
That Robert Kyagulanyi aka Bobi Wine and Patrick Oboi Amuriat (POA) have the spirit of defiance and resilience against the oppressive means of the authorities. The National Resistance Movement and President Yoweri Kaguta Museveni will not loose this up-coming elections. To think so is futile. The idea of winning by the ballot is naive. There is no way that will happen. If that scheme worked. Dr. Kizza Besigye would have been inaugurated either in 2011 or in 2016. However, that never happened. Because the President has the team, the operation and pre-fixed result to win in January 2021.
Bobi Wine can get shot at, tear-gassed and arrested. He can wear the helmet, bulletproof vest and be guarded 24/7 by loyal guards and cronies. All of these ideals are good as the authorities are relentless, blocking him and closing off roads. Not allowing him to sleep in hotels, attend rallies at scheduled places and so fourth. That is all fine and dandy, but he will not win.
POA can go through the same. Being arrested, charged and losing his shoes. The Presidential Candidate can be scuffled, blocked and challenged. He shows the spirit as the proud villager, but that will not cut it.
Bobi Wine is popular and able to sell an idea. That idea will linger on, but the way things are done. Systematic ignorance and usage of force will deplete all ideals. Because no matter how good these ideals are and how honest they may be. The government, the authorities and the law enforcement will ensure another term for Museveni. Not that its the will of the people and they are forced to have him.
The President, the incumbent of 1986 won’t risk losing to these two candidates. They are useful to legitimize the affairs and make it look like a race. However, the President and his team will be pre-ticked into oblivion. The state will ensure that more people suffer, use the live-bullets and fatalities will be on the rise around the polls. The fatalities will suddenly rise exponentially when protests and riots appear.
The barefoot is a nice way of showing strength through it all. Some has mocked that, but it is a neat trick. Nevertheless, POA’s drive and rallies will not strike the strong cord. The FDC needs more P10 organizations and securing the ballots. Then any sort of fishing for relevance these days. The Plan B is what they need to galvanize the public and explain why the ballots are pointless.
Going through the motions. Doing the same, again and again… and expecting another result is just bonkers. To think you will get a reckoning and a sudden change is outrageous. The fatigue of this is understandable. The public and the parties have run through the same procedures countless of times with nothing to little to show for it. The state have taken it all and fixed it all too.
The NRM and the President will have the majority, they will have the Presidency and the opposition will suffer again at the polls. Not because the opposition doesn’t have support or built a new base of supporters. No, that doesn’t matter, because these people doesn’t count with ghosts and pre-ticked ballots in favour of the NRM.
Bobi Wine bulletproof campaign and #WeAreRemovingADictator is genuine message and a needed one. However, it will not work. Unless, he ask for a revolution and for a risk of total disregard of the polls. Bobi Wine and POA can only overcome the President with defiance. There is no other way. The ballots are ticked and results will only serve the fountain of honour. The others will only receive breadcrumbs and not get the golden ticket. That is not happening. Just like it didn’t happen in the past either. It isn’t a matter of free and fair elections. It isn’t about accountability or transparency. It is all about power and regaining it. The state will not fumble this or risk losing it. They are all bound the fate of one man and they are willing to see the Republic burn as long as his reigning. They are all counting on him.
The bulletproof and barefoot is commendable, but they need to amp up the speed. These motions and the same as last election cycle will not be enough. The system isn’t changed. Yes, the NUP and FDC have shown character and been bold. I commend that, but know deep in my heart. That this will not push the state over the edge. They are not fearing enough and worried enough. They are not losing sleep and lost for words. No, they are continuing like Yester-year and anticipating similar outcomes as in past. Peace.














