“Russia now promotes a conspiracy theory that it was allegedly a missile of Ukrainian air defense that fell on the Polish theory. Which is not true. No one should buy Russian propaganda or amplify its messages. This lesson should have been long learnt since the downing of #MH17” (Dmytro Kuleba, 15.11.2022).
“Rockets fell on Poland. Two people are dead – the journalist of Radio ZET Mariusz Gierszewski found out unofficially. Two stray rockets fell in the town of Przewodów in the Lublin Voivodeship near the border with Ukraine – Unofficially radio ZET learned. They hit the grain dryer. Two people were killed. There are police, prosecutor’s office and army on the spot” (…) “We have to wait for a thorough explanation of this situation. I assume that this is an incident, a mistake, resulting from the fact that Russia is using older and older types of missiles that are less precise – said the former head of the BBN Stanisław Koziej on TVN24” (RadioZet – ‘Rockets fell on Poland. There are fatalities’ 15.11.2022).
This war is just becoming a hot mess. The Russian Federation are striking now NATO nation Poland and does so with old missiles intended somewhere within Ukraine. Some might call it: “stray missiles”. However, this is the Russian war-machine and it’s greatness in action.
This is what you call an escalation. It is actually a crisis, because this is involving a NATO country and it’s integrity has been violated. Innocent civilians has been targeted and hit by the missiles. While Russian Forces maybe intended it to hit targets within Ukraine. The missiles went to Poland. It is practically waging war and saying Poland should “join”.
If anyone wondered what Russia is willing to do. Here we have it. They don’t mind hitting former Soviet Republic’s with missiles. Even when they are not waging war against them. Kremlin and such haven’t done other things than calling it “propaganda” and claiming it was “Ukrainian” made. However, Poland has radars that can establish where it came from and the source, which means they have the intelligence to know what happened. So, there is more trust in the victim, than the one firing the weapon.
With this in mind… one key ally and demagogue of Kremlin, Dmitry Medvedev wrote about Poland back in March 2022. Parts of this text is very interesting now in hindsight. Because, Medvedev promised more than he delivered the Polish people.
Just read it here:
“Now the interests of Polish citizens have been sacrificed to the Russophobia of these talentless politicians and their puppeteers from across the ocean with obvious signs of senile senility. The decision to refuse to buy Russian gas, oil and coal, opposition to Nord Stream-2 has already caused serious damage to the economy of this country. Now it will only worsen. The same applies to many other steps that are based not on the economy, but on politicking under the guise of “derusification. But now it is much more important for the vassal Polish elites to swear allegiance to their suzerain, America, than to help their own citizens, so they will keep up the fire of hatred against the enemy in Russia. What will the citizens gain from this? Absolutely nothing. But sooner or later, they will realize that hatred of Russia does nothing to strengthen society or promote prosperity and tranquility” (Dmitry Medvedev – “About Poland” (21.03.2022).
When a high ranking official like Medvedev could write this and say these things. It just shows the underlying sentiments out there in Russia. His not alone feeling this or saying these words. Medvedev is just the guy stating the silent things out loud. That’s why it’s fine today to reflect on the text he published in March. Especially, since the Russian Armed Forces attacked their soil and is downplaying it or trying to propagandize it.
We should all reflect on it await things with caution. Poland is within their rights to react and want an answer for all it. They are the party that has been hurt and viciously so. NATO Member States has to respond to its request and follow accordingly. We will surely know the impact in the next few days. The Polish Army is already put on “high alert” and we can anticipate more in the coming days.
NATO has to support Ukraine further and with better weapons. Because, now the Russian Armed Forces are able to hit their soil and kill civilians there. That is unacceptable….
Kremlin, Putin and the Duma should come with proper statements. Not just dismiss it. They would have cried havoc or been all out crazy bonanza, if the missiles had hit Russian soil from a NATO allied nation. That we know and that’s why Russia should act within reason too. They are maybe able to trick their population to believe their lies. However, Europeans knows the truth here and see the impact of the war in Ukraine. Therefore, we know how the Russians are carpet-bombing and hitting civilian infrastructure.
