Opinion: After today’s speech seems like Odinga is the unofficial PM!

We have a big workforce in our country and most of them are youthful and looking for jobs. This is why we in NASA are in agreement with Jubilee in matters of job creation, universal healthcare, poverty and food security”Raila Odinga (01.05.2018).

Today’s speech by the National Super Alliance leader Raila Odinga in Nakuru is unequivocal a sign of loyalty to Jubilee. This is happening now close to two months after the handshake with President Uhuru Kenyatta. What striking today, is his tokens, his resignation of fighting spirit and his direct vision within the government. That meaning, he is practically not an opposition figure, but a stooge inside the Jubilee. Just like the Thirdway Alliance did before the 26th October 2017. Therefore, the is no difference. Only that the words of Odinga matter a bit more than the words of Dr. Ekuru Aukot.

Because today, the National Resistance Movement of Kenya (NRMKe) was dissolved, the whole boycott of government sponsored products and companies, which has been connected to the direct government works. Companies that worked directly during the elections in 2017 and was partly responsible for the rigging and the electoral malpractice, which occurred. So now, its official done. But that has sort-of-died down months ago anyway. It was serious when first unleashed, but a month or two in, the reality wasn’t changing enough. The NASA knew this and their People’s Assemblies has also been dissolved. Before they we’re even built or even became official shadow organizations to the Local Government structures.

Odinga, is really the unofficial Prime Minister, the Republic is a mixed Republic and not a Presidential Republic. However, that is not officially yet, but his actions speaks like it. Especially, with his support of the Big 4 Agenda of Kenyatta. It is like a sign of loyalty to the causes of the Government. That isn’t a sign of an opposition leader. That seal is broken, therefore, Orengo should resign, the ODM shouldn’t be seen as the biggest opposition party, but a direct partner with Jubilee in a coalition. If Odinga supports and works for the agenda of Kenyatta, he is practically part of the Kenyatta paradigm. Even if he says otherwise. He still is, the words and actions shows it.

Odinga is practically the third on the food-chain. The third force in the Jubilee government, if he speaks like this. Odinga should be sworn-in again and get an official title. You can fool people once, maybe twice, but sorry brother, not the third time. Maybe Aukot should start the Fourthway Alliance to get some relevance, because the Third Way right now is Odinga. After Kenyatta and Ruto.

Its time to stop nonsense from this man, the time of opposition is over. Someone else is the real opposition. Someone else is fighting the indifference, the lack of governance and the deteriorating levels of poverty, that so many are feeling day-to-day. Therefore, they were willing to fight and join Odinga during 2017, because his message was different then of Jubilee. Now he sounds and acts like them. Its a betrayal of Canaan, but was already sealed with the handshake in March 2018.

So Kenyatta, do your thing, give the man his office and portifolio. He is your man now. Odinga will not fight you, he is tired and hungry. It is time you feed him and patch his hurt. Let him become PM again, because that is all he wants. Peace.

Uganda Bankers’ Association: Position of Financial Institutions under the UBA Umbrella Notices Recieved from URA to Obtain Information of all Account Holders (08.04.2018)

Prof. Tumusiime-Mutebile: Bank of Uganda is Soundly Managed (05.04.2018)

Opinion: Kenyatta’s bargain is Odinga’s loss, hence, the silence!

The Agreement and Handshake for “Building Bridges to a new Kenyan Nation” on the 9th March 2018. That after months of stalemate and long time heard the Jubilee Party and the two head honchos President Uhuru Kenyatta and Deputy President William Ruto. Both saying there was no need for dialogue with National Super Alliance nor their leader Raila Odinga. However, that suddenly changed and happen beneath the surface. This happen as the fractions in between NASA was shown, when the other NASA Co-Principals didn’t show-up at the Swearing-in on the 30th January 2018. Therefore, the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) and Odinga Camp did what they could salvage the hurt. Even if that meant leaving Canaan all behind. That has been proven lately.

