“Russia now promotes a conspiracy theory that it was allegedly a missile of Ukrainian air defense that fell on the Polish theory. Which is not true. No one should buy Russian propaganda or amplify its messages. This lesson should have been long learnt since the downing of #MH17” (Dmytro Kuleba, 15.11.2022).
“Rockets fell on Poland. Two people are dead – the journalist of Radio ZET Mariusz Gierszewski found out unofficially. Two stray rockets fell in the town of Przewodów in the Lublin Voivodeship near the border with Ukraine – Unofficially radio ZET learned. They hit the grain dryer. Two people were killed. There are police, prosecutor’s office and army on the spot” (…) “We have to wait for a thorough explanation of this situation. I assume that this is an incident, a mistake, resulting from the fact that Russia is using older and older types of missiles that are less precise – said the former head of the BBN Stanisław Koziej on TVN24” (RadioZet – ‘Rockets fell on Poland. There are fatalities’ 15.11.2022).
This war is just becoming a hot mess. The Russian Federation are striking now NATO nation Poland and does so with old missiles intended somewhere within Ukraine. Some might call it: “stray missiles”. However, this is the Russian war-machine and it’s greatness in action.
This is what you call an escalation. It is actually a crisis, because this is involving a NATO country and it’s integrity has been violated. Innocent civilians has been targeted and hit by the missiles. While Russian Forces maybe intended it to hit targets within Ukraine. The missiles went to Poland. It is practically waging war and saying Poland should “join”.
If anyone wondered what Russia is willing to do. Here we have it. They don’t mind hitting former Soviet Republic’s with missiles. Even when they are not waging war against them. Kremlin and such haven’t done other things than calling it “propaganda” and claiming it was “Ukrainian” made. However, Poland has radars that can establish where it came from and the source, which means they have the intelligence to know what happened. So, there is more trust in the victim, than the one firing the weapon.
With this in mind… one key ally and demagogue of Kremlin, Dmitry Medvedev wrote about Poland back in March 2022. Parts of this text is very interesting now in hindsight. Because, Medvedev promised more than he delivered the Polish people.
Just read it here:
“Now the interests of Polish citizens have been sacrificed to the Russophobia of these talentless politicians and their puppeteers from across the ocean with obvious signs of senile senility. The decision to refuse to buy Russian gas, oil and coal, opposition to Nord Stream-2 has already caused serious damage to the economy of this country. Now it will only worsen. The same applies to many other steps that are based not on the economy, but on politicking under the guise of “derusification. But now it is much more important for the vassal Polish elites to swear allegiance to their suzerain, America, than to help their own citizens, so they will keep up the fire of hatred against the enemy in Russia. What will the citizens gain from this? Absolutely nothing. But sooner or later, they will realize that hatred of Russia does nothing to strengthen society or promote prosperity and tranquility” (Dmitry Medvedev – “About Poland” (21.03.2022).
When a high ranking official like Medvedev could write this and say these things. It just shows the underlying sentiments out there in Russia. His not alone feeling this or saying these words. Medvedev is just the guy stating the silent things out loud. That’s why it’s fine today to reflect on the text he published in March. Especially, since the Russian Armed Forces attacked their soil and is downplaying it or trying to propagandize it.
We should all reflect on it await things with caution. Poland is within their rights to react and want an answer for all it. They are the party that has been hurt and viciously so. NATO Member States has to respond to its request and follow accordingly. We will surely know the impact in the next few days. The Polish Army is already put on “high alert” and we can anticipate more in the coming days.
NATO has to support Ukraine further and with better weapons. Because, now the Russian Armed Forces are able to hit their soil and kill civilians there. That is unacceptable….
Kremlin, Putin and the Duma should come with proper statements. Not just dismiss it. They would have cried havoc or been all out crazy bonanza, if the missiles had hit Russian soil from a NATO allied nation. That we know and that’s why Russia should act within reason too. They are maybe able to trick their population to believe their lies. However, Europeans knows the truth here and see the impact of the war in Ukraine. Therefore, we know how the Russians are carpet-bombing and hitting civilian infrastructure.
So, it is now time for action and resolve. It is time to further expand the help of the Ukrainian war-effort and ensure their path to victory. Because, that is the only way to end this. Since, Russians are willing to defy rules of war and also create further escalations. Which could actually invoke Article 5 of the NATO pact. That’s what the Russians are up too and the Article 4 is only to begin with. Those decisions are now up to Poland and we all should recognize that. They are the party that is threaten and is hit. Peace.
