
The Russian Federation and President Vladimir Putin isn’t worried about economic or financial sanctions. That will not touch him the slightest. It will not hurt his political elite or the oligarchs who are partly invested and parts of the financial structure of the rest Europe. Putin knows this and his banking on it.
We should worry that the sanctions will be pointless or not hurt him. As arms embargo and other features will not be prevalent towards Russia. As it is a weapons producer and self-sufficient in some ways. It has also other forms of trade and means of getting revenue. The sanctions and financial implications will also hurt the rest of Europe, as the Gazprom and Gas is vital for the energy needs of Central Europe, which is exported from Russia. Therefore, stopping that will inflate prices and create an energy crisis there. This is why Putin has an ace up his sleeve.
Putin and his allies has planned this for some time. He wouldn’t have the signing ceremony with the separatist leaders of the Donbass regions. Neither would he have moved so much of the army towards the borders and into Belarus for no apparent reason. It was a slow waiting game for the right moment. As Putin knew it wouldn’t cost him much or very little to do so.
Yes, his condemned and the Western powers are writing statements with sort of plans to sanction Kremlin and LPR/DPR. However, this will be very futile, as the Russians has the army within Ukrainian territory and Putin doesn’t respect the nation of Ukraine as an entity. That was his speech today and it’s clear he wants to erase old “mistakes” in Eastern Europe.
Putin will not be faced with the sanctions, as he will brush it off, as he has other trading partners and agreements, which will keep the Russian federation alive and well. They has broader arrangement elsewhere and the West cannot hurt it that much. Yes, it looses some coins in the short-term, but it knows the West will return. As their gas is vital for the needs of central Europe. That’s how he has tricked the game.
That’s why the German Chancellor was such a mediocre figure in Moscow recently. He was such a softie and a lost duck. That must have given Putin hope that Europe wasn’t ready or able to find measures against him. Only Macron had some resolve, but he cannot carry the European Union and NATO on his shoulders. Therefore, Putin felt his safe and sound. He got the bargain chips and the ball is in his court.
That’s how things are looking and President Biden haven’t proven any strength or resolve. No, his been a distant outsider trying to forge a narrative. Nevertheless, he has neither acted in good faith or showed any sort of movement, which would strike fear into Putin. Putin is a seasoned leader and a well established head of state. He wasn’t in office yesterday and that’s why he has done what he could to read the room. This is preparing the war-room and the possible costs of a conflict.
Putin knew he could buy time and waste it for the adversaries. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky had no chances to win this. He is just being played by both sides. While he has the sovereign rights and territorial integrity of Ukraine to worry about. However, Putin knows he has little to gain or expect in the short term. As Ukraine was able to loose without much fanfare Crimea and now he hopes to repeat that. We just have to see how swiftly he will do this.
Putin hasn’t gambled and he will not fold over some coins lost. No, he will march on to his victory without any concern of the implication of the rest of the West or Eastern Europe. It is just the ideal of Putin and everyone else is just supposed to blindly follow him. Peace.










