“Those who don’t know history are doomed to repeat it.” – Edmund Burke
We have seen this movie before, we have seen the pledges and the promises. The Electoral Commission, the lack of electoral reform or even the lack of level playing field is a own going saga that the National Resistance Movement (NRM) and President Yoweri Kaguta Museveni continues to sing.
What we can expect that Museveni wins the 2021. If he doesn’t win, than there is something wrong with the world order, the mountains of Rwenzori will fall down and Lake Victoria will not have water. We just know that NRM and Museveni will win as long as he breathes. Mr. 1986 will not loose an election. The EU can play around, but Museveni believes his justified to rule and everyone is supposed to listen to him.
Therefore, the continued promises and pledges of free and fair elections is pointless. The ballots, he charade and the whole campaigning is the same story. The majority, the securing the MPs and the Parliament is in the cards, as well as making it impossible for an viable opposition candidate to actually win. That because the deck is stacked against anyone before the posters, before the parties are organized and the slogans are prepared. It is all a buffet ready for the Fountain of Honour.
Just look through a brief history. A very brief history.
“In February, the European Union envoy to Uganda said the country was behind schedule to ensure free and fair elections in 2011, while the US Congress directed Secretary of State Hillary Clinton in January to “closely monitor preparations” for the poll. “We know what we are doing. If there is anything that needs to be done. If there is anybody who knows how it should be done, it is us, not anybody else,” Museveni said” (Capital FM Kenya – ‘Museveni against poll observers’ 12.04.2010).
“The head of EU Democratisation and Elections Unit, Ms Malgorzata Wasilewska told Speaker of Parliament Edward Ssekandi that implementation of the recommendations of the 2006 observers report must be used as a guide to ensure free and fair elections. The EU team was meeting the Speaker in his office at parliament to discuss issues related to the 2011 general elections” (Yasiin Mugerwa – ‘Uganda: European Union Observers Warn On 2011 Elections’ 09.11.2010).
“The incumbent and the ruling National Resistance Movement (NRM) presidential candidate Yoweri Museveni has assured the European Union (EU) election monitoring team in Uganda that the forthcoming national elections will be free, fair and will be conducted without any form of violence. The President met the European Union election monitoring team led by their team leader and chief observer Mr. Eduard Kukan who called on him at his country home in Rwakitura in Kiruhuura district. The delegation was accompanied by the European Union head of delegation in Uganda Mr. Kristian Schmidt” (Daily Monitor – ‘Museveni assures EU observers free and fair elections’ 17.01.2016).
“President Museveni said Saturday that government government is committed to ensuring free and fair elections ahead of 2021. According to him, relevant government organs are handling the necessary reforms are needed ahead of the elections. “On the political situation in the country ahead of 2021 elections, the government is committed to ensuring free and fair elections. Relevant government organs are handling the necessary reforms are needed ahead of the elections,” Mr Museveni tweeted on Saturday after meeting with the European Union delegation in Uganda led by the EU Ambassador to Uganda Attilio Pacific” (Daily Monitor – ‘Government committed to ensuring free and fair elections in 2021, says Museveni’ 16.11.2019).
What is very special about this, that the rebel who went into the bush because of supposed alleged election rigging 1980 elections. Has ever since done the same thing for himself and his cronies. The President knows his made his bed in 1996, 2000 (referendum), 2001, 2005 (referendum), 2006, 2011 and 2016. So, the man was elected five terms, but plan another 6th term, but has been ruling for another decade. Which means he has two more terms 1986-1991 and 1991-1996. These has to count, that is why it should be the President’s 8th Term.
However, we are seeing the same story. A story we have heard before, where the EU and other outside donors get promises and pledges. The EU and US get to hear what they want to hear. His telling them a sugar-coated tale of sweethearts and love. But the disaster and fear is in-coming.
