Somaliland: Somaliland Non-State Actors Forum (SONSAF) – Press-Release (17.01.2022)

Somalia: Puntland Government of Somalia – Press Statement (14.01.2022)

Somalia: Ministry of Internal Security – Press Statement (01.01.2021)

Somalia: Council of Presidential Candidates (C.P.C) – Statement (28.12.2021)

Mogadishu Tensions: It is now Roble Vs. Farmaajo

“We will storm the presidential palace and capture him alive” – Pro-Opposition Forces (Keyd Media, 27.12.2021)

Just as things where moving slowly in concerns to the postponed elections in Somalia. The “interim” and “transitional” President Farmaajo have today suspended Prime Minister Roble. They have squabbled earlier in the year, but today Farmaajo upped up the ante. While it is reported that the “interim” President ordered security forces to the house of Roble and wanted to take him away from his office.

Therefore, the tensions has gotten worse. Earlier in the day, there was reports of troop movement in Mogadishu. There is now reports that the pro-opposition forces of Mogadishu will encircle and take Farmaajo now. They want to prevent the “interim” President from holding a press conference today.

As Prime Minister Roble came out with his concern and there been change in leadership within the cabinet. The PM has appointed Abdukadir Mohamed Nur as the new Defence Minister. There is reports of beefed up security at the Presidential Palace and such. That is clear and evident, as the tensions are now running high.

Some reports are saying that the Villa Somalia is sealed off now. The pro-opposition forces are reported to block roads leading to Villa Somalia and the Presidential Palace. However, it is hard to know. As there haven’t been new reports the last few hours.

Nevertheless, this is spiralling out quick and we can wonder where this will go. The Somali National Security Forces (SNSF) have threatened to arrest the “interim” President at a Press Conference today. Therefore, we know that the bloodless coup d’etat that Farmaajo tried himself to pull off earlier today has backfired.

The latest news are that the pro-opposition forces has taken over the Dabka junction and the nearby neighbourhoods. This is a clear indication of where things are going. These moves aren’t making things better, but becoming a stalemate of which we don’t know. As both parties are armed and assessing their strengths. We can wonder when the “interim” President uses “Gorgor” to attack his enemies, as they have been donated to keep him in power. As the specialized unit of 5000 soldiers who listens to Farmaajo’s command. That should be worrying and we can possibly see new skirmished in Mogadishu. Just like we saw in April 2021.

This here is worrying and tragic, as the men in office and in power uses military means to their own benefit. To settle their private grievances and all for personal gains. What we seeing now isn’t a sign of strength, but also what sort of state Farmaajo is leaving behind. After all these years in power … Farmaajo should have left things more stable and secure. However, it is more fragile and even more insecure. That’s the legacy he leaves behind, as his willing to risk anything to be “re-elected” again.

That’s why we are seeing in December 2021, the same we saw in April 2021. This is tragic, but also the state of affairs. When political changes are occurring, the weapons have to be used and the use of military means is on the table. Instead of having talks and proper dialogue. The “interim” President rather use guns and ammunition. Therefore, not strange that the pro-opposition are answering with same means. However, that also makes the situation more dire and causes concern for what is to come.

Farmaajo is clearly playing a dangerous game and you can wonder how many times he can pull this one off. Before he used Kheire to do it for him. Now he thought he could get rid of a second PM. That’s the sort of fella he is and the world can see it. Peace.

Somalia: Was this Farmaajo’s new coup attempt in Mogadishu? [with the suspension of Roble]

Today’s report that “interim” or “transitional” President Mohamed Abdullahi Farmaajo have sacked or “suspended” his Prime Minister Mohamed Hussein Roble who he appointed only this last year’s September 2020. This he has done on his 322 day without a mandate and not being the elected President since 8th March 2020. That says a lot from a man who has worked against the 17th September 2020 agreement on the elections.

The man that the “interim” President appointed to run the elections and secure it to be free and fair. Has now been suspended and fired, because of corruption allegations and possible land-grabbing. As Villa Somalia is trying whatever ways possible to rig the elections and secure a second term. Since the bid of prolonging his presidency without an election was thwarted after a week during last year.

We know that Farmaajo also ordered soldiers and security officers to the offices of the Prime Minister today. With the sole intention of overthrowing the current government. Just in favour of his will and his whims. That is the clear intentions of what has transpired today.

It is a reason why he has accepted to rule and be in office without an election for this long. That he has stayed and been able to get away with it for 322 days. Farmaajo hopes that he can do this yet again and not have any issues.

