to change the term-limits to fit his official “elected” terms. That you talk about elections filled with armed aggression, pre-ticket ballots, bribed officials and rampant rigging, that you talk about people choosing the sole-candidate is just a disgrace of the whole proceedings. That is why the President has less legitimacy and has little authority as he frighten of Besigye and other oppositions. Who can easily show their popularity, while Museveni pays with food and equipment to the voter tourism. Alas, your fake and fraudulent elections are the barring for his existence and now soon also change the Constitution to his aging body.

That you speak of “choice” of leaders and “favors”, the way NRM beat dictatorship of the old times, it is one right now! The NRM uses arbitrary arrests of opposition leaders and charge them for everything possible. The real opposition to the NRM are usually inciting violence and doing something illegal, since they are not following the NRM party line. So Tumwebaze are in effect living in the standard of a dictatorship. The NRM got rid of Amin and Obote, but has created their own dictatorship, where Museveni is the key and the master, instead of the ones of old. So, the NRM hasn’t created something better, they have just changed the laws and using similar tactics to silence opposition.

That you then talk about citizenry of the NRM, while opposition rallies are banned, political parties are stopped from campaigning, while the NRM are holding rallies. It is just selected part of the people who can campaign and can consult. There aren’t a democratic values or real acts of the state, it is handpicked for the NRM. The NRM can pay 1000s of shillings to citizens for just getting them to vote in favor of the Constitutional Amendment. Even the Prime Minister Ruhakana, just like during the General Election of 2016, been seen giving money directly to constituents. So Tumwebaze your words are not really valued, if he was just looking briefly at the conduct of his government.

Let’s be clear and settle this ones and for all. The AGE LIMIT is about Museveni, has always been about MUSEVENI and will die with MUSEVENI. The whole problem and reason for the change is because of Museveni. The reason for the consultation meetings and the party actions, are because of Museveni. No matter what part of the age limit you talk about, it is because of Museveni. Museveni, Museveni or Museveni that is the answer. Nothing else. Tumwebaze you can misuse words, rhetoric and try to disgrace history, still it is all about your master. You are his loyal subject and servant. Hope your pay and your loyalty is rewarded, because we see through you. Peace.

Reference:

Tumwebaze, Frank K. – ‘How Propaganda against Hon Magyezi bill is Losing Ground’ (15.11.2017)

Brexit: Joint Statement on the Meeting of the United Kingdom and the CARIFORUM States on Future Trade Relations (16.11.2017)

Hon. Aden Duale letter to Agnes Odhiambo – Controller of Budget: “Re: Concern on Authorizing Withdrawals of Public Funds to Finance the Activities of the “People’s Assembly” (16.11.2017)

South Sudan: Letter showing the state repaying debt in Crude-oil – “Subject: Payment of Outstanding Bills for Al Cardinal Investment Company Limited” (24.10.2017)

26th October Elections: IEBC ordered by SCOK to facilitate a Hard Copy of the Voter Register to the Court (15.11.2017)

Zimbabwe: The Goblin have been toppled by a military coup d’état!

This has been long awaited, as people has sought refuge and has fled to safety abroad. The final nail in coffin of the 37 years was when the G-40 decided to ditch Edison Mnangagwa as the Vice President, the one aligned with the Lacost and the War Veterans. Clearly the President Robert Mugabe, who loyal to his wife Grace and her political affiliates though they could get away with everything. With standing that, they have been able to do so since 1980. It is not so strange that the Zimbabwe African National Union – Patriotic Front (ZANU-PF) G-40 fraction thought

Yesterday and today, we are seeing the consequences of being affiliated with ruling regime. We could see that with the uncertainty yesterday, while the ZANU-PF and their loyalist was trying to deflect it all as a military exercise. Since now, we know that Mugabe put under house arrest, several of key allies are detained, and the army seals off the Parliament, Zimbabwe Broadcasting Company and other places.