“One of the great opportunities of Brexit is our ability to trade more with countries around the world. I know that the right hon. Lady will want to speak to many of the Welsh farmers who are enjoying selling their lamb to the new markets that we have opened up for them. That is what we will get on and deliver” – Prime Minister Rishi Sunak (09.11.2022).
The new Prime Minister in the PMQs answered a question about international trading from Liz Saville Roberts MP. Who asked a serious question in concerns with the forecasts from the Office for Budget Responsibility, which states the trade will be lowered by 15%. In response to that, the PM answered this and went on about selling welsh lambs.
This isn’t a case of only mutton. No, this is a case of botched opportunities and losing the European Single Market. The realities of Brexit is setting in and as a Third Country, the losses are piling up. That’s why the export industries has been hit and other industries have even flagged out of the United Kingdom. Because, they are safer to be within the European Union and the Single Market… than risking their bets from the UK.
That’s why it’s interesting not only the mention of a bad forecasts from the OBR. There are other reports coming with shattering numbers, which the former Chancellor should be worried about.
Just read this:
“David Jinks, head of consumer research at logistics firm ParcelHero, commented: “Britain’s exporters of goods, from food to cars, have all suffered from the impact of the poorly negotiated Brexit trade agreement and increased red tape and duties. The same applies to services, from finance to computing, which now fall outside the regulated EU services market. “Perhaps most disappointingly, these latest results reveal Britain failed to successfully transition away from the EU to other overseas markets – one of the positive outcomes promised by Brexiteers. Looking at two vital export markets beyond the EU, the numbers also tumbled. “Perhaps the situation is summed up best by looking at the UK’s exports to the whole of the EU. In 2019, they stood at a healthy £298bn. By 2021, they had slumped by £30bn to £268bn, but even that was a huge lift from the £259bn they had tumbled to in 2020, in the immediate aftermath of Brexit.”” (Chris Sparks – ‘UK Exports Slump In The Aftermath Of Brexit’ 31.10.2022, Businessplus.ie).
A conclusion from one paper:
“Across EU member states, we find that Brexit has led to a significant decline in trade with the UK in almost all cases although by varying magnitudes. Looking at the different margins of trade, we find a substantial reduction in the number of products traded from the UK to the EU. However, for EU to UKtrade, three quarters of the estimated fall in trade can be attributed to the intensive margin. This is consistent with a pattern of smaller trade flows more impacted by changes in trade costs in the UK to EU direction and hence ceasing to trade” (Janez Kren & Martina Lawless – ‘How has Brexit changed EU-UK trade flows?’, October 2022, Economic & Social Research Institute (ESRI) – ESRI Working Paper No. 735).
When a man like David Jinks is stating this. We have already seen how the Seafood industry and Animal industry has reacted to the effects of Brexit. There has been businesses and such who has lost out a lot, because of it. Brexit has brought a lot of ramifications and no deal or the free trade agreement (FTA) has the ability to cover the losses of trading within the EU.
Brexit promised a fantasy land, which haven’t appeared. The dreams of leaving the EU and getting full sovereignty haven’t cut it for the businesses. The exporters has been hit and the logistical firms has also been devastated by it. This is the true costs of operating from the outside and also locking itself from the European continent by default.
The losses of the trade agreements which the UK had through the membership of EU hasn’t been replicated either. Neither is it getting the same sort of treatment or abilities to export to the EU. That’s the consequence of the Withdrawal Agreement and successive negotiations ever since. The UK has failed here and they are continuing the agony.
The Prime Minister can make lofty promises and say the Brexit will create a new day tomorrow. However, the realities are the same and the UK haven’t established or been able to generate deals, which are as beneficial as being part of the single market. That is just an issue that will linger on. Because, that’s what gave the UK a huge boost and simplistic trading partner with the EU Member States, which it doesn’t have today.
So, when Sunak says there is lots of opportunities, as a result of Brexit. I don’t see it and I only see a lie. All things are showing that the downturn and the affects of Brexit is a decline. The Brexit itself has only cost and it isn’t changing for the better. Peace.
“The main thing for us is to inform the world about the ongoing Russian aggression, about the destabilizing influence that Russia exerts. When the world is focused on combating war, energy and food crises, the destruction of customary international relations, the climate agenda is clearly suffering. And the destruction of the climate cannot somehow be put on hold… Therefore, anyone who is serious about the climate agenda should also be serious about the need to immediately stop Russian aggression, restore our territorial integrity, and force Russia into genuine peace negotiations. Into such negotiations, which we have repeatedly proposed, and to which we always received insane Russian responses with new terrorist attacks, shelling or blackmail. Once again – restoration of territorial integrity, respect for the UN Charter, compensation for all damages caused by the war, punishment of every war criminal and guarantees that this will not happen again. These are completely understandable conditions” – President Volodymyr Zelensky (07.11.2022).
