There is a very obvious reason, why President Yoweri Kaguta Museveni is going on a Uganda People’s Defence Force (UPDF) Tour of late. That is to show his force, his power and his army. As long as the President has his army, has his security organizations like ISO, CMI, Flying Squad and the Special Force Command. Now even the LDUs and possible Crime Preventers. The President has so many outfits fighting his battles and defending him. He don’t have to care about the ballot or the will of the people. He has soldiers, spies and police officers fighting his battles anyway.
So, for the ones believing in the ballot, believing that the man of 1986 coup d’etat and never leaving the office. Will leave peaceful, because he suddenly overnight lost to Bobi Wine or Kizza Besigye. Better be smoking or drinking hard, it must be liquid courage, because it is not bloody brilliant. More mere ignorance of who they are fighting.
The President uses all means to stay in power. The ones he cannot compromise or pay-off, he challenge and intimidate, the ones he cannot sensitize and the ones he cannot convert. He kills off and silence. The ones that knows to much and been in to close relations will be kept on payroll, even if they got nothing in government to do. The same with former comrades who needs a pay-check even if their time is over. That is just the way it is.
The President will do whatever to stay in power. Making insults against him criminal, making staging rallies in the same area as him as crime. Making posters on top his a crime. Everything at opposes him is a felony and you will pay for doing so. It is just a matter of time, before you get apprehended and taken care off.
Therefore, the ones believing that the President are playing democracy and would initiate a transition. Is believing in their own juices and the own air their breathing. Because, that is far from reality.
The only way to get rid of Museveni is either by natural death. May, the almighty answer the prayers of plenty who has been suffering during his three decades and leave them be. Alas, it is up to God to know when he is soul is leaving his body. The only other way, except natural death is to do something as special as silencing his GUNS.
That is why he is so militarized. This is the only thing he got, that he does well. The only thing that he can command and actually follows every single word. The President control of the army, the security organizations and the intelligence operations. Are the reason for his steady control of the Republic. So, if someone takes that away from him. Then there is hope. Either a Popular Uprising, at levels where the whole state stagnates and stops functioning. Because, the public is demonstrating so heavy, barricading roads and closing the civil service. That the President and his administration have to step down.
The other way, which is in similar fashion. Is to get the Police, Army and other Security Outfits to do a mutiny, to lay down the weapons or decide to not follow his orders. That they are standing down. They are rebelling and becoming mutineers. That they are standing up for the public and helping to topple and control the government, by using the manners and techniques learned while being part of army, police and other security outfits.
Therefore, the need to SILENCE the GUNS. By any means. That is where the power of Museveni are and has been. Ever since he went to the Bush. His safe-guard, his partner and friend in crime and passion. Has been the gun, the rifle, the ammunition and the guerrilla warfare. That is what has been his staple, been his meal-ticket and his way of getting the Republic under his spell. Using enough of the weapons to silence them all. Fear and respect him, because he got the weapons and if you don’t follow him. You will be dealt with.
So, for you who believes in the ballot, trust me the bullet is his friend. He only ushered in the ballot, to get funding and loans, legitimacy and get great alliances with foreign forces, which could strengthen his grip. Something it has with training of the military, the ones assigned in foreign missions and even imports of army equipment. All, because of the steady need for ballots. Even, if all along, the only measure needed and his loyal weapon.
The GUNS would be there to save the day. The GUNS would there to save tomorrow and beyond. Peace.
“For a leader to say a vote can never oust Museveni without offering a solution is disappointing. We believe in democracy and it should not depend on us but on people. What politicians can not solve, the people of Uganda can solve, they should continue to register as voters and be many” (…) “Don’t talk about democracy and stand four times and on the fifth time you say it doesn’t work, we believe it works” (…) “We have spent two years organising our people and we think now there’s strong competence to regain the control of the country. Apart from the ordinary people being organised, we need better organisation as political leaders. We need to be synchronised, coordinated to achieve what’s needed to be achieved, focused on where the problem lies…There has been some uncoordinated movements sometimes. This year is to make sure this is kept in the past and we move as a purposeful pro democratic force” – Robert Kyagulanyi aka Bobi Wine on 4th April 2019 on the Launch of the Democratic Party Block or the Memorandum of Understanding between Democratic Party and Peoples Development Party and Social Democratic Party.