The NRM and Museveni will use all tools at his disposal to get another term. To think otherwise is naive and stupid. The man will use ghosts, militias (LDUs/Crime Preventers) and the army to secure another term. The President has his appointed men in the Electoral Commission and the Judiciary, all ready to serve him. There is no middle ground or no outcome to say otherwise. Other than an upcoming, expensive charade and with a swearing-in ceremony filled with fellow dictators like last time. That is the what is at stake.
The EU can entertain this and accept the pledges. It is a new EU team, they might swallow it up and think its all good. But it isn’t and it will not be. There is no scruples in what Museveni will do to cling-on to power. Nothing. Use the Special Force Command, Flying Squad and the ISO to silence opposition, get activists behind bars in the DRC and so-on. There is nothing he will not do, if it matters the most.
His thrown and no-one, else than him is supposed to be their. Free and fair? Nah, more of the playing the facade and hope these white-men doesn’t catch the gig. Peace.
Abed Nadir: “Chaos already dominates enough of our lives. The universe is an endless raging sea of randomness. Our job isn’t to fight it, but to weather it together, on the raft of life. A raft held together by those few, rare, beautiful things that we know to be predictable” (Community, Season 3, Episode 4, 2011).
Well, it the Conservative and Unionist Party, the Tories elects Boris Johnson to take over the helm after Theresa May. Surely, the Brexit will end in an utter fiasco, the party will be in shambles and the populists will get a hold of power.
Boris is the sort of man, whose had no trouble stabbing people in their back and moments later kissing their asses. That is just who he is, also is a womanizer, racist and a man of total disregard of people, except himself. An Etonian without no high regard for the common man, except when he needs their votes.
Who knows if he will beat Dominic Raab, Michael Gove, Jeremy Hunt, Matt Hancock or Rory Stewart, because this is just first of plenty of votes. Even if Boris got the best results in the first tally in the internal voting. However, this is just the start, but shows some intent.
That Boris is the frontrunner and has such a big margin from the get-go is a worry, as the signs of the tides, which are ahead. That the MPs are voting in favour of him. Shows also their fear and their reckless attitude towards it all. Boris wasn’t a smooth operator as a Foreign Secretary, he didn’t deliver anything substantial or help the Brexit Process as an Brexiteer. No, he did nearly nothing, just like several other hard-liners.
Therefore, this vote will be a shambles, this is the mere travesty, where the Tories get to have a new vote, to have a referendum on their leadership. While the public have to look at it and squint at it too. While the Tories themselves will not give the public a second chance for a snap election nor a new referendum, as the Brexit is already a beacon of self-destruction. Just that the leadership of the two major parties won’t say that, in fear of the fearmongering salesman of Nigel Farage and Company.
If Boris Johnson takes over, expect more resignations, more troubling negotiations and also fabulous expenses put without consideration of the tax-payer. That is the sort of man he is and he shows it again and again. Boris will misuse the power he has and scrap vital things, just to have the seat. He just don’t care, as long as his the king.
Boris will not bring wealth, stealth and health, only chaos.
This is the darkest timeline, surely, the Community show warned us, but we didn’t listen. It was shambolic under PM May, but will not become smooth sailing under the leadership of Johnson. He will only undermine himself and his allies, he will come with empty pledges and knowingly, know that the EU will not comply. Because, he knows this, but want to be popular in the eyes of the people, even if it means not staying true to the reality. That is why the Brexit process been such a mess and continues to be so.
Boris the Blade, Boris Johnson will not succeed, it isn’t in him. He might win this leadership contest, because of his savvy ways with political infighting, but externally. He will loose, BIG. Peace.
As the United States Midterms are going to the polls, I am disappointed the world around me. That there are no Election Observer Mission from the African Union (AU), European Union (EU), Union of South American Nations and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN). Not to mention the Commonwealth, they should have also participated with some of mission there too, because the United States of America is a previous colony of United Kingdom. It should be necessary for them to participate and ensure these elections.
