
We are clearly living in trying times, as every ethnicity is picking up arms and going to war for one simple goal to get rid of the current regime in Addis Ababa. There is now several of Liberation Fronts or Armies who are going in a coalition to combat and beat the current leadership. That says it all, when they all can fight together and work towards the same objective.
The Tigray conflict has spiralled out, but it is also opening up with more internal warfare. Where the civil war is inevitable. That is very clear with the motivation of arming civilians with machetes in Amhara region and sending them to battle under the banner of “Fano”. This just shows there is no end in sight and that’s what the Federal and Regional Government is doing. Not some rural rebels or hoodlums, no these are supported over the state and regional budgets. Either gifts or donations, which is put into the war-effort. That is the stage the current times are in.
So, when that is happening. The Tigray Defence Force (TDF) is not fighting the National Army and it’s allies. No, they have been aligned with several of other Liberations Fronts of late. It is a growing collective and it has even been called the Ethiopian Grand Armed Coalition.
The amounts of groups working together now against the Prosperity Party (PP) and Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed Ali is about 9. This is first the TDF. The others are Afar Liberation Army (ALA), Agew Peoples Liberation Front (APLF), Benishangul Peoples Liberation Front (BPLF), Oromo Liberation Front/Army (OLF/OLA), Ogaden Peoples Movement (OPM), Sidama National Liberation Front (SNLF), Somalia Peoples Liberation Front (SPLF) and Qimant Peoples Liberation Front (QPLF).
When you see this list, you should be amazed, as the Prime Minister is seeking military hardware from Turkey. He is begging Asmara to help out with troops. The leaders of Finfinne is seeking all youth and everyone to enlist to a war, which isn’t trained to meet seasoned soldiers. That’s why just this week the TDF has destroyed much of the Republican Guard in the Amhara region. While the Eritrean Defence Force (EDF) is both re-entering in the Tigray region, but also participating in Afar Region. That’s why you know the new battlefronts will make things harder for the PP.
The axis of TDF-OLA was bad enough for the ENDF-EDF-Amhara alliance. Now, they are meeting forces and militias from all across the Republic. Who sole objective as a Grand Coalition is to bring down the current tyranny. That says it all really. The gamble of a sole war with a Tripartite Alliance, which was supposed to be ended in a flash and the PM promised final stages in the end of November 2020. Is now struggling to get head over water, as his enemies is encircling him and able to make bigger alliances.
The Ethiopian Grand Armed Coalition towards the Tripartite Alliance was surely not on the cards on the fire-sale of a “Law Enforcement Operation” of last year. When the Tigray seemed all shunned out and left alone, as it had been boycotted and blocked by the Federal Government months on end before the war was upon it. Therefore, at that point this didn’t seem likely.
However, the Tripartite Alliance has played out their cards and things are crumbling. That is why the Federal Government is targeting foreign donors and humanitarian organizations. As they are seemed as arming the enemies. While the Federal Government and Army is willing to do war-crimes, atrocities and blame these on it’s enemies. That’s how it sow more pain, but also more resilient will to overcome these hardships.
The gamble of a brief war has become a full civil-war. Where the Tripartite Alliance isn’t getting more friends, but instead more enemies. Where a whole coalition of local and regional forces are armed against it. These will be militias who will cause havoc and more pain, as they are going against the state it is working to topple.
The central government is losing it’s ground. Not only on the battlefield in Tigray, Amhara and Oromia. It is also losing the popular support elsewhere. The state has instead of galvanizing support or will to pursuit victory. Even when it has several of media houses, state broadcasters and such. Still, the resistance and defiance against it is seemingly growing. As the people and leaders in the regions are seeing the genocidal and deadly orders of PP. That’s maybe why they are joining the Grand Coalition in hope that this will get rid of merciless tyrant in power.
Clearly, Abiy and PP haven’t made friends, but has instead gotten plenty of enemies. It doesn’t help that the state is taxing it’s citizens. While they are buying weapons to a war, which is killing it’s own civilians, instead of feeding their own. The state is more preoccupied with getting drones, than getting aid convoy’s to feed the starving citizens. Peace.













