Ethiopia-Sudan Tensions: New skirmishes at the border on Saturday

Sudan’s military sent fresh military reinforcements to the border with Ethiopia, a day after Ethiopian troops launched cross-border attack, killing more than 20 Sudanese soldiers. Sudan’s army says it will confront Ethiopia’s attempt to thwart the “harvest season” at Fashaqa” (Somali Guardian, 28.11.2021).

Yet, again there is reports of Ethiopian army or affiliates crossing the border from the Western Tigray region at the Al-Fashaga region inside Sudan. The Sudan Armed Forces (SAF) where attacked yesterday and it’s happening yet again. This isn’t the first time, but there been skirmishes like this in the previous year in the same area.

Sudanese military repels a new cross-border attack by Ethiopian troops backed by Amhara militia near Malakawa area, 17km deep into Sudan border – Sudanese media reports.

Fighting lasted for several hrs. At least one Sudanese soldier reportedly killed, others wounded”

That’s why its hard to believe that the Ethiopian National Defence Force (ENDF) says this today to the press.

The Chief of Staff of the Ethiopian Army, Berhanu Gula, “Ethiopia does not want war with Sudan,” and we’ll solve border encroachments on Ethiopian territory through law and dialogue. What is happening now is an attempt by Sudan to invent a war between the two countries.” (28.11.2021).

There been further reports of an additional 33 wounded in the clash as well. Therefore, this has been bloody and devastating. What do know from reports of late, is that the Amhara Para-Military Group “Fano” and Eritrean Defence Force (EDF) have had battalions in the Western Tigray. Where they have also committed massacres in Humera area in November 2021. Therefore, these are soldiers and militia members who are willing to kill…

These has both in the past year crossed into this region and attacked on Sudanese soil. So, this isn’t the first nor the last time they will do this. As the tensions and the border dispute continues. This is far from over… and that shows the first clashes and skirmishes in the region by the parties happened in late December 2020 and we are in late November 2021. Therefore, this has been a prolonged conflict by the parties. While they have been unwilling to settle it. We know the Ethiopian government haven’t been willing and only had small-talks with the Sudanese government officials. Peace.

Sudan: The attack on SUNA should be warning of how fragile things are…

The Sudanese street should remain prepared for any attempt to hijack the revolution from those who are trying to turn back time” – Mohammed Nagy Al-Assam (23.10.2021).

Khartoum, Oct. 23 (SUNA) – The General Manager of Sudan News Agency (SUNA), Mohamed Abdul-Hamid, has announced cancellation of the press conference of the Central Council of the Forces of the Declaration of Freedom and Change, scheduled on Saturday afternoon, after the attacks that affected the agency’s reception by an unknown force. Abdul-Hamid said that the group that was mobilized in front of SUNA was transported by cars, and then an additional number of about 150 people arrived” (SUNA – ‘Press Conference of Freedom and Change at SUNA Cancelled’ 23.10.2021).

A group allied with the Palace sitin attacked the buildings of the Sudan News agency SUNA, ahead of a press conference organised by the Forces for Freedom and Change where Dr Al-Asam of the SPA and the PM’s advisor Yasir Arman were due to speak” (Mohanad Humam, 23.10.2021).

Today, the Forces of the Declaration of Freedom and Change (FFC) was scheduled to hold a press conference at the headquarters of the Sudan News Agency (SUNA). However, the offices was under attack and the group was led by people who are pro-junta or military government. It was a 100 people who was taken there to protest and ambush the place. In such a manner, that the press conference wouldn’t be held.

However, later in the day… the FFC was able to do it. Still, the precedent of sending pro-junta people on the ground of the SUNA is a warning. It is a sign of what’s ahead and what level of oppression means the army will use. This is using pressure and gatherings to ambush a peaceful press conference. That says it all about the will and ways of the army commanders within the Sovereign Council. They are not budging and using all their means at their disposal. Just to silence and try to stop the civilians to have a voice.

