Opinion: Campaigns will never be fair [in the republic of Museveni]

Don’t be shocked.

Don’t worry…

There will never be free and fair elections. Not as long as Museveni rules.

As long as President Yoweri Kaguta Museveni is in power. The authorities will have one law for the ruling regime and another for the opposition. That is why the Forum for Democratic Change (FDC) has one rule and National Resistance Movement (NRM) have another one. The same can be said about National Unity Platform who will have another rule, than what the NRM has. This is just the sad reality and will be like this as long as Museveni rules.

So, if you campaign against the President and his party. Expect no mercy and all things working against them. This is why the opposition will taste the tear-gas and get arrested. It is there where the police officers are using live-bullets and dispersing the crowds. While the NRM can drive through in similar fashion and only see law enforcement smiling as bystanders.

So, please don’t be shocked by this. What is happening in and around the main opposition candidates is all natural. This the election violence that the state is sponsoring on behalf of the President. They are making people and candidates into political prisoners. Because, they dare to challenge and be viable in comparison to the regime itself. If the state didn’t care about their candidacy. They would let them traverse and hold rallies, because the “high above” doesn’t fear them.

The polls will happen in 2021. The NUP and FDC is usual suspects here. This because of their ways of campaigning and challenging the state. Yes, Lt. Gen. Henry Tumukunde is feeling this too, but we all know that his campaign is futile. Robert Kyagulanyi aka Bobi Wine and Patrick Oboi Amuriat will face open oppression and hardships. These will be blocked from venues, radios and road-blocks. That will never happen to Museveni.

Museveni can campaign where-ever. The Presidency can travel across the nation and go into any media house. The NRM party is allowed to do anything. They can sing songs on the streets and use whatever means to campaign. While the opposition have to be careful about what they do.

What is happening now isn’t new. The actions made is following the Modus Operandi of the state. The ones who has seen campaigns and monitored them. Know that this is what happens and what the state does. They are targeting and intimidating the opposition. They are using all means and showing force. Because, the state is not willing to have a level playing-field.

So, when you see headlines and see POA and Bobi Wine into trouble these days. Know that it was bound to happen. These two are under fire. Because they dare to aim at the throne. There will be no other way out of this. This is just the way it is.

NRM got one rule,

the opposition got another one.

The NRM can do whatever they want,

but the opposition have to live by strict rules.

So, as we are going into 2021. This is the rules of the game. The game is rigged and we all should know it. Peace.

Opinion: The 3 main challengers to Museveni

Today, the Electoral Commission came with a list of 19 candidates to the Presidency in 2021. The vital information there. Is not only all the parties, which doesn’t challenge the Presidency, but also the main opponents.

I will easily dismiss independent candidate Henry Tumukunde, as the NRMer he is and what he has worked on all his life. The only way he can be viable and make sense. Is if he starts to offer internal secrets and undermine the NRM with a force, which nobody has seen in the past. Alas, he wants to appointed somewhere post-election. Therefore, don’t expect him to renegade and show the truth of the ruling regime.

I also doesn’t see the independent candidates like Pastor Fred Mwesigye and Pastor Joseph Kabuleta. Kabuleta knows how to go viral online and trigger the authorities. However, he doesn’t have the political standing or ability to gain enough traction for his cause. Mwesigye will be a punchline and only use this as PR for his church.

Former Presidential Candidate Joseph Elton John Mabirizi can this time possibly take himself more serious and not be joker. He can maybe even sound more serious, but his candidacy is still a stage-dive landing bad. Former Reality Star Nancy Linda Kalembe will also not make a difference. She might get someone new interested in politics, but she will not do much in her favour.

The three candidates that makes sense in this. That has some traction of the 18 who is not Museveni. Are Robert Kyagulanyi Ssentamu aka Bobi Wine of the National Unity Platform (NUP), Mugisha Muntu Gregg of the Alliance for National Transformation (ANT) and Patrick Oboi Amuriat of the Forum for Democratic Change (FDC). These three are the ones who are viable and have a candidacy worth a damn.

Bobi Wine is the one the state is fearing. The one the state is blocking and creating hardships for. He is the one to look at and know that he will trigger the state. No matter what he does, the NRM copies and use means to be relevant there. The Candidacy of Bobi Wine is the biggest one right now. That is why, even Justice Forum (JEEMA) have endorsed him as well.

