Bobi Wine is now the symbol of liberation

Robert Kyagulanyi aka Bobi Wine is now detained at Nalufenya Police Station in Jinja district. After being arrested earlier in Luuka district on the road with his Presidential Campaign and with his convoy. However, he was brutally stopped there, arrested and taken away to Nalufenya. Later charged with Penal Code article 171, which is spreading disease and in this regard COVID-19.

However, all along this was to be expected at one point or another. That Bobi Wine would be arrested. This was something the National Unity Platform and the People Power Movement could anticipate. Because, at some stage the state and the authorities would find a reason or excuse to arrest him. That is what they do to their arch-enemies.

Bobi Wine is the symbol and the one carrying the mantle, which implies he is taking a cause of a peaceful transfer, even speaking of a revolution to topple the dictatorship and President Museveni. In such a regard and with a huge popularity. That Bobi Wine has strike a nerve, which is hard for the authorities to contain.

Bobi Wine have with his message, manifesto and his ideals brought the youth and disenfranchised a party and an ideology. Where they believe they can together bring change and also ensure the end of the reign of Museveni.

That is a hard bargain. Near impossible, as Museveni has installed himself and his allies in every part of the government. There isn’t anywhere where the President cannot order or direct. The President has his touch on all things and can get his memo to every corner of the Republic. That sort of control is what keeps him in power.

However, that isn’t without its costs. As the President have kept the public poor, haven’t ensured the benefits for the average citizens and they have not earned on his Presidency. No, they are living in the same peasantry they did before the took power. Yes, they can afford soap and some goods, but there are plenty who struggles to get enough to have one-meal-a-day. Nevertheless, the President and his team isn’t stressed by that fact.

Bobi Wine is there to make a difference, change and liberate from this toils, suffering and oppression, which have been inflicted on the Republic for so long. This is why Museveni have gotten a new type of leader against him. Not the run-of-the-mill former cadre from the NRM or any common intellectual. No, he has gotten a man from the ghetto, a musician and a man who has the wisdom to listen to the one around him.

Bobi Wine is the symbol that Museveni didn’t want to create. The People Power Movement and Bobi Wine is the sort of effort Museveni dreamed off before he needed the Bush-War himself. Inside himself, I am sure he feels the pain. That he never got the love to this extent without a civil-war. The President only got the bash of glory after participating in killings thousands upon thousands of civilians to gain power. The man didn’t achieve it through the ballots and through his messaging.

That is Bobi Wine is turning into a true opponent. A sort of opposition and example, which is in stark contrast to himself. Bobi Wine is the new revolutionary. When he is supposed to be the liberator. However, Bobi Wine works to liberate the Republic from him and his reign. That maybe boggles the President. Because, he forgets why he went to Bush. Since, everything he fought against. He has become himself.

That is why Bobi Wine and his candidacy exists. Bobi Wine wouldn’t be the symbol. The man fighting the cause and working for liberation now. If it wasn’t for Museveni keeping the shackles and the bracelets on the general public.

The arrest of Bobi Wine will not be the end. The road to 2021 is still long. It might seem short, but the days ahead will feel long. Museveni might overcome this too. He has survived so many protests and demonstrations. However, Bobi Wine isn’t the sort of player he is used too.

Bobi Wine is the symbol and the man he never wanted to challenge. Because, Bobi Wine is one of them. Bobi Wine can and has the ability to strike a cord with the electorate and also inspire them. In a way that Museveni never will be able to do.

This is why Museveni fears him. That is why Museveni despise him. Also, the reason why Museveni goes after him. The symbol of everything Museveni isn’t and wished he was himself. Though Museveni came with a promise to liberate the public. He squandered that and became the oppressor himself. Peace.

Opinion: How much bitterness does Museveni want to achieve?

Today, there are riots, demonstrations and measures by civilians all across the Republic as two main Presidential Candidates Robert Kyagulanyi aka Bobi Wine and Patrick Oboi Amuriat is both arrested and detained. This is happening with the usage of COVID-19 regulations, while not ensuring the safety of the candidates or their convoys, but instead violently and brutally arresting in their respective parts of the Republic.

The results are staggering and shattering. The youths, the unemployed and the ones who seeks hope in these gentlemen are in the streets. They are throwing stones, burning tires and acting out their frustrations. As the state, the ruling regime and the President himself never has given them any sort of way out.

