“I have ended my relationship with Azimio La Umoja after Raila Odinga opted to pick Martha Karua as his running mate, I will run as President on Wiper ticket under Oka Coalition” – Stephen Kalonzo Musyoka (16.05.2022)
Today the Azimio La Umoja – One Kenya Alliance has picked their top ranking team and it has been a bold choice. While doing so, the Azimio has directly undermined the OKA and the Wiper Democratic Movement (WDM). Which we knew would have an aftermath and wouldn’t come without a reaction. The OKA only joined for the re-assurance of the Deputy President role and that was clearly not on the cards.
Azimio picked a Odinga-Karua ticket and therefore… Kalonzo had to make a decision to either be a high ranking member and await a more noble role in a possible government or run on his own. He picked the latter and ditches the Azimio for his own ego.
Kalonzo has now shown how his bickering back-and-fourth. One point he didn’t want to be interviewed by the secretariat. Kalonzo felt it was beneath him and shows how his a meal-ticket politician. His only a place for the betterment of his pocket and the influence he gets. That’s why he couldn’t be close in the hours of need, as Odinga sworn-in himself in Uhuru Park. This is well known, but he could easily accept a Special Envoy to South Sudan as a member of the opposition. While Kalonzo felt betrayed and backstabbed by the handshake, but he didn’t carry water or dared to be there in the moment of need. Therefore, this man has the character of a charlatan and a perfect empty suit.
This is maybe why the Azimio didn’t trust him with the running mate position. His just another cadre who believes in the greatness of his party and his ability to gain voters. He will now be the third force in the up-coming elections.
The whole election and how Kalonzo has operated has been hectic. Showing that his willing to await and try to get as much as possible. That was even the cause within in OKA and how the undermined fellow former NASA Co-Principals within the alliance there. Therefore, that he drops out of Azimio now only makes sense. Because, he wants to be the big man and the centre of the universe. Though he is just a man with a massive ability to gain opportunities, but swiftly drop the value of it all.
There will be speculation of the opportunity or the ability to drop out even. The Wiper Democratic Movement has already announced Odinga as their Presidential Flag-bearer and is a part of Azimio la Umoja – One Kenya Alliance agreement, which will haunt Kalonzo now. The minutes and the articles will be used against him. For a man who has used CORD/NASA agreements against Odinga in the past. The politician should know that his on thin ice here.
Kalonzo is maybe able to fickle his way out of Azimio. Just like the others who has bolted out of it and joined Kenya Kwanza Alliance. Kalonzo will be alone and have little friends around him. His ego is bigger than his real influence. It is a reason why he isn’t the running mate for the third time. That’s because he isn’t that majestic or powerful. His not the king-maker or the kingpin. His just another brother with a superior complex.
That’s why his running alone… Kalonzo facing Ruto and Odinga. We know that he will fall flat and might even be as powerful as Ekuru Aukot or alike. Since everyone will go for either Ruto or Odinga. Not like his anywhere close and he knows this. It doesn’t make it salvageable in the manner he has left the Azimio either. Just like his face wasn’t saved by the made up story for why he never left for Uhuru Park.
Now… his just twisted his tongue and his mind. The Presidential Candidate and hero in his own movie will not become great. However, he is destroying the friendships he does have and loses relevance by becoming a fringe politician with no other people to count on. That’s the thing here and it will cost him. Instead of possible getting a plum-job and an honourable position in a future cabinet.
He instead wants to be a water-melon and be high on his own supply. Peace.
“If your cow’s leg is broken, do you strap a plough on it and head to the farm – or do you first get it treated and allow it time to heal?” – Marta Karua (2013).
The long await is over in the Azimio la Umoja – One Kenya Alliance has picked the running mate for Presidential Candidate Raila Odinga. The alliance has picked the leader of National Rainbow Coalition–Kenya (NARC–Kenya), Marta Karua.
Karua came into this alliance through the participation of the OKA where she was one of the parties involved in that. As the OKA signed an agreement with Azimio la Umoja. Therefore, she came after the inception and on the merits of all the parties in a forged coalition already.
Marta Karua is a seasoned politician. She has been a politician since the 1990s and been in Parliament for years. Been a resilient minister and even stepped down when she felt undermined by the coalition government at the time. Which is ironically when Odinga became the Prime Minister and she served as a part of Kibaki’s government as a minister.
