Opinion: Are you ready for recycled pledges?

The National Resistance Movement (NRM), the ruling regime and the party of government. Are rolling out in fashion. They will come with blazing statements, digital brigades and use all platforms for their causes. As they are going for another General Election in 2021. However, they are in the same space as before and there is not much more they can do.

The NRM and the President since 1986. Cannot continue to revise and reuse same pledges. They can talk about sensitizing the electorate. They can’t continue to say they promote anti-tribalism, when the President says certain institutions and parts of government shouldn’t be questioned. Like the Uganda People’s Defence Force (UPDF) can be filled with tribes of Western Uganda. Which isn’t shocking, neither is his top picks for ministries either.

The President and Party cannot profess to great riches or wealth creation. As they have to re-issue and re-use same strategy over- and over again. Which they have been doing for decades now. These sort of projects are short-term gains and patching of the wounds, but not systemic changes. Which implies more investment and also more policies to drive economic growth. Something, this government, this party haven’t favoured. They are instead using their time on the quickest scheme to get rich for the cronies and let everyone else fend for themselves.

This Party and President cannot speak well of industrial growth or infrastructure. Yes, they rebuilt a bridge, which they are so proud of. They have had road-projects, which is infused either by expensive loans or grants from Multi-National Organizations. These loans and such will be repaid. By that time, someone else has use funds to keep the upkeep of the same roads. That is why it isn’t a big deal, but more what a government should do.

They cannot speak well of the status of schools, educational institutions and such. As these have defaulted, lacked investment and not done due diligence. The ones who are not funded by MPs or elite is depleted. They cannot even afford lightbulbs and teachers salaries. As the teachers are having side-gigs to survive up-country. Because, the salaries are so late and they are not taken care off. These are the ones that is educating the future of the Republic and they are forgotten.

The hospitals are lacking, the health-centres doesn’t have equipment. Even some doesn’t even have money to pay the bills for electricity for months. The nurses are not equipped and the doctors doesn’t have the tools. This was an issue before the pandemic, but haven’t become better after that. The state is busy buying cars and pick-ups, but not picking up medical equipment or PPE. They are using it on the RDCs and Village Chiefs. Because, these pick-ups is saving lives.

This is just a few of the issues at hand. The NRM will pledge, recycle old ones. They will come with funding. They will revive the old Universal Primary Education. The NRM will finalize the 10 Point Programme. Lira district will become the next Metropolis and so fourth. That is what they do in the election cycle. They will say the schools, the roads and the hospitals will be bang on. But with time, they have not invested or used time on it. From a government who has had the chance for over 3 decades to fix it.

If someone had the time and opportunity it was Museveni. The whole regime has had the time and even had the goodwill of the donors to adjust the situation. They could have made strides and made significant changes. Alas, that wasn’t their deal. Their deal was to get-rich by being in office. If they cared, it would have been done.

So, don’t eat out of their hands. They have said it all before and it will not change tomorrow. Peace.

Opinion: AgaNaga sings for Jajja now!

Sadat Mukiibi also known as Khalifah Aganaga is in his feelings. He got turned down from becoming a Member of Parliament or a flag-bearer for the National Unity Platform for Rubaga South in Kampala.

The NUP nominated Zacchy Mberaaze Mawula for this seat, while also dismissing other candidates as well. Not only Aganaga for the MP seat. They blocked others too, who was dismissed on the reasons for also vying for the position on the Democratic Party (DP) ticket. They we’re trying to be on both sides of the fence. Being both DP and NUP or People Power at the same time. That is why Mawula won this ticket through the party vetting. However, this is clearly unfair for Aganaga.

Aganaga, who could within 48 hours or less than that release a song with the President and become a National Resistance Movement member. Because, he felt humiliated to not be picked as the NUP Flag-bearer.

That shows how entitlement and arrogance reigns in the new candidates in the “newly minted” party of Robert Kyagulanyi aka Bobi Wine. As there have been many new faces and aspirants within the NUP. That is causing friction and also tensions, as everyone wants to be on top and be the one holding the party down.

