“I’ve been thinking a lot about this quote from one of my heroes, President Lincoln. I think it’s an important message for all of us today, and I’m sure you want to hear me read Lincoln speeches in my Austrian accent. Remember, today, the campaign is behind us. We aren’t enemies. We are neighbors. We are friends. We are all Americans, and we have a lot of work to do” (Arnold Schwarzenegger, 2016)
Well, ladies and gentleman the super-power called the United States of America, is a dying dinosaur that Michael Moore or even Jay-Z doesn’t have the power to change. Today was a shock for many, even for me as the American Electorate decided to elect a Demagogue of ill-rhetoric towards certain ethnic groups like the Latin-American, Women and so-on. Donald Trump in his power and commander-in-chief will remarkably create havoc.
All of this is well known, but what the United States’ citizens didn’t think about when they voted against the establishment on protest against the D.C. power-structure they voted for a man with certain traits that can put certain pieces of the Government into shambles. So before I start; for those of you who don’t know, here is the definition of a banana republic!
“It was coined in a 1904 book of fiction by O. Henry, an American writer. Henry (whose real name was William Sydney Porter) was on the run from Texan authorities, who had charged him with embezzlement” (…) “His phrase neatly conjures up the image of a tropical, agrarian country. But its real meaning is sharper: it refers to the fruit companies from the United States that came to exert extraordinary influence over the politics of Honduras and its neighbours. By the end of the 19th century, Americans had grown sick of trying to grow fruit in their own chilly country. It was sweeter and cheaper by far to import it instead from the warmer climes of Central America, where bananas and other fruit grow quickly. Giants such as the United Fruit Company—an ancestor of Chiquita—moved in and built roads, ports and railways in return for land. In 1911 the Cuyamel Fruit Company, another American firm (which was later bought by United), supplied the weapons for a coup against the government of Honduras, and prospered under the newly installed president. In 1954 America’s Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) backed a coup against the government of Guatemala, which had threatened the interests of United. (Historians still debate whether the CIA’s motive was to protect United or, as many now believe, to nip Communism in the bud.) Hence the real meaning of a “banana republic”: a country in which foreign enterprises push the government around” (The Economist, 2013).
Why do I believe this, it’s because of all his sort-of promises over the months. There is all kind of activities that proves the clear indications of a Banana Republic on the rise. The Americans might think otherwise, that is because there are blind on how the state really is.
“The United States recorded a Government Debt to GDP of 104.17 percent of the country’s Gross Domestic Product in 2015. Government Debt to GDP in the United States averaged 61.94 percent from 1940 until 2015, reaching an all time high of 121.70 percent in 1946 and a record low of 31.70 percent in 1974. Government Debt to GDP in the United States is reported by the U.S. Bureau of Public Debt” (Trading Economics).
So the average debt level or ratio is staggering already. This is not tackled because the creditors accept the debt levels are raising, just as seen with the numbers from Trading Economics are showing during 30 years the percentage has gone up over 70 %, which should be frightening to any economy. When you have that level of debt, you should be able to have a heavy tax-base to collect and pay the debt.
Taxing under Trump:
“US taxes are low relative to those in other developed countries. In 2012, US taxes at all levels of government represented 24 percent of GDP, compared with an average of 34 percent of GDP for the 34 member countries of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)” (…) “The United States collects relatively less revenue dedicated to retirement, disability, and other social security programs—22 percent of total tax revenue—than the 26 percent OECD average” (…) “Property taxes provided more than twice as large a share of US tax revenue—12 percent in 2012—than the OECD average of 5 percent. Almost all revenue from taxes on property in the United States is collected by state and local governments” (…) “The United States relies less on taxes on goods and services (including both general consumption taxes and taxes on specific goods and services) than any other OECD country, collecting 18 percent of tax revenue this way compared with 33 percent for the OECD. The value-added tax (VAT)—a type of general consumption tax collected in stages—is the main source of consumption tax revenue, employed worldwide in 160 countries including all 34 OECD member countries except the United States. Most consumption tax revenue in the United States is collected by state and local governments” (Hoo & Toder, 2006).
So when the Federal and Republic itself has such a giant debt ratio, the taxes should be high and should be to the levels of actually having the ability to pay it back. As they do not even have VAT on goods that is very normal world-wide, but apparently isn’t a thing in the United States. This proves the mismanagement of potential tax-base that the Government need to succeed to pay their debt. This is before the Election yesterday.
This is the taxes planned under Trump: “According to the Tax Foundation’s Taxes and Growth Model, the plan would reduce federal revenue by between $4.4 trillion and $5.9 trillion on a static basis. The amount depends on the nature of a key business policy provision” (…) “After accounting for the larger economy and the broader tax base, the plan would reduce revenues by between $2.6 trillion and $3.9 trillion after accounting for the larger economy, depending on the nature of a key policy provision” (…) “On a static basis, the Trump tax plan would increase the after-tax incomes of taxpayers in every income group. The bottom 80 percent of taxpayers (those in the bottom four quintiles) would see an increase in after-tax income between 0.8 percent and 1.9 percent, under both policy assumptions. Taxpayers in the top quintile would see a 4.4 percent increase in after-tax income under the higher-rate assumption, or 8.7 percent under the lower-rate assumption. Those in the top decile would see a 5.4 percent increase in after-tax income under the higher-rate assumption, or 9.3 percent under the lower-rate assumption. Finally, taxpayers in the top 1 percent would see the largest increase in after-tax income on a static basis, driven by both the lower top marginal tax rate and the lower corporate income tax. Under the higher-rate assumption this increase would be 10.2 percent, and under the lower-rate assumption this increase would be 16.0 percent” (Cole, 2016).
So when the government are axing it income, while the economy running on a deficit your making no-sense. Your continue to spend on deficit while cutting taxes; the taxed ones are the ones who voted for Trump, the bottom 80% will get higher taxes, while corporations and 1% riches will get less. So the richer will get richer. A real proof of a Banana Republic where the solidarity towards the ones who needs so. They who voted for him is the ones that will pay on his tax-plan, which is ironic.
