Brexit: So long, and Thanks for All the Fish

Well, Douglas Adams didn’t write this piece. Neither was this hitch-hiking in a galaxy far-far away with a towel. However, it has been a long journey from the referendum to re-issued elections. Changes of Prime Minister’s and a whole lot of organizational mess. So many sackings and letters of resignations. The whole Brexit will go down as a hectic blunder and mess.

The Tories and Boris Johnson can claim victory yesterday. The Prime Minister got too. Because this is all he has. Not like the man has a superb result or anything. The disputed withdrawal agreement of the past versus this one will be icky subject no matter what. The Brexiteers got their will, but maybe not considering the costs. The bills and the extra payments on everything will be billed to the ones who voted this thing. The businesses and the enterprises trading will forfeit that burden on the consumer i.e. the citizens.

The wealthy will not feel so touched by this. The global funds and banks have already moved. Even the ones owned by Tory officials and Tory MPs. These have moved the HQ to Dublin or Frankfurt way before the deal was settled yesterday. They wouldn’t risk losing profits or having EU Single Market to trade in.

The UK are still part of the market with a shoddy trade deal. They have lost all the perks of being a member state. The UK is a Third Country and will be that from now on. Not having benefits or having access as before. There will be more red-tape, more customs issues and standards to figure out.

The UK will really be hit, as the European Commission stated yesterday even with their agreement: “Even with the new EU-UK Trade and Cooperation Agreement in place, there will be big changes on 1 January 2021. On that date, the UK will leave the EU Single Market and Customs Union, as well as all EU policies and international agreements. The free movement of persons, goods, services and capital between the UK and the EU will end. The EU and the UK will form two separate markets; two distinct regulatory and legal spaces. This will create barriers to trade in goods and services and to cross-border mobility and exchanges that do not exist today – in both directions” (European Commission, 24.12.2020).

So, the oven-baked deal and ready set cooking offering of the Tories was never there. Still, to this day there will be an aftermath and effects, which both parties wasn’t prepared for. The promises and pledges of an easy transition was a lie. If it was that easy. It wouldn’t have costed the UK so much already.

Boris celebrating yesterday is because he has too. The publicity stunt of a victory have to look like that. The political gambit of the whole enterprise lives on it. Not like the Brexit will deliver anything substantial in the end. Only more costs and more problems for all. These changes will cause logistical problems, bottle-necks and lorries awaiting their turn in Kent. That is just how things are going and not for the better. Not like Boris is out there ensuring the care or paperwork is prepared for all exports or imports to the UK. No, his enjoy the spoils of his previous victory in Downing Street No. 10.

And you know the UK want to be alone, when the European Commission stated this as well: “Foreign policy, external security and defence cooperation is not covered by the Agreement as the UK did not want to negotiate this matter. As of 1 January 2021, there will therefore be no framework in place between the UK and the EU to develop and coordinate joint responses to foreign policy challenges, for instance the imposition of sanctions on third country nationals or economies” (European Commission, 24.12.2020).

The UK want to do everything on their own as a sovereign. Why bother have alliances or agreements that can be beneficial for all the neighbours and European nations in the first place? When you can solve everything and all threats alone. That is what the Tories are working for and doing. They clearly thinks Whitehall, Downing Street and City of London can cruise on its own without help. That says a lot. They didn’t even want to negotiate or talk about it. As it could be of mutual interests to be partners and co-operate on international security and intelligence. However, the MI-6, MI-5 and Scotland Yard is clearly more operative than the 27 Member States combined.

This shows how some principals are bonkers. The ideal of sovereign is self-destructive. At one point the UK will call for their friends in Europe and seek for co-operation on these matters. Now it seems like a time to cease. However, when the buck stops and they need friends. They will call Brussels and Paris for help. Now it seems like bad timing as they are leaving the EU. However, these sorts of things only make the UK fragile and less measures to secure itself. The needs for cooperation on these matters are vital for all. Therefore, very striking that they wouldn’t even consider it.

Prime Minister Johnson lives on his own hubris. That is shown again. Boris the Blade is back-at-it. A red herring and NHS to the rescue. The UK should expect more austerity and lack of financial growth for the foreseeable future. An self-inflicted recession on top of nationalism, which only will back-fire. Because, the poorest will be further hit and have even less options. While the rich finds new ways to trick the system. That is just the way of the Tories. Peace.