There are today signs, that Robert Kyagulanyi aka Bobi Wine are imagine himself in the likes of DP’s Norbert Mao, PDP Abed Bwanika, SDP Michael Mabike, also with the ANT’s leader Maj. Gen. Mugisha Muntu and also JEEMA’s Asuman Basalirwa. It shows the friends of the rising star on the political spectrum. However, while he is speaking with peace, he is at the same time throwing grenades into the field of Opposition. Targeting directly FDC’s Dr. Kizza Besigye. That is shown today at Hotel Africana.
What Bobi Wine is showing today?
Partly, a bit of political naivety, a bit of ignorance and secondly, also a bit self-righteousness. Which all I will explain. Because, it is fine and dandy, that all these parties want to show an agreement to work together. That is fine for them. They can collectively achieve, what they think they will achieve. As the PDP, SDP, JEEMA and DP haven’t been boasting big of late. That JEEMA got an MP, their own Party President is good, but not a giant victory. Neither is the MPs won by the DP itself. PDP is one-man band cannot be seen as viable organization. Last, ANT of Muntu is just established and registered after a prolonged consultation period and mix of underlying needs, which haven’t been publicly specified.
Alas, if they think DP Block will be powerful and able to topple Museveni. They should look into the Inter-Party Cooperation (IPC) of 2011 and The Democratic Alliance of 2015. Alas, these sort of projects should be gone, because they are not strengthening the Opposition, but weakening it instead. However, I wish them good luck on their endeavours. Surely, Bobi Wine should take pictures of more books to learn from the past. This is the little notice on his political naivety.
On ignorance is on his attack of Besigye. As does he think Kizza Besigye would have run if his party didn’t send delegates to pick him? Does the politician himself, think Besigye would been on the ballot this many times if there was no internal political discourse within the FDC and established his candidacy? Isn’t that, why he believes in Democracy, because the FDC party has elected him to be their Presidential Flag-bearer?
However, in this regard, the man who has not aligned with any party before or been built an organization with a protocol. Shouldn’t he study that first, too? Shouldn’t Bobi Wine understand, why Norbert Mao can run again on his third stint? He couldn’t run last time, but would have if they allowed him. Is that Democratic, then? Secondly is democratic that Bwanika has run for President since 2006 on his own ticket? Again and again, believing that his church and Party would blow the Republic away. But it never did.
So, Bobi Wine should look around his own and what they been doing before throwing grenades at the FDC and Besigye. Surely, the DP Block will be no more than fling. A tiny fire with hope like the TDA for Amama Mbabazi. Because, nothing will topple Museveni at this point. As long as there is elections with Museveni on the ballot. There will be no peaceful transition. The last time he lost, he went to the bush and since taking power. There been no cheap-shot of a peaceful transition happening in the Republic.
Therefore, I don’t believe Bobi Wine, any Opposition Coalition or Joint Candidates can beat Museveni and the National Resistance Movement (NRM). For the simple reason, the President lingers and secures his allies places. While, he will intimidate, rig and do whatever it take to own the Crown. There is no democracy in that sense. He let the Opposition and the others win some bread-crumbs to look like it. But, still, there is like war-zones and planned interference in the By-Elections, that makes them more violent and sinister, than it needs to be.
Nevertheless, the hope for a better future, the hope for a transition is good and needed. But it is a false-flag right now. That a man who at the same moment claiming that he wants UNITY is still throwing grenades at the biggest Opposition Party. That shows that the UNITY isn’t that UNITED. It is just partly united and not in all sense. This is why the leader and the one whose been standing in the battle. Getting thrown under the bus. Because, why not right?