This is on the direct economic sense, now on health care. Here he proves again he will hurt the ones who voted for him, the poor and what is left of the working-class:
“The policies would cause almost 21 million people to lose their insurance coverage, as the replacement health care policies would only cover 5 percent of the 22 million individuals who would lose coverage upon the repeal of Obamacare. This would almost double the number of Americans without health insurance” (…) “The largest component of this estimate comes from the “repeal.” The campaign website proposes to “completely repeal Obamacare,” which we assume to mean repealing the Affordable Care Act’s regulations, subsidies, Medicaid expansion, Medicare savings, and tax increases. Although repealing the coverage provisions would save about $1.1 trillion, based on Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimates (adjusted for recent legislation and changes in the budget window), repealing the legislation’s tax increases and Medicare cuts would cost a combined $1.6 trillion. In total, this means repeal would cost $480 billion – or $260 billion including the economic benefits of repeal” (Committee for a responsible Federal Budget, 2016).
So the Trump Administration are planning to hurt their own, the ones that has gotten through the Obamacare gotten some sorts of subsidized medical insurance, something he wants to repeal and will even make sure to cost the state more. So the educated minds will know that people has to carry insurance on their own while the state pays more to abolish the Obamacare. The 21 million individuals will regret questioning the medical treatment through Obamacare, as the Federal State will add more money. So the people are getting higher tax for the same 80% who losing their health insurance. Do the American citizens prefer punishing themselves?
As with the true implications of NAFTA:
“Customs duties reductions led to increases in trade with the other two countries of 11% in Canada, 41% in the United States, and 118% in Mexico, for the period between 1993 and 2011.5 In terms of value, American trade with Canada and Mexico increased from US$481 billion in 1993 to US$1.1 trillion in 2015. While Donald Trump claims that Americans “don’t make anything anymore,” implying that NAFTA is to blame, the American manufacturing sector has increased production by 58% since the deal came into effect” (Bedard, 2016).
So the results of NAFTA are apparently different in reality than what comes across when coming to Trump, so the reality hasn’t mattered. He wants to dissolve or change the rules and regulations, this will make it harder to export and import products between Canada and Mexico into the United States. The United States need free-movement of products and industrial products to be able to have the Corporate Capitalism that drives the USA.
So with lower taxes in general, a higher cost of health-care without concern for the 21 million without health insurance. They now are getting more problems with exporting and importing the needed products and raw-material has been possible and even at longest part of the NAFTA agreement has been positive to the US. So the regulation and cooperation with neighbours will be harder because of barriers that will be created with abolishing the NAFTA.
This is still all economic implications… then you have the gun-control, the war-lord aspects and the other social policies mixed with the economic aspect that turns the ones giant and great nation into tatters, if the President Donald Trump gets to do as he pleases without questions.
We should consider it with the implication on the policies and the foreign affairs. The US Government would lose with their plans on playing hardball with NATO and others. With the Muslims ban and deportation, also the Latin-American population that has been singled out; these groups can hurt the economy and also the basic workforce who does the needed services needed in society. That these will be sent out because of their ethnicity and faith will also prove that the United States isn’t the leaders of free-world, but another tyranny under President Trump. The fear and loathing of the Republican President Trump! That will do like the Americans did during Second World-War when Japanese for being so we’re detained into camps, or if he pleases send them packing.
This racial laws and deportations will hurt the economy and make sure the state becomes a Banana Republic; What is special is that the United States will have a free-flow of guns, ammunition, but will make it harder to import goods and also export goods with worse deals, have lesser taxes, still high debt yield and add expenses on health-care while the citizens has to cover themselves. This while the US President hasn’t a plan to help lower-classes as the minimum-pay or salaries increase for the 80% who still get added tax, also pay more for health care. The US Electorate got all reasons for feeling foolish if they even read this.
Bananas and Banana Company we’re President William Howard Taft did what he could to save the companies. Now the new President might try to replicate this, but he forgets the needed international community and production as the needed bolts, tools and manufacturing are inter-connected. That is something that the modern day President Trump needs.
Side Note – International Partnerships:
So if he builds walls, gets into whiny bitch mode and becomes a fully-blown attack paranoid mode, than the international partners will not accept being constantly bullied. I am sure that Philippines C-I-C President Rodigro Duterte will be tossed around for another power or human being. Neither will Russian President Vladimir Putin and even German Chancellor Angela Merkel will not accept it. So the price of him being brash and irresponsible thin-skinned versus the ones that questions his actions or words, isn’t really suitable with the trading partners and allies that the U.S. still needs. The US doesn’t live in a vacuum and not the only one with a giant defence and has much money to spend like on AGOA and others.
So congratulation on becoming a Banana-Republic, ready to become muffled with after playing king-pin… for decades; as your economic prospects under the Trump Administration and regime doesn’t look healthy. Peace.
Bedard, Mathieu – ‘NAFTA: DONALD TRUMP’S CRITICISMS ARE UNFOUNDED’ (07.2016) link: http://www.iedm.org/files/lepoint1016_en.pdf
Committee for a responsible Federal Budget – ‘Analysis of Donald Trump’s Health Care Plan’ (09.05.2016) link: http://crfb.org/blogs/analysis-donald-trumps-health-care-plan
Cole, Alan – ‘Details and Analysis of the Donald Trump Tax Reform Plan, September 2016’ (19.09.2016) link: http://taxfoundation.org/article/details-and-analysis-donald-trump-tax-reform-plan-september-2016
Hoo, Sonya & Toder, Eric – ‘The U.S. Tax Burden Is Low Relative to Other OECD Countries’ (08.05. 2006) link: http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/publications/us-tax-burden-low-relative-other-oecd-countries
The Economist – ‘Where did banana republics get their name?’ (21.11.2013) link: http://www.economist.com/blogs/economist-explains/2013/11/economist-explains-16
Trading Economics – ‘United States Government Debt to GDP 1940-2016 | Data | Chart | Calendar’ link: http://www.tradingeconomics.com/united-states/government-debt-to-gdp
It’s been a weird timeline for this American Presidential Election, the months upon months with madness and craziness. The undetermined now have either looked to many times at Friends, Game of Thrones or even browsed quickly at Fox and CNN; still not able to make a decision who to cast their vote for un Tuesday 8th November 2016.