European Commission: Press Release – Relations with the UK: Commission proposes targeted contingency measures to prepare for possible “no-deal” scenario (10.12.2020)

Brexit: A place where nobody is winning

Holy mother of God what a mess it has been. Ever since the champagne at the beginning. The empty shallow promises and the ones sneering at the ones who dared to question the nay-sayers. Hell, there been some battles, some people resigning and three Prime Ministers. Also a whole dozens of changes to the cabinet from time to time.

Brexit, the gift that continues to give or the curse that continuing cursing. Well, this isn’t over yet. Even though it is close. No matter what happens. Everyone is losing. The United Kingdom has already lost leverage and lost markets. Companies have already fled, some on paper and others shifting production. While the same companies will re-sell their products on a later date in the United Kingdom.

The exporters and importers from the UK will have new hurdles, procedures and possible costs for every transaction and every product shipped. The UK will meet new requirements and be a “third country”. That will benefit a very chosen few, but the rest will get more expensive products. Also, extend the length and time at customs. The free-flow of goods and people will stop. Not be like its today. Therefore, the oven-baked deal isn’t that baked and ready for supper.

United Kingdom is not only hurting remainers, but Brexiteers alike. They are all hurt. These folks will struggle with the ideals of a United Ireland. Northern Ireland will be in a limbo. Gibraltar will get closer to Spain. Scotland want another referendum to be free from United Kingdom. So the Scots can rejoin EU. There is a whole bag of trouble.

Not to mention the Welsh industry and exports will be hit too. Not only hurt the financial sector in London. They have already felt the pain of funds, banks and others shifting to Dublin and elsewhere in the years after the referendum.

Therefore, the UK has lost before they even entered the finish-line. Auto-mobile industry with Honda and others have already cried out loud, but to no a-wail. The same has the steel industry with Tata in Wales. No, the HM Government is to proud to listen to the ones that actually employees people. Rather give a win to the radical right and the Brexiteers. Than actually help the ones who can feed you. The industrial juggernauts who has capacity and ability to read the room.

Boris Johnson rather risk it all for a cheap trick. A “No-Deal” will only sound smooth to a chosen few. To the ones who are staunch critics of Brussels. However, a no deal will hurt the bottom-line and make it a longer process for a Free-Trade Agreement with the EU. The biggest market of goods for the UK. This is why it’s foolish to risk it, but London clearly have more flex than brains of late. Just like Geordie Shore participants. A lot of tan, but not a lot wise-guys. Only the smug pricks whose arrogance cannot stomach an ordinary pay-check or live-hand-to-mouth.

This PM and Cabinet should live a few months on Benefit Street and seen the hardships for the ones falling behind and not participating in the growth for the elites. Then they might seen other policies and not just cutting back on the state. As they are preparing assaulting the state even more, by forcing a reckless falling out and not reaching a deal. Just to prove their balls to the public.

That is what the Tories are up too and in the mix of it. Just blame the EU and Brussels for making to hard of a bargain. That they couldn’t swallow it or feel they lost to much. Still, they are willing to loose even more. Just to suck it up for their pride as they are leaving the Union. Hoping the Union of UK isn’t being hit at the same time… well… it is … we just don’t know when that will start and the new fragmentation will go on.

Just like when you open one door into the unknown. You never know what is on the other side. It might be paradise or the living hell. It might be opportunities or challenges. Whatever the Brexit opened. It wasn’t better governance or betterment of the UK. No it was self-destruction mode. Piece by piece. Peace.

Opinion: Brexit was doomed to fail…

Since the vote on the referendum on the 23rd June 2016, which issued the Brexit. The start of the end of membership status of United Kingdom within the European Union. The UK leaving Europe and becoming a third-party state or a non-member state of the EU.

The dream of many conservatives, even more radical right members of society. Who fought for sovereign state and being less connected to the rest of Europe. Not answering some random bureaucrat in Brussels and the regulations put the UK from the various of entities within the EU.

The UK was supposed to be freed from this and have their own liberty back. However, the lofty dreams has backfired. The realities of the modern world is hitting the fan. It was a reason why David Cameron dipped out and went into the backbenches. Since, he knew inside his heart. That this was a failed enterprise.

Theresa May took over and she eloped a government filled with hard-liners or Brexiteers who served the cause of leaving the EU. However, they didn’t do much or anticipate what was happening. They we’re promising to leave on own terms, that it would rain-money and everything would work without any real consequences.

Nevertheless, that was never true. It was a nice story. Prime Minister Theresa May gave up the cause and being the leader. Left the mantle for Boris Johnson. Another Tory and Brexiteer. A man who easily lies and promised a oven ready deal. While we now close to only a month left to final cession of arrangements. The deal is still not signed and with the official seals.