Canaan and real political change isn’t surfacing, the Jubilee, Kenyatta and Ruto got Odinga for a bargain. They got him for a silver coin and securing the opposition elite again. They revoked the harsh treatment for most of them, but they are still showing contempt of courts. Kenyatta has shown that since the handshake, that it doesn’t really matter. Odinga is still a fringe player, he thinks he is important, but surely the scenes on Jomo Kenyatta International Airport in the recent days. Shows that him and the whole legal team of NASA is a charade. The Court Orders are meaningless, the Rule of Law is at injunction and the thwarted legal prescience is now the order of the day.

The political warfare is still there and vacuum isn’t sealed, as well as the PR stunts of the President is continuing. Just like he is a Cambridge Analytica and Harris Media made figurine, while praising the cartels and borrowing money to extend the business and partnership. Kenyatta doesn’t care, he has the army and the police, he can interfere in everyone’s life. Kenyatta can gazette and make differences that is needed. He don’t really need Odinga and with the handshake, he has the legitimacy now, because Odinga traded his cards.

Canaan is now gone, the whole dismantling the rigging machine, the whole electoral thieving and looting of Jubilee is now co-existing with NASA. Them both have traded away the current day-to-day struggles for a political bargain-chip. The Kenyan citizens has been fooled, the ones hoping for changes has been taken for granted. The ones who hoped for someone challenging and questioning the powers to be. Has now gone into the deal and handshake. Odinga and his bedfellows will all follow. Because it matters for today and tomorrow. They will not now scream “fire”, even if there is smoke. They will the flare appear and hope they are not inflicted. The pains are only hitting the lower classes, the ones whose voices are misused in elections, but left behind in the years after. Just like it has been forever and seemingly moves on.

Kenyatta, has no need of transformation or changes, he just needs the bills to be paid, the cartels to be sufficiently taken care of and the cronies in the court feed. It is still their time to eat and build bigger companies on the poverty of the nation. While having donors and others supplying fresh fiscal power and lending state loans at favorable rates. As long as the possible industry, export and the infrastructure projects can establish more loopholes to get wealth out off. This is going-on and now Odinga cannot be outspoken. That is why he is so silent on the Miguna Miguna scandal. Because he cannot say he sees “fire”, because the flare is only a lie to Kenyatta. Odinga is now indebted into Jubilee government and the National Assembly, which they rigged themselves into.

It is a house of cards, it was a risk, but the fruits are not there. It is just days ago there was hope for some. But all along, Kenyatta knew he got a bargain. The silence of Odinga proves it. The lack of real action or even push, shows it. The humiliation on JKIA proves it too. Orengo, Havi and the whole team couldn’t do anything. The orders from above courted Miguna out. They kicked him again. While the Co-Principals and the leadership has their Security Teams and their SUVs. Hope it taste good, eating, while the state is still sanctioning impunity. If you trespass on the values of greed of the State House. Expect the nuclear strikes, the vanishing powers and the extra-judicial killings will appear. They have never fled, as well as the PR Stunts of greeting on Golf-Courses and standing by Police Officers. Clearly, Kenyatta are acting as President, but he is not respecting rule of law. Not that he has too, nobody will questioning him now, that matters. Odinga is silenced, he has traded his message and his campaigns of Canaan for a few pieces of silver. That is shown and evident.

The fate of the weak, the poor and the ones that doesn’t matter, is not just left into oblivion. Not like Kenyatta needed their votes, he had electoral malpractice and the IEBC rigging in his favor. Needed does he need the people, they are not the ones paying his bills. That is foreign investors and money lenders. That is why he acts like he does. All fronts and no play.

The handshake was the same, a PR Stunt in favor of Kenyatta. While Odinga might looked like outfoxed the other Co-Principals in NASA. But they are fallen prey to conning political mischief to wise-guys within Jubilee. They all played the NASA head honcho Odinga, but we can wonder if he wanted to be played. That is unknown at this point, but what we do know. Is that NASA lost with this and cannot win now. Their chips has been used and their power-play is gone. Peace.

ODM: Unpacking the Memorandum Between H.E. Raila Odinga and H.E. Uhuru Kenyatta (21.03.2018)

Bank of Uganda’s Fresh report spells fear of the growing levels of debt!