There been Primary race in the major parties, the Republican Party with the wildest and biggest amount of candidates, where 16 candidates went in and tried. Some familiar faces other local heroes trying to figure out how to become a National Candidate. The ones standing out was Jeb Bush, who had to become JEB! Because his family name isn’t ringing out with joy as it did before Bill Clinton, those we’re the days. Than you had Marco Rubio, the Florida man who robotic answers made the automatic telephone answer-machine obsolete for little while. Than you had Ted Cruz, the Texan who with coded language tried to sound friendly, but just seemed interested in his own career over policy; you had John Kasich from Ohio who seemed sincere and like a fellow from the Mitt Romney and John McCain wing of the Republican Party, but he went hard and continued without any tally of results.
Than you had the Democratic Party where there we’re fewer candidates and there was more or less two candidates that had a significant amounts of people behind them. You had the Governor of Maryland Martin O’Malley, I am sure the man is a decent and kind fellow, but he didn’t grab attention or attraction as the competitors owned the field. The one that we’re close and can still make difference is Bernie Sanders the Senator of Vermont. In the Primaries he we’re a real threat and showed how he could garn popularity with Millennials and get small donations from people and not the giant multi-national corporations. Not building a super-PAC, but still making sense of policies, political framework and how to build society. He still one 22 states in the Primaries and we’re a serious contender with a strong message. Should be remembering his fight against the internal-system and electoral machine from his competitor who had loyalist in the Central leadership of the Democratic National Committee.
So now with this, there are two candidates left: Donald J. Trump from the Republican Party and Hillary Clinton of the Democratic Party. Other candidates are Jill Stein of the Green Party and Gary Johnson of the Libertarians. Jill Stein at one point thought Wi-Fi was a treat to kids and said she deserves the Bernie Sanders votes. Also that she is the one to vote for instead of lesser of two evils (Trump and Clinton). Gary Johnson will be remembered for not being able to answer on MSNBC Morning Joe, what Aleppo and who Aleppo is. So the Foreign Affairs hasn’t been key importance for the Libertarians as they are focused on spliffs, little state, more personal freedom and a strong army. Something that would enforce the undoubted republicans to vote for Johnson as a protest this year; might be might be not, but he might gain more than normally.
Now that we’re days before the polls, the ballots casted and final tallies in all the states, the 270 Electoral Votes and the whole Electoral College is secured. We still have the final race to the finish line. Initially this race is between Trump and Clinton.
Trump, he is rare character of orange hatred, patriotism and notorious chauvinism and racism. As an outsider it’s weird that Republicans went for this man and accept this. This blended with his attitude and his brash words against anybody; his nonchalant of fluid morality towards others. While he can crucify fellow peers for their maladministration’s and wrong doings, he will never ever accept that he has done the same and crossed the line. His flabbergasting rhetoric on immigration, woman and media has been out of this world. Sounding more like a power-hungry dictator than a man whose plan is to restructure America. His personality and decisions has cared more about getting more spotlight than making sure that his vision comes clear. If he believes the words he says and if any significant plan of any kind has if he gets into office can be unsure of. Seemingly it seems more important with the title and winning than actually making a difference. Together with his brawls and attacks on peers, fellow Republican Senators, House Speaker Paul Ryan and others shows the inability of even working together with his own. Trump has to own the spotlight and be KING. If not it doesn’t matter. AS long as he is King, even if the Palace is bailing out, the golden letters with his name is fading and his stars are built with giant walls around them. Still, the thing that matters to Trump isn’t working-class families in Wisconsin or Michigan; it’s his ego and his reputation.
Then it’s Hillary Clinton, the Democratic Presidential Candidate who has been doing this before and lost to Barrack Obama, back in the day and has been a Senator for New York and Secretary of State at one point. She has been flogged in public, by certain stations been named so reckless and destructive at one point the only missing flaw per today: is that was the main reason behind World War III. Not that she has a perfect record, but when you been in public light and in office all your life you got to have some bad apples and made mistakes. Hillary Clinton carries them and even answered for why she has changed opinion. Trump would say, “Where did you get that? That wasn’t me? Do you have the tape?” He would deflect it. Not that Hillary hasn’t had enough trouble, for instance with the internal releases of E-Mail’s leaks from WikiLeaks, Guccifer and DCLeaks. They have leaked information through the cycle that has showed how the Campaign Team and Clinton Foundation have not been ethical correct or been correct. They have used methods and used money in questionable ways, even fraudulent. That is a fact and not fiction. That she can’t trust the American Public to show gratitude for her service is clear as she couldn’t even ask for silence and relaxation as she had pneumonia during the Campaigns. Than the Republican media nearly said she had AIDS and dying; by the way called her deceiving for it as well. That proves how hard they tackle her grievances. Instead of asking why she was sick and why she didn’t want to release the information, the American Media went into a frenzy attacking her personality. Which shows what kind of Corporate case of misjudgement and attitude towards her.
With this all in mind, with the statements and character flaws that are in play together with the public sphere, the electoral laws in the 50 states and with the decades of elitism. In this day and age, in this time and with the coming problems together with ones we are piling up today, what kind of leadership does the United States of America need?
Do they need a hot-headed, non-sequential policy based and self-promoting snake-oil salesman on the top of the food-chain in nation and serve them with some form dignity, if that dignity is believable. That will only be believable if he uses as much time on the golf-course as George W. Bush, Donald Trump can only be functioning if he tries to have camps with Sheiks to donate funds to US if he serves them halal-parties at Camp David. I cannot see him making sense of public policy like Barrack Obama or even the former War-Lord Dick Cheney; at least he could be able to make sense of the statements coming out of his mouth.
