
There are now reports that on three fronts encircling the Tigray region. The Ethiopian National Defence Force (ENDF) has sent soldiers by buses to re-group and strategically prepare to attack the Tigray region. The Tripartite Alliance has been silently awaiting the right time after leaving parts of the Tigray region last year.
In the “Survival Campaign” they entered the region, but didn’t continue to Mekelle or re-invade like they did in November 2020. Now in the end of March or early April it is maybe scheduled a new offensive to not only control Western Tigray. Which they have had under their reign and with the help of the Eritrean Defence Force (EDF).
The Amhara Para-Military Group “Fano” might return together with ENDF. Which wouldn’t shock anyone, as they have promised to defend the “motherland” and attack their enemies. The enemies being the Tigray.
If the reports are true… just like Ceasefire was announced as the state was losing grip and lost on the front-lines at the time. Now, they could use the headlines and news-cycles of positivity to shield itself from criticism. As the FDRE and ENDF could gear up on the borders for another way. Because, they have had the time train and re-structure the army. The reports are stating up to 230 buses has been directed from Dessie to Kobo.
Since there have been no humanitarian convoy or any sign of aid to the Tigray region after the announcement. Neither, has there been any talks with the stakeholders or the ones in conflict. Meaning, it was an empty statement made for headlines and not the reality. To spin the news in positive favour and trying to overlook the realities on the ground, which is very dire … a man-made famine, starvation and people dying over lack of medicines. That is what the state has delivered the Tigray region for months upon end since November 2020. Therefore, as I suspected… it was a smoke-screen for something more sinister.
The FDRE and their allies was gearing for war. They are now sending troops and military equipment to different fronts. Preparing for another “campaign” or “offensive” to end the Tigray Defence Force… alas… that they have tried a few times already, but to no avail.
We should expect soon orders and a full scale attack on Tigray from the Tripartite Alliance. That is on the horizon and there will be another bloodshed in the name of the Peace Prize winning Prime Minister Ahmed Ali Abiy. Peace.