The President has ruled supreme since 1986. He has run the nation with an brutality, arbitrary arrests and extra judicial killings. This is well-known. The man is using safe-houses and various of para-military and intelligence outfits to control the Republic too. So, it’s not he isn’t using all means to stop and silence the opposition. Plus having the army and the police on his side at any given day. Like today and yesterday… he had them when in need.

Today is just the proof of the bitterness. As the public and a generation is bitter. The Republic haven’t progressed or delivered for them. The Republic isn’t in a better place now. The President haven’t secured their future. It haven’t even helped them to feed their kids tomorrow.

So many has never seen another man in power. They have never had the opportunity to see another style of leadership. The young nation run by a bunch of old bush-war historicals. Who has a story and reason to rule, which to the youth doesn’t appeal to them. The results and the achievements seems futile now. As they haven’t benefited from the “liberation”. A liberation which only liberated a few chosen ones. The rest are still struggling and if they find leaders elsewhere. They will struggle to assemble or be legally associated with them. This is why days like today happens.

The National Resistance Movement and President Museveni came with a promise they never kept. They promised democracy and peasants representation. However, they never truly did. They have “representatives” but that is their selected ones and not the ones who is there as the will of the people. The institution are all appointed and selected men from the President. The judiciary and every other government office is filled with cronies. Therefore, they are all in the game to keep this system alive. Even if it doesn’t benefit or really represent the public at large.

Museveni can speak game. He has spoken so many times. The President have been a public for so long. That at one point or another he spoke or wrote the truth. However, he doesn’t abide by it. Neither does his cabinet or the ones inside his patronage. They are indulged and enjoying the perks. The spoils of fortune and entitlement. That is why the apologists cry foul over some small destruction, properties damaged and car windows, but they don’t cry over the citizens killed or injured. They are not speaking out of the police brutality or the hurt it does.

That why it is a bitterness. There so many who is tired of being taken for granted. Being used as pawns for World Bank and International Monetary Fund grants and loans, but not to get anything out of the funds given to the government. The state was supposed to develop and make opportunities for the public. The state was supposed to shelter and make sure the citizens are safe. Instead they sheltering and harbouring one small elite and the President’s Men.

That’s why people are acting out. They have had it and seen enough. Where there is smoke, there is fire. The village is on fire, but the firemen is not to be seen. The ones who is supposed to make it stop. Is using their time arresting their enemies, than doing their actual job. That is why people are tired.

Museveni have let things burn and hoped no one would smell it. However, at one point the smoke and flames will overshadow anything else. Then, the President and his men got no where to hide. While no matter what forces he sends to stop it. Everything in its way will burn and the next man taking the reigns has to rebuild. All, because one man could never let go and became the same oppressor as the oppressors he was supposed to liberate the public from. Peace.

FDC’s Presidential Candidate Patrick Oboi Amuriat arrested and detained in Gulu

Patrick Oboi Amuriat arrested in Gulu where he was expected to address his supporters this evening at Awere Sports Ground teargas and live bullets continue rocking the city.” (Kungu Al-mahadi Adam, 18.11.2020).

The authorities have decided that today was enough of peaceful campaigns and go rouge towards the opposition candidates. This is the second opposition Presidential arrested today. They arrested him as he was heading to a rally in Gulu.

Patrick Oboi Amuriat, the Forum for Democratic Change (FDC) Presidential Flag-Bearer and Party President is currently detained in Gulu Central Police Station. We don’t know what charges yet, but expect to billed to the Penal Code 171 or in same fashion as Bobi Wine. As these are both main competitors to the Presidency.

Also, there has been reports of supporters and activists of the party arrested at the same time as the Presidential candidates. This shows to what extent the state goes to silence the opposition. POA is just another one who is supposed ask for the blessing of the anointed one. Clearly, he didn’t get the memo and that he was to be punished.

POA is just a man who honestly tried to carry the campaign and his “barefoot” message to the public. Still, that is so dangerous to the authorities that they had to arrest him. We shouldn’t be shocked, as he was violently taken and lost his shoes on the day of nomination. Therefore, this follows their steady program.

POA has also been blocked and had trouble holding rallies since nomination. So, it is just taking it up a notch. This is the steady impunity of the state towards opposition. POA is just another target, which the state has their aim upon.

The state have followed, monitored and always gone after the FDC. Therefore, this isn’t new. They easily find reasons to besiege the FDC headquarters in Kampala. That’s why this is a sign of what is ahead. When POA get arrested and detained like this in Gulu. Peace.