We can all question if the Hillary Clinton, the moderate, Wall-Street infused and money hungry Politician is the right one as well. She isn’t demoralising or counter-aggressive. She has posted herself as Progressive, but that isn’t true. Hillary is so moderate that she can fall in-between certain wings of Republican Party and Democratic Party. Bi-Partisanship will be thing under wings for sure. Her real stance on matters is something we can wonder as the leaks showed that much of groundwork and policies made by her team not by her own making. They have all been suggestion by close aides and surrogates while she has been on the road reading from a teleprompter. The last piece should Trump do to, he sound like Drunk Uncle so often… how can the Drunk Uncle all of sudden become the Command-in-Chief; it’s not funny. Especially for an outsider to see how degraded the democratic process has become in the US as they get this guy to counter a Political Opponent the way he does. That Clinton becomes Crooked Hillary and it’s been the sticker from Trump. The pathetic smear campaign to weaken her, instead of looking at facts… facts and fiction has been nearly the same, Clinton has gotten tainted with old sins, and sins she couldn’t commit and couldn’t even do. She created ISIS, she killed somebody while Bill Clinton was in Office, she had Alien intervention in her body, and she has a deadly infection and so on. Clinton has been targeted for the machine she has created.
It’s true she has gotten wealthy on Wall Street money and used a weird company in Cincinnati on an estate that got 250,000 LLC’s on the compound. That is true and that isn’t something she should have. Her husband been a con and a man-whore at some point, but that isn’t her fault; that’s the sins of Bill and he has to carry.
Trump on the other hand has used mafia to build his tower, not paid taxes for decades, not cared for paying employees and contractors, stifled monies from even campaign pollsters during his Presidential Campaign, reckless behaviour of litigations, sued for fraud countless times, used donations to his Foundations to buy private luxurious merchandize, running a University and enrolling students without proper State Educational Licences and so on. That is without cherry-picking his marriages, his womanizing and his acts of fidelity and forged public persona.
So that a man who has that towards the other one, shows how simple it should be to pick; but the United States population seems to be drawn by the scandals of the FBI and others who carries into weight without having any significant records of forcing through new investigations. The public perception with the constant leaks has hurt Clinton and that deservedly, but still the other guy isn’t really a catch. The Clinton mistake is systematic and organic, the Trump mistakes is deceiving and inappropriate.
I wonder if the United States wants to become a laughing stock and not be the man who helps out with their armies and their structures. With Trump as President should the United Nation Headquarters still be there; when you have a man who wishes to deteriorate the foreign affairs, the relationship between trading-partners and allies in the NATO. Does the United States wanted to be so internally focused in the image of Trump that they will be internal focused and only thinking of his best, not the great American Best. That comes in second fiddle kind of like Ariana Grande comes second to Beyoncé.
After following the Presidential Primaries for months, then I speak about the American Elections as the closure of is getting there, even if they have closed only about July 2016. So there Primary Elections in the American States that been going for so long, has still some time before the “Main” election, where the Two Parties go Campaigning as Presidential Candidate for either the Democratic Party or the Republican Party. As the other parties in the country is nearly not existing, even if the country is big and has splendid amount of political active people, it is just the money goes two the big-shots and they eat all of it.
The American Political System is a blended edition of representatives and polls depending on where you from, as much as the Parties themselves decides who gets to the for front, but if you get PAC (Political Action Committee) that works for you and make campaigns on your behalf and also securing for you campaign. While you as a Candidate are not allowed to control them; though there are certainty that Campaign Managers and other volunteers who are connected with a Candidate gives in and does as the Candidate wishes.
The Other issues are how much money, ads and campaigning that needed for the Candidate to be picked. There isn’t a short run or cheap run for a seat. That is why Senate Members and House Representatives do calls to donors and companies to get hard cash to campaign and run the parties. But that is just the monies side, This Primaries started in February and will be done in July, the first Presidential Debate with the Democratic Party and Republic Party Candidate will discuss their views and policies on the 26th September. The Polls are set to be on the 8th November 2016. So there is a long road ahead and with July – November where the Presidential Campaign will heat up between the parties.
Example of Money involved in American Politics:
There was in 1920s something called the Ohio Gang was group around President Harding. They we’re also corrupt, like when the Interior Secretary Fall used his connection and got the Navy to give away the land for Harry Ford Sinclair’s Company; while Secretary. Fall was also getting kickbacks to get a bigger and better farm with the money for the license delivered to Sinclair. This kind of deal also changed the law-making and the control of Petroleum Companies in American Politics, as Sinclair and other Petroleum Company owners had vast wealth created quickly (this is very simplified so you should read a book about, because the same kind of scandals happens today; just different names and different numbers).
So it is not only the money but also the long-time on the road as candidates and as the expenses of having campaigns while their professional politicians who are nearly more spokesmen for corporations and their laws then the ethical and law-bearers of a Nation, who will make policy and reforms to fix the issues; instead some of the men are mere spokespersons of Coca-Cola and Monsanto. That is certainly not what Benjamin Franklin or Tomas Jefferson thought the American Government representatives would end up being; when they fought against the Tea-Monopoly and British taxation of the American Continent at that time. There been signals of the same as the British Censored the papers and the media of the time, therefore the Pamphleteers put up pamphlets that countered the controlled media of the time. Because the media of the time was not speaking what was important for the people. The Same as the Cable and Media Corporations are doing now, as they only do what is needed for the sponsors, owners and ratings instead of actual journalism. And that is an dire account and assessment together with the state of the corrupted politicians.
So into the end of the Primaries we are in the middle of a Corporate influenced political game in a corporate landscape of media that need a revamp together with the status quo of the primary politics as the advisories and locals doesn’t even got time or understanding why the value of the vote is different from which party, which state and which delegate regulation you have. And that is making of the delegate rally that the candidates that are left working to get, so they can have monopoly and get the nomination automatically at the Convention of the Party in July.
I will not look at the numbers and the ability of the ones that are left. This is just my rare thoughts on a Campaign I look from afar and doesn’t really follow as the circus of American Idol, Survivor, Hell’s Kitchen and every other Reality TV Program is fitting the Presidential Primaries in this year’s primaries.
The debates and aftermaths, the comments and the tone have been childish and not off proper politicians. The deflections and flip-flopping from many candidates have been nearly daily or monthly looking like they changing statements after they are in disenfranchised Louisiana or they are in Wisconsin, even in now in New York. There are only two candidates who says the same in my opinion from the get-go, it is not Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton, both of them have gone back and forth, while playing more balls than Federer on the Tennis court. The once who have been steady are Kasich and Sanders. Cruz been close to the two latest, but he seems so sneaky.
