Opinion: Is Kabila planning a diarchy?

Calvin is hammering nails into coffee table.


Calvin: Is this some sort of trick question, or what?”Bill Watterson

Merriam-Webster explains diarchy as “a government in which power is vested in two rulers or authorities”. This means that Majorité Présidentielle (MP) and the People’s Party for Reconstruction and Democracy (PPRD) the ruling party will put someone they trust, as they plan to current President Joseph Kabila as the Vice-President. While their stooge for a term and trusted bedfellow will rule one term from the beginning of 2019. President Kabila’s second term was supposed to end on 19th December 2016. That has however not happened, as he is still the almighty President and shown no signs of stepping down.

That is why the reports that M.P. are planning a tandem leadership, a dual leadership, one where they keep Kabila as a high ranking and top official, while having a stooge in on top for a term. That so they legally make sure Kabila can run for his “fourth term”, when the stooge term has ended. Since technically Kabila is done with third term and sort of started his fourth. Even as he just been elected through the polls twice. Kabila came first to power in January 2001, but was first elected in 2006 and ran again 2011. The last one, which he is still clinging on too.

The magic second stooge, whose will be part-time President, before ushering in an official third term for Kabila is either Matata Ponyo, Adolphe Muzito or Olive Lembe. That is if the reports are true and the rumors are real. If so, then Lambert Mende should be insulted. Also the MLC President and jailbird Jean Pierre Bemba, who was the last VP until the Constitutional Changes.

But if they do this and tries to figure this out, then they are still risking the Republic. AS they are thinking that the Republic cannot be ruled without Kabila and the M.P. Like there is no other party, which has the possibility to reign. This is risky as they have to really trust in the other candidate that they pull up and that one will step down. To again let Kabila run. The person could also create issues and no will to step down. As none in the state has done that, without eating a bullet.

We don’t know if this is a real plan or not, if they are planning to use CENI and the Constitutional Court to legalize this. They are surely using all tricks, maybe even first using Kabila as pawn to stall for time as the main candidate for M.P. The party might do other foolery, they might use other tricks. But the tandem leadership makes sense. As this would give Kabila space to take total control like Putin has done in Russia.

This would also put relief and stop the sanctions, this would give the regime a break. As they need to bleed the money out of the country and make deals, which the central government head honcho’s eats from, but leave nothing left to the Republic itself. That is what the M.P. wants and to secure the future of Kabila. They are only doing this in self interest and that why Kabila is still there. Lingering like a leach to power.

This story does not die, because Kabila isn’t planning to go anywhere. He wants power by any means. That is proven by now. Peace.

RDC: Declaration No. 001/2018 De La SYMOCEL Appellant a la Consience Citoyenne Pour un Processus Electoral Inclusif (30.05.2018)

RDC: Communique Officiel de la Presidence de la Republique (29.05.2018)

RDC: Declaration Commune de l’Opposition Congolaise en Rapport Avec l’Audit du Fichier Electoral Conduit Par l’Oif (28.05.2018)

RDC: Declaration Conjointe de New York (25.05.2018)

RDC: CENCO – Appel a la Responsabilite – Point de Presse du Secretariat General de la CENCO sur le Processus Electoral (24.05.2018)

RDC: Ensemble – Le President Declaration sur le Virus Ebola (20.05.2018)

517 Days on Overtime: How come Kabila is still there?

It is weird and sad, that as the days goes, that President Joseph Kabila is still a thing. Let me clear, he is lingering unconstitutionally at his role as the President and without an official mandate. He is squatting at the highest office in the 3rd Republic and the world, just let him get away with it. It is like it easier that way, there is less accountability, less transparency and less proper guidelines of governance, therefore, let him be. So, the world can get the resources and the minerals from the rich country, while the state is piss-poor. Because who needs this stuff through proper procedure, tariffs and through fair trading. No, that is only for theories and not for the reality.