Now, she returns into the hands of Odinga. A man she has fought against and shows there is no permanent enemies in politics. In the 2017 elections she promised to defend the ballots for Kenyatta. So, we just know the wind is changing and she has found a safe-haven for her policies. Where she can have power and be vibrant.
Odinga has gotten someone who has been consistent in the Azimio la Umoja. Someone who can inspire and be different. Even if she has been on the front-lines on the other side of him for years. It is not like Karua always has been a close associate or a comrade for joint causes. No, they have been on the other side. Heck, she was even defiantly against the Building Bridges Initiative (BBI). The last big project of Odinga and still he picked her.
That just shows what sort of unity Odinga is seeking. A sort of political programming to ensure broad-based government and have a large unit of political differences within the coalition. She has fought for social justice and human rights. Been a firebrand politician and willingly to step down when the rulers didn’t let her control her office. Therefore, Odinga should know that this politician isn’t the one that bows down and sells out. She has principals and willing to lose for them too.
That’s why she has lost elections and not been in all favours. It is not like she has a winning streak and is genuinely loved. However, the Azimio shows a progression and a will to build something. When you pick someone like her. Because, the coalition had several other bigger leaders and with more influence. Nevertheless, Odinga picked her and the Azimio decided to take this stand.
Baba and Karua is another type of breed. This ticket is vastly different from Kenya Kwanza Alliance and shows the contrast between them. It is now up to the public to see what they do and how they perform. These are two seasoned politicians with massive history. They have been on all sides and fought for political interests over the years. These two haven’t always worked together and at point been enemies. That’s why it’s an interesting choice, but shows the political maturity of Odinga.
Azimio versus KKA gears up. Everything will be in the open and nothing will be disregarded. Old interviews and clips will now haunt her. The same will happen to Odinga. However, today… these to has to show unity and strength together. To show that this is legit and what they believe is the right path for the coalition. Peace.
“Thank you your excellency. I will not let you down, I will not let the hustler nation down and I will not let Kenyans down” – Rigathi Gachagua (NTV Kenya, 15.05.2022)
The Deputy President of Kenya and Presidential Candidate William Ruto of the United Democratic Alliance (UDA), and the Kenya Kwanza Alliance (KKA) has finally landed on his running mate. This is a vital choice and shows where his going.
Ruto has deliberately hand-picked someone who is like himself. Another conning and smart politician. Who has used the public offices and the government appointed offices to become wealthy. That is something the DP Candidate Rigathi Gachagua has done. His only been an MP for one term on the Jubilee Party ticket since 2017. While he has now moved to Ruto.
Here is a short CV on Gachagua MP:
“2 years after his graduation, Rigathi Gachagua served under President Moi’s office from 1990 to 1999 holding the positions of personal assistant to the head of public service and District Officer in Kakamega and Molo” (…) “Following his good relations with President Moi, Rigathi Gachagua was made personal assistant to Uhuru Kenyatta from 2001 to 2006 when Uhuru was the Minister of local governments” (…) “While working in the government, Rigathi Gachagua amassed a substantial amount of wealth to the point of founding the Ridor group of companies in 2000” (Austine Barasa – ‘5 Things You Didn’t Know About Mathira MP Rigathi Gachagua’ 2021).
We are now seeing two buddies and political aligned individuals who worked closely with President Daniel Arap Moi. While Gachagua was the DO of Kakamega and Molo. Ruto was busy co-founding and a member of Youth for Kanu 1992 (YK92) who campaigned for Moi in the 1992 campaign. While Ruto was later voted in to Parliament n 1997 and was appointed as an assistant minister in the Office of the President from 1998 to 2002. So, there is certainly times these fellows have overlapped.
That’s why the tycoon with over 40 businesses and who got picked up by Moi in the 1990s. Has enriched himself while being a civil servant and personal assistance to the big-men of KANU. As he sets his sights of being the kingpin of Mount Kenya. Alas, we also know that Ruto has amassed vast wealth in the years in office and got lots of questionable plots. While earning fractions of this in the Office of Deputy President or previous roles as such. That’s why these two are greedy comrades on a mission. As they know the value of getting power and what that can do to their bank-accounts.
