Now it’s official as yesterday’s failure of moving forward with the upcoming elections is clear. As the Federal Government of Somalia (FGS) couldn’t get into an agreement with the Federal Member States (FMS). That is why everything has failed. The September 17th 2020 agreement hasn’t been respected and now there is no accord between the parties.
The term of President Mohamed Abdullahi Farmaajo ended already on the 8th February 2021. Since then he has tried to push the Lower House to vote in a motion for a 2 year extension. It has been controversial and he hasn’t moved for more negotiations with the FMS as well. Now, they had the final meeting yesterday and it was a utter failure.
Since Farmaajo have the Somali National Army, Gorgor and Haram’ad are under his spell. These armies and brigades are following his orders and awaiting his next operation. These trained armies can clearly be used to sway a Member State and go after the leaders who doesn’t follow suit. Therefore, the delay of elections seems deliberate.
Farmaajo is the only one winning with this. The former President, turned “interim” and awaiting to become the “transitional” President. As he surely planning a “Transitional Council” and prolong his reign. That sort of move would only be validated by MPs whose term also ended in February and means their validation could be seen as void as well.
Whatever that happens now and the separation from Farmaajo from several of Member States. That he could muffle them and shut them up. He couldn’t get them to be swayed as the ones he has appointed and gotten into leadership roles. Clearly, this man wants to continue his Presidency, but not get an election. As he fears of losing and could easily become a one-term President and that’s humiliating. Especially, when he has served they way he has.
This President has changed the Speaker of Lower House to a allied. He also appointed a second Prime Minister to have another ally there as well. This has all been done to ensure he has his men in roles and to ensure his reign. They are there to serve him and he has the armies too. That is why his not fearing the FMS or any other.
Farmaajo has the guns and the International Community isn’t challenging him either. They have condemned and said its regrettable. But they are not going after him or delegitimizing him. His off the hook and can run his scheme.
The scheme is seemingly being the head of state without any elections. The former/interim becoming a “transitional” one. He will do that in one way or another. Even as Member States and the Council of Presidential Candidates are saying that he doesn’t have a mandate or eligibility to do so. The ones supposed to serve his wishes is already on borrowed time themselves. Unless, they are fearing to at gun-point with Farmaajo.
Farmaajo is risking all security and usage of Villa Somalia just to retain his role and office. His willing to destroy any sort of progress just for personal gains. That is a sad state of affairs and show how not to personify the state. One person shouldn’t become the personification of the state, but Farmaajo have clearly done this and with the added support of his armies.
This is seemingly at this point a never ending affair. Farmaajo will prolong his stay and never let go. That’s why his stalling and not following up pre-election talks. Ensuring they cannot hold elections and he can stay put where he are, and not leave. Peace.
The first term of President Mohamed Abdullahi Farmaajo oended on the 8th February 2021. Now we are already in the end of March 2021 or on the 28th March 2021 to be precise. He is keeping himself in power by being “interim” President as the negotiations and the agreements are stalled.
Farmaajo and allies are hoping to stall this even further. As himself and his opponents cannot agree on the way ahead. Farmaajo is hoping his “Gorgor” and Somali National Army (SNA) can keep him in office. Farmaajo is not willing to risk his huge influence and power at Villa Somalia. That is how everything seems.
The out-of-date President is willing to fix the Lower House of Parliament. Where he wanted to get a two-year extension for no apparent reason. He wants the Members of Parliament to just accept. There is reporting that speaker of Lower House Mursal believes this is the right thing to do. That after the Lower House have expelled 15 MPs who opposed the Farmaajo line and the further expansion.
Farmaajo is set to have a closed doors meeting with all the MPs, leaders of Security Agencies and Media Aides. All done today before tomorrows Parliamentary Session in the Lower House. Which is supposed to give him a “legitimate” vote to stay in power without an election. Mursal would clearly do his to deliver this for the President.
By all means… it seems by now that Farmaajo never had the pure interest to resolve the election stand-off. If he did… he wouldn’t have held such conferences that close to the deadline. Neither shown intent or tried to figure out ways forward. Instead, he has ordered the Gorgor on protestors. Have had heavy armed presence on the airport of Mogadishu and even ordered soldiers to Gedo Region in Jubbaland. That is what he does to stay ahead.
Farmaajo must take people for fools. His game is for a long-con. He will blame the International Community. He will blame Kenyan interference. Farmaajo will blame anyone else. Even as he knows perfectly well that he needs international support and without military support from foreigners he wouldn’t even be in office at this current moment.
The interim president seemingly wants to create a huge crisis and other problems as excuses to stay in power. There is not end to this. No matter what the opponents or the Somali National Salvation Forum does. The Council of Presidential Candidates (CPC) haven’t come with any significant solutions either. Maybe they have in closed doors meetings, but none of that has leaked out. As Farmaajo seems to enjoy the “impasse” and the “transitional” period.
Farmaajo wants to be unelected and have all excuses. He wants to pull off what others has done in the region. The Somali President wants to await elections just like Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy did. That is his goal it seems.
So, even if the International Community would warn Mursal and the Lower House. Don’t expect much from there. When they could easily “ban” opposition MPs like they did. They will clearly not care, if they are all on borrowed time and without an official mandate. These folks are just there to be loyal subjects of Farmaajo and deliver his wishes. That is why the previous speaker was kicked out and the Prime Minister too. All of them, because Farmaajo needed with certainty to have loyal cadres in all the right places.
He ensured a delay, now he wants to be in transition from himself and hopefully in that time. Find a way to install himself again legitimately. That is the end-game here. Either by the hook or by crook. Peace.