Opinion: Museveni using the COVID-19 as an excuse to arrest Bobi Wine

Today in Luuka District as Robert Kyagulanyi aka Bobi Wine was about to campaign. Was arrested brutally by the local police. They took him first to an “unknown” location, but that was later reported that he is detained in Nalufenya Police Station in Jinja District.

It is not shocking that it’s happening. Since the day of nomination this was bound to happen eventually. No real candidate challenging the President and his party will go through scuffle-free. Today is just the day this got real.

Not that Bobi Wine haven’t been there before already. The Presidential Candidate have already been scorned, touched and felt the brute force of the authorities. So, when he decided to stand and be the flag-bearer he knew this would be his fate.

The Luuka Police is charging him with the Penal Code article 171, which states:

171. Negligent act likely to spread infection of disease.

Any person who unlawfully or negligently does any act which is and which he or she knows or has reason to believe to be likely to spread the infection of any disease dangerous to life commits an offence and is liable to imprisonment for seven years” (Penal Code, 1950).

So, the state is using a colonial law, which still makes sense during a pandemic. However, they are using it on the opposition, but the same law isn’t used against their own party cadres who are throwing big rallies and processions for the National Resistance Movement (NRM).

The Luuka Police does this to stop and silence the opposition. They wouldn’t have done this, if these crowds was showing up for Museveni and his campaign convoy. That would not happen. Bebe Cool could be running around like crazy and be jolly with people on the streets.

Therefore, we know the deal and this is impunity against the campaign of Bobi Wine. This would never ever happen to Museveni. He would never be touched, scorned or even punished for anything. His ground is anointed and blessed. While the others has to ask for his blessing to be able assemble and be active.

This is why Bobi Wine is in trouble… and is charged like he is. Bobi Wine will get plenty more charges, more arrests and have cases all across the Republic. That will happen as long as President Museveni is ruling supreme. That has happen to others who has aimed at the throne and that is now the journey ahead for Bobi Wine. It isn’t justice, but the selective rule of law, which is the NRM way. Peace.

Bobi Wine brutally arrested in Luuka District

Police has arrested NUP presidential candidate, Robert Kyagulanyi aka Bobi Wine, and taken him to an unknown place. Bobi Wine has been arrested at his campaign venue in Luuka District following a scuffle between his supporters and security” (97.8 Kazo FM Omushomesa, 18.11.2020).

Robert Kyagulanyi aka Bobi Wine have been stopped in his tracks. The National Unity Platform (NUP) and People Power Movement Presidential Candidate have now been arrested. After the police and law enforcement have cracked down on the campaign rally of Bobi Wine. They have also arrested journalists and others. While tear-gassing the venue and such.

This is the difference between the “real” opposition and the ones who are running for the ruling regime. That the opposition will be incriminated and they will pin charges on you. While the ruling regime can do similar actions, but not get any crackdown from the authorities.

Today, it’s Bobi Wine. Tomorrow it’s someone else who dares to challenge the throne. They will either use the means of Public Order or COVID-19 as an excuse to arrest him this time around. A systemic way to oppress and silence the opposition.

Bobi Wine have been lucky that this didn’t happen before… he has been blocked and tear-gassed, but not arrested. So, that it lasted this long was luck in a way. That the authorities waited this long. Because, when you do challenge the State House or the “High Above”. Expect to be punished and suffer. There will be consequences…

These consequences we are seeing today. Bobi Wine isn’t the first to be here and will not be the last. Especially, if the state is able to contain the popularity and the campaign of NUP. That is what they want. While they want to look like a winning team, yet again.

We can easily see that Bobi Wine is the main target and the ones who gets the brutal treatment from the state. He is the man who is the competitor and have the message, which the state wants to silence.

This is just the way they operate and have done for years. Expect some ridiculous charges, excuses and a mockery of “trial”.

It is now reported that Bobi Wine is detained at Nalufenya Police Station in Jinja district. However, the case will go nowhere and its just a phony act to stop him from campaigning. Peace.

Mbidde the Meal-Ticket Politician

The folding his hands like “birdman” is Mbidde on the NRM Celebration of their 31st year in Masindi recently!