So, it is now time for action and resolve. It is time to further expand the help of the Ukrainian war-effort and ensure their path to victory. Because, that is the only way to end this. Since, Russians are willing to defy rules of war and also create further escalations. Which could actually invoke Article 5 of the NATO pact. That’s what the Russians are up too and the Article 4 is only to begin with. Those decisions are now up to Poland and we all should recognize that. They are the party that is threaten and is hit. Peace.
“One of the great opportunities of Brexit is our ability to trade more with countries around the world. I know that the right hon. Lady will want to speak to many of the Welsh farmers who are enjoying selling their lamb to the new markets that we have opened up for them. That is what we will get on and deliver” – Prime Minister Rishi Sunak (09.11.2022).
The new Prime Minister in the PMQs answered a question about international trading from Liz Saville Roberts MP. Who asked a serious question in concerns with the forecasts from the Office for Budget Responsibility, which states the trade will be lowered by 15%. In response to that, the PM answered this and went on about selling welsh lambs.
This isn’t a case of only mutton. No, this is a case of botched opportunities and losing the European Single Market. The realities of Brexit is setting in and as a Third Country, the losses are piling up. That’s why the export industries has been hit and other industries have even flagged out of the United Kingdom. Because, they are safer to be within the European Union and the Single Market… than risking their bets from the UK.
That’s why it’s interesting not only the mention of a bad forecasts from the OBR. There are other reports coming with shattering numbers, which the former Chancellor should be worried about.
Just read this:
“David Jinks, head of consumer research at logistics firm ParcelHero, commented: “Britain’s exporters of goods, from food to cars, have all suffered from the impact of the poorly negotiated Brexit trade agreement and increased red tape and duties. The same applies to services, from finance to computing, which now fall outside the regulated EU services market. “Perhaps most disappointingly, these latest results reveal Britain failed to successfully transition away from the EU to other overseas markets – one of the positive outcomes promised by Brexiteers. Looking at two vital export markets beyond the EU, the numbers also tumbled. “Perhaps the situation is summed up best by looking at the UK’s exports to the whole of the EU. In 2019, they stood at a healthy £298bn. By 2021, they had slumped by £30bn to £268bn, but even that was a huge lift from the £259bn they had tumbled to in 2020, in the immediate aftermath of Brexit.”” (Chris Sparks – ‘UK Exports Slump In The Aftermath Of Brexit’ 31.10.2022, Businessplus.ie).
A conclusion from one paper:
“Across EU member states, we find that Brexit has led to a significant decline in trade with the UK in almost all cases although by varying magnitudes. Looking at the different margins of trade, we find a substantial reduction in the number of products traded from the UK to the EU. However, for EU to UKtrade, three quarters of the estimated fall in trade can be attributed to the intensive margin. This is consistent with a pattern of smaller trade flows more impacted by changes in trade costs in the UK to EU direction and hence ceasing to trade” (Janez Kren & Martina Lawless – ‘How has Brexit changed EU-UK trade flows?’, October 2022, Economic & Social Research Institute (ESRI) – ESRI Working Paper No. 735).
When a man like David Jinks is stating this. We have already seen how the Seafood industry and Animal industry has reacted to the effects of Brexit. There has been businesses and such who has lost out a lot, because of it. Brexit has brought a lot of ramifications and no deal or the free trade agreement (FTA) has the ability to cover the losses of trading within the EU.
Brexit promised a fantasy land, which haven’t appeared. The dreams of leaving the EU and getting full sovereignty haven’t cut it for the businesses. The exporters has been hit and the logistical firms has also been devastated by it. This is the true costs of operating from the outside and also locking itself from the European continent by default.
The losses of the trade agreements which the UK had through the membership of EU hasn’t been replicated either. Neither is it getting the same sort of treatment or abilities to export to the EU. That’s the consequence of the Withdrawal Agreement and successive negotiations ever since. The UK has failed here and they are continuing the agony.
The Prime Minister can make lofty promises and say the Brexit will create a new day tomorrow. However, the realities are the same and the UK haven’t established or been able to generate deals, which are as beneficial as being part of the single market. That is just an issue that will linger on. Because, that’s what gave the UK a huge boost and simplistic trading partner with the EU Member States, which it doesn’t have today.