Later: “Mohammed Nagy Al-Assam speaks at a press conference by the Forces of Freedom and Change pro-democracy political coalition held after an attack by more than one hundred pro-junta street militants tried to stop it by invading state news offices” (BlackBoy, 23.10.2021).

This just shows the willingness and that the army commanders are willing to do this. They are not even trying to show a friendly face or facade. These people are just using scare tactics and all means to block civilians. The Sovereign Council is already in a crisis and hoovering around. This sort of play only shows the dire need for reform and changes. As the army commanders are hungry for total control. Peace.

Sudan: Al-Burhan and Hemeti cannot stop the revolution

Sudanese Professionals Association: Attacks on peaceful protests is a blatant move from the current government, with all of its components [civil & military]” (African Narratives, 21.10.2021).

Today, the streets of Khartoum and elsewhere the revolutionary spirit was alive. The protests was happening all across the republic. Sudanese civilians went to the streets and went marching for democracy. They went to the streets of the civilian government and end the time of a military one.

The state tried to use live-bullet, tear-gas and other equipment to contain it. However, the streets was packed with people. This is a continuation of the revolution of 2019. They don’t want the army commanders of he Sovereign Council to hijack the revolution. This being the President Al-Burhan and his vice Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo aka Hemeti. Who both have been involved and scheming to get rid of the civilian cabinet and the technocrats in the Sovereign Council. Alas, the public sentiment is countering that.

It was demonstrations and protests was happening in all the 18 states. Just in Greater Khartoum area, the State Ministry could confirm that 35 people was injured by the police. The army commanders of the Sovereign Council cannot takeover. The public is showing dissent. They are not accepting it.

There been reports of injured in other towns and cities in Sudan too. However, at this current time we don’t know how it has gone outside of Khartoum. The only dropped numbers was from Greater Khartoum area. Therefore, whatever happened in Omdurman, Post Sudan or in the towns of Darfur. We have seen the authorities using live-bullets or tear-gas against the civilians demonstrating. We have seen pictures leaked online and shown the disgraceful act of the state. Who delivers violence towards civilians doing their duty as a citizen. The citizens are showing their rights and fighting for justice. They are fighting for democracy and a civilian government.

A cause that will take away power from the military commanders, but they are there to support the boundaries and secure the state. They are not there to rule supreme, as they prefer to do. The army is supposed to safeguard from foreign enemies and secure the territory. They are not there to be rulers. That’s what the public is fighting for and it’s a just one at that. Peace.

Security Council Press Statement on United Nations Interim Security Force for Abyei (15.10.2021)

The following Security Council press statement was issued today by Council President Martin Kimani (Kenya):

The members of the Security Council heard a briefing by the Assistant Secretary-General for Africa in the Departments of Political and Peacebuilding Affairs and Peace Operations on the sharp deterioration of the situation regarding the presence of the United Nations Interim Security Force for Abyei (UNISFA) in Gok Machar, South Sudan.

The members of the Security Council expressed their grave concern over recent developments in Gok Machar, including threats to the safety and security of peacekeepers which resulted in the death of a peacekeeper from Ethiopia on 14 September 2021, undermining the ability of UNISFA to support the Joint Border Verification and Monitoring Mechanism (JBVMM). The members of the Security Council noted that these recent threats followed the forced relocation, completed between 26 and 31 August 2021, of UNISFA troops and equipment from the JBVMM team site 11 in Safaha/Kiir Adem and team site 12 in As Sumayah/War Abar to the JBVMM Sector 1 Headquarters in Gok Machar due to the threats to the safety and security of peacekeepers.

The members of the Security Council reiterated their full support for UNISFA and expressed their continued concern that the full implementation of UNISFA’s mandate is being obstructed.

The members of the Security Council demanded the Government of South Sudan to facilitate the unimpeded implementation of UNISFA’s mandate, as described in resolution 2575 (2021), and provide full support to UNISFA’s personnel by removing any obstacles that hinder UNISFA’s work to protect civilians, including by ensuring the mission’s freedom of movement and by facilitating UNISFA’s provision of food, medicine and other supplies to its personnel.