This isn’t breaking news, this just facts at this point. The growth of debt is becoming a danger for the economy in Uganda. Because of the overspending and lack of donors to pledge for the needed government services, the bloated amounts of local government and the rampant cronyism. Is all combined making sure the extent of the economy gets hit, while the Uganda Revenue Authority, doesn’t have enough levies or enough taxes to gain enough for the shortfall of cash. The deficit is founded on loans, while the government are still paying interests and growing the debt ratio at a scale that is not healthy for the economy. Even if there is a future possible oil-revenue, it still has to become massive, to repay the debts of yesterday. When the amount of GDP goes to repaying and higher rates on the new loans. This is how to step-by-step killing the economy, by circling and re-issuing new debt, to pay off the old debt. Sooner or later, you need a scheme to fix it and start a Ponzi scheme to fix the economy. That is why there are ghost refugees and ghost projects to fix funding for the failing state.

Just take a look:

The provisional total public debt stock (at nominal value) as at end December 2017 stood at Shs. 37.9 trillion, representing an increase of 9.4 per cent relative to June 2017. This growth in the stock of public debt was mainly on account of a 12.2 per cent growth in public external debt (in Shillings terms), which continues to have the dominant share of 66.3 per cent of total public debt. In December 2017, external and domestic debt amounted to Shs. 25.1 trillion and Shs. 12.8 trillion, respectively, which is an increase of 12.2 per cent and 4.2 per cent, respectively, compared to June 2017.

The provisional stock of public external debt disbursed and outstanding stood at USD 6,902.7 million as at end December 2017, representing an increase of 10.8 per cent from June 2017 compared to an increase of 24.6 per cent in the corresponding period a year ago. The total external debt exposure (debt disbursed and outstanding and debt committed but undisbursed) amounted to USD 11,690.6 million as at end December 2017” (BoU, P: 16, 2018).

The present value of total public debt as a ratio of GDP stood at 28.1 per cent as at the end of December 2017, which is lower than the PDMF benchmark of 50 per cent. However, including committed but undisbursed loans, the ratio of total public debt to GDP is closer to the threshold. This poses a risk of higher exposure or failure to meet external debt obligations in case of exchange rate volatility and slow growth in exports. In addition, high debt may become a drag on economic growth by discouraging public investment due to the high debt service costs” (BoU, P: 17, 2018).

This sort of report should worry anyone who cares about the future, the growing debt is a bad sign. It is a sign that the National Resistance Movement and President Yoweri Kaguta Museveni, is putting the future at risk, because he wants to eat right now. Instead of balancing the budgets or trying to find ways to get fresh revenue for the shortfalls and deficits, instead he is borrowing for everything and with the lack of transparency, the funds are embezzled and gone in the wind. Therefore, the state can often borrow for something that only exists on paper. Which is even worse, because they are not delivering anything else than growing debt like it is a gifts. That they will not pay interests and pay it off sooner or later.

The amount of loans should worry, it really should. This sort of reports should shatter the Parliament, should reshape the government and should make the Finance Minister Matia Kasaija and Treasury Secretary Keith Muhakanizi, wish their were on a peaceful island drinking umbrella-drinks, while far away living on their pensions, and hope they are not getting a Q&A at the Plenary Session. Since this is damning and beginning of troubles ahead. Just not knowing how damaging it can be. Peace.

Reference:

Bank of Uganda (BoU) – State of Economy – March 2018

Kenya Police Service: “Ref: JKIA Police Station OB NO. 35 of 26/2/2018 – Notice Compelling Attendance to Police Station under Section 52 of the National Police Service Act of 2011” (13.03.2018)

Media Council of Kenya: Summoning of the Sunday Standard Journalist by Aiport Police Vincent Achuka Ordered before Airport Police Boss over Alleged Security Breach (14.03.2018)

Container Freight Stations Associations of Kenya – “Re: Movement of Nominated Containers to CFS’s” (02.03.2018)

Kenya: Sen. S. Amos Wako Press Statement on the National Dialogue (12.03.2018)