“One of the great opportunities of Brexit is our ability to trade more with countries around the world. I know that the right hon. Lady will want to speak to many of the Welsh farmers who are enjoying selling their lamb to the new markets that we have opened up for them. That is what we will get on and deliver” – Prime Minister Rishi Sunak (09.11.2022).
The new Prime Minister in the PMQs answered a question about international trading from Liz Saville Roberts MP. Who asked a serious question in concerns with the forecasts from the Office for Budget Responsibility, which states the trade will be lowered by 15%. In response to that, the PM answered this and went on about selling welsh lambs.
This isn’t a case of only mutton. No, this is a case of botched opportunities and losing the European Single Market. The realities of Brexit is setting in and as a Third Country, the losses are piling up. That’s why the export industries has been hit and other industries have even flagged out of the United Kingdom. Because, they are safer to be within the European Union and the Single Market… than risking their bets from the UK.
That’s why it’s interesting not only the mention of a bad forecasts from the OBR. There are other reports coming with shattering numbers, which the former Chancellor should be worried about.
Just read this:
“David Jinks, head of consumer research at logistics firm ParcelHero, commented: “Britain’s exporters of goods, from food to cars, have all suffered from the impact of the poorly negotiated Brexit trade agreement and increased red tape and duties. The same applies to services, from finance to computing, which now fall outside the regulated EU services market. “Perhaps most disappointingly, these latest results reveal Britain failed to successfully transition away from the EU to other overseas markets – one of the positive outcomes promised by Brexiteers. Looking at two vital export markets beyond the EU, the numbers also tumbled. “Perhaps the situation is summed up best by looking at the UK’s exports to the whole of the EU. In 2019, they stood at a healthy £298bn. By 2021, they had slumped by £30bn to £268bn, but even that was a huge lift from the £259bn they had tumbled to in 2020, in the immediate aftermath of Brexit.”” (Chris Sparks – ‘UK Exports Slump In The Aftermath Of Brexit’ 31.10.2022, Businessplus.ie).
A conclusion from one paper:
“Across EU member states, we find that Brexit has led to a significant decline in trade with the UK in almost all cases although by varying magnitudes. Looking at the different margins of trade, we find a substantial reduction in the number of products traded from the UK to the EU. However, for EU to UKtrade, three quarters of the estimated fall in trade can be attributed to the intensive margin. This is consistent with a pattern of smaller trade flows more impacted by changes in trade costs in the UK to EU direction and hence ceasing to trade” (Janez Kren & Martina Lawless – ‘How has Brexit changed EU-UK trade flows?’, October 2022, Economic & Social Research Institute (ESRI) – ESRI Working Paper No. 735).
When a man like David Jinks is stating this. We have already seen how the Seafood industry and Animal industry has reacted to the effects of Brexit. There has been businesses and such who has lost out a lot, because of it. Brexit has brought a lot of ramifications and no deal or the free trade agreement (FTA) has the ability to cover the losses of trading within the EU.
Brexit promised a fantasy land, which haven’t appeared. The dreams of leaving the EU and getting full sovereignty haven’t cut it for the businesses. The exporters has been hit and the logistical firms has also been devastated by it. This is the true costs of operating from the outside and also locking itself from the European continent by default.
The losses of the trade agreements which the UK had through the membership of EU hasn’t been replicated either. Neither is it getting the same sort of treatment or abilities to export to the EU. That’s the consequence of the Withdrawal Agreement and successive negotiations ever since. The UK has failed here and they are continuing the agony.
The Prime Minister can make lofty promises and say the Brexit will create a new day tomorrow. However, the realities are the same and the UK haven’t established or been able to generate deals, which are as beneficial as being part of the single market. That is just an issue that will linger on. Because, that’s what gave the UK a huge boost and simplistic trading partner with the EU Member States, which it doesn’t have today.
So, when Sunak says there is lots of opportunities, as a result of Brexit. I don’t see it and I only see a lie. All things are showing that the downturn and the affects of Brexit is a decline. The Brexit itself has only cost and it isn’t changing for the better. Peace.
“I will unite our country, not with words, but with action. I will work day in and day out to deliver for you. This government will have integrity, professionalism and accountability at every level” – Prime Minister Rishi Sunak (25.10.2022).
The Prime Minister with his announced cabinet reshuffle is really re-issuing some known faces from Boris Johnson and giving way to some of the appointees of Liz Truss. This isn’t a sign of a new era or a change towards reform. No, this is a continuation of the latter years and not much significant changes either.
Prime Minister Rishi Sunak isn’t doing anyone any real favours here. Appoint the likes of Dominic Raab and Michael Gove. Neither is the likes of Therese Coffey or Suella Braverman choices of reason. The pick of Penny Mourdaunt seems just to buy peace, as she was his competition for the office in the first place. Others are re-appointments or re-shuffling into new positions. The one who has been everywhere this it seems, Nadhim Zahawi. That just shows it all and the public should understand the game now.
