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Archive for the tag “Kainerugba Muhoozi”

Opinion: This Moses will not lead the public into the promised land

The NRM has already won the 2021 elections with over 80%. We are now campaigning for 2026 elections and let no one tell you that Ugandans are tired of President Museveni” – Bebe Cool aka Moses Ssali in South Africa this weekend, December 2019

Bebe Cool might think his slick, he might think his smart and sounds like fine wine. However, Bebe Cool is degraded and low-rate fizzy-drink, a sugar-coated and lack of flavour, which he tries to sell to the crowds like Champagne. Everyone can see it, smell it and know by just looking at the bottle.

Moses will not lead people across the desert. Moses will not lead the people to the promised land. This Moses, the Cool guy will lead people agony and more issues. The state and the party he mobilizes for are self-serving elite. The NRM are working for the President and his cronies, it isn’t working for direct development, neither building a strong state. That is known for Moses, but he will not say it.

Then the Lord said to Moses, “Leave this place, you and the people you brought up out of Egypt, and go up to the land I promised on oath to Abraham, Isaac and Jacob, saying, ‘I will give it to your descendants.’” (Exodus Chapter 33:1, New International Version).

Just like Moses himself, he never got to see the promise land, he actually never got cross the River Jordan after 30 years in the desert. The Republic of Uganda have been 33 years under the reign of Museveni. The man Moses praises and thinks will bring changes. While his really lost in the wilderness and not allowed by God to cross the river.

Bebe Cool is a false prophet, who says everything the master want to hear. His a loyal subject. Even as man whose supposed to mobilize and guide. The man knows that the President isn’t preoccupied with 2026. His just working as hard as he can to fix 2021. That is why Bebe Cool is following the trail of Bobi Wine. The smug man, whose paid to be a distraction.

Bebe Cool, Mr. Moses thinks his that smart is funny and tragic. Because, just like Moses. At one point he will not go to promised land. His used with promises, but his descendants will live there. They will be able to cross Jordan. That’s because the promises of the regime, the promises of Museveni will not materialize. They will degrade and distort with time. The reasons for it is that its busy salvaging whatever it can. It is so busy doing so, that it doesn’t see the hurt or the problems across the Republic.

That is why the NRM lacks the trust, the support or even the grass-root mobilization it needs. They cannot outspend and buy off the whole population in every single poll. That is what it does, but at one point, that buck stop. Bebe Cool might act like it is won, when it really is rigged. There is no speculation of it even. It is mere reality.

That Bebe Cool is saying this too: “I warned the enemies of development that I will bring to light all their lies. The era of misleading Ugandans has come to an end” (Bebe Cool, December 2019). His the one misleading the public and doing it as propaganda for the state. His the Softpower and the “silent Majority” nonsense. Nonsensical and unstructured, as a man whose fighting on deck, while his boat is sinking. Instead of either trying to “balancing the boat” or trying to save people to land. He fights the crew for wrecking the ship.

Bebe Cool could be serious, but his the messenger… He will not get people anywhere. This Moses will encircle them and trap them. He will make them walk around aimlessly in the desert for yet a few more decades. They will not move and will never cross over Jordan. That will not happen with Cool neither with Bosco. They are just in it to rule, not to serve and neither to actually govern. Peace.

Bank of Uganda: Monetary Policy Statement for December 2019 (09.12.2019)

Opinion: Mr. President your late to the party…

I have a hard time believing that President Yoweri Kaguta Museveni and the National Resistance Movement (NRM) will stop creating districts, sub-counties and whatever local government administrations in the Republic. They will never really cease doing so, because they constantly carved the Republic into tiny pieces. So, that every single Sub-County today can become a district in the near future. It should be a joke, but looking at history, than it isn’t far-fetched at all.

By seeing this one piece from the New Vision:

In 1986 when NRM took power, Uganda had 33 districts which increased to 81 districts by 2008. The districts increased to 112 by 2011, but reduced to 111 after the Capital city ceased to be a district” (John Odyek, Mary Karugaba and Moses Walubiri – ‘25 more districts created’ 19.07.2012, New Vision).

