
The Azimio la Umoja – One Kenya Alliance Presidential Candidate Raila Odinga is scheduled to win and do it comfortably this time around. This isn’t the first election or campaigns for Odinga. He has challenged for the title and the office for decades and it’s finally seems like ending there. Odinga needed to become the old man and a “baba” to be there. Because, now he has amassed the political capital and relations to ensure him victory.
While his far from alone in the race, the main competition is the current Deputy President and career politician William Ruto. The man who has went from two periods in the docket of the Deputy and being part of the government to become outcast and a direct opposition. The United Democratic Alliance (UDA) and Kenya Kwanza Alliance Presidential Candidate doesn’t have it solidified just yet. We know his team will boost his numbers, but being outside the machinery will show a hard time for him.
While the two other candidates which has been recognized and acknowledged in this race is David Mwaure and Professor George Wajackoyah. Mwaure is the Minister and Lawyer, the leader of the Agano Party Presidential Candidate. While Prof Wajackoyah is a Priest, Lawyer, Educationist and the leader of the Roots Party. These two has no real chance and is only fillers on the ballots. However, the last mentioned has caused more headlines and promises of unpractical exports and possibly a “high-life” for the ones voting for him. So, the populism is existing even among the candidates with little to no traction normally.
Alas… here is the case and no one should be shocked by this. The state-machinery and everything involved with the current status-quo is working on overtime to get Odinga elected. That’s the current President travels and rallies for Odinga now. The man he tear-gassed and killed his supporters in previous elections. Kenyatta has used all tricks against Odinga in past elections. So, seeing him backing everything behind him and being the “kingmaker”. Really shows that in politics, enemies are only temporary. Later they can become your allies, which in this case very true.
While a former ally and associate. Someone who worked close and went along with the Jubilee Coalition and the new formation of the Jubilee Party ahead of the 2017 elections. Ruto is without the backing or support of the state now. His not with powerful allies who can conquer or use the authorities on his side. That’s why his more eager and less arrogant in his manner. Even made a video trying to appeal to people after the debate. He cannot trust on Cambridge Analytica tactics either. The DP don’t have that and seemingly cannot spread his messages on social media like last time.
That’s why Odinga is more confident and relaxed about the situation. It’s the feeling that it’s already in the bag and he can finally take the W. While Ruto is anticipated to take the L. This is just the assumption and how it’s perceived. The electorate might feel otherwise, but all headlines and the general feeling is there. Unless, the Azimio camp suddenly breaks out of character and dissolve completely. Which would be weird… since it seems so calculated.
In a weeks time the polls are and the Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission (IEBC) better deliver credible and fair elections. Though people are afraid of that and the recent arrests of foreign “agent” or “contractors” has put that into jeopardy last month. People are wondering if the IEBC is put to it or even ready.
Last time the Odinga coalition, NASA was able to nullify and call for Fresh Presidential Elections. However, he lost for a second time there. Even if the then opposition claimed it was rigged and was malpractice, which launched Kenyatta into a second term. Now in 2022… years after the Handshake and the works of the Building Bridges Initiative for National Unity. We can just await the polls and see if Odinga finally crosses river Jordan into Canaan.
Time will tell and only in about a weeks time we will know. Usually, the IEBC uses most of the scheduled time to announce the winner and doesn’t do quickly after the polls. It is a tense time awaiting the final results. However, if the writing on the wall is right. Than it’s Odinga’s turn to reign and be in office.
Nevertheless, we can never know and there could be surprise. Maybe the hustler and his wheelbarrows was able to trick it all. I doubt that and I think Ruto knows this as well. The two other mentioned candidates are ballot fillers at this point. They are the Thirdway Alliance of this election and will not amount to anything sincere. Though the Professor has caused some controversy and also laughs online.
Well… that’s about it. I would be amazed if Baba isn’t announced during the end of next week. However, the year 2022 is a year of weird things and erratic behaviours. So, God knows and we don’t. We are just mere mortals awaiting another day. Peace.

