The second after him is Mugisha Muntu (ANT) a man who has created his own party after leaving FDC. The New Formation and the party, which will reflect his moderate and meagre moves for change. Where he will negotiate and softly create a difference. This man is gaining popularity, but not as stratospheric as Bobi Wine. Muntu wanted to Besigye and now he has his first chance. However, he didn’t equate a Bobi Wine in his way.

The third one is POA of the FDC. The man of the school of Besigye. The man who doesn’t want to be rated in the same regard as Besigye. Well, when your the first one after him. Everything going to be rated after him. You are going after the big-shot and the 4 time candidate. No matter what you do. You will be questioned and people will discuss you in comparison to Besigye. POA has a mountain to walk, he is a slow-burner, but he needs a PR Team making him edible. Since, he doesn’t have the standing that Muntu nor Bobi Wine has.

Bobi Wine have everything to win here. He is aiming at the top and has a good team behind him. The NUP has shown this and the People Power Movement are growing. That is viable by just seeing the mere popularity. This is why the NUP is attacked like it is.

The FDC and POA has to get there. The FDC is still targeted and create a fuzz, but not at the levels of Bobi Wine right now. Bobi Wine is getting the Besigye treatment this time around. That is why POA needs to make himself more viable and show his face. He has internally been able to navigate and get the candidacy. However, it will be totally different in the outside world. This man has to fight with all parts to achieve something.

Muntu is so peaceful and careful. He doesn’t ruffle feathers. That is why the Muntu campaign isn’t feared by the NRM. No reason to be afraid of ANT. ANT isn’t big, neither massive or popular. They have been able to table candidates and getting traction. However, nobody with sense fears Muntu. Muntu will compromise himself and his candidacy, if he gets the option to do so. This is why he left defiance… and created his own team.

There three candidates of the opposition that will matter. These are Bobi Wine, POA and Muntu. The rest will only be hot a minute in the headlines, but forgotten quickly. If they will even get there or if not only a byline in the Daily Monitor or in the New Vision. That is the reality of it all.

There is three to watch out for and ONE who is above the two others. Bobi Wine has the grasp of things, but it depends if he plays this out perfectly. Because, he will be targeted and aimed at from everywhere. That is the truth. The two others… might want to say its differently, but deep in their hearts. They know they play second fiddle to Bobi Wine too. Peace.

Opinion: Independent aspirants hoping for a Second Round K.O.

There is some who says its a democratic deficiencies to have Independent candidates for Parliament and elsewhere. I differ on that, but it does have consequences. The Independent candidates or aspirants are in more tighter races fighting for the same electorate as the one who one the primary election. Some, are the same, which ironically who didn’t vote for you in the first place.

The Independents who run as Independents all along is different. They have decided to run on their own merit and stand alone. Instead of abiding by a party or even nominating themselves there. That is always a risk. A candidate is most likely never running alone for the office. There would be others vying for it and in any competition. There is some winners and some losers. Which is the reasons why the party losers have turned independents.

The ones saying this is a misstep and misfortunate… well, this is the system and the electoral laws allows it. The parties, the codes and the supposed goodwill dies with this. That is because of the price in the end. The fortune and the bounty of getting into Parliament is so big. Not only titles and a public office. However, an MP get money, allowance, SUV and perks, which other jobs wouldn’t offer. Unless, you was hired to be a CEO or CFO of a major corporation.

These Independents are running because they have the funds to pay the nomination fee. Even if it is 3 millions shillings. They have the hope that even if they lost in their preferred party. They will have gained enough support and has a second shot of winning in the General Election. That means the Primary was only a pit-stop. Instead of a final nail in the coffin. This is why some complain.

The folks who complain about that wants politicking to be a gentleman’s game. Nevertheless, that has never been the deal. The game of politics isn’t all about showing a facade and a bunch of mannerisms. It is also about naked ambition and greed. When you know at the end of the day, the ones winning could get wealthy. Could afford mansions and own businesses because of it. They will vie a second time. Even if that insult their “mother” party and where they belong.

The aspirant for MP should show loyalty and accept the loss in grace. There should be another term and another opportunity for the person to run. Still, that would humble a person and if the person already has had office. They know the opportunities and the envelopes in the future. With that in mind, the person will not risk losing that. Especially, just to show a gentleman’s agreement and give way. No, there is to much money at stake to give that away for free.