The members of the Security Council also called on the Government of South Sudan to honour its obligations in accordance with resolutions 2518 (2020) and 2575 (2021) and under the Status of Forces Agreement with UNISFA.

The members of the Security Council underscored the important role of UNISFA and the JBVMM in support of achieving peace, security and stability in Abyei and the broader region, and urged the Government of South Sudan to intensify its mediation efforts with members of the local community in Gok Machar to reduce tensions and to provide for the redeployment of UNISFA personnel to team sites 11 and 12. The members further called on Sudan and South Sudan to convene a meeting of the Joint Political and Security Mechanism (JPSM) to address the existing challenges and facilitate the work of the JBVMM.

The members of the Security Council welcomed the continued cooperation between the Governments of Sudan and South Sudan, which is critical for the peace, security and stability in Abyei and the broader region. Recalling resolution 2575 (2021), they reiterated their support for the African Union, the African Union High-Level Implementation Panel and the United Nations Special Envoy for the Horn of Africa in mediating with the Governments of Sudan and South Sudan.

Sudan: Are we soon seeing a revised TMC? Since Hamdok was asked to dissolve his cabinet

October 15, 2021 (KHARTOUM) – Sudan’s Prime Minister Abdallah Hamdok has rejected a request by the leader of the military component to dissolve the FFC-majority cabinet and to appoint a new government they support. The Head of the Sovereign Council Abdel Fattah al-Burhan flanked with his deputy Mohamed Hamdan Daglo aka ’Hemetti” met with Hamdok on Thursday to discuss the ongoing political crisis in the country. Multiple sources confirmed to the Sudan Tribune that the head of the Sovereign Council and his deputy requested Hamdok to dissolve his cabinet and to replace it with another government involving the political groups that plan for a protest on Saturday” (Sudan Tribune – ‘Sudan’s Hamdok rejects Burhan’s request to dissolve government’ 15.10.2021).

Be aware, the Transitional Military Council (TMC) and the henchmen of President Omar Al-Bashir is still willing to ruin the whole revolution. The TMC and it’s army commanders wants takeover everything in bloodless coup d’etat. That wouldn’t be shocking, as the few technocrats and civilians in the Sovereign Council is already under pressure.

The Forces of Freedom and Change (FFC) gave way to early after the revolution and this is why they are paying a huge price now. The Sudanese people are not trusting the military commanders within the Sovereign Council. That is understandable, as the ones from the TMC haven’t worked hard or tried to regain trust of a civilian rule. The TMC cannot even work close or have the ability to resolve things with the FFC members within the Council. That says everything at this point.

We are now seeing that the President Al-Burhan and Hemiti is scheming to topple and overthrow the current transitional government. This will not solve the political crisis, but clearly ensure the TMC even more power than they already have. As they are the majority of the Sovereign Council and the civilians was a clear minority. Alas, the Generals wants a bigger cut and more power to silence the critics and the running riots, which could spark a second revolution as well.

That is what Al-Burhan and Hemiti fears. They fear the people will come with another popular uprising. As their popularity is close to zero and the people doesn’t trust them either. Why should they? Not like they have delivered or shown to be on course to any sort of election to civilian rule? They want to be an imposed junta on the people.

Now, that they tried to yesterday to dissolve the Sovereign Council. That we can take as an assault on the transition and the means to an end, which is to have all power in their hands. Al-Burhan and Hemiti would gain even more. That is the reality here and that shouldn’t be brushed under the rug. Don’t expect these men to give other opportunities. That would only be a smokescreen and for publicity sake. Peace.

Sudan: The Sovereign Council is under massive pressure by the reignited revolution

The foiled coup d’etat and the army taking control of the Sovereign Council is now getting a public reaction. This have been happening in Eastern Sudan. Where the oil-pipeline have been blocked from Port Sudan. Therefore, the government have already felt the pressure.

The on in power, the generals and the Transitional Military Council (TMC), which had a majority already in the Sovereign Council. Used the coup to cease more power and push the civilians out. These are appointed and technocrats, but still they are more viable. Still, the Generals have the order and the command of it. That is what the public is reacting too. Especially, when this wasn’t the cause for the November Revolution and the end of the reign of Al-Bashir.