Farmaajo have ordered the “Gorgor” and Somali National Army when he is in need. Because of the actions taken today. The PM has counter-ordered what the “interim” President did and said the security organizations should take orders from him. While Farmaajo is standing down as another candidate in the up-coming presidential race, which has been postponed and not been able to hold the polls. Therefore, Roble has taken power and also issued a statement where he says the cabinet is still active and follows procedures under his lead.

We have clearly seen how far Farmaajo is willing to go and never stopping in his tracks. Now we have to see how this moves, as there is talks of escalations of the opposition forces in Mogadishu. Which are now retaliating and planning to block-off the roads to Farmaajo’s house. If that is happening, as well as more army deployment around Villa Somalia. The tensions will be rising and that’s because what Farmaajo decided to do. Peace.

Somalia: Farmaajo rigging the elections as scheduled programming [but will people accept it?]

The first term of President Mohamed Abdullahi Farmaajo ended on the 8th February 2021. So now after being the “interim” or “transitional” President for 321 days without a mandate. In Somalia there is even more leaders calling out the rigging of the election in favour of Farmaajo.

Prime Minister Roble is following up his mandate to hold the elections. Which has been postponed and has many false starts. The Electoral Commission have had issues. The various of states has said the elections was sincere. There been hand-picked candidates by Farmaajo and he has swayed the state to field them. In such a way, that the Lower House and the Senate will be filled with his cronies. That seems to be the plan. So, that they can vote for him and get him re-elected.

Federal Electoral Implementation Team (FEIT) isn’t only questioned, but the “interim” President is as well. As he uses everyone against each other and the PM is swimming in trouble. It is just like his making things harder and scandals to ensure safe passage. Using insecurity in states to pin his folks and ensure he gets his people elected. That is how it looks like and the elders are used as pawns for his personal gains.

We know that the Council of Presidential Candidates (CPC) or National Salvation Front (NSF) isn’t able to secure anything and only holding meetings with a weak PM. A PM who soon has to answer for his own corruption scandal. As the state is also blocking a terminal at the international airport for the United Nations Mission in Somalia. Therefore, we know the plans are all ushered in and Villa Somalia has ticked off all pieces in it’s favours.

Farmaajo has used months. I would have expected he had used the famine and the drought to his favour. Alas, he didn’t do that. Instead, he has used time to promote and elevate the “Gorgor” while making his “private” armies greater. That seems planned, as he has gotten closer to his Turkish allies.

We know that he didn’t intend for the elections to go smoothly, as he planned to be a transitional President, which was first voted for in the Lower House and pushed to the Senate. Therefore, we know this man is willing to do anything to stay unelected. The whole last part of 2020 proved that in combination of not caring or valuing the 17th September 2020 agreement, which he now suddenly cares about in the late December 2021. That is really insulting and only shows his intentions are clear to find paths to stay in power…

Farmaajo wants to extend his mandate. Even when his not popular at home or abroad. His trying to dictate and force himself on the Republic. He is doing that to the best of his abilities. While also undermining anyone who tries to make the elections look legit. That’s because he has already candidates lined up and wants them stamped into office. So, that he can continue… because he has no future outside of Presidency.

I wrote already on the 8th April 2021 that he prefers being an unelected leader and in November 2021 I expected him to rig everything in his favour. All of that has happened and is proven to the whole world to see. Farmaajo, the big cheese is doing his own bidding and hope all of his tricks works. However, will be able to pull it off and will the Somali people accept that? Will they look by and see a man steal the throne?

That’s what’s I am wondering about. If they will silently see one man take it all and not even care how he does it. As long as he gets the office of the presidency and gets to stay in Villa Somalia. That is how things are looking and it’s no good. Peace.

Somalia: Humanitarian Partners release 2022 Response Plan for Somalia, UN announces US$17 Million towards immediate drought response efforts (20.12.2021)

The 2022 HRP seeks close to US$1.5 billion to assist 5.5 million of the most vulnerable people in Somalia.

MOGADISHU, Somalia, December 20, 2021 – The United Nations and humanitarian partners in Somalia have released the 2022 Humanitarian Response Plan (HRP) for Somalia, which is facing three consecutive failed rainy seasons for the first time in 30 years.

The 2022 HRP seeks close to US$1.5 billion to assist 5.5 million of the most vulnerable people in Somalia. To meet the immediate needs of drought-affected communities, the UN is releasing US$17 million from the Central Emergency Response Fund (CERF), bringing CERF funding for Somalia in 2021 to $52 million. This is in addition to just under $60 million provided by donors to the Somalia Humanitarian Fund.