Kabila is still in power and its 19th May 2018. When his final term ended was on the 19th December 2016, which means that there has been 517 days since his term ended. What is more insulting is that he had long grace period before his first election in 2006 and the second in 2011, therefore needed to prepare to leave before the end of his second 5 year term in 2016. However, as we know, that didn’t happen. Therefore, he has been the de facto leader now since 26th January 2001. With two elected terms, but the rest of the time, been ruling with grace. That grace continues, without any hesitation or any significant change.

We have now let a man without any mandate rule for one year, five months and one day. That should be insulting to anyone, to let that happen and get away with it. It is just selfish to think otherwise. Yes, there are other self-serving, self-interested leaders who impose themselves on the their republic. They rig their constitutions, they make the laws of association and electoral malpractice into a profession. While the public await the army and the rigged tallies of their victorious achievement of another term, after paying off cronies and the making the institutions praise the almighty leader. That is happening all around the world, like we are still living in a feudal time and the peasants, just have to follow the anointed kings.

It is not like the two elections for Kabila was marred with issues, but the people and stakeholders had hope, as it was a significant change from the two brutal wars that had been. The government of the 3rd Republic would be different, as there haven’t been any peaceful transition of power. The last time that happen was with Patrice Lumumba and he got assassinated by a foreign force under code-name “Swamp Monster”. So who knows it was the Belgians or the CIA, as they both wanted a puppet to the Republic.

However, lets get back to Kabila, who is not leaving in peace, he isn’t leaving at all. He on his third illegal term, without any elections. Using all tools to stay in power, all insurgency, all massacres in Kasai-Oriental, Kivu’s and all the problems in the Republic. Establishing a hard-line against the real opposition in UNDP, Ensamble and everyone else questioning his powers. Stopping protests and activists from Lucha. Nothing is not touched, even bishops, priests and church protests is shut down with vile force. Nothing is to spare the people, only man who reign in mercy is Kabila. The rest has to bow their knees and hope they are not his prey. Therefore, we all need to pray.

Kabila continues to linger in power, 517 days over his mandate, the MONUSCO, the International Community, still letting him linger, nothing is imposed or taken away. A few sanctions on companies and few of the elites, even the vital minerals are still exported either through the ports or through Rwanda. Just like it has done for years. No-one questioning it, no one wonders where the militias are getting resources to buy arms, but who cares as long as the world can have a fancy smart-phone right?

Kabila just got it made. No one doubt it and steps on his throne. They just let him. The ones that does oppose. Will get the taste of pain, the agony and even stop breathing. That is known, but no one says much or cries havoc. It is just the Democratic Republic of Congo, a place where that is normal. They are our brothers and sisters, but we cannot shield them. We cannot make sure their future is sealed. No, as long as we get the minerals, we don’t mind war-lords, militias and scrupulous killings of civilians. We don’t mind, we get a bargain and the elites of Kinshasa get massive wealth. We are letting the masses starving, and letting the elite “Kabiliaist” eat of everyone’s plate. That is the order of our time.

Even with knowing that, we let it go and let it be. Because that pain and agony isn’t ours. But we let him stay and use his force, to generate wealth for our tech-companies, but he get to decide the fate of his civilians. However, he does that without a mandate, without a transparent leadership and without the needed accountability, that would lead into a better future. Because it is all in his decrees and his allies that matters. Not what is for the better future, but enrich his pockets. That narrative in our world, never gets old.

What is insulting is that he thinks he can get away with it. That he don’t think he got to pay for being in-charge over it and not trying make a difference.

Kabila is lingering and no-one is batting an eye. He is far from the only one. I know that, but still, that should not be forgotten. That he is now 517 days on overtime, that isn’t just awaiting CENI to push an election. That is postponing so he can loot a bit more and hope people forget about this. Peace.

Botswana: “Refusal by Some Leaders to Hand Over Power” (26.02.2018)

RDC: Communique du Comite Laic De Coordination (25.02.2018)