Today is the 258 days since the Russian-Belorussian invasion of Ukraine on the 24th February 2022. Again the Ukrainian President is pleading to the world. As the war is raving and the missiles of Russia is hitting critical infrastructure in Ukraine. There are so many vicious acts done by the invader. Still the leadership of Kyiv is keeping their heads cool and collected.
The Russian Federation and it’s armies are still on Ukrainian soil. The Russian armies have been retreating and the Ukrainian forces have been defended their territories. They are able with time to not only hold the front-lines, but get further into the territories the Russians invaded since February. They have also been able to take back territories, which the Russian had taken with the usage of “separatists” in Donbass.
We know this war already has massive consequences not only on the battlefields, as the Russian armies has been destroyed and stopped in their tracks. The Ukrainian defensive forces has also been hit. There are thousands of in-action personnel that has died. However, there is others who has been hit by this.
OHCHR has reported this: “From 24 February to 6 November 2022, OHCHR recorded 16,462 civilian casualties in Ukraine: 6,490 killed and 9,972 injured” (OHCHR – Ukraine: Civilian casualties as of 24:00 6 November 2022, 07.11.2022). That’s the just the civilians they have reported. Most likely much worse and higher numbers, as the shelling, the air-raids and the missiles has created more casualties than this. It isn’t like the Russian air-force or drones for that matter has tried only to hit military installations. No, the Russian air-force has hit everything and everyone in their path.
That’s why Zelensky’s words are reasonable… not that Kremlin or Moscow will accept it. They wanted Kyiv to surrender and get annexed. The regime in Moscow didn’t want a strong or a viable neighbour. They wanted a puppet and a bunch of “yes-men” running business in Kyiv. That’s why they have vilified the leadership of Kyiv and claimed obnoxious things about the people of Ukraine.
We know that Putin will not accept this, because for him and his allies. The war and the “Special Operation” is all justified. The war was issued with the interests of great Russia. They were returning old territories to Russia. However, Ukraine isn’t accepting that and the sovereign state is defending itself. The reasons for attacking Ukraine has changed from Russia. Nevertheless, the key has always been about superiority and resurrecting the Russian Empire. Putin couldn’t do that without Ukraine. Ukraine was just supposed to die, so he could live in glory. That’s all that mattered to Kremlin and the rulers of Russia.
That’s why the words of Zelensky won’t go anywhere in Russia. Putin will not listen or even care. The words of Zelensky is just hot-air to him. This is why these words are sort of futile, but shows the difference between Kyiv and Moscow at the moment. There are reasonable requests from Kyiv, while we know Moscow will act like a victim and want more. They will not accept to give anything or such.
No, they only wants Kyiv to give way and buy peace. The mighty Russia isn’t supposed to bow down to anyone. Especially, not the likes of Ukraine. However, on the battlefields right now. The Russians are losing and Ukraine is slowly winning. That must hurt the pride of Kremlin. They are not superior, but losing at their own game.
Time will tell. Zelensky is smart, but will Putin listen? I would say no… there is no suggestion that he will. He will only talk when he has the upper-hand and that’s not now. Peace.
“I will unite our country, not with words, but with action. I will work day in and day out to deliver for you. This government will have integrity, professionalism and accountability at every level” – Prime Minister Rishi Sunak (25.10.2022).
The Prime Minister with his announced cabinet reshuffle is really re-issuing some known faces from Boris Johnson and giving way to some of the appointees of Liz Truss. This isn’t a sign of a new era or a change towards reform. No, this is a continuation of the latter years and not much significant changes either.
Prime Minister Rishi Sunak isn’t doing anyone any real favours here. Appoint the likes of Dominic Raab and Michael Gove. Neither is the likes of Therese Coffey or Suella Braverman choices of reason. The pick of Penny Mourdaunt seems just to buy peace, as she was his competition for the office in the first place. Others are re-appointments or re-shuffling into new positions. The one who has been everywhere this it seems, Nadhim Zahawi. That just shows it all and the public should understand the game now.
