
“Ethiopia is an island surrounded by water, but [it is] a country that is thirsty. The whole surrounding of our country is water, but we are thirsty. Why? While there is plenty of rain, underground water, …the Indian Ocean down there and Red Sea up there…why is water our problem while we are surrounded by water?” – Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed Ali (14.10.2023)
Eritrea and Asmara are you ready for this? That’s what I am wondering about. The Ethiopian Prime Minister isn’t even subtle about it. Not that his known for being so. His a warlord and an ally in the war of the Tigray region. So, Asmara and Addis Ababa have been close over the recent years. However, with these sorts of statements. Well, Shabait and other entities within Eritrea would react with remorse and buyers remorse at that.
Just hear more from the PM!
“You[Ethiopia] were 50 million then; by 2030 you will be 150 million. A population of 150 million can’t live in a geographic prison” he underscored. “If we don’t talk about the Red Sea issues, we will as much not talk about wheat, green legacy, tax collection…[if we have accomplished all these] and lose it due to [not discussing] Red Sea, it’s meaningless. So let’s discuss it. If we decided It is not the time or it’s not useful, we will drop it. But why are we scared of discussing it is the thing, because no one is scared of us when it comes to the issue of the Nile. No one” (Abiy, 14.10.2023).
It is just so compelling now. The man is saying it and isn’t even blinking an eye. The Prosperity Party and the PM is issuing threats. His saying it out loud and that is the beginning. As the State and the Authorities are preparing the people mentally of the needs. That they need the Red Sea and stop being landlocked. This is the new prestige project after going after the Tigray and Amhara resistance…
Certainly, the PM knows the cost and his an ally of Eritrea. They have worked together and shared intelligence around the table. These has knowledge and know the gist of things. It would be bloody and a massive suffering. The advantage on some instances is for Eritrea, as they are already inside the territories and has armed battalions in the Tigray region. Therefore, to start a war over the Red sea would be detrimental.
If you thought the wars and conflicts against the Oromo Liberation Army (OLA), Tigray Defence Force (TDF) or Amhara Popular Front (APF) would be bad for the Ethiopian National Defence Force (ENDF). The ENDF would meet another level of warfare from the Eritrean Defence Force (EDF). As they are well trained and has already assaulted civilians in Tigray. They know the lands and has knowledge that was given them. Theses army commanders knows the strengths and weaknesses of the ENDF. That’s why an issued war over the Red Sea would be devastating…
Abiy says he wants to discuss it. However, it has been slowly brewing for years. The creating of NAVY logo and dry-dock training just shows it. The ENDF and the FDRE wants it badly. However, it is not granted to them. That’s what is frightening here, as Abiy is a warlord and he thrives in conflict. He prefers bullets and blood. His not a man of peace, but tries to act that’s the end goal. While the real end goal is consolidation of power.
Now the next goal is the Red Sea. After all the internal conflict and crisis from within. He needs an outside problem that he can solve, which also be by the barrel of the guns. The guns will smoke, because I doubt the Eritrean as a sovereign would allow Ethiopia to conquer or get anything that’s theirs now. Peace.