“The lives of the people in Somalia are on the line, and we have no time to lose,” said the UN Humanitarian Chief Martin Griffiths. “To save lives in Somalia and avert another humanitarian catastrophe, we must release funding now so that people can protect themselves from further hunger and impoverishment. I am releasing $17 million from the Central Emergency Response Fund today to enable humanitarians to scale up critical operations. I count on other donors to follow this lead and urge them to generously support the Somalia Humanitarian Fund.”

People in Somalia have endured decades of conflict, recurrent climate shocks, and disease outbreaks, including the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic. A prolonged desert locust infestation has impacted also harvests and livelihoods. At least seven in 10 people in Somalia live below the poverty line.

An estimated 7.7 million Somalis will require humanitarian assistance and protection in 2022, marking a 30 per cent rise in needs in just one year.

The HRP will prioritize life-saving assistance for 5 million of the most vulnerable people, including 1 million children under 5, by decreasing the prevalence of hunger, acute malnutrition, public health threats and outbreaks, abuse, violence, and exposure to explosive ordinances by the end of the year. In addition, partners will attempt to sustain the lives of 5.5 million people requiring humanitarian assistance, including 3.9 million non-IDPs, 1.6 million IDPs and people with disability across 74 districts, by ensuring safe, equitable and dignified access to livelihoods and essential services. Finally, the humanitarian response in Somalia aims to uphold commitments to the centrality of protection.

Conflict and insecurity have forced 777,000 people to flee their homes so far this year. Overall, more than 2.9 million people are internally displaced in Somalia – one of the world’s highest figures. Most of these internally displaced people live a precarious existence and need help to survive. Women and girls make up half of the displaced population and face a heightened risk of sexual violence and harassment, abuse and intimate partner violence. “The current drought has devastated livelihoods and pushed families to the brink of disaster,” said Federal Minister of Humanitarian Affairs and Disaster Management, Khadija Diriye. “There is a high risk that without immediate humanitarian assistance, children, women and men will start dying of starvation in Somalia.” Somalia – on the front line of climate change – is the most severely drought-affected country in the Horn of Africa. An estimated 3.2 million people in 66 out of the country’s 74 districts are experiencing the cumulative impacts of three consecutive below average rainy seasons, including 169,000 who have abandoned their homes to seek water, food and pasture.

Recent projections indicate that up to 1.4 million Somalis could be displaced by drought in the coming six months. Widespread livestock deaths are already being reported, and food, water and fuel prices are rapidly increasing. Crop production in January is projected to be 50-70 per cent below the last ten-year average.

Humanitarian organizations, local communities and government authorities have ramped up responses to address acute water, food and fodder shortages and other lifesaving needs for people across Somalia. But they urgently need to ramp up these efforts and in order to scale up, they need additional resources and unfettered access to people in need.

Somalia: the compound impact of drought and conflict pushes people to the brink (14.12.2021)

Last month the Federal Government declared a state of emergency, as thousands leave their homes in search of food, water and pasture.

GENEVA, Switzerland, December 14, 2021 – More than 300,000 people have been affected by the worsening drought in Somalia’s Galgaduud region. Last month the Federal Government declared a state of emergency, as thousands leave their homes in search of food, water and pasture. In addition to the worsening drought, Guriel, a town of some 100,000 inhabitants in central Galgaduud, has seen an intensification of conflict. At the end of October, heavy fighting broke out between Somali National Army and Ahlu Sunnah Wal Jama’a group, killing dozens and forcing some 100,000 people to flee to the neighboring villages.

“This drought is more severe than the ones I used to see. The clashes have forced people to run away and become displaced. The drought and lack of rainfall has also caused displacement. These things have all come at once,” said Hashim, a 50 year old resident of Guriel.

Intense shelling damaged several buildings in Guriel, including its main hospital. The Kulmiye Community hospital, the second largest in town, was destroyed in a fire.  Kulmiye hospital was a referral hospital that offered outpatient, inpatient, maternity and immunization services to people from surrounding villages within the range of over 100 km. “This morning, a number of people arrived at the hospital thinking it still exists. They had not heard the news,” said Dr. Ali Omar Tarabi – Chairman, Kulmiye Hospital Board. The pressure on the remaining health facilities has considerably increased.

Hundreds of thousands of people are staying in makeshift settlements on the outskirts of Guriel town. Some of them were displaced by the recent fighting, while others came to the area seeking pasture, as drought became more severe. All the displaced people live in extremely difficult conditions, lacking access to the essential services, like food, water and healthcare. “To respond to these needs, we provided water trucking to displaced people in 17 villages”, said Mohamed Sheikh Ahmed, Head of ICRC office in Galmudug.  “Together with the Somali Red Crescent Society, we deployed a mobile health team that is providing essential health care services to six villages”.