Fred Mukasa Mbidde, the man seeking the office of Member of Parliament in Masaka City, the former Masaka Municipality. Where the incumbent and former Democratic Party MP Mathias Mpuuga is running for another term under the National Unity Platform and directly supporting Robert Kyagulanyi aka Bobi Wine. Something Mbidde does now suddenly too, even as his boss Norbert Mao is running for Presidency too.

It is like Mbidde is trying to act like he cares about the People Power and NUP. When in reality, the man couldn’t give an rats ass. This man only gives his support for Bobi Wine for clout and chasing relevance. That is why he lost to Mpuuga in the last election too.

Let’s be clear. Mpuuga is a honest fighter for justice. Not because he jumped ship early to the NUP. No, because he has fought the good battle since the days of Walk to Walk (W2W) and been part of Action 4 Change (A4C). That all happen before he became a MP and someone of leader. Therefore, if Masaka chooses principals and true leadership. Than I vouch easily for the likes Mpuuga.

However, Mbidde is a man who seeks glory of others and wants a easy way out. This is why he searches and throws his support to Bobi Wine. That because the man knows his popularity is much more than of Mao.

Just like Mbidde knew it was wise to throw support and join the ranks of Museveni in the days before the EALA elections. That is why he was at the State House at the NRM Primaries and guested the festivities there. Just to ensure he could be the DP candidate for EALA. Which in the end he did.

Now in 2020 his fishing again. This time in a city and a municipality where he last before to Mpuuga. A man who is directly associated with Bobi Wine. Alas, it seems very fishy that he does it. Now that he starts campaigning.

This is the sort of political gambit, which is done only to benefit his cause. Mbidde doesn’t care about the Presidency or the battle against Museveni. This man has eaten with Museveni and gotten a good job in the EALA Assembly. Therefore, this man is just looking for another sweet-job with all the perks.

That is why he does this. Mbidde isn’t trustworthy in this. He has dined with the NRM and enjoyed the gifts he got. Now, he hopes to do this here too. Just much easier and hoping the public is gullible. However, they shouldn’t forget.

This man does whatever to get a meal-ticket, be relevant and have a office to go too. What happened now is just another twist. Another turn, which he hopes he doesn’t get exposed. Nevertheless, people shouldn’t forget how he became an EALA MP in the first place. That was because of his affiliation with the NRM and because in the end.

We all know his an “Good DP” who now tries to associate himself with the “Bad DP”. So, who is he kidding here? Only but himself… Peace.

Bobi Wine’s vehicle tear-gassed in Mbale

The National Unity Platform (NUP) Presidential Candidate was scheduled to hold campaign rallies in Mbale today on the 15th November 2020. The Police Force thrown tear-gas cannister inside the vehicle of the candidate. This shows the impunity of the police regarding the opposition. Opposition candidates have been blocked from campaigning across the republic. However, this was the worst example just today.

That the car of Robert Kyagulanyi aka Bobi Wine was smoking today. It was a bad Marlboro Ad or a looking like the car was about to catch fire. Alas, that was not the case. This was just the run of mill operation by police officers. Who has no issues with tear-gassing an Presidential Candidate. Just like they have no issues using it as a tool to get people dispersed too. This is what they do…

In the run-up to General Election in 2021 is no different from the past. This sort of thing has happen a few times with Dr. Kizza Besigye too. He was partly blind for a while because of the sprayed liquid on him in April 2011. Also, been happening to him in 2015 and in 2016. They have destroyed his vehicle and violently taken him into custody.

This is police brutality that Uganda Police Force delivers. Per orders from the “high above” this is the tactic of intimidation and humiliation. They are misusing power and doing it deliberately. A sort of Modus Operandi and its like they are proud of it too. Like a badge of honour. I also was able to cause havoc and pain on either citizens or the opposition.

What happened to Bobi Wine shouldn’t have happened. However, we shouldn’t be shocked. This is what they do. Also, if you don’t know. Bobi Wine is the main target this campaign season. After that comes Patrick Oboi Amuriat. After that comes the rest in random order. Peace.

Opinion: Campaigns will never be fair [in the republic of Museveni]

Don’t be shocked.

Don’t worry…

There will never be free and fair elections. Not as long as Museveni rules.

As long as President Yoweri Kaguta Museveni is in power. The authorities will have one law for the ruling regime and another for the opposition. That is why the Forum for Democratic Change (FDC) has one rule and National Resistance Movement (NRM) have another one. The same can be said about National Unity Platform who will have another rule, than what the NRM has. This is just the sad reality and will be like this as long as Museveni rules.