If it had been a democracy, been a righteous and fair elections. Than, the elections of 2015, 2011, 2006, 2001 and 1996 would have looked differently. Even by this time, the President wouldn’t have been the same over that time. It would have shifted. Also, the FDC has changed their Party President. Something, certain other parties that Bobi Wine is aligned to hasn’t done since its inception. The DP have changed, but the rest are Parties of One-Men Bands who are existing because of them and might be gone, when they have left the building too.
So, it is self-righteous of Bobi Wine, that is what is today. Instead of taking the high-road and such. He sounds more like Mao rip-off and its weak tea. Bobi Wine should know better, but apparently he don’t. I don’t know what got into him, but surely his showing his blazing glory. That his message and memo to the rest.
That he has utter faith in the Electoral Commission, that the appointed men of Museveni, the Security Apparatus and everyone else. Will obey the codes of law and pass over to the DP Block, because of their UNITY will be able to Topple Museveni. Sorry brother, but you got to be kidding me.
That is even worse than Kiggundu math. Get back to the drawing board and re-invent magic. Because, that doesn’t add up. Maybe, Bobi Wine has some love-potion or something to beat the Elections his way. Since, it doesn’t seem so to me. Peace.
Do the Opposition want to look viable?
Does the Opposition leaders want to look serious?
Are they concerned about their credibility before the electorate?
That is what they should ask themselves, as the new IPOD leader and Democratic Party President Norbert Mao is calling out to all Opposition parties to go in for joint candidates for the General Election in 2021. However, that is a false flag, it is weakening the base of the Opposition, instead of strengthening them.
What Mao haven’t learned from is the Inter-Party Coalition (IPC) and The Democratic Alliance (TDA), which have been used as Opposition coalitions to try to challenge President Yoweri Kaguta Museveni and the National Resistance Movement (NRM). However, they have been futile, as the state apparatus, intimidation and rigging has secured the ruling regime all the fortunes.
Therefore, Mao should know better as we’re in the 3rd Decade of the Museveni era. This is the sinister part of the times under him. Where the gloves are off and he uses all methods to stay in power. There are nothing he doesn’t touch and tries to manipulate in his favour. That is why, Mao and the rest of Opposition should work together, but not in a way, where they are betting on one ticket.
It is easy to see, that the NRM will get the majority, will get the Presidency and get the crown jewels of the Republic. That is what the NRM does and everyone should know this. Therefore, why risk it all on one ticket and one flag-bearer?
This is really not salvaging anything, but trading away what you have. In a system built for Museveni and his kind. Even if it is so, the Opposition shouldn’t give up and throw in their candidates. If the Opposition are only fielding on MP in every district, a Mayoral Flag-Bearer and whatever else role the Opposition want to aspire to get.
The Opposition should use all forces, use all parties and all manifesto’s to prove their difference from the NRM. The Opposition should field people from JEEMA, DP, UPC, FDC, ANT and whatever else existing out there. All parties should try and go up against the NRM. They got nothing to lose, only prove their point and configure their strategies both locally and also nationally. This to prove their difference and their plan, if the public want to see them fit to rule post-Museveni.
Mao doesn’t sound sincere or strong in the path to Presidency, when he doesn’t believe his own people can run as flag-bearers, but thinks he can negotiate and assemble strength by fixing one-by-one flag-bearer or candidate in every district and even Presidential Candidate. Alas, that will just weaken the possible Opposition. That is a gift-card to the President. This can silence the pressure of the People Power Movement, the ones who are still believing in Defiance against the state and all the others who want the Museveni to cease. However, that will not go down. Not even by a National ID-Drive or trying to WIN by the POLLS. That has be insignificant for 2 decades.