It is natural that there will actions after a vetting process and the ones not deemed fit feels betrayed or let down. Because, someone has to get on top. That is just fine and shouldn’t be dismissed. This is why we are used with friction and “independent” candidates coming out of the woodwork. Who was people contending in the NRM Primaries, but loosing. Therefore, running as “independents” in the General Election.

So, if this happens to the ones who loses in the NUP. The same might happen to a few there as well. That is all natural and shouldn’t shock anyone. If you first vie for office, you can expect to loose, but also win. There is a chance for both. No one is automatically getting in-office. Even if the likes of Aganaga thinks so, apparently. There is a process from a party to be registered and later being on the ballots for an election. Seemingly, that is just hogwash in the eyes of Aganaga.

That is why Aganaga could go from being a “big investor” in the NUP to suddenly turn to NRM. He could do it so swiftly, have a public meeting and dropping a song with President. This all happening within few days and nearly 48 hours. Where his now dismissing Bobi Wine and praising the government. If it was that easy, then the NUP did a good decision not picking him. As he could so easily sell out.

Aganaga isn’t strengthening his cause or his ideals. When he does this and will now sing for the Jajja. He is the man for Bosco and Mr. Sunday. That just days after being turned down. If cannot manage the biting fall and lack of credentials to stand as the candidate for Rubaga South MP.

Sadat should know all of this, but instead he uses now his platform to attack Bobi Wine. Ironically, his dropping the song on “Bad Character”. Which is fitting, as this isn’t a sign of reasonable or decent character, but a bad one. As he goes in on the deep end, instead of being humble after loosing out.

Aganaga should know that could happen to anyone. There shouldn’t be automatic ticketed people within parties. Even if with career and long-term incumbents. There should be primaries and test if they still have members of the constituencies trust. If they don’t, then they are picking someone else to represent them. That is also what should happen somewhere within a party. Alas, this seems like fictional ideas for Aganaga. Who because of his stature and his “bad character” should just get the ticket on a whim. A man who could betray the cause within a hot minute.

It seems like the NUP did a good vetting here. When someone can turn against within no time. Then, they are really not fighting for the cause, but there for personal gains. If it wasn’t that. He would have stood behind the cause and cheered for the winning one in NUP. We know that this is not the case.

As he is now a man of the NRM and ditched the cause before the milk went bad. I have had cartons of milk longer in my fridge, than the amount of time between him loosing out in the NUP and him becoming a NRM member. That shows how little that mattered to him. Because, he could so easily trade it away.

This is not a winning hand. That is a losing hand. He might not see it himself, because of his ego and his “bad character”. However, with time he might see it. Aganaga is blazing through right now. The singer is not singing anthems, but a requiem for his soul. Peace.

NRM Primaries: Rukutana got a third life

Some people are apparently entitled to run and be the victors. One of these is the forever loyal cadre Mwesigwa Rukutana who has been proclaimed winner of Rushenyi County in Ntungamo District for the second time. The third official results from this district since the National Resistance Movement (NRM) held their primaries.

The last time he was proclaimed winner was on the 9th September after being released out of prison on bail after post-election violence that led to one innocent civilian killed. However, that case is pending and without any trail in the near future.

On the 5th September 2020 the Minister and loyal cadre was dismissed and lost the elections. He was one of the big-men losing in the polls. Nevertheless, that has since changed twice.

First there was 12 ghost polling stations arriving on the 9th September and now on the 23rd September he apparently won with only 20 voters. If you find this suspicious. Well, you should, because this whole exercise is dumb at this point.

This is not examination of the voters will, but bugging the numbers, nudging the polls to fit Rukutana. That is how it looks and no matter what spin the NRM the agents of the party does. It is the perception the public gets and they will most likely rig him in the general election in 2021 too.

The NRM seems to whatever they can to scrap some of the loyal cadres. Suspend elections and suddenly tally the votes not only twice, but three times to get the supposed verdict. The people voting didn’t matter, it was the gentlemen or the people inside closed chambers who mattered. They ensured one man could win.

He could use force, he could use his title and the reach within the party to get his way. Not because his a beloved character, but because the President needs men like these. Apparently so. A man who can easily pull the trigger and take a life. That is the sort of man the President wants to promote, yet again.