So, if you campaign against the President and his party. Expect no mercy and all things working against them. This is why the opposition will taste the tear-gas and get arrested. It is there where the police officers are using live-bullets and dispersing the crowds. While the NRM can drive through in similar fashion and only see law enforcement smiling as bystanders.

So, please don’t be shocked by this. What is happening in and around the main opposition candidates is all natural. This the election violence that the state is sponsoring on behalf of the President. They are making people and candidates into political prisoners. Because, they dare to challenge and be viable in comparison to the regime itself. If the state didn’t care about their candidacy. They would let them traverse and hold rallies, because the “high above” doesn’t fear them.

The polls will happen in 2021. The NUP and FDC is usual suspects here. This because of their ways of campaigning and challenging the state. Yes, Lt. Gen. Henry Tumukunde is feeling this too, but we all know that his campaign is futile. Robert Kyagulanyi aka Bobi Wine and Patrick Oboi Amuriat will face open oppression and hardships. These will be blocked from venues, radios and road-blocks. That will never happen to Museveni.

Museveni can campaign where-ever. The Presidency can travel across the nation and go into any media house. The NRM party is allowed to do anything. They can sing songs on the streets and use whatever means to campaign. While the opposition have to be careful about what they do.

What is happening now isn’t new. The actions made is following the Modus Operandi of the state. The ones who has seen campaigns and monitored them. Know that this is what happens and what the state does. They are targeting and intimidating the opposition. They are using all means and showing force. Because, the state is not willing to have a level playing-field.

So, when you see headlines and see POA and Bobi Wine into trouble these days. Know that it was bound to happen. These two are under fire. Because they dare to aim at the throne. There will be no other way out of this. This is just the way it is.

NRM got one rule,

the opposition got another one.

The NRM can do whatever they want,

but the opposition have to live by strict rules.

So, as we are going into 2021. This is the rules of the game. The game is rigged and we all should know it. Peace.

Opinion: The lost ones [who is only putting their names on the ballot]

There are a few lost ones ahead of the Presidential Elections of 2021. Not like the result will be any different. The results will be in favour of the incumbent since 1986. The ones thinking otherwise is either naive or haven’t gotten the memo. There are some who causes a stir and fuzz, but they will not change the outcome.

The National Resistance Movement and President Yoweri Kaguta Museveni will linger on. Unless, there is a public outrage, uprising and a revolution of the general public. If that doesn’t happen… things will continue like they have done and without stop.

I have faith that Lt. Gen. Henry Tumukunde will go the whole distance, but the man does know his a lost one. The man knows he got no chance and is only forcing himself through the motions. The man has no aspiring qualities or moral turpitude to gain recognition in the general public. His campaign is bound fail and be a lost chapter even before the possible books on it is written.

Pastor and Activist Joseph Kabuleta can cause friction on the Social Media. The man can write and speak wisely, but gain public interest? No, that’s not happening. Not will his campaign make the government fear or get intimidated. The man is way above his league and the interests will fade. Especially, as the fortune-seeking policies isn’t dangerous to the NRM.

Pastor Fred Mwesigye will not be pushed or get traction. His just there to be a post-boy for something, but Gods knows what. I cannot think of him to get any possible reach, unless he wants to get more members to his congregation.

Businesswoman and former Reality Star Nancy Kalembe will not get anywhere either. She looked stunning on nomination day, but haven’t had funds to campaign. The days ahead will not be easier. There will be questions and you can even wonder. How she could afford to run, but not to campaign. That is just a weird state in itself.

The youngest candidate John Katumba is aspiring to the highest office, but doesn’t have the capacity to launch a proper campaign. He couldn’t even reach his manifesto launch. This sort of erratic behaviour. Nice to run to the Kyambogo to get the Nomination on Nomination Day and the glow of youth. However, he will be a punchline like Elton Joseph Mabarizi.

Mao, Mr. Norbert Mao of the Democratic Party came in as a nomination at the last minute. There was no warning really, except sudden tweets. The DP Party President is running for the second time, but hasn’t really ravished the Republic or tried to campaign with a proper team. Seems more like a mismatch of ideals and words, but no true campaign on his behalf. The 2011 campaign of Mao will look more professional, then the one his doing as a “seasoned” politician. That says a lot. The lost one with one of the oldest parties of the Republic.

