Coup – MinBane

Opinion: Junta’s won’t last forever…

“You could live by the gun, or die by the bullet” – Tony Yayo – ‘Live By The Gun’ 2005

The army commanders and the ones taking power by force. They are forgetting one thing… their honeymoons and their transitional stages cannot last forever. The soldiers and the ones within their ranks are waiting their turn. They are seeing how the putschists are eating and they also want a plate.

Sooner or later… it will be their turn. That’s why junta government doesn’t last. Most of them fall rather quick or loose total control. The centre is fragile and only strength is the trust between army commanders. Army commanders that are now corrupted and high on power. They have gone from being people who defend the borders and kills terrorists. To suddenly ensure civilian authorities, government tenders and whatnot. Which gives them endless opportunities to get a cut.

They quickly forget how they got there. The ones who take power promises heaven on earth. There will be democratic institutions, free and fair elections and everything else that you could ask. These leaders will say they are there to save the nation and the sovereignty. That’s what they do and had to do it. If they didn’t… the Republic would be lost.

The Generals and the other high ranking officials who has government posts won’t suddenly go back to the barracks. No, they have finally gotten a way in and they didn’t even have to sway the public. They just did what they do best and outsmarted an unpopular head of state. That’s why the coup d’etat went so smooth and cost so few lives. Because, nobody really wanted the guy as a President and continue the agony of his government.

Therefore, the people is giddy when the lonely fella is off the throne. They are happy to see someone else and finally have hope. Nevertheless, in most cases they become corrupted, greedy and selfish. They will do some good work and build up some prestigious policies. However, you shouldn’t have your hopes up. That is only done to legitimize this affair and ensure the public give them a second chance to continue.

At one point or another. The truth will be revealed and how they are misusing the offices. As they are pillaging and looting the coffers. They have found a way of siphoning funds and spending it like drunk sailors abroad. Buying real-estate, SUVs and even houses for their mistresses. That’s what they do and they are proud of it too.

These army men who took power hope people are naive and believes their stories. The porkies that gives them life. That’s all they have… regardless of it the facts of the matter. They will not save you or the population. It might seem so and they influence the people to think so. However, they will stifle the press, the stop civic education and dissidents will be in trouble. The ones who dares to challenge them will suffer or even be silenced until eternity.

That’s why no one will be scorned. They will block people out of patriotism and national interests, but sooner or later this will narrowed down to all criticism. The ones in the inner-circle will defend and shield the ruler. He will be the supreme one and nobody should ever question his judgment. The ones that does… ends up in the slammer or a six feet under.

This is why they aimed the gun and won power. The moment they silence the guns and trust in their own egos. That’s when someone could do the same thing they did and with hostility takeover. Another coup d’etat and the circle continues. One big-man becomes several of big-men.

I don’t have to much hope. They might sound splendid and be orally smart as leaders. This doesn’t mean their heart is pure or their motives are to serve the public. They come as men of arms and soldiers of fortune. The army commanders wouldn’t have toppled governments if it wasn’t for self-interests too. They read the signs of the times and saw an opportunity.

The army commanders succeeded, but the moment they are a little slow or late. That’s when someone will strike them down. Peace.

Opinion: Coups are inevitable in our time…

The latest in coup d’etat in Gabon is only a reminder of how it is done. The army intervention in Libreville decided the fate of the ruling regime and deposed of it quickly. Today we are now discussing the fact and people are trying to figure out the future.

That’s why I am writing piece. The coup d’etat isn’t a new thing. That sort of military activity or sponsored means to end has existed for a long time. Coups have been supported internally and externally. Every nation has a various of different reasons for why it happens.

One key one is lack of good institutions or distribution of power. Meaning it could easily access all power by just taking out one man. If you got rid of one person and his associates. You are now in sole custody of power, because you got rid of another person title and office.

The “strongman” or “tyrant” is the reason for the viable option of coups. The sort of people who decrees, orders and who hold people captive. They use elections and other mechanisms to keep themselves legitimate. However, it is only the facade as the reality is much more grim. The darkness overshadowing their existence and their livelihood. They can only survive if they keep the fear, intimidation and the check on the pulse on anyone who doesn’t follow command.

That’s why coup d’etat’s happens and they also get welcomed by the public too. They see it as a relief. Even if the army commander isn’t elected or selected by the people. No, they are also future tyrant and possible brutal leaders who will quell all dissent. However, on the day and the early days of operating. It seems just like they are cleaning the house of the stench of the former despot.