 

There been reported that there was around 20,000 people in the streets of Khartoum yesterday. The train returned with people and they gathered together. Just like they did in the recent revolution.

Nevertheless, it wasn’t only happening in Khartoum but…

States where protests were held calling for democratic transition in Sudan:

-Khartoum state

-White Nile state

-El-Gezira state

-Kassala state

-Northern/Shimaliya state

-River Nile/Nahr an-Neel state

-Blue Nile state

-Sennar state

-North Kordofan state

– South Kordofan state

– West Kordofan state

-North Darfur state.

There was movements of the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the orders of Vice-President Hemiti. While the people was saying in the streets of Khartoum was even saying: “The army is the Sudan’s army, not Al-Burhan’s”. That says a lot and these sort of reports says it all.

The Transitional Government is clearly not popular. They are feeling more of the same and that’s not strange. When plenty of the Generals in the Sovereign Council was the henchmen in the previous government. So, you couldn’t expect these men to change and suddenly respect the values of the Revolution.

This is why it’s refreshing and showing courage that the general public is returning to the streets. As the Sovereign Council shouldn’t become another military entity. The citizens are demanding a civilian government and not a military junta. This wasn’t the deal and the agreement made when they created the Transitional Government, which has a majority of the TMC. Instead of having more civilians from the Forces of Freedom and Change (FFC). Therefore, that deal gave to much way to the army.

Now, the foiled coup showed their hand and what they are willing to do. In return, the citizens shows their disdain and will to retort back. Because, they don’t want to ruled by men of arms, but of civilians elected by them. This still their will. The citizens wants democracy and not be ordered by army generals. Peace.

Sudan: Is this the final days of the Sovereign Council? [and a new TMC takeover?]

To join our ranks for:

Completing the revolution and liquidating the control of Al-Bashir’s security committee, not to protect or continue the damaged transitional authority. Ending the partnership with the Military Council and canceling the constitutional document to form a purely civilian government in accordance with the goals of the December Revolution. A new civil authority of competencies committed to the line and goals of the December revolution and not an extension of the buried partnership authority. Free revolutionaries, we will continue the journey, assembly flags, September 26, 2021 AD” (Sudanese Professionals Association, 26.09.2021).

Sources in Sudan told me that the army has removed security from protecting the dismantling committee. Some claim that the security forces are making a point that they’re the protectors of the revolution. Others fear a more cynical ploy. Lots still unclear” (Matnashed, 26.09.2021).

Today, we are getting news of tensions between the civilians and the military wing of the Sovereign Council. This is all happening after the foiled coup mere days ago on the 21st September 2021. As there was several of generals and high ranking officials involved in it.

So, now the military leaders and generals within the Sovereign Council, the remaining Transitional Military Council (TMC) leaders are acting as sole custodians of the state. Which was partly the fear when they had the majority and the control of the Sovereign Council. As the civilian revolutionary groups under the Forces of Freedom and Change (FFC) which one of them was the Sudanese Professionals Association. They are not retaliating and reacting to the news.

Because of all of this. There is now clear speculations that the TMC is planning to get their own “appointed” civilian leaders within the Sovereign Council. So, that they can control them and have total power. Instead of civilians who guards the revolution and it’s ideas. That would be a “bloodless coup” in favour of the TMC. Where they are securing their interests and power within the state. As well, as stifling the transition and prolonging the transition period.

We know the TMC has already acted, as they have suspended all meetings with civilian counterparts, plus taking away their security details. As they are accepting violence and vandalism happening to their homes.

Clearly this is planned and scheduled, as the Al-Burhan and Hemeti blamed civilians right after the foiled coup attempt as well. Even when the ones arrested was part of the military and not civilian leaders. At least not the ones that published to the general public or in International media. That’s why this is a political ploy to take total control and dismiss civilian transition from military rule.

In Port Sudan tonight protesters was saying: “Leave, leave Burhan, we don’t need you Burhan”.