PM Sunak is just trying to find the sweet spot between the ERG, the Boris clique and the alliance around Truss. Just so he has everyone covered and within his reach. That will be tricky position and it won’t be easy to pull off. No, he has to be on the proximity of all these groups and still able to play ball. If he has shortcomings or isn’t finding the right path. There will be resignation and claims that he differs from the “mandate” and what the Tories was “elected to do”. That will be the end-game here.
Heck, what is striking that Sunak has even appointed people who was in the cabinet of Theresa May. He is re-appointing and using old heads who haven’t made things better. That’s the likes of Jeremy Hunt, who also was appointed in the last minute of Truss cabinet too. Therefore, Sunak is really just trying to play with everyone.
While his only appointing a few loyalists of himself too. Nevertheless, it doesn’t seem to be many of these. That means that the ones around him are people who can turn on him quickly. The moment the buck stops and the knives are out… they will turn on him and bury him like they did the predecessors.
Prime Minister Sunak promised a government of integrity, professionalism and accountability… while he has chosen similar characters and MPs into cabinet, which has shown the opposite. The PM has taken in people who has broke the ministerial code and haven’t valued the Nolan principals either.
The PM has to prove his words, but the appointed ministers proves these words was all fluff. It was for publicity, but he appointed the opposite to unite the party. He didn’t appoint these ones to be more professional or show integrity.
Who appoints Braverman and Gove for integrity? Who appoints Raab for professionalism?
Well, this cabinet is just the Tories best-of-hits… and it’s not looking good. It is just the first day, but it’s not looking good for Sunak. Who isn’t changing tune, but is just another one. Peace.
“and of course it is painful not to be able to see through so many ideas and projects myself
but as we’ve seen at Westminster, the herd is powerful and when the herd moves, it moves and
and my friends in politics no one is remotely indispensable” – Prime Minister Boris Johnson (07.07.2022)
The resignations has been looming and glooming all over the British isles, heck whole of Europe has been keeping an extra lookout for the cook-out in London. Because, the tide is turning and the lack of trust in the Prime Minister Boris Johnson is sincere now. The Conservative Party and the ones in government has mostly dismissed him. They wanted him gone and by yesterday.
Yes, he had his farewell of address of sorts today. Even if it was a nonsensical event. As he wants to fill in the void until the new Tories chairman is elected. When that happens he will finally step down. Even with the around 60 resignations over the last three days or so. It was hard to follow the count and the score-card, because it was a circus.
Even with that in mind and with a care-taker PM in Boris. Someone is still viable and foolishly enough to accept the price of a ministry and a title. Yes, just as some resigned after two days in office. Another jumped in… no joke some blokes and MPs are willing to sacrifice their political capital and future. Just so they have a ministerial post on their CV.
Michelle Donelan MP didn’t even get to do anything in her office. She was barely there for 48 hours and couldn’t even get the access codes to her office or the ministry, which she was supposed to reside. So, it is interesting that James Cleverly MP is the third secretary of education within the same amount of days. I don’t know why his even seeking this office. Not like this will be a long term one or a fruitful one.
You cannot say that Greg Clark MP who is taking over for the sacked Michael Gove MP is having a magnificent future either. I don’t understand why Sir Robert Buckland QC MP wanted to become Secretary for Wales now, but he apparently did. We can really wonder what is worthy of being the Chancellor of the Duchy of the Lancaster, which is the office accepted by Kit Malthouse MP. The final official appointment today was to Shailesh Vara MP who was appointed to Secretary of State for Northern Ireland.
These 5 MPs are really a special breed. When everyone else has left the sinking ship. These five gentlemen thinks this will run smoothly. They should have seen the writing on the wall. They are enablers and giving way to the PM. A PM who defiantly is staying behind. While everyone wants him going. These MPs are ensuring the stability and the running of government. Just so the PM gets a softer landing…
That is really it and you can wonder why they want to do that. They know how reckless and ruthless the PM has been. The way he used his means to demote David Cameron and Theresa May. Not like he didn’t play a role and his resignation didn’t unleash trouble too. That’s why the PM knows this game perfectly well, but the same means which brought him powers. Are the same one that is ending his too.
It is just striking that MPs are still signing up and willing to serve under the PM. They should have just stayed home and chilled. These MPs should await the Tories conference and the end of Boris Johnson. Then they could await plum-jobs and titles in the next government. Now, they are just eating and playing around.
Being enablers and giving Boris Johnson some peace, which isn’t deserved. He should have stress, worry and concern. However, we know he prefers to party and dodge all responsibility. Peace.