This is why the losers of NUP, NRM and so fourth has gone Independent. They know what they could get, if they get elected in the General Election. They don’t want to loose out of the feast. These want to eat of the fine dining tables. Be hosted like dignitaries and live lavish on the spoils of the state. Who cannot understand that? Especially, if they have already been there and knows what they could get?

It would be foolish to give away a Michelin Meal and instead eat at a junk-food joint. You would pick the fine dining and enjoy the abundance of excellence. That is if you have a shot of it. It just makes sense that way.

The ones who wants this practice stopped. Needs to amend the electoral laws. Nevertheless, the opportunists will take a bit and see if they can pull it off. I don’t blame them, but they have already lost once. What make you think you will win on second round? Expecting on powerful punch and K.O. Good luck with that. Peace.

Uganda: Two Presidential Candidates arrested recently…

The National Resistance Movement failure and at the same time legend, Henry Tumukunde have been arrested at least twice recently. While also, the outspoken critic and former journalist Joseph Kabuleta have gotten arrested too. This is just the steady progress of the NRM.

Like today reported that: “Gen Henry Tumukunde has been arrested and is being held at Njeru Police station. The Presidential hopeful that recently launched a political pressure group was allegedly picked from Royale Paradise Hotel on Kayunga Road, Njeru Division” (NTV Uganda, 18.08.2020).

Also, on the 14th August in Hoima, that Kabuleta was holding rallies and meeting the public. The police arrested the Presidential Candidate there.

This here is just typical of the state. They are now using the COVID-19 guidelines as means to arrest and silence the opposition. These two are arrested as they are gearing up their campaings. Both as individuals.

Tumukunde with his pressure group Renewed Uganda and Kabuleta with Reclaiming our Country and Kin (ROCK).

Both are running for the Presidency. Neither with much fanfare or big following. These men have names and is known. Because of what they both did in their past. Tumukunde is a fellow who has bounced in and out of government. Appointed and faltered. This time he tries the route of Mbabazi in hopes of recognition and jobs after the election.

Kabuleta is a outspoken pastor, former journalist who does whatever he feels. Needless to say his not as much of big deal, as he thinks himself. He will end up as a lucky loser and will have waisted all of the time.

Tumukunde will land someone government or NRM appointment after all this. After he bows his knees and pleads allegiance to the President. Kabuleta will not be able to that. He has only used his platform and ensured a spring-board away from his divine enterprise.

These two are just the run-of-the-mill Bwanika and Biraaro running for the Presidency. The lone soldiers trying to find enough lost souls to gather a brigade. These two will revolutionize or have the ability to gain much traction. These doesn’t even have alliances with others to help them to up their game.

It is wrong to arrest them and do so on spite. The only thing it does. Is giving these gentlemen some headlines. However, they are lost causes. We just don’t know by what margins or stretch before the polls starts… Peace.

Hip Spellemannspris!

23 års moro med spellemannspris. Denne gangen blir det uten en pris for Hip-Hop. Ikke at dette kommer for meg som en overraskelse. Nordmenn driter som oftest i sjangeren eller tror at Tupac eller Eminem er de to eneste som eksisterer. Neida, men det er ikke langt unna.

Norsk Hip Hop har gitt oss Karpe Diem, Paperboys eller Pumba. Enten så er musikken holdbar eller svak. Det kan stemme at vi i Norge ikke har mange artister som blir store i sjangeren. Noe som er greit. Det stemmer at få artister når opp på VG Lista. Samtidig er det like mange i andre sjangere som får Spellemannspris som har låter på VG Lista. Jeg tviler på Blues, visesanger eller Country vekker like mye liv blant ungdom som ikke bare nedlaster musikk, men faktisk kjøper eller streamer musikken. Circus Elias blir vel store vinner i år eller Tønes fra Haua. Uansett. At Hip Spellemannspris er vekke. Forteller mer om Spellemannsprisen enn musikken som blir laget og hørt over hele landet. Kanskje er sjangeren litt klein og ikke like lett fordøyelig for alle. Det var heller i rocken i sin tid. Akkurat som Plumbo var i vinden for noen måneder siden. Så vis litt respekt og gi anerkjennelse til de som fortjener dette, uansett sjanger.