That’s why the coups are in order. Yes, they are possibly quagmire and problematic. They create a fabric of government controlled by a minority group and possibly also the armed kind. These are the army commanders and the army structure left behind from the predecessor. Which again questions if they will pursuit all avenues for relief or investigate the breaches of human rights violations of the predecessors. As that means several of high ranking officials could be implicated or even sentenced or be behind bars for their actions. That is a price they have to pay. Especially, if they want to be sincere about reform and making a difference from the past leadership.

However, there are big doubts they would do this. It could not only hurt the bottom line, but also cause friction and endanger the new status quo. That’s why this is nearly never happening. Because, who wants to implicate themselves in crimes and acts of sinister activities, even if it was done on orders by a deposed dictator.

The coups will be condemn and seen as breaking the constitutional norm. Even when that is true and coups is a fallacy. Still, the elected government, which tricked themselves in, again and again. The ones who used the “legitimate” route, but did so with dishonest means. They did another type of coup and tricked the nation. These people weren’t the most popular or wasn’t the majority. However the algorithms and the rigged polls suggests so. Meaning the little civilian elite and the cronies of the despot is re-electing themselves on behalf of the nation. Instead of doing a coup with guns and ammo. The coup is done with data and altering electoral procedures to get the “announced results” and “win”.

When this is happening again and again. I understand why people don’t trust elections or even their leaders. I understand why people celebrate the demise and the toppling of tyrants. It all makes sense. They have lied themselves to the top and thinking nobody will figure it out. However, as we see… time and time again. They get found out and loses it all. Peace.

Union des Comores: Conseil National de Transition (CNT) – Communique du CNT – Recadrage a effet immediat (13.09.2022)

Guinea-Bissau: Embaló has survived a coup attempt

“Local media reporting a barricade around the government palace has been setup by the military and are preventing locals from getting to the building. Government announcement: President Umaro Sissoco Embaló “I’m fine, the situation has been mastered” confirmed a coup had been attempted as well as “There have been many deaths but I’m fine” confirming that there had been multiple fatalities” (Outback Piano, 01.02.2022).

We should be worried, as this is an escalation in Guinea-Bissau, a Republic, which a President are easily in trouble and have a hard time to finish their elected term. The same might easily happen to President Embaló.

Other reports states:

“A security source with contacts inside the Government Palace said an unknown number of people were hit by gunfire. A second source said two people had died, but their identities were unclear. Sissoco Embalo had begun chairing an extraordinary cabinet meeting around 10 a.m., entering the building with a large security device, a diplomatic source said” (Rufin Wakilongo – ‘Guinea-Bissau: Gunshots around government palace, ECOWAS condemns ‘coup attempt’’ 01.02.2022).

As things are progressing and things will leak out. The ones behind the coup d’etat isn’t clear yet. That is uncertain and maybe the President is trying to clear the ranks as well. We cannot know that at this very moment.

What is clear that this news hit today, as the coup attempt happened, which seems that someone trusted the fragile moment and that the real protector of the President would be gone wit hthe General dying in Cuba.

Another interesting reporting is this:

“The boss of the Bissau-Guinean army died yesterday Monday, January 31. “The Emballo Palace Totem died on the island of Cuba where he was hospitalized the day before the coup attempt,” said a source quoted by seneweb. General Biagué Na Ntan, Chief of the General Staff of the Armed Forces (Cemga) “has always thwarted insurrections often led by his Balante relatives”. In reality, we continue, he “protected President Emballo by using his influence among the Balantes”” (SeneNews.com – ‘Guinea Bissau: Death announced of the Chief of the General Staff of the Armed Forces’ 01.02.2022).

Time will tell, but Guinea-Bissau has been hit with plenty of coup d’etat’s and this isn’t new. What is clear that the President and his Cabinet needs to fix their security and safety. If not the same that happened to the President in Burkina Faso, might happened to him. As he was able to survive one coup attempt, but on the second try. The coup makers was able to circumvent and overthrow the current leadership.

The President shouldn’t take it easy, but know his living on borrowed time in office. As there are people obviously plotting for his downfall. He needs to address this and finds solutions ahead. If not… he will sooner or later fall to another cunning colonel or lieutenant general with some aspiration of presidency. Peace.