PM Sunak is just trying to find the sweet spot between the ERG, the Boris clique and the alliance around Truss. Just so he has everyone covered and within his reach. That will be tricky position and it won’t be easy to pull off. No, he has to be on the proximity of all these groups and still able to play ball. If he has shortcomings or isn’t finding the right path. There will be resignation and claims that he differs from the “mandate” and what the Tories was “elected to do”. That will be the end-game here.
Heck, what is striking that Sunak has even appointed people who was in the cabinet of Theresa May. He is re-appointing and using old heads who haven’t made things better. That’s the likes of Jeremy Hunt, who also was appointed in the last minute of Truss cabinet too. Therefore, Sunak is really just trying to play with everyone.
While his only appointing a few loyalists of himself too. Nevertheless, it doesn’t seem to be many of these. That means that the ones around him are people who can turn on him quickly. The moment the buck stops and the knives are out… they will turn on him and bury him like they did the predecessors.
Prime Minister Sunak promised a government of integrity, professionalism and accountability… while he has chosen similar characters and MPs into cabinet, which has shown the opposite. The PM has taken in people who has broke the ministerial code and haven’t valued the Nolan principals either.
The PM has to prove his words, but the appointed ministers proves these words was all fluff. It was for publicity, but he appointed the opposite to unite the party. He didn’t appoint these ones to be more professional or show integrity.
Who appoints Braverman and Gove for integrity? Who appoints Raab for professionalism?
Well, this cabinet is just the Tories best-of-hits… and it’s not looking good. It is just the first day, but it’s not looking good for Sunak. Who isn’t changing tune, but is just another one. Peace.
“I am afraid to say—and I will come to a close soon—that that is why it was a central purpose of the Police, Crime, Sentencing and Courts Bill, now an Act, to properly empower the police in face of the protests, yet Opposition Members voted against it. Had Opposition Members in the other place not blocked these measures when they were in the Police, Crime, Sentencing and Courts Bill, the police would have already had many of the powers in this Bill and the British people would not have been put through this grief. Yes, I am afraid that it is the Labour party, the Lib Dems, the coalition of chaos, the Guardian-reading, tofu-eating wokerati and, dare I say, the anti-growth coalition that we have to thank for the disruption we are seeing on our roads today. I urge Opposition MPs and Members of the other place to take this second chance, do the right thing, respect the rights of the law-abiding majority and support this Bill” – Suella Braverman MP (18.10.2022).
That the new Prime Minister Rishi Sunak appoints Suella Braverman MP as the Home Secretary after her first stint is beyond me. That is a validation of not only breaching ministerial code with the usage of a private email. However, Braverman could easily be investigated for this and be held accountable for doing so. This in combination of possibly creating problems with a trade-deal between the United Kingdom and India. Therefore, Sunak as an PM is risking a lot by doing this.
That Sunak is possibly having a walking liability here. Braverman can easily create more fire and trouble. Not only pushing for the deportations to Rwanda. She can do even more despicable things and use her office for the controversial right-wing parts of the Conservative Party. That’s why she can quickly become worse and more excessive than Priti Patel MP ever was in this office. This is very grim… but the reality.
Just read these pieces about her:
“In terms of her political history, Ms Braverman is a hardline Brexiteer and stands on the right-wing of the Conservative Party. She also supported the controversial decision to send migrants to Rwanda” (Charlotte Hawes – ‘Suella Braverman: Who is the Fareham MP, is she Attorney General, is she married to Rael Braverman, did they get married in Hampshire, and where did she come in the Tory leadership race?’ 07.07.2022, Portsmouth.co.uk).
“Braverman, 42, has been the MP for Fareham since 2015, and in April 2020 became Attorney General for England and Wales and Advocate General for Northern Ireland – an appointment which immediately alarmed civil liberty groups, and within months was harshly criticised by members of the Bar Association, who accused Braverman of bypassing legal advisers and the ministerial code over the course of Brexit” (Sean Bell – ‘Who is Suella Braverman? This is the Tory hopeful planning a ‘war on wokeness’’ 11.07.2022, The National Scotland).
“On Wednesday, the 42-year-old Suella Braverman, whose parents have Indian origins, quit the government just 43 days into her role as home secretary. In recent times, Braverman has been on rocky grounds with the prime minister owing to her stand on the trade deal with India, saying it would increase migration to the UK when Indians already represented the largest group of visa overstayers. She had also attributed the violence in Leicester following an India-Pakistan cricket match to uncontrolled migration and the “failure of newcomers to integrate”. While she acknowledged her mistake in using her personal email for official correspondence, she also accused the government of breaking “key pledges” and of “pretending we haven’t made mistakes”” (FP Explainers – ‘Explained: How Suella Braverman’s resignation as Britain’s home secretary spells more trouble for Liz Truss’ 20.10.2022, Firstpost.com).