Alas, this is not the case, in the midst of voter oppression, disenfranchised voters, lack coherent ID laws, possible misuse of incumbents power and investigations into opponents. There would be a space for these EOM to bring scruitiny and tell where the US System lacks. Because clearly it lacks certain fundamentals.
This is a Republic, where people are automatically enlisted to the army and the citizens are monitored and having the information in the Department of State and within the Department of Defence (DoD). But these same outlets cannot let this information go directly to the Federal Election Commission, so they follow the advice of these bodies. To ensure that everyone votes are respected and also counted for. That the laws are justified and that they are for the betterment of the democratic values, the Republic is supposed to have.
We know it varies from state to state, but the media output, the usage of state resource from the Republican Party. Like the use of Air Force One for the President to travel to any rally of his choice. The way the state is paying for the GOP in the campaigns and the possible violations of both electoral law, but also of government resources should be looked into by outside entities.
When the United States can send the Carter Center to look over the Kenyan Election. Why shouldn’t NGOs from the other continents come to the US and do a study. Observer the events in Ohio or Iowa and write up reports of the ques, the lack of openness of the counting and other possible aspects. Where these NGOs could see something to point out and say that the these elections are lacking certain aspects and needs to be configured to be credible.
Because, that is what the foreign NGOs does elsewhere. It is time for them to go and look into the United States too, as the US system cannot be perfect, when the winner of the popular vote are still losing. There got to be a better way and who knows what that is.
I would have faith in the elections, if there was EOM from EU, AU, ASEAN USAN and other bodies, writing preliminary reports and coming with warnings of hate-speech and terrorism before the polls. That would have been sign of health, as the US cannot live alone in Supreme, as they are not that anymore. That has been proven again and again. It is time, that they get outside forces overlooking their acts and questioned their behaviour. Their Election Laws and their attitude towards their citizens. So, the balanced perspective, could be fruitful.
These sort of bodies shouldn’t just come to Kenya, Uganda and Sierra Leone. No, they should go to the United States, until everything is all and the above. It is needed so the public know they can trust the process and the laws of the elections. As the 2016 was marred with foreign interference and ploys from Russian agents. That is why it is more needed then ever. Peace.
The Cambridge Dictionary defines “taking the lid off” as: “to cause something bad that was previously kept secret to be known by the public” (Cambridge Dictionary, Cambridge University Press). A writer like Thomas L. Friedman in the New York times should know this perfectly well, as he used this term in his column ‘ Opinion Can I Ruin Your Dinner Party?’ published on the 7th August 2018. This is the reason for why I writing this. Because of two paragraphs that needs to be addressed, I will first let his words speak, before showing what the EU says about the matter. As a European, the American writer doesn’t make sense.
The key part was:
“Toppling Qaddafi without building a new order may go down as the single dumbest action the NATO alliance ever took. It took the lid off Africa, leading to some 600,000 asylum seekers and illegal migrants flocking to Italy’s shores in recent years, with 300,000 staying there and the rest filtering into other E.U. countries. This has created wrangles within the bloc over who should absorb how many migrants and has spawned nationalist-populist backlashes in almost every E.U. country” (Thomas L. Friedman – ‘Opinion Can I Ruin Your Dinner Party?’ 07.08.2018 link: https://www.nytimes.com/2018/08/07/opinion/can-i-ruin-your-dinner-party.html).
I don’t know in which world Friedman is residing, but the words of the EU, Zelesa and MPC are clearly not opening any jars of uncertainty. Yes, there been a growing amount of illegal and non-asylum seekers through the United Nations or Bilateral Organizations, which they have come from War-Zones as in the past. As the EU Member States takes their quota of refugees and asylum-seekers as a global task of helping people in need, as that cannot happen where they are or they are living in temporary shelters awaiting hopefully a helpful nation to become their guardian. However, no else is saying it is NATO fault or even the fall Qaddafi, which is the reason for crossing across the Mediterranean sea. There is more porous borders as well as the conflict in the Sahel Region that has continued. These are all reasons for the transport of refugees from the rest of the Sub-Saharan Africa. However, there was never a lid to be taken of the continent.