That is the tragedy in all of this. Rukutana isn’t suited for a high ranking official job. He should answer for his crime and his action earlier in September. While now his praising himself and his team to crowned the NRM Flag-Bearer. That is what has happened.

It is tragic, but its so 2020. This is so NRM and its bloody insane. However, this is what the President promotes and gives the public. Making opposition felons, while promoting real felons within his own ranks. Peace.

Opinion: It shouldn’t be this hard to make Museveni’s credentials public

It was the other day, when Lawyer Male Mabirizi petitioned and got the academic papers of the Presidential Candidate Robert Kyagulanyi aka Bobi Wine. In a heartbeat, the various parts of government scrambled the documents and delivered those to the lawyer. That happen without any hesitation. It was all released for the world to see.

While in Mid-August 2020 another lawyer Muwanda Nkunyingi petitioned the same authorities for the academic credentials of the President. The incumbent, the man of 1986 and beyond. This lawyer was asking for the documents produced for the General Election 2016. However, by the time of early September, the 3rd to be exact. The Electoral Commission only took a few words and sentences from the Election Petition of Amama Mbabazi No.1 of 2018 in the Supreme Court. That is all the public gets.

The President haven’t dropped the gems from the University of Dar Es Salaam or Ntare School, which he has often mentioned several of times. Still, the man who worked in the Research Bureau at one point should have documents and be able to prove his credentials. That shouldn’t be a toxic question and impossible. Unless, he has buried it, because it makes him look weak and not as intellectual as he wishes to be. The President always want to be right and be the teacher. Maybe, his just a KRS-ONE, instead of a Professor X. Who knows, right?

We are now over the middle of September 2020. This means it has gone close to a 1,5 month since the lawyer petitioned the Electoral Commission. The Electoral Commission answered a few weeks later and the letter from the 3rd September leaked today to the public on the 21st September. This means, the EC and the authorities have no plan of making them public. Like they do with the other opposition candidates.

If they could just use a minute to release the Bobi Wine credentials. It should be super easy to have the man who has stood for elections and had to be verified every 5 years. They should have copies upon copies in their achieves. There should be documents and credentials going back to 1996 or 2001. The President should have certified copies there.

Unless, he has dropped all those, because he wants to bury his past. Trying to make himself legendary by digging all his past into the ground. If not ensuring the institutions he went to deleted his and burned his past work. God knows right?

For a man that has ruled since 1986. It is weird that this is so hard to get a copy. That the Electoral Commission and the Uganda National Examination Board (UNEB) isn’t able to produce more than a fragment of a court order from 2018. That is like dropping nothing and intending to not release it. Because, the authorities and the state are wavy about how the public will react when they see the real deal.

The President wants to be a man of wisdom, but these sort of actions isn’t wise. It only proves that his hiding something. That he has some skeletons in his closet. If it was nothing… then it would have been released yesterday. Just like all the letters where the President micro-manage and directs others to do his bidding.

It is not a sign of strength, but a sign of weakness when your hiding this. The public deserves better, but the man of the ages is afraid of releasing this. It might show he sucked in in the sciences or had to retake a class. Maybe he never finished the studies in Tanzania? Who knows?

But… something is up. We just don’t know what. Peace.

Uganda Peoples’ Defence Forces (UPDF): Operation to pursue escapees from Singila Government Prison in Moroto (17.09.2020)

Mzee is educating about the elements now… [water for now]

“Tryna stay above water, that’s why we shun the navy”Kendrick Lamar on ‘HiiiPower’ of Section80 (2011).

The Self-Styled President for Life, Yoweri Kaguta Museveni today dropped a small lesson on water. One of the 4 Classical Elements. In the next up-coming editions, he might tell about the earth, the wind (air) and the fire. He called today’s piece “Know Your Country”.

Alas, he drops more gems about his own life and family, as that is the knowledge you need to know. Also, to know that the old man has bought more land. As the rich head-of-state never seems to neglect his estates or his ownerships. It just keeps expanding and expanding.

Where the old man speaks of water-levels and the closeness of his interests in that. An old man is supposed to be interested in these things. These sort of futile and local questions, historical records and the amounts of changes over time. As if the youths are caring about this now. They have enough trouble to find ways to eat and get a gig in this gig economy.