It is really amazing that she has been able to return within 6 days of resigning. The resignation was to tarnish and earn points on the downfall of Liz Truss. Now she is returning back in the role after week away. Where she will now represent the same ministry she only had for 43 days. That’s what she did and stood for at the moment.
Clearly she wants power and enjoys it. She will meet the wokerati and the Tofu-Eating Guardian-reading people in the near future. That is just obvious. Braverman will be remembered for these statement in Parliament. I am expecting more reckless statements like this. That comes with the territory and the way she is.
What is striking is that Sunak didn’t see the red-flags and the troubles associated with her. To re-appoint her now. After she revealed her breach of ministerial code just a week ago. That she is still entrusted with the role of Home Secretary. This is really revealing of how Sunak is gambling and doing what he can to “unify” the party. However, his not building trust in the Kingdom. Many is already disgusted and disappointed. That’s happening on the first day on the job.
That’s impressive and a waste of potential. I didn’t expect magic from Sunak. However, here is the master-stroke and the possible downfall… Peace.
The ones that is rising up in hopes and grabbing their chair of joy. I would say your turning the tables a bit to fast. People should remember the time that Rishi Sunak, one of the wealthiest men in the United Kingdom was the Chancellor. He held that role for some time and had the ability to shift economic policies. That’s why this period has to be considered now that his officially the new Prime Minister of the United Kingdom.
I don’t want any ill for the man. This is his moment of prestige and prominence. He is taking over from a hectic turmoil of Truss and the falling pendulum of Boris Johnson. All the things that the Tories has done for 12 years and the shifts of policies are now rearing it’s ugly head. That’s not Sunak’s fault, but he was a part of it. He had plenty of time to make a difference, but he chose to align and work within those perimeters.
That’s why as his becoming the Leader of the Conservative Party and the Prime Minister. This is happening with the blessing of the Tories MPs and not the electorate. His the third PM of the 2022. Previously in the year he lost the campaign to Truss and now he succeeded the second time. Meaning his resilience and will to get there pushed him over the finish-line.
Because of that backdrop, I dropping a few breadcrumbs from the outlook on his term. The people he picks or appoints in cabinet will be detrimental and show his real alliances. Just like Truss chose to be aligned with ERG group of MPs. The same will be important to follow with Rishi.
That’s why these texts are important!
“When it comes to tax and spend, Rishi Sunak is proposing nothing beyond current government policy in the short term – unsurprisingly, given that he set these policies as Chancellor. We therefore know a lot about what we would get under his premiership, at least initially, without his having to say much. We would have tax heading towards its highest sustained level in 70 years as a share of national income, though with an intention to bring taxes down once he has ‘gripped inflation’” (…) “There would be some headroom against the government’s fiscal targets – including the target of taxes covering all day-to-day spending by 2024-25 – though not enough to allow the Chancellor to rest easy, given the degree of economic turbulence and uncertainty. In the longer term, Mr Sunak has been clear that he does wish to cut taxes, but not until inflation has fallen back” (Stuart Adam Robert Joyce Isabel Stockton Tom Waters and Ben Zaranko – ‘ Tax and spending policies of Conservative leadership contenders’ 21.07.2022, The Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS)).
“The hike and the controversial loan-not-loan to deal with rising energy prices is “Treasury’s revenge for profligacy,” said another senior MP. But for many, it also highlights the line between good politics and good economics. If you hurt people in their pocket, it’s unlikely they are going to reward you at the polls. “The economic problems are starting to stick to him,” says another senior backbencher. “I think we are past peak Rishi.”” (Catherine Neilan – ‘’Past peak Rishi’: Why Conservative support is ebbing from Sunak as favourite to replace Boris Johnson’ 14.02.2022, Business Insider).
“Whether Sunak has penned a note for his successor quipping that the money is all gone remains to be seen. He undoubtedly should. The Chancellor leaves a worse legacy than perhaps any predecessor of modern times. Inflation is running at nine per cent. The trade deficit has blown out to a mind-boggling eight per cent of GDP. The pound is tanking on the currency markets, real wages are collapsing, strikes are rampant, and the economy is heading for a recession. It is possible that Tony Barber, Edward Heath’s Chancellor of the early 1970s, left the nation’s finances in a worse state. But even that is debatable” (Matthew Lynn – ‘Rishi Sunak won’t be missed as Chancellor’ 05.07.2022, The Spectator).