Brexit has been a mess, the Tories have stifled their own work. They have worked on dreams, but delivering nightmares. They said the Remainers was scaremongering in 2016. However, their warnings and speculated effects are coming into fruition. The industries, City of London and exporters are dipping, closing or has already left. They anticipate the hardships of transferring funds, exporting and other issues that will come with the new reality.

The UK will suffer because of this. The devolution of government in combination of leaving the EU will also hurt London more. As the Scottish and Northern Irish might see more reasons to leave the UK and join the EU. They rather be directly in the EU Common Market, than just being internally in the UK. The Northern Irish after getting into the hectic mess of being in a limbo, because of their placement in the UK and their relations with Dublin. Might give an edge for total unification of Ireland. So, the UK might loose two territories quickly and God knows what happens to Gibraltar. They might hold a referendum and join Spain.

Boris Johnson has shown so much flexing and arrogance. Nevertheless, that is not enough to carry the recession, coronavirus crisis and Brexit. He has three hurdles in the midst of hands. His failure to secure and ensure the Brexit. Is already straining the trust in the UK and the economy itself. It is a reason why companies has left already. Because they could not anticipate what last minute resolves might be. They are in it for profit and cannot risk losing that over a political gambit from Whitehall and Downing Street No. 10.

The Brexit was bound to fail from the jump. They came in on a wrong premise. It was supposed to be easy and without costs. It was supposed to be a quick fix and have no serious ramifications. However, it will and the UK will still have to play along to the EU. While they are outsiders looking in. They are losing the advantage of being a member, but still have to play to get the pay. It is like the UK didn’t know what they was apart of and only could the perks after leaving.

That is naive and shows how these Conservatives played with people’s mind and not being honest about what it would entail to leave. They said they had them covered and it would be fixed by just clicking their fingertips. However, it was never that easy. That is why so many ministers have come and gone. That is why the prolonged agony of the negotiations are still lasting to this day. The UK still think they can bushwhack a good deal. However, the EU has already set the bar and they cannot push that. Even if the Tories believe they have enough leverage. That bargain is very over. As the UK have lost before they even started. As they come with a fake premise and you cannot win anything on a bluff, except in poker… but not with Brexit. Peace.

Brexit: Prime Minister Boris Johnson letter to the MPs (16.10.2020)

Brexit: Boris thinks bullying Brussels gives him the result he wants…

Prime Minister Boris Johnson who has signed a revised Withdrawal Agreement (WA) and has a deadline of 31st December 2020 to end the transition period between the European Union and United Kingdom. That is all making sense.

EU negotiator Michel Barnier and the European Council have put out a statement on the 15th October 2020. Where they put forward the guidelines, yet again. While the Tories, David Frost and PM Johnson thinks they can move the goal-post in the final stages of the negotiations.

The UK are now asking for the trade agreements in line with Canada and Australia. This will not put forward the statutes, articles in the WA and the troubles of Internal Market Bill. The Tories are still playing the game of “what we want, we will get and forget old agreements”.

The funny thing about this. That the agreement made between UK and EU isn’t an old age agreement from a far forgotten past. No, it was made by the same government in negotiations with the EU. The European Council and EU 27 Member States has agreed upon this. Therefore, it is a significant deal, which settles the foundation of the relations between the two parties.

Alas, Boris wants to alter that now. Just mere 10 weeks ahead. While there are two more scheduled meetings and talks. The Prime Minister is putting forward talks of trenches and going to the barricades. As he knows his just playing for his base. The PM is doing this charade and mockery of a public display. He should know, that when you agreed upon certain things. It is a bit late to back-track just mere months ahead of deadline.

The Prime Minister Johnson is now trying to pull the pix-and-mix Brexit and the Red-White-Blue Brexit of Theresa May. This is 2020 and the Tories are still not sure what sort of Brexit it wants. It wants the best of both worlds. It wants to be a non-member, but also doesn’t want to honour the agreement it has already signed. That is showing what sort of disgusting leadership is in London.

London wants to bully Brussels. Brussels, the EU Commission and EU27 have been clear. There is no vindication for the Tories. It is just like a entitled brat wanting more candy, when the store is already closed a few hours ago. The parent have to give the kid a lesson and explain why its not possible.

The PM have to accept this and understand this. The only ones losing on this sort of public play. Is the British public and all citizens of UK. They are pawns by the leadership in Whitehall and Downing Street 10. Who are playing with their futures just to look good. While not making sure the best interests are made with the EU.