So, when Sunak says there is lots of opportunities, as a result of Brexit. I don’t see it and I only see a lie. All things are showing that the downturn and the affects of Brexit is a decline. The Brexit itself has only cost and it isn’t changing for the better. Peace.
“The main thing for us is to inform the world about the ongoing Russian aggression, about the destabilizing influence that Russia exerts. When the world is focused on combating war, energy and food crises, the destruction of customary international relations, the climate agenda is clearly suffering. And the destruction of the climate cannot somehow be put on hold… Therefore, anyone who is serious about the climate agenda should also be serious about the need to immediately stop Russian aggression, restore our territorial integrity, and force Russia into genuine peace negotiations. Into such negotiations, which we have repeatedly proposed, and to which we always received insane Russian responses with new terrorist attacks, shelling or blackmail. Once again – restoration of territorial integrity, respect for the UN Charter, compensation for all damages caused by the war, punishment of every war criminal and guarantees that this will not happen again. These are completely understandable conditions” – President Volodymyr Zelensky (07.11.2022).
Today is the 258 days since the Russian-Belorussian invasion of Ukraine on the 24th February 2022. Again the Ukrainian President is pleading to the world. As the war is raving and the missiles of Russia is hitting critical infrastructure in Ukraine. There are so many vicious acts done by the invader. Still the leadership of Kyiv is keeping their heads cool and collected.
The Russian Federation and it’s armies are still on Ukrainian soil. The Russian armies have been retreating and the Ukrainian forces have been defended their territories. They are able with time to not only hold the front-lines, but get further into the territories the Russians invaded since February. They have also been able to take back territories, which the Russian had taken with the usage of “separatists” in Donbass.
We know this war already has massive consequences not only on the battlefields, as the Russian armies has been destroyed and stopped in their tracks. The Ukrainian defensive forces has also been hit. There are thousands of in-action personnel that has died. However, there is others who has been hit by this.
OHCHR has reported this: “From 24 February to 6 November 2022, OHCHR recorded 16,462 civilian casualties in Ukraine: 6,490 killed and 9,972 injured” (OHCHR – Ukraine: Civilian casualties as of 24:00 6 November 2022, 07.11.2022). That’s the just the civilians they have reported. Most likely much worse and higher numbers, as the shelling, the air-raids and the missiles has created more casualties than this. It isn’t like the Russian air-force or drones for that matter has tried only to hit military installations. No, the Russian air-force has hit everything and everyone in their path.
That’s why Zelensky’s words are reasonable… not that Kremlin or Moscow will accept it. They wanted Kyiv to surrender and get annexed. The regime in Moscow didn’t want a strong or a viable neighbour. They wanted a puppet and a bunch of “yes-men” running business in Kyiv. That’s why they have vilified the leadership of Kyiv and claimed obnoxious things about the people of Ukraine.
We know that Putin will not accept this, because for him and his allies. The war and the “Special Operation” is all justified. The war was issued with the interests of great Russia. They were returning old territories to Russia. However, Ukraine isn’t accepting that and the sovereign state is defending itself. The reasons for attacking Ukraine has changed from Russia. Nevertheless, the key has always been about superiority and resurrecting the Russian Empire. Putin couldn’t do that without Ukraine. Ukraine was just supposed to die, so he could live in glory. That’s all that mattered to Kremlin and the rulers of Russia.
That’s why the words of Zelensky won’t go anywhere in Russia. Putin will not listen or even care. The words of Zelensky is just hot-air to him. This is why these words are sort of futile, but shows the difference between Kyiv and Moscow at the moment. There are reasonable requests from Kyiv, while we know Moscow will act like a victim and want more. They will not accept to give anything or such.
No, they only wants Kyiv to give way and buy peace. The mighty Russia isn’t supposed to bow down to anyone. Especially, not the likes of Ukraine. However, on the battlefields right now. The Russians are losing and Ukraine is slowly winning. That must hurt the pride of Kremlin. They are not superior, but losing at their own game.
Time will tell. Zelensky is smart, but will Putin listen? I would say no… there is no suggestion that he will. He will only talk when he has the upper-hand and that’s not now. Peace.