There are certain aspects here that will key for the future. It is not like Sunak isn’t in favour of tax-cuts as well. That was the downfall of Truss and Kwateng. Certainly and hopefully he doesn’t usher in another “biscotti”. Who knows if his naive enough to do so?
What is striking is that his time as a Chancellor bought him enough peace in Westminster, but not across the Kingdom. Neither does he have the confidence or the grand support as other Prime Ministers. There is already calling for a snap election or a General Election. Since, the coronation of Sunak will be questioned. He don’t have a mandate or a popular vote behind him. His just a MP crowned because the two previous PM’s failed miserably.
Now as PM Rishi Sunak has not only to prove himself and his worth. Truss has broken the economy and the financial market. The Truss cabinet created worse for pensioners, gilt-markets and the mortgages, as the energy crisis is growing ahead of winter. Therefore, the Prime Minister has to stand tall and isn’t having it easy. That with the costs and burdens of Brexit will be put on him. The ramifications of that in combination of the downturn after the lockdowns and the biscotti “mini-budget” will linger over his head. There is no soft landing or time for a waiting period. He has to carry the weight and pick the right aides to find a way out of this.
As PM Sunak will not have the time or the ability to fail. We see how that cost Truss. He cannot do the same and risk it on the altar of financial speculations. That would again create prolonged agony and further the downfall of the financial market. The Tories has already shown how arrogant or ignorant of the plights of the general public. Now, one of the wealthiest men of the Kingdom has to prove that he cares and have the answers.
Time will tell if he does. It won’t be easy and he has to chose wisely. In the beginning he cannot risk or take gamble. If he does… he can easily follow Truss and be a short-term PM without a legacy worth clinging on too. Peace.
“Even the former Labour Shadow Chancellor admits – I’m the candidate Labour fears most” (Penny Mordaunt, 24.10.2022).
Today there is finally only two candidates for the leader of the Conservative Party and the Prime Minister. The role will be held by the winner after Liz Truss resigned. Last night Boris Johnson pulled out after lying about the support of MPs. However, there are two MPs left chasing the title.
This is Penny Mordaunt and Rishi Sunak. They are both compete for it. While Rishi Sunak has already crossed the threshold and is within the realm of victory. He has over a 100 MPs on his side. He could have a coronation later today or tomorrow for that matter.
Whille Mordaunt is clinging on to her chance. This is the second time she is trying this year. Penny tried last time to, but fell flat to Truss and Sunak then. Now, she hopes to overcome it. Because, we know the degenerates will be on her side and we have heard how Sunak has been cascaded on the radio over his ethnicity. Therefore, she hopes she can pull it through.
This game it’s hard to tell what will happen. Though the one with the most solid backing right now is Rishi. Rishi who is also standing for a second time this year after losing to Truss earlier in the year. He overcame Boris Johnson this time around and Penny shouldn’t have a chance. However, these things aren’t rational at this point.
The Tories are a wreck and on the brink of total collapse. The Tory MPs could say to Penny: “Back down, take the L and move-on”. Though we shouldn’t count on it. Boris could easily say to his allies. Back Penny instead of Sunak. Because, he want to avenge himself now, before he prolongs his vacation, which has lasted since 7th July 2022 and he only returned for his second bid to become the Prime Minister.
These two will now fight it out. Sunak wants to avoid the membership to vote. That’s how Truss certainly won the last time. It wasn’t with a huge margin, but enough to beat Sunak. The same could happen again, if the two was to compete with the membership of the party. Mordaunt clearly wants the membership to vote, because Sunak didn’t win last time. It would be detrimental to Sunak to be coronated swiftly.
Anyone who has followed and seen, Sunak has a chance in this and should be the next PM. However, with knowledge of what could happen. There could suddenly be a surge of support for Mordaunt during the day, which would make this more challenging. While at this moment… there isn’t really a race, but a safe journey for Sunak.
He should be the one in this, but the Tories are easy to come with the knives and change the narrative in a hot minute. Just like so many MPs called for the end of Boris, but just yesterday vouched for him again. Therefore, we cannot totally trust them to be consistent or stable in their train of thought. They will fish for relevancy and possible pay-offs for their “loyalty”. That’s why some things might easily change during the day.
Mordaunt versus Sunak… who knew, right? But that’s where we are in October 2022. Peace.