Instead, over Christmas an uncertain future is ahead, the UK is sailing alone and with possible “no-deal”. Which is affect all parts of society, most likely a higher inflation and hitting businesses in the midst of recession and a global pandemic. That is what the Tories are willing to do.

Just to look good on Prime Time TV and feed the Brexiteers in their homes. Who doesn’t see the damage it does, until it hits home. Peace.

Brexit: Statement by Michel Barnier following Round 9 of negotiations for a new partnership between the European Union and the United Kingdom (02.10.2020)

Brexit: European Commission – Withdrawal Agreement: European Commission sends letter of formal notice to the United Kingdom for breach of its obligations (01.10.2020)

Brexit: 31st January 2020 is the final Brexit day for now

Well, this are not yet finished. There are dozens of problems ahead for Prime Minister Boris Johnson and his cabinet. It is not like Tories have won or succeeded anything. The possible reactions or results of the end of membership with the European Union (EU) isn’t carved out yet. Hell, even the issues of trade, border patrol, fishing nor the Northern Ireland questions are finalized.

The celebration of a new penny on the 31st January 2020 is a mockery, but also pointless. The Tories haven’t bagged it. They are not packing their briefcases and securing their tickets for the destination. Yes, the final Withdrawal Agreement was voted for and the next stage of Brexit is happening. However, the possible outcomes are from sealed. The ink isn’t even dry on the paperwork.

Who knows what the businesses will do, when the borders are shut and the hardships of trading across the Channel hits the fan. Who knows what will happen when the costs of banking and City of London comes across. It is not like the Tories can get it any harder. Not like they are getting the best deals and not getting issues from across the pond.

The PM will not address this and will rather deflect this. Surely, the industries and the ones whose exporting products will be hit the hardest. There are no certainty, the ones moving are already templating it or has already left. Several of businesses has moved to Ireland, France and Germany as a result of Brexit.

That is why, the projected downturns aren’t far fetched and the possible projections of the Withdrawal Agreement are bleak too. Not like this will not be a big natural hit on the consumer, the public and on the possible revenue of the state. However, the Tories will celebrate the end of Brexit. Loosing influence in Europe and become the “independent” island it is. Nevertheless, they still want to trade and be a partner, but not married to it. See how that will go and what cost that may bring.

This Brexit has been shambles from the Referendum until today. Not like Theresa May did it well. Neither has Boris Johnson. Boris is more superficial and conning, while May wobbled ahead. None of them is winning this. We just have to see if Boris will loose more. He won a mandate in Parliament, but if the wrecks the economy and beats the living hell out of the ones giving him a majority. He will surely be remembered for utter destruction on his own. Instead of finding good ways out of it.

He had nice times in his Jaguar. Nice time with screaming matches with his girlfriend. Mocking Corbyn in the PMQ. But what does that matter, when the public will be self-inflicted by dodgy deals and shoddy political work from the core group of people in Whitehall and Downing Street.

Who knows what this will entail, what sort of tariffs, regulations and the initial costs, who will be damaged, scorned by this deal and at what end has it?

I don’t have the answer, but by all reports, all studies with some barren I have come across. The negatives outshines the victories. Its like celebrating the French Fries, when you got a juicy burger sitting right there. By all means, the French Fries are a neatly cut potato with right amount of salt and oil. However, the burger is fresh breaded bun, with lettuce, ketchup and a barbecued patty. It should be easy choice.

So, on the 31st January, the ones celebrating are the ignorant, the ones who doesn’t care about the consequences, but are enjoying a break with Europe. The ones in sorrow, are not necessarily in support of the EU, but the ones that wonder if they are losing the benefits or the trade-offs made by the Union. Which the UK are now loosing out off. They got to bargain and leverage itself with everyone as a single entity. They got to do the right and at the right price. However, that will take time and the UK doesn’t have that. Especially, if they plan to cover the lost base and the lost power within the EU.

So in a few days time. The next chapter of negotiations start. The UK will have to fight and battle, they are not through yet. It is now all damage control. We got to see, if the EU citizens in the UK will get rights to stay or if they have to leave. We got to see, if the Northern Ireland will be hurt by this. That we will only with time.

However, what we do know … is that the UK is self-inflicting harm. They are doing damage to itself and hurting itself. We just got to see how it will be and by what estimates. Peace.

Brexit: PM Boris Johnson letter to Nicola Sturgeon MSP (14.01.2020)