
President Yoweri Tibuhurwa Kaguta Museveni calls history “current affairs” and uses old diplomatic spats or conflicts in light of today. However, his forgetting one thing in the picture that the times has changed as well. Yes, Uganda is a sovereign and should be allowed to make friends or allies with whoever they deem fit. Nevertheless, in doing so.. you cannot expect former allies and friends to be as warm to you. When you have decided to pick a side in a conflict.
The conflict Museveni has picked a side in is Ukraine. Not by abstaining a vote in the United Nations, but by association with Russians and doing business with Kremlin. That is a choice and a decision made by default. The same defending Moscow’s reasons for invading and wanting to annexation of Ukrainian territories. That’s what Museveni is signalling… and saying after the visit of Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov.
After that visit the United States sent their Ambassador to the United Nations, Linda Thomas-Greenfield. The information and the messages sent from Museveni is clear. That he wants to be allied with Russia and it’s beneficial to him. He don’t even mind to cease or see the end of aide from the U.S. and says Uganda could thrive without support from the West. Certainly, if he would do that… the Ugandan President is gambling with his future and possible default of the ever growing loans in the middle of a downturn in the economy and rising inflation. It isn’t like the economy is booming or having any sort of upturn. Instead the financial implications would be horrific and it’s like his reckless about it.
Museveni should study the times.. there is a realignment of allies and who is working together. The President is either on the side of the West or heading into the hands of Kremlin. The Ukrainian invasion is only showing who is willing to back and be partners of Putin. The others who are stepping to the other side and defending the independence of Ukraine. Museveni is siding with Putin and therefore, also in turn turning on the West. He cannot have it both ways now.
A man of history should show how it went with Said Barre, the dictator of Somalia who went from a Soviet ally into an American asset. The same way can be seen here and Museveni is trying to play these diplomatic games. However, it is a sort of cold-war-esque era now. The beginning of it and the rising sanctions on Russia is a proof of that. Now, that Museveni sides with Kremlin, he shouldn’t expect so much goodwill from Washington D.C. Nevertheless, trust me when the push get to shove. The Ugandan President could regret doing this, because this could make other things harder later down the line.
Yes, the President is in his right not to ask for “instructions” and live as a “sovereign”. Still, when a sovereign makes a choice and a decision. He opens one door and closes another one. That’s a way of life. Museveni by this choice is more valuable to Lavrov and Putin than to Biden. This is what is initially boiling down too.
I’m sure Museveni would miss the $950 million per year in U.S. assistance to the Ugandan coffers. If the U.S. decided not to send these funds or cease. I’m pretty sure the Kampala diplomatic core would go on begging expedition and hire more K Street lobbyist to re-engage the Washington D.C. back on board. However, it will not be that easy. When the President is picking sides and he cannot stand-by both. Especially, when his supporting the imperial war in Ukraine. Defending the aggressor and the ones behind the evils done to Kyiv.
It is like Museveni don’t see this picture and thinks his so far away that it don’t matter to him. However, when the millions of dollars stops from the Western powers. Certainly, the debt-recycling cannot be salvaged and lack of budget assistance will be severe. Since, Museveni has built a career on living of these funds. While not having the need to be accountable by it.
The tides are turning and it’s not the era of flip-flopping between the East and the West. No, the Russian invasion of Ukraine has forever altered that. If Museveni cannot see that. Well, the lavish life in Rwakitura farm or any of the State Lodges for that matter. The Entebbe State House seems decided and because of that. If it faces consequences later down the line. It cannot cry havoc or act like a victim. It choose Putin and Kremlin by default of doing so. The Ugandan President should expect love and support from the West at the rate he was used too. Peace.