This ticket is just a really show of force. The same is having Musalia Mudavadi and Moses Wetangula there as well. They have all participated in the Moi era and part-take in it. Thats’ why it’s interesting that he picked Gachagua to be his running mate. This is like a revitalized KANU ticket and the leaders surrounding KKA is filled with that too. It is part of the club and the ones who has since then find ways to profit on government offices.
The choice is very clear and shows the intention of Ruto. He didn’t do this out of nowhere. While also side-lining other people who has ambitions. Certainly, some parties and leaders has signed-off to a coalition agreement, which still binds them. However, we know that the fellow party leaders has ambitions as well. They would not just step down without a golden future promised.
Gachagua has to prove himself now. Not only loyalty to Ruto, but that he can deliver and be a galvanizing figure. The tycoon and MP has to now show his worth. Ruto also has support him and show that they are a team. That is up for grabs and let’s see if this was a wise decision. Peace.
“UPDATE: Raphael Tuju claims parties purporting to withdraw from Azimio had already started negotiations with DP Ruto even before putting demands for a copy of the Azimio agreement, says they are dishonest” (Meru FM, 09.05.2022)
Today it’s official a free-fall of parties leaving the Azimio La Umoja – One Kenya Alliance as the meetings and interviews for the running mate or Deputy Presidential Candidate is getting handled by the alliance. We knew that would be vital and game-changer for the alliance.
Azimio has already had a hectic time with all the parties and how they have been co-ordinated together. As there been levels of who has influence and sway within the alliance. That’s why these things are happening now. However, it worrying for the remaining parties, as the alliance are showing how fragile it is.
While two parties aren’t big, but Wiper Democratic Movement (WDM) is the third biggest party to leave and seek to leave the alliance.
So it’s officially that these are leaving:
Pamoja African Alliance (PAA) party led by Kilifi Governor Amason Kingi, Maendeleo Chap Chap (MCC) party led by Machakos Governor Alfred Mutua and Wiper Democratic Movement (WDM) leader Stephen Kalonzo Musyoka.
That these parties are leaving the alliance will either join the campaign of Deputy President William Ruto and his Kenya Kwanza Alliance (KKA). We know that the MCC has already joined there and we don’t know what the PAA is doing. Neither what is the plan of the WDM. However, this is showing how fragile and weak the Azimio is built.
WDM is the biggest party of the OKA, which was left when it joined Azimio. The other parties of OKA had already gone to KKA. So, it seems like Kalonzo might join with fellow NASA Co-Principals there now.
We knew that Mutua tried to get more influence with Mpuya Caucus within Azimio and now he has left that one behind as well. It is really weird and shows the lack of long term strategy of these parties.
The PAA, MCC and WDM could have opportunities ahead of itself in the Azimio. While that might cost now and they are not getting their way now. However, the ODM and Jubilee can only take things so far. Neither can they do it without all of the broad-based allies across the Republic. That’s what is striking about the Azimio alliance in the first place.
Now, when these three are leaving or have left Azimio. The OKA part of the Azimio is also inflated with NARC-Kenya and KANU. While the rest is based around ODM and Jubilee. The other parties are smaller and regional. That’s why the MCC and PAA could be vital in their areas too. Alas, they have not fled the alliance.
It isn’t getting better, but surely the coalitions is getting ironed out. As the Jubilee Secretary General Tuju even claims they were negotiating with both at the same time. If that is true… than the parties been dishonest, but the Azimio has been a closed and done things very internally. Maybe some felt left out or not taken into consideration. That’s why they have reacted this way.
However, the importance of this is clear. That Kalonzo’s journey to Azimio was already hectic and him leaving shows there was problems before he even settled. We know that Kalonzo had set his sights on being the running mate. Now we don’t know what is ahead or if he will be running together with Ruto.
We know MCC and PAA will only be sidekicks in KKA. Just like they were in Azimio. They will not be the big-shots, but be a proud asset to take away from Azimio. That is scoring some political points, but not actually winning the game. This is to early to call and to close to call right now. Even if people are claiming Baba the Fifth a long time ago.
Azimio needs to handle these fall-outs and co-ordinate with the remaining parties. Ensure they feel included and parts of the coalition. They cannot just mix between ODM and Jubilee. It needs to be broader and the net needs to be thrown to be able to catch everyone in the net. However, we are seeing a massive fallout and it’s not looking good.