Therefore, the Opposition have figure out a way of getting a popular uprising and fight the oppression. Not continue to be under submission of the President and his made system.
Also, don’t show weakness, don’t be fatigued and give way to the President. He already tarmacking it and doesn’t give a rats-ass about you. That is why, the Opposition have to show character and stamina against the old man and his devious tactics.
Because, he would use that as a way of saying the Opposition stands for very little or have lack of principals. Since they can all work together and only seeking meal-tickets. Not that is not throwing stones in a glass-house, as his cronies are all seeking for their meal-tickets. But, the Opposition should look smarter and look like they actually want to govern with good governance and sincerely develop the Republic. Not only eat the plate of the state and see the schools fall-apart a little bit more, or more hospital without medicine or electricity. Because, that is what the state is offering the citizens at the moment. Also some added OTT Tax and using MTN Licenses to pay for Airplanes. That is how life goes on in the Republic.
Therefore, the Opposition has to look different, sound different and not look defeated. That doesn’t mean they cannot stand together in the fight against Museveni. But its the way they do it. Because they have tried the IPC and TDA without any results. So, for the L-O-V-E of God, prove your value and your mandate for the public. Let them see your true character. So, they can see the difference between you and the hungry looters who are residing their currently. Peace.
This upcoming election isn’t about reforms, isn’t about progress or about the ability to go forward. This up-coming election isn’t about the legacy nor the options or selections of candidates. That sort of ship has sailed, as the Age Limit bill enacted into law. Fixing the 1995 Constitution into the image, which the President needed.
We can all fool say, that Robert Kyagulanyi or Dr. Kizza Besigye have a shot this time. We can all joke around and think that the Forum for Democratic Change, Uganda People’s Congress, Justice Forum or the Democratic Party have a possible outreach to challenge the Movement. We can all mock ourselves, thinking that Norbert Mao, Asuman Basalirwa and James Akena will push the boundaries for this up-coming election. However, we all know that is a lie.
It is not that I am again change, not that I am against any of the opposition parties. I am not, but the cynical and free thinking spirit in me is saying, that this election is already pre-rigged, prepared and settled. There are no bounds for victory elsewhere. That is false-hope, which is fiction. It is political suicide to think that you can conquer or even beat Yoweri Kaguta Museveni in 2021.
The only thing that can conquer him at this point is either that the military, the generals and the ones closest to the army are turning against him. If not its his age and his health that will go into default stages because of his advanced age. Therefore, when concerning ballots, campaigning and all the rest is a farce for the façade.
The façade of a democracy and an election of some sense. That the public are in-line awaiting their turn to throw their ballot into the boxes. Where the party and candidates hold rallies and come with manifestoes and pledges. They all can promise new and fresh days, all new roses and chapattis, not to talk about working out the bottlenecks and getting the country into a middle-income nation. However, how much of a mirage that is at this point.
We know they will do this, will come out, guns blazing and fuming with fire. They all will come as statesmen and nobles, stand up tall and smile, glace at the crowds and mysteriously be gone in the next hot-minute after the polls. Because, that is just what they do. They came all in, but forgotten the next moment.
As that is happening, as the 2021 elections are getting prepared. Let us not fool ourselves. We already knows who wins, who will have the margin in the Parliament and who will have the elective officials behind him. Not because he is the best candidate, neither the second best either, but he is the only alternative, because he cannot lose. Since the system is built on his image and his vision. It is all him and everyone else is supposed to bow down to his majesty, the royal king and this is his domain. The Republic and its citizens are his servants and they should be humble and oblige him for another term. Even if that means his eight shot to strike Royal Flush.
Clearly, the Movement, the President and the whole state apparatus will act like it is a fair game, when its not. It’s rigged and settled before even the ballots are procured. This game isn’t changing anything. This election could have been similar in 1996, 2001, 2006, 2011 or 2015. Even in 1980, but then there was another master who rigged that election. Now, it’s his time, yet again. Peace.