Last and least of these is Eng. Willy Mayambala who wants to cut down the days of campaigning, who believes the manifesto will appear in front of the voters minds and will not afford to get everywhere to campaign. Yet, another candidate with lack of resources, but still had the ability to raise funds to be a nominee.

This just shows the characters who are running, in manner where their names on the ballot, but their candidates are shallow. They are not even trying and cannot afford to try. Still, they resolved the issues to be able to run in the first place.

These candidates will not manage anything. They will not cause friction or a stir, unless they are able to violate the minds of the President and his associates on social media. These folks will not make a difference in the scheme of things.

The real candidates which can bring hope in different ways are Mugisha Muntu, Patrick Oboi Amuriat and Robert Kyagulanyi. These three has a vision, a party and a program of change. These are people who are canvassing and trying to spread their message. Not just being on the ballot.

The other names get recognition and get accredited, even discussed in media. However, they will be as pivotal as Abed Bwanika or Maureen Kyala after the polls. Just wait and see… these folks are making some talk, but they will not make any change. It’s not happening now nor tomorrow. These doesn’t have what it takes. These are the lost ones, they might not know it yet, but it will appear in front of their eyes eventually. Peace.

Opinion: Museveni will never run in a fair election [and it’s not happening now either]

Don’t shoot the messenger… this is the brutal reality that everyone has to wake up too. The General Election and Presidential Election in 2021 will not be different than anything else we have seen my lifetime. In the Republic, there has only been one President and that has Yoweri Kaguta Museveni.

The Presidential Election of 2021 will be no different then the previous ones. There will be same sort of ordeal and arranged results, which will benefit the President and his growing patronage. That is the reality of our time.

To believe that this President who used a bush-war to get power will suddenly drop the mantle and give the nation a peaceful transition is naive. It is mind-boggling and also the aftermath of doing so would worry the old man. After everything said and done, he knows his sins and acts in office. The President knows what sort of behaviour he has used and what sort of regime he has run.

It doesn’t matter who runs against him… the intention isn’t to have a fair election or a level playing field. Neither is the election there to ensure the will of the people. No, the election is to buy “legitimacy” and “international recognition” for another term. So, that the President can gain loans and development grants to spoil himself and his relatives. We know the drill…

That people like Robert Kyagulanyi aka Bobi Wine is gaining momentum and popularity is a sign of hope. However, that is all it is. There been others who has fought this battle before and never become a victor.

There been Dr. Paul Ssemogerere and Dr. Kizza Besigye have fought this one and been popular at rallies, elections and even seemed like successors at the polls. They have used their campaigns and their message to gain massive popularity. Still, that haven’t been enough as it has fizzled out and the revolution is unfinished.

Just like they never finished it.

It doesn’t matter if

Bobi Wine is able to rise to the stars,

If … Patrick Amuriat Oboi is able to travel to the black hole…

Even if Mugisha Muntu can speak in tongues and defy gravity.

Still, none of this men will succeed through the ballot. The ballot is only a game, which Museveni does for a purpose. These men will all fail. Not because there is anything wrong with their campaigns or with their will to get a peaceful transition from Museveni. They will not do it this way.

If the General Election goes through the motions, the normal campaigns and sloganeering across the Republic. There will very little achieved. The Presidential Candidates of the past done the same. The big crowds, the momentum and the sudden rise of an opposition candidate, but Museveni ends on top after waiting a few days after the polls. In days of media and social media blackouts. Opposition arrests and raids, also house-arrests of the key opposition leaders as well. Therefore, this game is ready and set.

Museveni will not play soft, this is his rule and reign. The President will not lose it all and his not gambling it.

This piece is not to downplay Bobi Wine and his allies. No, it is just to say. We have been here before.. I have seen similar before and therefore, unless there is a revolution and a popular uprising. The President and his allies cannot contain. Then there is no reason for him to flee his State House and give up his estates. He owns it all and unless his pressured in a manner, which he cannot control. I doubt he will give it up.

He fought and he has no plans to give it up. There is no plan to do so. If he has continued like this for this long. I doubt he suddenly will have an epiphany and come to his senses. However, there is no will and way for him act democratically and ensure a peaceful transition. That ship has sailed. Therefore, the futile thinking this election will be decided by the polls is totally bonkers.

That is already secured long time ago.

Not like he planned to have a free and fair election, because if he did… he would risk losing and that would never happen. The man cannot lose … that is not in the cards. Peace.