“The army of the Russian Federation will not be able to create a reserve of high quality. Poor preparation of the conscription infrastructure will not allow the enemy troops to quickly fix fundamental and systemic problems. Mobilization in the Russian Federation has exacerbated social tension: protests, attacks on recruiting stations and acts of vandalism have become more frequent” (ТРУХА⚡️English, 24.09.2022).
This week news and decree of mass mobilization, which had a secret point 7 that by some is said to be the official numbers or the supposed regions of where the recruits was supposed to come from. The Russian invasion of Ukraine has already cost more than 56,000 lives and who knows how many Russian soldiers are prisoners of war (POW). There is already so many who is killed in action (KIA) and who is wounded too. Therefore, the Russian forces are stretched and lacking manpower.
That’s why Russian government, Kremlin and the Duma had to issue such a decree. There been words of 300,000 new recruits or mobilized troops, but also up to 3,000,000. However, whatever numbers it might be. They will be ill-trained, lack equipment and time to stop the advances of the Ukrainian army, which is only liberating their own territories.
The new people who are either captured, forced or being promised tokens for service. Certainly is joining the war at a bad time. The Russian army has already struggled with logistics and keeping the lines. The demonstrations and the people fleeing from being called-up. Only shows when the war comes home. There isn’t a will to support it, but the same citizens was fine to support it when other people where dying in it.
That’s why Russians citizens has tried to fly out to places where they don’t need visa. Trying to reach Georgia or other former USSR republic where they are welcomed. Some are stopped and blocked from entry Because, they have “Z” on their cars and shown support of the war, but didn’t want to fight it.
What could be the biggest shocker is for all of the rural soldiers and forced conscripts passing through Moscow. When they are coming from poverty to see the vast wealth of capital. That’s when they might rebel or act in mutiny. Because, they are not seeing this sort of lifestyle or possibilities, which are in Moscow or St. Petersburg. They will be shocked, as they come from peasantry and is expected to be sacrificed for the will of the leaders of Kremlin.
That’s what might happen. There is already reactions and local demonstrations, but nothing that haven’t stopped the acts from happening. Neither has it been such a state that the authorities couldn’t control it. We know the will and lack of moral to sign-up is obvious. When there is reports of police officers following the people who are going house to house to force people to join the army. If the Russians thought this would get people willingly or be war ready. Well, people aren’t like that…
Because of the hardships of the authorities to get people to sign-up and mobilize. There reports of possible nationwide martial-law and closure of borders. Just to stop idle men and people from fleeing abroad. Since there are steady reports of this. Certainly some will go into hiding and will not be at their address. They will certainly be gone “missing” because they don’t want to die in the war. That’s what is happening and it’s obvious.
Certainly, Putin is jaded in his vision. This “Special Operation” has exhausted his armies and the economy is struggling too. In combination of a disillusioned army, lack of preparation and morals. There is no will and people conscripting by force won’t get them “battle-ready” or eager to fight. Instead, it might easily backfire and Gods know what these men are willing to do. No matter what laws and possible punishments pinned on them for rebelling or mutiny can stop it. It is better to be in prison for a decade, than dying a miserable death in a war in Ukraine. Therefore, the Russian civilians who is forced is now getting the war home.
A war that has been there for months and since February 2022. The war that was started in 2014 when Russia annexed Crimea from Ukraine. Ukraine couldn’t decide to fight or have choice. The Russian civilians had the choice. They could have stood up to the authorities and dared to question it. However, they have been willing to support and look silently by. Eating the propaganda and even worn the “Z”. That’s what they have done, but now it’s their turn to carry weapons for the state. Now the buck stops and they act in indifference.
I don’t have much sympathy, because well.. the war of destruction, annihilation and total disregard for Ukraine has been going on. Kremlin and Duma has been vital in this and the people didn’t mind when the ethnic minorities or the rural poor stood guards on the front-lines of Ukraine. Surely Dagestan and other regions has been depleted of plenty of young men. Who has died and never returns to their villages. Now, the same sort of conscripts are supposed to come from elsewhere and people who did sing the songs of war. Now are frightened that they have to risk their lives in Ukraine. Well… it’s your turn and Putin wants you.
Putin wants the Russian civilians to die needlessly for his own will and prestige. His losing face, so the people has to lose their lives. That’s the difference between this “Tsar” and the peasants. They got to die so he get the honour. The victims and innocent of Ukraine is only a byline in this. That is just a means to an end and the glory of Mother Russia. To take back what was “theirs” and keep the influence of Moscow strong. Nevertheless, the times has changed and the Ukrainian forces are striking back so hard that they got to retreat. It won’t get any better with forced conscript, ill equipped and lacking military experience to be fighting a fierce army who has fought consistently since February on their own territories. Therefore, the gamble of getting people this way will be endangering the cause of Putin.
This isn’t strategical genius, but a gamble. Hoping the numbers will save him more than the skill or their abilities to compete. Hoping the drunk, the sick and poor can do great out of nowhere. That’s a mirage or a dream. When you don’t have well-trained or well-equipped men fighting or people ready for it. You shouldn’t expect victory but a massive defeat. Lot’s of these conscripts might just retreat or even accept being taken as “POW”. Because why shouldn’t they? They are not fighting at will, but by force and by decisions made by others.
It just shows how Putin has failed at his attempt of annexing the whole of Ukraine. He failed and so did his cronies in Moscow. They totally failed and has nothing to show for it. Whatever they do now is fake, fraudulent and self-destructive. This will not amount to anything positive, but only more bloodshed. Peace.