Ethiopia: The TPLF-D is “taking over” TIRA…

“It is clear that the more the group gets additional terms in office, the more consequences and national destruction it will bring. Therefore, the TPLF Central Committee decided at its meeting on September 24, 2017 to resign the individuals in the group from their administrative positions on behalf of the TPLF and replace them with other representatives of the party. Hence, the following individuals have resigned from their administrative responsibilities as of October 7 today” (Tigray People’s Liberation Front, 07.10.2024).

Today is the day.. the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) have initially takeover the Tigray Interim Regional Administration (TIRA). This is appointing a new leadership from the TPLF-D and not from the TPLF-R.

Getachew Reda is in real trouble here. Reda is currently being chastised and being fired by the party that he has been a part of. Now TIRA is getting a new leadership and the TPLF is appointing them.

The problem here is that the TIRA was created as a part of the Pretoria Agreement. That is the current interim government in the Tigray region. This is a creation of Abiy and such to ensure he has allies and people he can control in Tigray. That’s why he allowed it to happen… and let Getachew Reda take the reigns.

Now with the time going, the Debretsion Gebremichael is trying to reign it in. They are trying to take control of the TIRA. An entity that it doesn’t directly “own” or has “ownership” of. As it is a creation made for having puppets in Tigray.

Prime Minister Abiy wouldn’t allow “hardliners” or anyone who opposes him in office in Tigray. He would have other excuses to freeze it or stop it from functioning. That’s why Debretsion Gebremichael is playing a dangerous game.

Debretsion Gebremichael is already struggling to get the TPLF rectified and get it as a legal political entity. The Federal Authorities haven’t accepted it after calling it a “terrorist” organization during the war in the North. Therefore, his playing with fire and won’t win here.

The winner here is Abiy. Reda is losing too, but Debretsion won’t feel victorious either. Especially, if the people around the PM won’t accept the changes or allow it. Because, that isn’t up to the TPLF. The TIRA is destined and decided from a far. That won’t be an easy gambit.

Getachew Reda can easily linger on in office. Even if the TPLF-D sacks him. That’s because Abiy wants to keep him. It gives him the energy and weakens the TPLF. That’s a victory for the Prosperity Party. As the TPLF is doing more in-fighting and less governance. The TPLF aren’t governing, but fighting for roles and offices. That’s what Abiy wants to corrupt and make people weak enough to take his bait. Therefore, TPLF-D is losing here and not winning.

The TPLF as a whole is losing by the share definition of mediocre acts it’s doing. Instead of focusing on the betterment and restructuring the state after the war. Instead of looking into the pressing matters and the questions lingering after the Cessation of Hostilities. It is instead bound by internal spite and conflict, which could have been resolved over a cup of coffee.

These gentlemen knows better and they are playing a high stakes game. Neither will win here. The victor here is residing in Addis. He is grinning and laughing at this. Because, he see them fight over the spoils and the little token he gave after fighting them. This isn’t the strong party of old, and neither is it showing any sort of strength. Peace.

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Ethiopia: Is Fano breaking Abiy to pieces?

The last 24 hours must be humiliating for the rulers in Addis Ababa. As the armed rebellion in Amhara region is worsening for him. The Para-Military Group Fano, which has been deemed as unorganized and lack of leadership. That one can take over a bigger slice of the Amhara Region and even enter into Gondar (Gonder).

The armed group of FANO is able and has taken over 3 districts of the Gonder city. The historical city and the second biggest in the region are taken over by FANO. That’s a big fall and a utter failure of the ENDF. The Federal Government is just lacking composure and the tactical advances to ensure the safety of a city like this.

We know the citizens and everyone else will feel the pain of this. The armed forces will be brutal, and their actions will be questionable. Innocent lives will be taken from both sides. Just so they can supreme.

The Amhara region is steadily becoming a warzone and a place of insecurity, as the ENDF isn’t able or capable of controlling the FANO. That’s what is happening here, and the Federal Government is weakened as a result. That the former ally turned enemy becomes its worst nightmare. That’s what is going down…

The Prosperity Party and Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed Ali should be in dire straits here. They should revise their strategies and their ways of handling things. The way things are going. It is only going from bad to worse. There isn’t much to salvage from this and the trying to consolidate power at any means possible. Only ensures more conflict and more suffering on the third-party individuals that get caught in the crossfire. That’s what is happening and the whole Amhara region is caught up by it.

Some are saying the FANO should just start marching to Addis Ababa and overthrow the government. However, that’s a major task and it doesn’t have allies outside the region. It’s a regional force and made up by rebels, para-miliary trained forces and some former Regional Special Forces, which was disbanded and joined FANO. Therefore, the mentality and amount of training differs. Meanwhile the ENDF structure is supposed to be on another level, but that’s overstretched and lack proper coordination. At least how it looks like right now. When it cannot defend a city like Gondar.