Let me take the worst first then, more and more acceptable candidates. That is how I look at this, so if you’re offended, sorry for you, but this is my view not yours.
The Worst Candidate – Donald Trump (Republican)
There are scarecrows, there monsters under the bed and there Monster INC from DreamWorks. Still, there are no boggy-monsters as big as “the Donald”. Donald Trump the New Yorker who is rich and successful, though I have myself looked through parts of fallen businesses and they are kind of shady. The other ones are the savior of bailing out from the state. Donald Trump is a product in itself and label, therefore his last name is licensed on houses and other merchandize as it gives the products an edge, supposed to be at-least.
Nobody took him serious on the day he said he started to run for Presidential Nomination while talking negative about anybody who is not making America great. He has stolen the “Making America Great Again” from Ronald Reagan. He has also copied the Pat Buchannan ways of speaking “America First”. As Donald Trump have before spoken well of both the men at interviews and also even now. Though Buchannan is not a topic now, he stills speaks well of Reagan; as any conservative American does. The Holy Conservatism comes from the man who sold Pepsi and Colgate in commercials before becoming President. And now Trump swallows his ideas and pack in xenophobia, fear-mongering and “good deals”. I have heard speaking about good deals, without ever saying what the idea of a good deal is. The words of his mouth are empty words with the same ending and deflecting to another issue. While putting in some American Dreams with fear of immigrants, the irony is that his wife is one, but she is the right type of immigrant I guess. So I cannot speak about Policy as the Wall of Trump and Deporting Immigrants seems far-fetched and ridiculous as Gucci Mane Ice-Cream tattoo. So he is the worst politician or trying to be one in this race, and a disgrace at the same time.
Deputy Worst Candidate – Hillary Clinton (Democrat)
I know you are shocked and wonder what happen to Kasich and Cruz. They are up next, but she is topping them still. For a simple reason, she doesn’t stand for anything and her views are therefore despicable and deceiving. The so-called progressive candidate who is liberal when needed. Her tune is after what her donors, her advisors or her husband says is wise. Her name rings bells because Bill Clinton was President for two terms. And she also run against Barrack Obama and has been a Minister under Obama first term as President. So if you don’t know her, then you have not followed or had interest about American Politics. She is the woman who supported the Super Predators and the inner-city violence while targeting the minorities there for the benefit of a bill that Bill Clinton needed.
I don’t know here true stance on anything as she flip-flops and are like boat on the waves, depending if she is up-or-down depending on what is right for her right now. If she is pro-gun, I don’t know, since when she was against Obama she was against, now she sounds pro-gun because of Sanders. There is viability of changing rhetoric and change of position. If she is pro-life or not, if she was for the Iraq-war or against; if she was for bombing Tripoli or not; even if she knew about Lewinsky or not; it are not easy now. That is why she comes after Trump. She is intelligent and hard-headed, but she seems more to be about pocketing and having money as the speeches for Goldman Sachs and other Corporate entities proves her grade and value of campaign funding then grass-root work. She should have one of the election machines and create momentum; still; she is losing to somebody who is actually a credible guy and acting as a fellow human being, and not just to cater to establishment and the donor who funds her campaign.
The Sheep in Wolf’s cloth – Ted Cruz (Republican)
Ted Cruz the Senator from Texas. The one that I knew very little of before the campaign; his political history from somebody who is not American is not well-known. He is a clever man and decisive one too. The similarity to another American Politician that comes to mind is McCarthy and his McCarhyism. The speeches and rhetoric; he also use the conservative Christian values while subduing other characteristics of state. Therefore he has capability to bring the South and Mid-West to him, and other parts of the country too.
The man has had an expensive campaign and is lagging behind Trump at the Moment. But the Establishment prefers him over Trump. Though then they choose between an Open Racist in Trump and a Sheep in Wolfs cloths Cruz. The idea of monitoring the Muslims and the other quotes that Cruz has come with does not prove his ability to see other people out of the circle of conservative republicans. So even if the campaign for Presidential Nomination he tries to establish himself as an alternative to the other ones in the party. He is wise and vibrant, but his ways and cunning demeanor makes him scary for a guy like me. The reason why I see him as lesser of a fear then Hillary, you know where you have him and what he really want through certain policies. Something you can’t see with Trump, but can also see in some ways in Hillary; because Hillary will cater to her donors of Wall Street.
Socio-Economic Wise-guy, but to Conservative – John Kasich (Republican)
I know that this is surprising too, but his mellow demeanor and honest approach that is more sincere then Cruz, Trump and Clinton. Not that I am Conservative Republican, but this man has a least of sense and manners. He is a Ohio Senator who has behind the reason why Ohio state have gone from having $8bn deficit to $2bn surplus. So he surely knows how to balance a budget and create economic stability.
He has a long history of good economic policies and that is something the United States needs, even if the Democratic Obama Administration have also made progress and secured more jobs after the Recession. Certain issues that is not feasible for people like me to be voting for him; that being strict and supporting harsher Death-Penalty and also making federal appeals against the cases about Death-Penalty, henceforth making it harder if a person is wrongly judged. He voted against the Kyoto Protocol on CO2 emissions so that the U.S. Industry and Government in his mind was saying that they don’t need to think about global emissions. What is positive is that he wants higher taxes for the wealthy and worker for making a stronger Medicaid, is opposed to ObamaCare, but have kind of built similar system in Ohio under the Medicaid flag. Therefore certain economic and social structures are good, but his conservative views and votes make him hard to like for a guy like me.
The Liberal Leftist that is a so-called Socialist – Bernie Sanders (Democrat)
He is different than other candidates as he is pro-labor unions and is not directly supported by PACs and Corporations. Differentiate on the stance he has in total as he is set in surface of Liberal Leftist. He is the only clear candidate who speaks about Climate Change and global warming, I am sure he was the Guy spoke about Ozone hole in the 1980s. He is against the idea of marginalization of voters as they should not stop the minorities from voting in elections.