While the was reports that Grace would become VP at the next ZANU Conference in December, clearly as reports are posting. She has fled the republic and is somewhere located in Namibia. Therefore, while the G-40 loyalist are speaking of their love for the military and distancing themselves from Mugabe or are already detained shows how quickly their power was taken away. This is clearly fake news as: “Namibian international relations sources have denied that #gracemugabe, wife of under-fire Zimbabwean president Robert Mugabe, has left the country for Namibia” (Namibian Sun, 15.11.2017). So her whereabouts is unsure, but she must be feeling estranged, as her importance has dwindled dramatically in the last 48 hours.

It is apparent as just days ago when Harare International Airport was renamed after Mugabe, just like the main-road in Harare, the University and all the other things. His name is put on everywhere and on everything. After this coup, expect it to go down and be put in the garbage.

We don’t know how long the army will keep power or if they are installing Mnangagwa as the successor of Mugabe. What we do know is that Mugabe and his G-40 are stripped of power, because of the greedy wife. That must be a downturn that one destroying for his life presidency was his better half and not a common enemy. Certainly, not even the wives can be loyal or be in line with program enough to keep the checks- and balance in order.

We can just wonder how the rest will follow as the guards, the military and the guns are surround the vital hot-spot and the old leadership of Mugabe. He must clearly see his demise, if he remembers that he is under house arrest and not waiting for a cup of coffee with Tony Blair. We can imagine what people feel after hearing their 37 years under him is over, even the future is uncertain, but many has waited for the Goblin, Mr. Mugabe to lose power.

There was signs, but there been changes of VP’s in past, but certainly not at a time where the army has send signals and stopped ordinary state media broadcasting like yesterday. We knows that means change. Lacoste part of ZANU disfranchised by Grace plus the endangered economy and impunity against activists. Should be reasons for this turmoil and this coup.

Still, what roam at large, is the uncertainty of what this means and how long this transition and when there will be hold credible elections. As well, as get ordinary order with also checks of the previous old crimes of the previous regimes. So that the people who suffered under the previous ones, can get their grievances cleared and start a fresh. In 37 years of reign, Mugabe has hurt and destroyed enough peoples lives, that they want to patch their hurt. Even if the wounds will never totally heal. Still, the investigations and repercussions for the old sins should come to the courts and be settled.

We know the loyalists doubted this day would happen at all, as the Mugabe presidency continued, as the biblical and afterlife, he would still rule. Something that is today a mere laugh, as himself is put under house arrest awaiting further instructions from the military. The rest of the matter is with unease. There are many arrests and some are trying to run. Some are silently waiting at their homes, but the loyalists will be caught by the army, it is just a matter of time.

We just have to wait for more report and certainty of all the actions, as the rumors are scattered at the moment, since the army and the others are trying to find out. As well, as journalists are also stopped on the border or on the airport not able to come in. Therefore, the army is closing the reports on the ground and trying to keep silent about all of their activity.

Mugabe and Grace, was clearly unprepared and thought they were Teflon. Apparently, they was not, the counting ballots at the pearly gates should also be shattered now. Peace.

Ministry of Health letter to Uganda Medical Association: “Invitation for a Consultative Meeting” (14.11.2017)

My letter to President Museveni: “Uganda is not your property to own!”

Dear Sir, His Excellency President Yoweri Kaguta Museveni!

I am writing to you today, not because I have to, but because there is need for it. Not because I am the best gentleman living on planet earth, neither am I the most brilliant man ever to live. I am just a man who is apparently in the loop.

This campaign and Constitutional Amendment No. 2. the Raphael Magyezi bill to make yourself the Life President of the Republic of Uganda. It should be enough that you have been running the republic from the magical year of 1986 until today. With the last “election” you “won”, will give you time run the republic until 2021. That means your presidency has lasted for 35 years. That is 7 terms as each term is 5 years. You know this, but I just have to tell you this.

I know you are acting as a Kingpin, as the Master and Colonial Governor of the country. You might be a Ugandan Citizen instead of being sent from Britain. Still, you act like you own it and is bound to rule it until you stop breathing. That is insane and also very self-centered reign of yours. As the state and you are practically the same. Since the deals and arrangements that matters is the ones sanctioned from the State House. That means you last word before something happens.