It is weird that he drops a piece like this. He could instead focus on how he hasn’t secured water in the tap. How, he hasn’t made it sufficiently and effectively water in the villages and the neighbourhoods of the slums in the cities. However, that would make him look dumb and foolish. After over three decades in power.

His talking about the amount of water in the lakes and the historical flooding’s of it. That is insincerity. If he was a history buff, someone who was holding seminars on historical facts of the Republic. It would have been fine and dandy, but this man is the Commander-In-Chief, the Head of State, the Fountain of Honour and not some random water-boy speaking about inner-workings of the lakes.

Just to be a bit blunt, Merriam-Webster defines water like this:

“the liquid that descends from the clouds as rain, forms streams, lakes, and seas, and is a major constituent of all living matter and that when pure is an odorless, tasteless, very slightly compressible liquid oxide of hydrogen H2O which appears bluish in thick layers, freezes at 0° C and boils at 100° C, has a maximum density at 4° C and a high specific heat, is feebly ionized to hydrogen and hydroxyl ions, and is a poor conductor of electricity and a good solvent” (Merriam-Webster Dictionary – ‘Water’).

So, its weird that he picks that as a topic all of sudden. It’s all water baby. The old man says so. It’s all magic baby. No, I am kidding, but this is foolish. That uses his time and energy behind such a piece. His not even a lecture on WASH principals or the Scientist. He is a know it all and one that thinks he has the vision for everyone. Even if that is untrue. That is why his fuzzed mind, thinks this was a brilliant move too.

Alas, he has dropped knowledge on one of the 4 classical elements. Let’s see what he does next. Peace.

 

NRM Primaries: Rukutana MP gets a second life… [12 ghosts comes and saves him]

On the 9th September, Minister Mwesigwa Rukutana was announced as the loser of the National Resistance Movement (NRM) Primaries, as he was supposed loser of the race for MP in Rushenyi County. Today on the 15th September 2020 he was released bail after using weapons and discharging guns at the winning team after the polls.

Not only was he released, but the NRM Electoral Commission have now announced him as a winner after a recount. This shows that the Bush-Men can win elections, even when they are loosing. There was to many Ministers losing, so the “high above” had to save him.

The man who has been a minister from 2001 to 2015 and Deputy Attorney General from 2015 to 2019. The State Minister for Labour still have to answer for the life of Dan Rweiburingi. The fatality after the post election violence that happen after Rukutana was announced the loser.

So, it’s not funny that the NRM EC and Dr. Tanga Odoi have now a week later changed the results. This just spitting in the face of the voters and the supposed members of the NRM. That is just a selection of a candidate, not an election. As the incumbent and big-man could just overturn the poll.

The NRM now says they didn’t count 12 polling stations before the first announced results. That sounds like ghosts appeared. Since, its weird that they didn’t have this on the first round. If you want contested results and questionable results. Then you delver life altering results this far after.

The person who has now lost the Flag-Bearer as MP for Rushenyi County for the NRM should petition the courts and go after the NRM EC. Especially since it out of nowhere there was 12 new polling stations.

The NRM must really believe in ghosts. Suddenly ghosts voted for the Minister and the ally of the President. To ensure his victory. They just appeared late after the fact.

If you want to believe in the results of an election. This is not the way to generate trust. Since, this seems like election rigging after the fact. Just to favour a beloved and trusted character of the President.

So, the ghosts of 12 polling stations gave him a second life, which is only because of his stature around the President. If he didn’t have a special place … he would have been ditched, but suddenly the NRM EC had a new tally. They could just configure the polls to fit the needs of the Rukutana. Peace.

A Breakdown: Oil Exploitation, which is so taxing… why are the deals confidential?

Today, the Government of Tanzania have together with the Government of Uganda signed off to a Host Government Agreement (HGA), also together with Total, the supposed builder of the East Africa Crude Oil Pipeline (EACOP).

Today, all the years of waiting, stalling and finding measures of taxes pays-off. We can still wonder what is basic fee structure and what is the price of taxation of the extraction of oil exploitation in the Lake Albertine basin. In the same regard, we can wonder is the specific route for the pipeline and what consequences it will have to nature, reserves and national parks. Because, the drill itself is just in the near proximity of Murchinson Fall National Park. Before it will continue or pass through other untouched areas of both Uganda and Tanzania.