That says it all and the TMC is not there because of the people, but because they arms and guns.

One of the founders, Muhammad Al-Faki Suleiman of FFC has said this: “This bitter contract that we swallowed and called the partnership, we did not accept it except because after two years we will go to the polls, eager for the stability of this country. We will not allow anyone to manipulate the fate of this country, and we will not allow anyone to alter this equation as he wants”.

It is interesting times ahead and it will not be easy. Peace.

Sudan: A foiled coup attempt in Khartoum

“There was a coup attempt to take over power and it has been contained.” (Sudan Armed Forces).

The Sovereign Council’s biggest test to date have been this morning. As several of army commanders had a mutiny and went into coup d’état mode. There been reports of 40 generals or high-ranking commanders arrested because of their activity this morning.

As the soldiers and tanks are now on the streets. It has already been questions and doubt about the current rulers. As the bread prices are running high and the lack of civilian transition. The Sovereign Council has sort of betrayed the revolution and they did so through military protocol.

The ringleader of the coup is said to be General Abdel-Baqi Bakrawi. He and his associates will face investigation and punishment now. The foiled coup will be a stain on his legacy. However, people say these men, the former allies of former President Omar Al-Bashir is behind it. Therefore, they grow tired of the Al-Burhan and Hamdok transitional government.

We know there was pressure and that this transitional government was fragile. Even with all the military might and capacities within the ranks of the Sovereign Council. As the generals and leaders of old was there. It was not like it was most civilians there or appointed. Neither, was there many from the Forces of Freedom and Change (FFC). That’s why the public support for the Sovereign Council might not be as strong as it is perceived either.

We also know that Ethiopia have had a violent approach to the border conflict closely tied to the Tigray region. Therefore, some is even speculating that the Addis Ababa rulers have supported and tied into the foiled coup. However, that is mere speculation at this point. However, there have been seen and taken arms going to rebels from Ethiopia crossing into Sudan. This has been happening in recent months and therefore the word of mouth spreads fast.

Time will tell what is happening and what will go down. Some is afraid and thinks this is the first of many. As there is a will and someone might even succeed. We cannot know that today, but this is what happens when you let the military in control of a government. Instead of elections, you get coups and new commanders who wants to rise to power.

The Sovereign Council needs to prove its worth and value. They cannot skate away on old promises and lack of results. Peace.

Opinion: A junta stays a junta

Breaking News: Colonel Assimi Göita takes over as President of Mali , Interim President and Prime Minister dismissed Less than 48 hours after dismissing the Interim President of the transition, Bah N’Daw, and his Prime Minister, Moctar Ouane, Colonel Assimi Goïta becomes the new President of the transition. Col Assimi Goïta says President Bah Ndaw and PM Moctar Ouane failed in their duties and were seeking to sabotage the country’s transition. On Wednesday, May 26, Bah N’Daw submitted his resignation and that of his Prime Minister to the man who had previously been his Vice President. The government, whose composition had been unveiled on 24 May a few hours before the military coup, was dissolved” (Red Lion Media, 26.05.2021).

There are sometimes the reality have to hit hard. There is sometimes a need to address things the way they are. This isn’t only for what’s happening in Bamako, but elsewhere. Let’s be clear. A junta stays a junta. No matter, if you appoint a civilian or a few technocrats to a “council” or a “cabinet” doesn’t make it a civilian government. It is still a junta government and the military is still in-charge.

That is what is happening these days in Bamako. This is what’s been happening in N’Djamena, Naypyidaw and Khartoum for instance. They have military government or junta’s, which Merriam-Webster defines like this: “a council or committee for political or governmental purposes especially : a group of persons controlling a government especially after a revolutionary seizure of power” (Merriam-Webster Dictionary – ‘Junta’ 26.May 2021).

We shouldn’t be shocked that Colonel Göita takes over power. That he sacks the ones who appointed a new cabinet without communicating or taking the CNSP into account. This is why the colonel did his second coup within a year. He used the army to topple the previous President and now he toppled another one. That’s because the civilians and the ones in transition didn’t follow the orders or act within the range of the military leadership.