His positive voting for history in my opinion: that he has voted against five favorable free-trade agreements with Latin American States, which would favor the American view instead of the value of labor rights in these countries. He has talked about stopping the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), he also wanted to end NAFTA, CAFTA PNTR to secure better labor rights and better regulations of the industry. Bernie has voted mostly against the reduced taxes for the riches in the Congress. On Tax Related Motions and Bills he has Voted NO 11 times. Some for the commoner other that is stop lesser taxation of the wealthy. Sanders have voted for ObamaCare and similar issues as the faith in government support for health care and not a private issue. Therefore he has also tried to stopping the Privatizing Social Security.
A Scenario if the candidates had their own Parties and what name they could have had:
So he is diverse candidate and shows the length and basic different between the candidates. They are not only from different parties, but the wings of the parties are so big, that these Presidential Candidates could have 4 different parties. You could have had a Far-Right Xenophobic Party under Donald Trump called the American Patriotic Party United (APPU) with the Slogans “America First” and “Make America Great Again”. The headquarter would be in the Trump Tower in New York to occupy some of the office space in the building. Then you have Hillary Clinton who could have run for the “Progressive” Party and Wall-Street Backed Party called Liberal-Democratic American Party (LADP). She is the Establishment so she wouldn’t need to go anywhere else, but if she would be running for something like LADP. The LAPD would be in Little Rock, Arkansas. Then there is the Conservative Christian Ted Cruz who would be under banner of TrusTED and the party of Christian Federal Republican Party (CFRP) and they’re headquarter would be in Austin, Texas. Then there is the Ohio Candidate John Kasich would run for the alternative Christian Conservative Party he is the establishment of Republican, so he would not need to run for another party, but that Party would be Christian’s People’s Party (CPP) and would have their Headquarter in Toledo, Ohio. The last Candidate but not least Bernie Sanders who is a social-economic policies and strong big-government that counters the Republicans and establishment Democratic Party right now; therefore the Party he will run for as a Presidential Candidate are the American Labor Party (ALP) under the “Feel the Bern”. The Headquarter will be in Montpelier in Vermont.
Back to Reality:
I know this became long, but the Election in the United States is long in that view it is fitting. But I will in my last remarks say how I hope and guess that it might go, but that is an outsider’s view of somebody who lives 1,000 miles away. This with the levels of fear, the levels of childishness, the levels of debates with unnecessary rhetoric and the certainty of a vocal ending before the Convention of the two parties.
What we on the outside is looking at is a failure of discussing policies and seemingly that the so-called greatest democracy who’s army has invaded the most countries since 1850 in world history. What they are doing is making democracy looking so foolish with their candidates that actually discussing their penis sizes and the beauty of their wives. This from a Nation that usually tells the world how to conduct their affairs and how important democratic values are, and if they are not democratic enough they have actually invaded them. So that the deficit of democratic values and stated through the progression of the primaries as the corporations, media and rules that disfranchise so many voters and citizens alike.
There are so many states that are forcing former felons’ from voting. This with strict laws that are making it worse for them and disfranchising them, also together with the regulations against ghost voters makes the registering the voters even harder in certain states. And this has to happen in short time span before the next election. This is also happening in states that are struggling economically and has disfranchised population that have been lagging behind and under the poverty line, either by the government structure. Historical factors like Up-East is the educated and industrial parts, and parts of mid-West where the Industry and Automobile industry have declined since 1980s. There are states like Mississippi, Louisiana and Michigan that a have high rates of unemployment. That in the end let them pick the men who is most fundamental or most anti-establishment, like Michigan picked Sanders and parts of the Southern States that are weak economic states picked Trump. It is hopeful that people pick Sanders as a straw of hope, but it is worrying that people who struggling economically pick the xenophobic Trump that is more nerve-racking.
We can see the how I have stated things and made some assumptions and I am righteous in doing so. I don’t expect people to also agree with me. As this is my view. Call this sentences my disclaimer if you like. Like if you copy this FBI will come to your house and ask for copyright infringement as this article and this scripture are only mine, and not owned by Warner Brothers, Billy the Kid, but me.
This is my political view and understanding as an outsider. I could vomit on Michael Moore’s hat, but in return I wouldn’t know crap about American Government and the American society if he didn’t exist. Though the minor brief instances of Bill Clinton Sex Scandal and Bush Wars both father and son. Also big gratitude to Bun B of UGK for his documentaries while following the Primaries. You Bun B have made political rallies interesting and continue your good work with both music and the rest!
We have followed the American Government and their actions. And I also question their foreign affairs and their reactions to fellow nations as they are still applying the moral judgement, while they still in my eyes have a flawed corporate system and self-censored media that are speaking the corporations and the political view of the corporations. They are not addressing directly the citizen’s values and needed access as the ratings and profit is more important than democratic values and free expression. The liberty is there as long as Morgan Stanley, Wall Mart and Verizon is earning cash. And that is not a sign that the American Democracy should show to the world as their guns and their funds are fueling war in the effort for American interest and the American Democratic values. Peace.
“FDC’S Dr. Kizza Besigye has given President Yoweri Museveni an immediate ultimatum to consent to have an independent audit kick off or he forms his own government with statehouse in Kisangani. Dr. Kiiza Besigye is one of the aggrieved presidential candidates who are challenging the legitimacy of President Yoweri Museveni as the president elect and has now resorted to a defiance campaign to win the presidency” (NBS TV Uganda, 2016).
The Special Forces Command was early around Serena Hotel to secure the premise before the debate happened as pictures of them walking around the premise from early morning. This here piece will be certain quotes and not every ones as the debate is like a long book. I have taken the ones I have though is worthy of compelling and thinking of. This here will be different then my first debate coverage as President Museveni, the ghost of Bushenyi was at the event; even if Shaka Ssali was mediator somebody who was under fire from NRM before the event as he has been forceful as a journalist under Voice of America African desk and channel.
It seemed like the famous show-up of the Yellow booklet of the President as every time he was hit with “facts” he lifted in the air as he had answers of the other candidates; like he is only one who knows and have the arguments. The worrying part was that the moderator’s was that Shaka Ssali was not asking question to the President, but to everybody else, check the footage again; if I am wrong! The other ones gave lot of more time to the candidates even if certain got less, but they gave more freedom then in the first one as Allan Kasajja was not a part of the team now.