This is worrying, that you are controlling anything and anyone. That the cabinet is just loyal minions with no real power or ability to perform in their departments or ministries. All of this is something you already knows. The republic has become yours and for your taking, this since you used the guns in Luweero Triangle and now wont leave.

That you think people will accept this, just like people wouldn’t accept dictators in past is insane. That you think you are outsmarting Obote, Amin, Lule and Okello. Certainly, you did them all and silenced them all. You even brought down Mobutu at some point. Still, there is not difference between Obote, Mobutu or you. You are as evil and insincere as them. There is no difference in the scale of theft, rape and destruction of state functions, as they did; you have done as well.

When you leave planet earth, your legacy is tarnished in self-destruction and becoming a vampire state. You suck all the blood of the state, because that what gives your life presidency energy and stamina. Not that you build anything, unless you are taking profits and stealing from the state. You are crippling the economy and state, because of your limping feet stomping on all of it.

We know about your history, you liberated the republic from dictators and promised change, you promised hope and a better future. You have promised everything possible to generations of Ugandans. Not that they see anything really delivered, since the police is a partisan police, the activists and civil society organizations is under fire, media can be targeted and opposition Members of Parliament becomes criminals for political stances. That is your republic, you have sent kings into exile and destroyed the state infrastructure because you can.

The police are in trouble, the military are in trouble too and the Special Forces Command are closer to power. These problems will not cease, as the guns and tear-gas deployed to silence the people. The one that put the trust in your liberation and your revolution. That one has ceased to exist and only your vision matters. There are nothing left to see, the old you is deceased and left behind somewhere unknown. The man people looked up-to and was the future is long gone.

Mr. President, Mzee, Yoseri or Yoweri. I writing this, not because you will read, if so it would be miracle that you cares. That you opens your mind and read this. Since you act as owner and that the people is your tenants who should be happy with a little pillau, lukumi shillings and a pat on their backs. So that you can stay in power for life. You give them donations, while you ride in a Presidential Jet and has an army behind you.

You are living life of royalty without any blue blood. You are living lavish, while the tenants are impoverished. While schools are falling apart, hospitals doesn’t have equipment or medicine, road-work companies are doing shoddy work if any, local government administrations haven’t pay for salaries, teachers are going unpaid for months and the list of problems are running. The lack of governance, the lack of system and lack of transparency is all because of you.

Your years in power has eaten your soul and your capacity to deliver anything that bear fruits. The mustard seed has either drowned or the mustard three has a rotten root. Since isn’t bearing any mustard seeds to make oil off. Nothing left behind, nothing untouched and nothing really growing. This is what you are leaving behind to the next generation, to the next man in-charge. You are leaving a shell and expect to be remembered as hero. You have turned into a villain!

You entered in 1986 as hero and was so for over a decade, you brought hope and possible changes for the better. Than the greed and cronyism started to feaster. There is now nothing you are not touching and destroying for your benefit. The same is happening with the Constitution, it was yours and made with your will in 1995. You have since changed it to fit your paradigm and needs. That is what you are up-to again.

You are into destroying the values and rule of law for the simple reason, that you can stay in power by any means. There isn’t anything you will not change when it fits you. You will make thieving legal and making it criminal to meet-up, if it isn’t in your favor. You will block and silence the loudest voices against your reign, but yourself can go on a radio-campaign. The double standard is always fitting you, while others has to obey you.

This is what you have ended up as, the governor of Uganda, the self-appointed commander-in-chief, the president and the giant self-serving son of a bitch who has no scruples in taking power and ending others. That is what you now are and continuing to do.

You acts as an owner, as someone who owns the republic. You act like the people are tenants on your land and is living there on your accord and after your will. It depends on if you let them or not. That is how appear and how your orders are. You could have been a medieval king and run your dominion with force. That is how it appear for the naked eye, maybe not yours since you are sitting on the top of the hill. You are the king of the hill and the rest has to walk up the hill and beg for mercy. If they don’t, then they will suffer. Peace.

Best Regards

Writer of Minbane

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