There is still not answers or openness about the deals in the regards to the Uganda National Oil Company (UNOC) and the Tanzania National Oil Company (TNOC), in combination to the ownership and licences of China National Offshore Oil Company (CNOOC) and Total. Therefore, there are plenty of stakeholders and everyone wants to profit on the resources.

With both Republics signing of the HGA agreement and preparing for the Final Investment Decision (FID). The building of the pipeline and the industry can start off. This has also been stopped by taxation and the questionable acquisitions of exploitation licences in Lake Albert. Therefore, the whole Heritage and Tullow taxation case and the costs it had for Total to pay off that. Is still not shown to the public or if the Government of Uganda has forgiven the past company to give way. While Tullow surely wanted profits for their time and the valuable licences they had gotten rights too in earlier rounds.

What is also worrying to me? Well, the deals are not public. The agreements between the Corporations and the Republics are practically unknown and only mere fragments is out. Just like the power-sharing of 60% to Tanzania and 40% to Uganda. Is still not saying much, considering this will be still carved up by Total and CNOOC too, also some sort of deal with UNOC and TNOC. These will not operate on charity, but as a benefactor of the Republic itself.

The public should know this, because it is public resources, state resources and oil exploitation on public land. The companies are using licences and also the same licenses to transport the crude oil in the pipeline from Lake Albert to Port Tanga. Therefore, it is needed to get this knowledge to show the price, the agreements and the possible perks. Because, we don’t if they even have strings or not.

We should wonder why its confidential and kept a secret. The companies should also be displeased, unless they like to exploit without any transparency. Because, these deals and arrangements haven’t been made transparent or with accountability. It has been done in the chambers of Entebbe and in Tanzania. The general public will only see a fraction and not know the full extent.

That is a deliberate action by Presidents and their handlers. The UNOC, TNOC, Total and CNOOC can operate without to much scrutiny and just enjoy the cheers. There is a need to know, but don’t expect it. Since, the GoU and GoT haven’t delivered this in past, neither has the GoU showed anything from the previous deals with Heritage/Tullow. Why should they suddenly change of heart?

I don’t think so… unless there is a sudden miracle. If not … if there is a shady deal and one company feels used and will take it to an international court. Then, we will see some evidence of what went down. However, until then… we only know the bits and pieces. Peace.

A Breakdown: Oil Exploitation, which is so taxing… can start if Tanzania signs a deal too..

Last year in September 2019, the Farm Down Agreement of Tullow Oil was supposed to be traded to Total E&P Uganda. This was a long and prolonged negotiations, as the British Tullow Oil has been in dispute of taxation and payments of fees the Government of Uganda, which was deemed as the “Presidential Handshake”.

What happen yesterday with the Financial Investment Decisions (FID) of Total, as it has taken over the stakes of Tullow Oil. While agreeing on added terms in combination with the China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) to drill after petroleum in various of blocks on Lake Albert, also build the petroleum pipeline from Hoima to Port Tanga, Tanzania.

The Port Tanga and Pipeline agreement was sealed in 2017 between the Government of Uganda (GoU) and Government of Tanzania (GoT). That after lots of meetings and consultations between the parties. There was some who even tried to get it Port Lamu in Kenya, but that was ditched. Also, causing a rift between Dodoma and Nairobi.

Now, the next step is that Total and CNOOC is able to get a Host Government Agreement (HGA) for the East Africa Crude Oil Pipeline (EACOP) project. That was agreed by the parties in Entebbe for the territory of Uganda, but it is not sealed with Tanzania.

Though it should be in the interest to sign an agreement with President Magufuli and the CCM. Now, that they have fixed the first part and the licences to drill on Lake Albert. Total and CNOOC needs the HGA in Tanzania too. That will be beneficial for the Republic there too.

This has been a long time… the first reports of agreements and production licenses to blocks on Lake Albert in early 2000s. This was agreements being made between the government and the Tullow/Heritage and ENI as well. Which later has caused rift between the companies and the Republic, as the Oil Companies wasn’t willing to pay taxes and the Uganda Revenue Authority (URA) needed to win a Court Case in 2014 to get taxes owned paid by Tullow, as they had to cover the loss of taxes from their acquisition of Heritage Oil.