I will start with a few fun quotes from Museveni, as I don’t fell taking the Mabirizi jokes, as they will you know get spread online by other people anyway; as he came late as he was eating Rollex at Kawempe and forgot time. Mbabazi was deflecting and diplomatic again, without saying much, but this time not sounding like NRM imposter which was refreshing as he promised a change with his manifesto this time. Prof. Baryamureeba was just talking education and wondered if he would show some more character as a man and a leader, which took too long time, so he didn’t make any progress from last time. Bwanika and Biraaro continue to sound like exiting outsiders. But they were not really rebuttal by Museveni, Mbabazi or Besigye. The trio was the Markie and especially Museveni. What angered me was his arrogance in the beginning; it was like he was mumbling when Kyayla had her opening statement. As he was not used that people questioned his leadership. He never got used to it or appreciated it as he had to use long time answer everybody; more than anybody else! I know I am not wrong in that assessment.
Top Quotes of the Debate – That we’re unnecessary:
Museveni: “Problem with this debate is that we don’t have enough time to exhaust the many points raised”. Second one from Museveni: “If you want good accountability don’t make false accusations. There is no government that is accountable like the NRM”.
I will now take the best Opening statements as I see it. They speak for themselves!
Bwanika Opening Statement: “30 years ago I went to Kabale to get into high school. I saw a group of men pull a young lady to rape her. With the help of1 man we rescued her. That’s why I am in politics. I cannot continue to watch while our country goes down the drain. I believe I can help this country to move forward our economy”.
Dr. Kizza Besigye opening statement: “Serena Conference Center has profound influence on his being here tonight. 1981, I was incarcerated in this building. Actually, in the direction where candidate Museveni came from, In Feb1981 I was incarcerated in this building (Serena hotel). In1980 I supported Museveni; when he was running for Uganda Patriotic Movement We fought a war because of rigged elections. But we disagreed later. I’m here because off mismanagement of our politics. I am here to help in any way to set that foundations for our country. Museveni spoke about the problems of Africa is leaders who don’t want to leave”.
Museveni Opening Statement: “Other time I did not come because I was far away. I am here to talk about Uganda, not fiction. In 1900, Uganda was made up of different kingdoms. In 1962, it became an enclave economy. In 1962, Uganda was hinged on 3 Cs (cotton, copper and copper) & 3 Ts (tobacco, tourism and tea). NRM has revived economy. I’m glad I came here to talk to you directly. I’m not sure about mode of debate because it doesn’t give enough time. Talk about Uganda as it is, not as it should have been because it wasn’t”.
Now I will show the basic different views on certain cases and themes of the evening; as the Debate took a lot of the many topics that was hard and also very specific. The candidates had different view on the matters and how they think of solving or the natural answer to the topic. The most highlighted for me was ICC and DRC/Somalia. Or the Army in the politics and the army abroad as a tool for the government, the important issue of accountability in any issue; while certain candidates fixed on that; the other ones deflected that one.
Kyalya: “I would make sure there’s total peace among the kingdoms”.
Museveni: “On regional insecurity, insecurity is ideological, sectarianism, religion or tribe. It is a step forward that we no longer have wars in Uganda”.
Mbabazi: “Democracy can thrive in Uganda; Ugandans are free to vote whoever they like”.
Biraro: “Ugandans don’t need to go to Somalia to develop it, Somalia should develop itself”.
Besigye: “You can only go to a country to support it if they already have stability but if it doesn’t have it, then you can’t add value”.
Baryamureeba: “Involving ourselves in other countries’ matters, we will raise more enemies thus creating terrorism”.
Bwanika: “Uganda should have pulled out of ICC yesterday, it doesn’t show any fairness, we should build our own African systems”.
More on ICC:
Museveni; “A founding signatory of the Rome Statute, on ICC: Yes we should be out of the ICC. ICC is not serious. It is partisan. There are so many people who should have been tried if they were serious. The way to go is to have our own African Criminal Court. Trying to work with ICC was a mistake” .
Here we see the different approach on the matter as the candidates see different reasons for the insecurity. The strangest thing was Bwanika and Museveni totally agreed on something and had an accord. It was a miracle that even Justice Ogola could not have for-seen!
When it comes to the basics of insecurity their approach either seemed to be on the rights of Ugandans and their life would not be safe if they was not taken cared of; as if the borders and army is strong, but not food on the table what is the value. And certain like Kyalya was putting it in the hands of having peace in between the kingdoms as they have been pushed together by the British colonial power and now has to be sorted out to generate security in the country. This here was not the most heated piece of the evening that came when they started to discuss the exploitations and army invasion of Democratic Republic of Congo.
On the DRC and Somalia:
Biraaro: “The UPDF’s continued role in Somalia is not a threat to stability in Uganda.
The only weakness with UPDF in Somalia is that it has no end. We need to put a time limits to operations”.
Besigye: “It is not a bad idea to send UPDF to help other countries. The problem is how it is done. Not only did we go into Congo without consensus but our mission was also contentious.
Deploying of UPDF must only be to support a political process. Going to enforce a political solution is reckless”.
Museveni rebuttled: “I object to Besigye’s stand. We intervened in Congo to defend ourselves. Congo was harboring rebels who were killing our people. We couldn’t accept that. Rwenzori is now peaceful. We defeated ADF and Rwenzori is now peaceful. Nobody can play with the security of Uganda when I am president”.
Besigye: “Unconstitutional behaviour of our government in Congo led to unpaid reparations worth $10bn. Ugandans are as aggrieved as the people of Congo as per the actions of our government”.
Mbabazi: “as an authority on the DRC matter, the ICC decision wasn’t based on the presence on Ugandan troops in Congo. He went to defend the Ugandan stance in the Hauge”.