This should send shockwaves across the nation. That a para-military group and former allies of the PM has taken over a city of this stature. It is the utter embarrassing acknowledgement of how Abiy has failed his nation. This is a sign of how he cannot keep the reign or be even credible as a Commander-in-Chief. No, his a lying and conniving man who has been made a fool of.

FANO now has a say and the ones paying the price is the people of Amhara. They are now under siege by their own militants. That’s what they are and we don’t know how this will end. It will be a bloodshed and innocent lives will be taken as a consequence. Warfare isn’t for the faint hearted. It will be bloody and everyone will point the finger at each other while doing it.

Abiy needs to reconsider and restructure things around him. His not assessing or having the personnel that can keep things in order. Neither is his wavy and selfish interests making things better. The lonely King with a crown and a palace in Addis Ababa won’t save anyone. Everyone else is left to ashes and he rules over it. That’s not bringing prosperity but bringing judgement day really fast. This is the legacy of the medemer terror and the plights that was carried during his time.

It is just tragic, and we will never know the true scope of the losses. We will not know the full extend and the cost of all of it. Only a fragment and rest will be kept shut. This is a dark day and more dark days to come. The utter failure and embarrassment will continue to persist. Because the price of consolidating power will continue as long as Abiy is in power. Peace.

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Ethiopia: ENAT Party speaks on the damage that is caused by Macro-Economic Reform Program…

The macro economy improvement policy that is being implemented by the government has already started to have several negative effects on the country’s economy and society. The high inflation in the market has created a great threat to our society. Expansion financial policies that have been carried out in different countries including Nigeria, Kenya, Sudan and Egypt to stimulate growth have often led to high inflation without achieving the aim of eliminating unemployment. This also disturbs the people’s ability to buy and especially those who struggle to buy basic goods and services with low income. Government expenditures based on the deficit of domestic and foreign loans have led to debts. Since the increasing amount of debt repayment from time to time also plays a significant role in the country’s budget, the allocation for debt repayment is reduced from essential services such as health, education and social welfare. Considering Ethiopia’s foreign debt in Birr. It has grown four times more. It is possible to pay off this debt by making the country open and comfortable for the people and foreign investors and paying taxes by making people work.

On the other hand, the macro-economic reform that the government has approved and implemented a situation where the Amhara and Oromia regions have the highest population and is waging a widespread war cannot manage the development economy and also manage the market economy. We also have a big fear that the economic problems that exist and are being shown in practice will reach a point where they cannot be solved” (ENAT – ‘The macro economy improvement that the government is implementing is not a good medicine, but a pill to prolong the life of the system!’ 26.08.2024).

We could see this one coming. The bail-out terms of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank has severe affects on the daily life of the poorest people. The sort of incentives for loans that keeps a elite and the ones in-office happy. But the general population and the citizens at large feels the pinch.

The IMF and the World Bank saved the Prosperity Party. The gave it fresh liquidity, but that cost the control of the Birr and the devalue of it. That will cause a rise of inflation and cause less value of the imports to the nation. Everything will go up in prices and there will lack a balance between the growing shortfall and the need for rising salaries to keep up with the lowered value of currency. It is just a negative circle and it has been ushered in by the regime.

Prime Minister Abiy and his lackeys supported the initiative. They celebrated the loss and the devalued currency. Because for the ones in power. That meant they got a life-line and friendly loan, which someone else has to pay down the line. This gives the government currency and wiggle-room to move for while, but it won’t save it out of the hurdle.

That’s why the likes of ENAT Party and others called the Prime Minister and his party out. We could see this one coming. This was a dangerous move, especially in the midst of war and the expenses of waging war. The current government is busy on several fronts and are using expensive weaponry against their enemies. Which is costly in imports and in foreign currency. As they need the foreign currency to trade arms and import the ammunition. That’s what keeps the war-effort alive and gives them ability to lethally go after the ones that doesn’t want to bend the knee and be lackeys of the PM…

The ENAT Party is right. This is a move of self-destruction. The sort of macro-economic policies the state has accepted. Will define the economy and the financial landscape for a long time. It has damaged the Birr and will continue to make the poor suffer. The ones who has little, will get even less or have less buying power. That’s the reality here and the PM cheered it like an achievement. He wanted the people to praise them for their folly and be proud of signing their death note. That’s what he did and everyone else can see, but he just wanted to buy drones and weapons to kill the ones who dares to question his legitimacy. Peace.

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