
There is more verified information from the battlefront between the Ethiopian National Defence Force (ENDF) with their allies. While they are combatting the united front of Tigray Defence Force and Oromo Liberation Army. Over the recent days there been more news and I rather wanted to collect more substantial information before I make another post about it.
Already on the 8th November 2021 I wrote the TDF-OLA allies was marching on Debre Birhan. They were planning to launch attacks towards that strategic city, which 132,7 kilo-meters away from the capital Addis Ababa.
Today, we can with certainty say the TDF-OLA have captured Shewa Robit yesterday and on the same route they have taken Debre Sina. While on another front within the Amhara region the TDF-OLA have taken Molale in North Shewa. There is also reports that they have taken Mehal Meda, the administrative center of Menz Gera Midir woreda. These are significant blows to the national army and the progressions isn’t swift, but its closing in. Both in the mountains and on the main road towards Addis Ababa.
While on the Afar region front at Kassa/Darsa Gita front the TDF haven’t been able to compete with Afar Regional Special Forces and the ENDF there. They are still at the stages of Bati and not anywhere near Mille, which some still claims and have been saying for over a week. Which is fake news and the Afar region isn’t where the TDF have been able to advance like in the Amhara region.
There is clear indications that the fronts encircling Addis Ababa is going much better. Though at a slower phase, as there was some speculations and others who nearly was ready to proclaim a quick takeover of Addis around the 10th November 2021. We are now on the 22nd November 2021.
The state isn’t doing any good and is losing territory, but they are doing it in a slow speed. It is not like the united front against the ENDF is winning without costs or without tactically planning it’s advances. This is why Addis Ababa is for the long haul and not a short term takeover. Not like it looks like at this very moment.
The most damage the ENDF and it’s allies does at the moment is with drone attacks on the front-lines and on civilians in Mekelle. However, that will not win the war. The TDF-OLA is advancing and it’s clear on many fronts now. It isn’t one place alone. The Afar front-line has been static and not moving in any clear direction. They are meeting a competent adversary there. That is very clear and this is why the TDF haven’t succeeded there for now.
This will be continued and this is far from over. The conflict that started early November 2020 will continue. There is no denying in that and the agony will be prolonged. The pain, the suffering and the hurt will linger on for decades. This war won’t be over when just the guns are silent. This war will be over when the grievances is settled and the places are rebuilt after the conflict is over. That isn’t a quick and brief fix, but rebuilding a state after war-torn battles.
Right now the TDF-OLA front is advancing and doing it strategically. Time will tell how quickly they are able to move and how fast the ENDF allies are fallling. Whatever it is, it will be bloody and until things are verified. I will await the verdict of further movement of the troops in this civil-war. Peace.



