While this question and topic was heated and made reasonable depth to the occasion as President Museveni was really irritated with Besigye questions on the actions done in the DRC, and also the way UPDF has been a part of the AMISOM mission in Somalia. While Museveni more said was a self-defense, though getting rid of two DRC presidents in short amount of time, doesn’t seem like self-defense for His Excellency, you would not just get rid of Mobutu, but also Laurent Kabila after that, that was not to destroy ADF and LRA, that was more and an government enterprise. But dear President, please continue to lie to yourself and your cronies. Mbabazi knows this an was very silent on the matter, nearly defending Museveni in a rare banter and tone, as if he tried to prove his loyalty towards him. Not being an alternative to him in a way; and a dangerous stance to do so if you supposed to candidate in contrast to another one, right?
Later the President had to say this:
“When I listen to the talk here, it confirms that there is one person who can manage Uganda”.
This one here is just classic Museveni as he want to confirm for himself that he can only run Uganda, that he believes as he eats of everybody in the country and want to continue the party that he has had since 1986. I expected him to say 1986 a little more than did, though he had to be a history teacher and count back to Amin and Obote, as he can’t counter to other presidents, as there been none other in the last 30 years.
On the Economic Prosperity:
Bwanika: “”Uganda’s economy is only $27b. It cannot even attract McDonalds”.
Kyayla: “”Ugandans have not endeavored to even learn Swahili yet it is a and official East African language, how do we expect to get jobs in Kenya and Tanzania?”
Besigye: “”If you have a corrupt system you cannot attract genuine investors, Ugandans should be helped to invest in their country.”
Barymueeba: “”If you go to our supermarkets here you will find mango juice manufactured in Cairo,We need to look at global competitiveness indicators. Rwanda beats us. So we do not compete”
Museveni: “Tax collection has gone up because of the investment. Indians are very dynamic business people… The talk here confirms that it is only me who can manage Uganda. These candidates want ready-made things”.
The issue here is the way Museveni thinks that his tax-collection is the basis of the investment climate, as if the stability and added workforce that does not add to the statics. The system need an overhaul as the State is not prioritizing or sufficient has mechanisms in place to generate the added value or regenerate the economy as it stagnates. Even if the corn or maize production has tripled since 1986, that does still not tell enough consider all the unemployed youth and little industry that are existing. That Uganda export is true and the country has ability to do so much more if the infrastructure and roads network had been a priority. The EAC is weak since the states has not used it well, or wanted to use it well, since they all have agendas. Nobody want to be the weak one. I was surprised by Prof. Barya as he proclaim that Rwanda has a better state then Uganda, as if the coffee export there is on the same level as Uganda and as the economy is better? That is a fiction as the size of the Rwandan economy is smaller and more fixed towards the government then in Uganda, as in Uganda it is a single elite who controls the economy and the materials that are exported. Something that need accountability and look into as the Kenyan need to look into the Tea and Sugar Cartels!
Mabirizi: “We need to invest more money in agriculture and tourism, Oil can spoil our environment. When you go to the international market oil is going down. So we should invest in agriculture”.
Bwanika: “Oil does not belong to anyone. It belongs to the people of Uganda” Abed Bwanika This notion that oil belongs to individuals should never be heard of. Oil belongs to Ugandans and not individuals”
Besigye: “Oil is certainly a curse in the hands of an unaccountable and corrupt regime. Oil can create complications including environmental disaster when mismanaged. In our plans, we think oil should be given specific attention and should have an authority. part of oil revenue should be saved for future generations”
Museveni: “The oil was discovered by the NRM… under my leadership and direct command. Uganda is now an exporter of human resource in terms of petroleum experts. Oil money will be used for infrastructure, science and innovation. It will not be used to import perfumes. I don’t think there is anybody who can be more accountable on oil revenue… we have a law passed by a multiparty Parliament”.
Besigye Rebuttled: “Oil was known to be in Albertine, even before Independence. He says NRM caucus was ‘ferried to Kyankwazi, drilled and came back to Parliament & reversed resolutions on oil law”.
Museveni: “”The British looked for between 1920 and 1956 and wrote a report that there was no oil”.
This here topic got heated as did the DRC adventure. The issue was how the Oil and what the oil-money can do. As the accountability is not there, as the WikiLeaks have shown and also how the Government has courted Tullow and sold the operations to other companies after that; there certainly some stories that is not told in the saga of Oil in Uganda. That I am sure of since Museveni want to eat that money, since he has been waiting on the operations of the oil-industry. The lie from Museveni was about the British as he want accept it wasn’t found before him. Since he is the man knows everything in Uganda and can assess anything; especially if he can earn money on it while the people or citizens will not. That is why he had to address Besigye and say he was wrong, as Besigye could never be right on any topic as he is not the man with the hat or the Museveni. Because Museveni is the only one who understands Uganda, you see how stupid that is Museveni? I don’t think so, because you were lying to your citizens on live-TV yesterday and without any scruples, you who started the evening as the history teacher and ended with lies!
Let me take the lie for what it is:
“In 1925, E.J. Wayland, director of the Geological Survey for the Uganda protectorate, mapped out indications of oil in the country to help re-spark exploration interest. In 1938, the Johannesburg-based African European Investment Company drilled the first exploration well, Butiaba Waki” (Oxfort Institute for Energy Studies, 2015).
I rest my case. 1925 and 1938 is ages before NRM even was birthed by President Museveni, even decades before he started Uganda Patriotic Movement. Get real or go home Museveni!
On the Age and longevity in Power towards the end for President Museveni:
“I think this is a wrong argument. It’s a diversion. People need to be given the right to choose”.
Well that is all you as you cannot see other people then yourself Mr. President. It is not a diversion. Your former self mister President said it was problem with African leaders that they overstayed in Power! Therefore you became what you claimed was an issue. Therefore it is not a diversion except you want to deflect it as you never seem to want to leave power as you see yourself the one fit. I am sure there are more people who can be fit as President as they can either be able or live into the position. As you weren’t born a President Museveni, you took the power with arms and rifles mister President! The People can choose you or not. But the way you play around with it is to keep the guns and rise fear to continue to stay in power. Which is not letting the people choose, but your choosing for them. And when you go to your farm, please take with you the Yellow Booklet or binder; enjoy the cows and calls to Daniel Arap Moi! Peace.
Oxford Institute for Energy Studies – ‘Oil in Uganda: Hard bargaining and complex politics in East Africa’ (Ocotber 2015).