
Today, we can assess and with the knowledge that is out. That the Tripartite Alliance has now issued their forces in and around the Tigray region. That’s why you will not hear of Tigray Defence Forces (TDF) advances in the Amhara region or within Afar region. Since, the TDF will be busy defending the Tigray region on several of fronts.
The Tripartite Alliance, Ethiopian National Defence Force (ENDF), Eritrean Defence Force (EDF) and Amhara Regional Special Forces or Amhara Para-Military Group “Fano” against the Tigray Defence Force (TDF).
The Eritrean Forces are entering the Tigray region today. While there has been movements of troops to Lalibela, as well as in and around Kobo in North Wollo Zone in Amhara region. There are also reports of drones being stationed in Semera in Afar region. Which has been used to target locations and specific targets within Tigray. It is also reports of bombardment of civilian areas in Mekelle, which the ENDF air-force claims or alleges to be “army compound/bases”. However, they have hit a playground and around a hospital. So, the military instalments hasn’t been hit.
So, the TDF will be stretched with attacks from every sort of area around the Tigray region. This is a deliberate act and been planned. They are trying not only to continue the occupation of Western Tigray. While the Tripartite Alliance is now surrounding every corner with brigades and possibly weaken any sort of defence the TDF can have.
The ones that was expected the TDF to be able to advance in the Amhara region now. They will have enough struggle to cope with the movements and insurgencies from all sides. The TDF will not have a moment to breathe. They will be defending and need to strategically consider where they will loose ground to ensure the Tripartite Alliance doesn’t get control of the region like it did after the invasion in November 2020.
The movement away from Kobo and such seems strategically done now. As they have moved to Lalibela and other areas too. The chaos of North Wollo and South Wollo will cease, especially if the reports of possible insurgencies from Eritrea and elsewhere. Therefore, don’t expect to hear of victories or any sort of movements in Amhara region from the TDF. They will have enough to just defend itself.
The brigades and the troops moved to both Amhara region and the deployment of Eritrean forces into the Tigray region. This just shows the intentions of the Tripartite Alliance. They had prepared this ahead of the deployment of the TDF outside of Tigray. It takes time to move troops and get them ready to the various of fronts. The stationing of soldiers and mechanical divisions takes time and doesn’t just happen over night. Therefore, the Tripartite Alliance was prepared ahead of this and they knew perfectly well the plan to attack Tigray on several of fronts.
The bombing of Tigray region in Dedebit happened before the “humanitarian truce” ceased to exist and resumption of the conflict. While we know the FDRE and the clique of Addis Ababa will pin all blame on the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF). While the peace talks and such only makes sense to be stalling and not legit. This is why the besieged region never got peace or ability to run as normal. While everything ill of the Republic is pinned on Mekelle.
Surely, Addis Ababa, Bahir Dar and Asmara will continue to do so. The ones now acting in self-defence will be at fault. Just like it is Tigrayan people fault for being born so and being arrested for their ethnicity. That’s the sort of government in power and how it acts, while calling TPLF and Tigray terrorists. Because, that’s how they are defending their actions…
So, expect more nonsense ahead. As the famine and genocide continues. The plights and tragic circumstances isn’t changing anytime soon. Tigray is already facing hunger and starvation… and now they are also being the frontline of the war. This will be bloody and this prolonged war will destroy Tigray for about a generation or possibly even more. That’s the legacy the Tripartite Alliance leaves behind. This is their enforcement of law and how they want to operate.
The warlords is returning to Tigray with forces on all sides. The TPLF and the Tigray will get all the blame. While the men and the leaders of Addis Ababa and Asmara will prolong the agony, which they started in November 2020. They are the ones that has besieged, blocked and ensured the tragedies to happen on a regular basis. Peace.