Life is slowly returning to Guriel, but many small businesses remain closed and it will take time and effort to repair the damage, especially while the region is grappling with the consequences of the drought.

ICRC in Somalia – Key Facts

  • A mobile health clinic consisting of 2 nurses, 2 health promoters, a vaccinator and a pharmacy assistant run by the Somali Red Crescent Society (SRCS) is providing health care services to four villages and two displacement camps in Galgaduud region.
  • Over 39,000 people received access to water through rehabilitation of 9 boreholes
  • The ICRC has been delivering 90 liters of water per day to some 6,600 for four weeks, as part of its emergency response.
  • 20 water tanks have been delivered to 17 affected villages in Guriel.
  • Over 70,000 people affected by the drought received cash grants in 17 villages in Galmudug region.

Opinion: Okello Oryem is mocking the wrong partners with MONUSCO

In an Interview with NTV this morning, the minister for foreign affairs in charge of international relations Okello Oryem said Uganda “does not need the help of the UN” which he says they consider as a “useless group” that has allegedly preserved terrorism in Congolese soil. “We have no good words for them, they have been there for long but what have they done? As far as we are concerned, we do not want their military assistance, even if they offer us a cup of tea, we do not need it,” said Mr Oryem” (Ritah Kemigisa – ‘Uganda doesn’t need UN’s help for DRC mission- Oryem’ 02.12.2021, KFM.co.ug).

The hubris and the arrogance is clear as the Minister Henry Okello Oryem who is is now downplaying the role of United Nations Organization Stabilization Mission in the DR Congo (MONUSCO), which is starting their gradual exit strategy from the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). MONUSCO is based in the provinces of Ituri, North Kivu and South Kivu, which the UN based mission is to stop the militias with disarmament and demobilization of them. In such a way, that the MONUSCO is there to be the civilians’ protection.

It is really striking that the Ugandan Minister is mocking and not wanting to work with MONUSCO now. This mission was first established in 1999 as MONUC and got a new mandate in 2010. While in 2020 the mandate changed and they are starting already to back-out. Therefore, the UN Mission is dwindling down. As well, as there are new militias and foreign interference in the region of which the Ugandan army entered yet again.

MONUSCO is partly created by the interference of Ugandan troops within the DRC. Not that the Ugandan armies was alone in these wars or always been welcomed to enter the DRC. The UPDF and Rwandan Defence Force (RDF) have both entered it. As well, as both nations have been involved in supporting militias, rebels and armed groups within the DRC. That is well-known and they re-appear at certain stages. Just like the UPDF have been inside the DRC before on specialized operations towards certain targets.

Okello Oryem is just showing how the Ugandans elites and the ones within the regime is thinking about it. It is their rights to attack and be part of military operations within the DRC. Since, they don’t want anything with the UN or MONUSCO. I wonder, if Okello Oryem would accept similar feelings in Somalia between the Somali National Army (SNA) and African Union Mission in Somalia (AMISOM), which the latter UPDF is a pat of. I wonder, if Okello Oryem and all of the Ugandan hierarchy would like to be painted in similar fashion. Because, there is two sides to any coin and this is a foolish take.

Yes, MONUSCO isn’t perfect and neither is it’s mission. There has been continued insurgency and lack of territorial integrity, which the Ugandan and Rwandan counter-parts has supported and participated with. That is well-known and is a reason for the illegal export of resources from the provinces as well. Therefore, Okello Oryem should be a bit more humble, but I know that’s too much to ask for in 2021.

Okello Oryem could suddenly wake up and bite the dust. Since, his just showing a lot of flair. Nevertheless, we know the trouble will return and be a real issue. There isn’t only the ADF in Ituri, North and South Kivu provinces. There is several of other militias and guerrillas in the provinces and they are causing massive concern and is a silent war that never ends. They are invested in, given arms and training. This is deliberate and the joint operation will not stop this… sadly…

MONUSCO will not end this and they being gone will not stop the existence either. As long as the head of state and foreign interference for profits continues. The insecurity and usage of militias will continue.

It is like we are supposed to be naive and forget how this all started. The UPDF and RDF is responsible for a lot of the pain. The two nations have used the provinces and the DRC as a treasury chest for them. While using the same means to re-enter again and for some reason the Kinshasa government allows that to happen. This is even happening, as the State of Emergency in this regions are occurring. That is really tragic…

Okello Oryem should think about what he says. Since this could be easily said about the UPDF within the AMISOM. Which the SNA and Federal Government of Somalia (FGS) only creates more problems within Somalia. Alas, he as a diplomat should be more careful, but I don’t expect it to ever happen. Peace.

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