This is just an act of an junta. Just because the junta appointed a former defence minister to President and allowed another civilian to become the Prime Minister. The main part of government was run by military commanders. This is why the underlings are still only there to create another image and be there to make the regime more feasible. The military leaders have no plans to leave power or give it away. They took power and has only selfish reasons to stay in office.

The junta will stay a junta. This will be the deal in Mali, Tchad, Sudan and Burma. These regimes are like this and they will not be accountable to anyone. They might seek to have some civilians within the transitional government or council. Just to make it legit and easily to sell to the international community.

It is just army commanders who wants to be the Executive and the Head of State. That is the reality. They didn’t need to win an election or get popular. These folks just used the guns and took power with their profession. The CNSP, the Sovereign Council and others are doing the same. They are boosting a transition. Hoping people are forgetting who they are and what sort of role they play. Putting in a few lucky technocrats (civilians) masking the cabinet/council. While promising after a long while to turn it into a civilian government.

The army says it saved the nation from corrupt individuals, tyrants and unpopular heads of state. The price is making them kings without any election. That’s why this is junta’s and they act like junta’s. We shouldn’t be surprised and just go after a few, but all of them. They are all using the mighty army in their favour. Instead of getting a government, which represent the general public in their republic.

We can either accept the trick or talk about it sincerely. Since, this isn’t a case only for Bamako. It is a problem and a way of governing, which happens across the world. Where the military and army commanders take control of the governing bodies and becomes the Head of State.

If you throw shade at Göita, do the same to General Kaka, President Al-Burhan and all the other fellas who has taken power this way. There is no difference, other than the way they have played it and making “mechanisms” for a transition. Which in the end favours them and gives them an advantage for a future election. That is it really.

A junta stays a junta. It doesn’t matter if they give a few plum jobs to a few technocrats. They are still army commanders running government and without a popular mandate from the public. Peace.

Opinion: Special Envoy Feltman is not the right man for the Horn of Africa

A career diplomat and a man who is controversial. Is not the sort of figure you send to fix or amend issues. An outspoken and ideological man like Jeffrey Feltman will only configure the conflicts and the situations at hand for the benefits of American interests. That is what he has done in his position most of his life.

Except for his stint under Ban Ki-Moon in United Nations and prolonged under Antonio Guterres. He has been a career diplomat across the Northern Africa and Middle East. His role in Lebanon and elsewhere is where his most noteworthy from.

Feltman is a person that take sides. When he actively takes sides in divided landscapes as a senior career diplomat. What will he do as Horn of Africa Envoy? I doubt he will wind beneficial middle-ground or emphasis on the common grounds between the parties. He is afraid of the Iranian and possible Turkish involvement in the region. As he also seeks to promote and secure the American interests first.

That means we know that this Special Envoy will be partial and be affected by his allegiance. He will not come with a clean slate or be working accordingly to the problems at hand. This man will not solve the issues or come with clear mediation. No, this man will further U.S. interests. These words are taken from Karim Makdisi who teaches at the American University in Beirut. Who assessed Feltman’s role in the area as an ambassador.

When you are known for things like this and going into the Horn of Africa at his very moment. The person should be less questionable. Joe Biden appointed him since his been a person trusted in the Obama Administration and has a diplomatic record spanning over years. This is a token recognition of that. However, his still a man peculiar fella who suddenly going into a mine-field.

A person who believes in “non-interfering” but interfering to avoid “enemies” interfering. Therefore, that split-personality trait doesn’t make much sense either. Except he lives in a cold-war paradigm with Iran. Which clearly could be shifted to anywhere in the world.

Feltman will pick sides whether it is in Djibouti, Egypt, Ethiopia, Eritrea, Somalia or Sudan. This man will also pin-point and look after the U.S. interests. That is why this man isn’t just a random a dude travelling and taking a safari. No, this man will not be the best diplomat. A man who could easily ask for a military government in Lebanon (wikileaks leaked cables proved that). He could easily assess a situation and confess to the sustainability now. Just to buy peace and the comfort of having a U.S. ally on the throne.