The EU Science Hub states:
“Between 2008 and 2016, the total annual number of African migrants remained stable. However, legal immigration was declining in this period, while the number of irregular arrivals and asylum claims of Africans increased. Irregular arrivals of Africans via the Mediterranean started to decline again in 2017.In Europe, the majority of African immigrants come from North Africa, with most people making the move to reunite with family members already settled in a European country” (EU Science Hub – ‘New perspectives on African migration’ 01.07.2018 link: https://ec.europa.eu/jrc/en/news/new-perspectives-african-migration).
EU Project opened more nations for Immigration:
“Clearly, African immigration to Europe was marked by increasing diversification both in the number of countries sending and receiving the immigrants. Particularly remarkable was the emergence of the southern European countries, principally Italy, Portugal, and Spain, themselves longstanding emigration countries, as immigration countries. This was as much a product of the improving economic fortunes in these countries and their integration into the prosperity and political sphere of Western Europe as it was of mounting immigration pressures on their borders to the east and the south. Enclosed in a new European transnational space, new identities of ethnicity and citizenship began to emerge that entailed creating both symbolic and material borders to keep away or distinguish the immigrants. The Europeanization of these countries and the rebordering of the Mediterranean that it implied required the separation and stigmatization ofimmigrants from the global South (Suarez-Navaz, 1997; Royo, 2005)” (Paul Tiyambe Zeleza – ‘Africa ‘s Contemporary Global Migrations: Patterns, Perils, and Possibilities’ P: 39, June 2010).
Migration Profile – Libya:
“Despite Libya being, first and foremost, a country of immigration, the deterioration of immigrants’ conditions in the country has also made it an important country for transit migration and particularly for the many migrants trying to reach Malta and the Italian Isle of Lampedusa As to emigration patterns, Libya has never recorded significant outward migration flows. However, during the 2011 unrest, there was an upsurge of Libyan nationals fleeing the country. According, though, to the authorities in neighbouring countries, the great majority are believed to already have returned to Libya” (…) “To conclude, two considerations can be made about the impact of the Libyan crisis on international migration movements. On the one hand, Sub Saharan nationals were without any doubt the people most at risk, both in Libya and at the borders (where repatriation activities led to an impasse). On the other hand, the capacity of neighbouring African countries to manage the crisis in terms of the reception of migrants was remarkable. (IOM, 2012)” (Migration Policy Center – ‘MPC – MIGRATION PROFILE Libya, June 2013).
As we can really see, is that what Friedman is saying is wrong. The African Migration to Europe has lasted long. That is not new and has usually followed to the previous Colonizers of the ones migrating. However, with the change of he European Union, has changed that pattern, but not opened up something. The Libyan Crisis and fall of Qaddafi have had is effect. However, the results by the EU and the IOM are stating not as bad as previously stated. Also that the “illegal” are rising, but less of the direct asylum-seekers, meaning their means and ways has changed, but the end-game are more of the same. They are still fleeing from crisis and wars in Sub-Saharan Africa, but they doing so by the shores of Northern Africa crossing into EU Countries.
So, the taking the lid off by invading and deposing Qaddafi seems like far-fetched. That is a lie, also a relic of the past, as Friedman sounds like they opened a box with a box-opener. This was simply done with getting rid of one dictator. He seems like that is the reason for the whole transit in Libya, not the whole conflict within the continent and neither the true nature of it all. As people are doing whatever they can to get shelter and hope for the future, because the International Community isn’t reacting or caring about the oppression in their nations. They are forgotten and know they will not get help, as the Western Powers are boasting these leaders who oppress and then people want to flee from these shores.
No lid was taken, it was never a lid there to begin with? Are there a lid that was opened so that United States could have space for all the slaves in the past? Or is there a lid taken of the brain of Trump? We all, the rest of the world really want to know.
Enough of this nonsense. Peace.