KKA might celebrate, but that’s a bit early too. They have gotten a few or possible gotten Kalonzo. However, in the end… it’s just another CORD/NASA without Odinga. Who knows if these Co-Principals can make a difference this time around. Nevertheless, this does not look good and that’s clear. Peace.
Yesterday, the Mwanzo Mpya Caucus lead by Governor Alfred Mutua presented a harsh statement and a press conference with several other parties. The parties involved in this caucus are MCC, Muungano, Kenya Reform Party, CCU, DAP-K, PPT, NARC and Maendeleo Democratic Party. These are reacting to how the Azimio La Umoja – One Kenya Alliance is moving forward as a unit.
It is clear that the big three – Orange Democratic Movement, Jubilee and Wiper Democratic Movement are getting much more out of it than the rest. This is why Mutua and other party leaders are addressing it. Showing that the coordination within Azimio la Umoja isn’t that good.
The 11 points in the Press Release from Yesterday is interesting to say the least:
“1. We are the ones who made Azimio what it is.
2. We found out of the AZIMIO LA UMOJA – ONE KENYA coalition in the news like the rest of Kenyans.
3. There is an indication the leadership of Azimio is made up of three parties only: Jubilee, ODM & Wiper. This leaves out the other founding parties.
4. Coalitions agreement documents have not been shown to us and yet they are insisting that we should sign. We will not agree to this.
5. Our candidates have already registered their candidature with our parties and they have an equal right to be in the ballot.
6. There is an attempt to run nominations through zoning. Our candidates are already prepared to compete and zoning has no place in the current arrangement.
7. We also have our own caucus. The Mwanzo mpya caucus, which is the fourth leg of the Azimio stool.
8. There are currently no provisions for us to be on the elections board. We insist to be also included and to have a voice since we represent a significant voting bloc.
9. The so called big parties have already appointed themselves portfolios at our expense.
10. We can form our own coalition and enter into a post-election agreement.
11. Some of us sacrificed our presidential ambitions to support Azimio and our Azimio presidential candidate” (Mwanzo Mpya Caucus, 06.04.2022).
The parties are saying they are why Azimio is a thing in the first place and that trio of ODM, Jubilee and WDM is taking over with no justification towards the other parties. They are not put into consideration and not even on the ballot. That shows that the possible secretariat of this coalition is one-sided and not voicing for the smaller parties, which should have their say as well. Not only the big-ones and the ones who has more influence.
In consideration too… we should know that in this new Caucus Marta Karua (NARC-Kenya) is part of as well. Just like NARC was a part of One Kenya Alliance. Surely, this can be seen as a bargain chip to get into a better to position. Which shouldn’t be denied by anyone here. We know everyone wants as much leverage and position themselves as best as possible. Just so they can get a more power and better political capital after the up-coming elections. That’s why these parties come out now. Because, they have to find a way to get importance… before they are forgotten about and becomes small local parties with little to none national influence.
The Mwanzo Mpya Caucus will only add pressure to ensure they have options. That they are in the picture and is getting their slice of the pie. They want to have the UNGA and they wants loads of it. However, the trio of parties should be aware, that they have to coordinate properly and ensure mechanisms that seems fair for candidacies. Because, this is all built on trust and agreements between everyone in the coalition. These sorts of pressers and public displays only shows that the coalition is built on shaky grounds… and could easily fall or become marginalized.
Yes, the ODM and Jubilee can feel invisible, as they just got One Kenya Alliance under their banner as well. Nevertheless, Kalonzo Musyoka isn’t the only man who wants to eat, but the others wants that as well. This is what’s so striking with NARC-Kenya joining this Caucus yesterday. That just show quickly Karua is moving and trying to become more relevant.
Odinga, Kenyatta and Kalonzo needs to reconfigure. We know they are dealing with egos and wishes of smaller parties. However, they need to put them into play. If not… they are just hoodwinking everyone and they will tarnish this coalition before it’s even beginning. That will make the Azimio la Umoja coalition look foolish and the Presidential Candidate doesn’t want that. He wants peace within own ranks and show the Republic that he can unite people. If he cannot unite his own coalition. How can he unite… the whole republic then?
That’s just a question, but these are supposed allies and should be treated that way. Peace.