As a Special Envoy he is supposed to mediate in Tigray conflict, which has been going on since 4th November 2020. There he will by default have to intervene with the Tripartite Alliance and get vouched by them for talks. However, Abiy haven’t been in favour of any real talks or outsiders looking into it. As that would devastate his image and tarnish his “reformist” mind.

The Special Envoy is also supposed to mediate in the Al-Fashaqa triangle. Where the Sudanese have sent more forces and secured their border points. While the Ethiopian with their Tripartite Alliance have entered in here as an escalation of the Tigray conflict. Abiy have held small talks with Al-Burhan, but nothing sincere. It seems likely that the Special Envoy needs a miracle and I wonder, if he would booster the new ally in Khartoum or try to appease Addis Ababa. Hard to know, but with the likes of Feltman will have to be calm and figure out what matters here.

The last piece of trouble ahead is the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) and the Nile dialogue between Egypt, Ethiopia and Sudan. The three has held negotiations and talks, but haven’t landed on a agreement to settle the shared water. This here is both a talk of sovereign use of water sources and how that will affect the up-stream nations. This is why the Special Envoy have to dwindle into colonial agreements and newer ones as well. While being able to play ball with Cairo, Khartoum and Addis Ababa. His career task alone to finalize and be able to please all parties. Someone has to give, but we can wonder who will do that.

The GERD negotiations and talks alone will be more hostile. As the Ethiopian claims in the Al-Fashaqa region/triangle and their skirmishes inside Sudan. The relations has soured over this. That will not help the Special Envoy before even entering. As well, as his intervention or possible mandate hasn’t been granted by any of the parties involved. Who hasn’t a favourable view of American touches here. As the previous administration was taken Egypt’s side and this feeling might linger on.

Therefore, the likes of a Special Envoy in the first place is a noble idea of Biden. Nevertheless, taking a career diplomat should been seen as a positive. However, the history of Feltman and his manners. He can be seen as a spinster for American interests over the needs to salvage peace. This man isn’t the one who should have been sent. Maybe, Biden should have tried to get someone appointed through the African Union or boost IGAD itself. Even though these mechanisms are weak, but joint ventures with United Nations has helped in the past. Therefore, if Biden and UNSC had intervened with a UN-AU prospects into both Tigray, GERD and Ethiopian-Sudan tensions. The possible outcome could have been better and properly monitored by the International community.

However, a Feltman will only serve Washington D.C. and their needs. While being a token American interfering for these interests. He will not be there to be a peacemaker. Just like Abiy isn’t a man of peace either by any stretch of imagination. Al-Burhan and the Sovereign Council is also military men. When there is very civilians and more soldiers on the ground. There is little stopping more conflict. There is a need for mediation and talks between the leaders who orders the battalions.

Nevertheless, Feltman isn’t the man and just by the mere history. It is a flawed enterprise to send him now. Especially, when I cannot see or heard any of the parties have really asked of this of late. The need for local solutions is clear. There is a need for salvaging hope in the midst of the conflict. Feltman isn’t the man to interfere here.

He is getting a false start, as he comes as a forced surprise on all stakeholders and governments. It is not like he has been vetted or accepted by anyone else than Biden and Blinken. They have handpicked him and vouched for him. Now, he has to drop his credentials at all the mentioned capitals and after that pick a leaf for possible talks about the advanced weaponry and silence them as well.

I wouldn’t want to be in Feltman’s shoes at this point in time. First his not the man for the job. No matter about his long career. The reputation he has follows him and makes him questionable at best. Secondly, he has a mandate from Washington D.C. but not from the any of the sovereign nations his supposed to interfere in. Third, the U.S. isn’t that favourable or a “neutral” in these conflicts. Therefore, he has throw a curveball to be able to wing it here.

Feltman is in battles where he cannot win and I cannot see it coming Unless, there is a sudden miracle or a moment of nostalgia … where they changes their stances and gives way. However, that happens in movies, but not in the real world. Peace.

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