So, the news today is big. Maybe, the President got another Presidential Handshake, as the Tullow Oil Taxes case brought a lot of kickbacks. The deals sealed between Museveni and Total is a secret. Therefore, only the agreement of what it does is in public, but not the costs, the tax-grade and the limitations of it. Total and CNOOC can have gotten it for cheap for all we know.

That is something for the time to tell. Now, the Lake Albert Basin, the Lake Albert Blocks for drilling is sealed, which has been in question and awaited a verdict for years. The same has the years of a agreement for a company to build the pipeline and pay the rates for having the operation going.

Now, there is one final agreement that needs to be sealed in Tanzania. By all means, the Republic’s needs also to settle the routes, the land-acquisitions and other arrangements too. While the other HGA is necessary to get started. As the process is now moving. The initial agreements are made, but the companies still needs goodwill elsewhere to make this pop-off. This will be years in the making. As the state of Uganda is scheduling a Oil Refinery in 2023, but that depends on everything else goes as planned at this point.

And in this business, at this point, everything that can be stalled and discontinued can happen. Even, if one of the companies stops seeing the financial viability and lack of profits. Than, they might suspend and try to sell the Producing Licenses Agreement to someone else again.

I wouldn’t be shocked, if Total bails out or something. There been so many companies involved and we are still not starting production. This being in the works since the early 2000s with the modern day deals and new arrangement for petroleum activity in the Lake Albert basin. That is why I am reluctant. Because, at any given moment, someone gives way and it sto

Opinion: Museveni, Meal-Ticket Politicians is your “invention” …

Politics is working for the people, to get them out of poverty and solve their problems, not to escape poverty for your own self” – President Yoweri Kaguta Museveni (10.09.2020)

That someone who has rebuilt and remade the political system, the one who has made the new constitution and signed off laws, which has commercialized politics. This being the price of party nominations and the price to pay for nomination forms to the Electoral Commission. Together with the hefty salaries, allowances and perks in-office. The ability to spend the fortunes comes with the opportunities of getting in office after paying back the fees to stand as a flag-bearer.

The National Resistance Movement (NRM) and all their leaders have made this system. Ever since the Constitution of 1995 and the laws for elections that has been made with deliberate action. The NRM knows this and the President knows this too.

That’s why his a bit delusional when he says this:

The main reason why people are fighting hard to go to Parliament is because MPs increased their salary. They earn more than scientists and many other important people to our country. I tried telling them not to do it but they insisted. Now, people want to leave their other work to go to Parliament and earn much. Yet, their motivation should be to serve their people rather than earn from Parliament” (Museveni, 10.09.2020).

Because, the President knows about the rise of salaries and allowances within the Parliament and for the Representatives. The NRM have promoted this and made it more profitable to become an MP. They are getting suits, cars, salaries and allowances, which are really making people millionaires over night.

The President knows this very well. Museveni have made this all happen. While endorsing it and knowingly that the cronies have gotten the wealth. The men loyal to him would get a pay-off and kick-backs from the state. That is why the ideal to run for office isn’t all about the representation, but getting rich. This is not strange, as the MPs and candidates has to spend massive amount of money to able to get in office. That has to later be repaid … and therefore, the knowledge of the costs and the needs to get covered after the campaigns.

So, initially the President is saying the rights things, but his actions has made this system. That is why I am not so forgiving. He has promoted and built this regime. That has all benefited him and his associates. If it wasn’t so, this wouldn’t be like this. The whole system and policies have been enacted within the reach of this Presidency. This wasn’t relics of previous regimes, but his own.

President Museveni can be right, but is terribly wrong at the same time. If he was against it. Why didn’t he act upon it? Well, he wants loyal allies and the easiest way is to pay them off, instead of giving them credit. The President, if he didn’t want this to become like this. He wouldn’t have supported, helped and built the system up this way.

That’s why these statements made by him is hypocrisy… however, that is his M.O. these days. Sounds correct, but acts a fool. Hoping nobody catches his game. Peace.