Than my own calculation from November 2019:

The State has continued to create the districts and sub-counties. In 2016 there was 112 districts and by 2021, there will be 135 districts. As well as there was 1,403 sub-counties in 2016, while in 2021 there will be 2057 sub-counties.

With knowing this and the knowledge of the mushrooming state. There is bit a late to cry foul over more town councils and the affordability. When during your time the state has gone from having 33 districts to 135 districts in 2021.

Therefore, this warning seems a bit late:

They are going to be too many and not affordable. Let the little money we have be concentrated first in maintaining security, building infrastructure(roads, railway, electricity, schools, and health centres) and not expanding administrative costs,”Museveni warned in November 28 letter to Butime. The warning by the president comes at a time when government recently announced the creation of 162 new town council that started being operational this year, whereas others will be operational by July 1, 2020” (Kenneth Kazibwe – ‘Museveni warns against creation of new municipalities’ 08.12.2019).

Because of this, I don’t believe the man. I really don’t believe the President and his motives here. It is weird that he has issues, when his made so many districts and sub-counties already. That creating further town councils only follows the modus operandi of the state.

Not like its a revolutionary idea from the state to make more. It would be more shocking if he started to merge sub-counties and districts. So, that it would be less districts and sub-counties in the Republic. In this current stage and time, that would have been positive and plans for actual change. However, than the devolution and the years of curving the districts. It would show the public that it was only political motivated and not really making government better.

That he warns about this in 2019 after 33 years in power and been so hyper-active with creating smaller entities. His surely the wrong man to signal the red-flag. Yes, the state cannot afford more town-councils and such. But that is because the state has already to many districts and sub-counties to pay for.

The state is already deficit financing, the mushroomed state, which the President and his men has created over the years. That is why, writing a letter this year isn’t solving anything or making a difference on the negative and expensive spiral, the President has started. The President knows this, but thinks this make him look smart. When it doesn’t, since his in charge of all these small entities and that will part of his legacy. He can cry now, but his crocodile tears are coming late.

He should have stopped before he created a 100 districts more in his time. Who knows how many sub-counties his created, but surely a 1000 by now. Than count the Municipalities and Town Councils, than you get humongous number. That is what bloated numbers sound like. Therefore, sending out warnings now is late from the old man, he should have done it long time ago, but he didn’t care. Peace.

Opinion: RDCs getting cars isn’t governing, but a cheap trick!

The Minister for Presidency, Esther Mbayo has given out 65 cars to Resident District Commissioners (RDCs) from different regions to improve on service delivery. The RDCs who received the cars on Thursday constitute 50% of the total number of Resident District Commissioners currently deployed in the country” (Muhamad Matovu – ‘Minister Mbayo Gives 65 Cars To RDCs From Different Regions’ 22.11.2019).

There are 135 districts, which is operative in the Republic. This is November 2019. There will come more districts in 2020 and so-on. As the Republic is made into smaller and smaller units as political favours and for personal gains of the political elite. That is well-known, as well as a measure done to establish good grounds of new constituencies with no voting history ahead of any given election.

With this in mind, there is an up-coming election in 2021. It is not the first time the National Resistance Movement (NRM) run government have given cars to its officials. They are not only giving that to the MPs and the cabinet, but also anyone in association with the State House. Therefore, the State House and the Parliament should have a car-lot and a car-dealership, if they were supposed to run it smoothly and cheaper.

Because, back in 2015, the state bought 111 cars for District Chairpersons. Therefore, this sort of enterprise happens on near-regular basis. Just as the state bought cars for the CPC in Parliament in this calendar year. So, this is a business the state knows and deals with a lot.

The special thing about this, is that service deliver is important with a car. Not with a mandate or actual factual work that the RDCs do. The Residential District Commanders, the ones overseeing and oversight of the government works in the districts. This is 65 cars and in total, that is 50% of the appointed RDCs. This means there is 130 districts who has RDCs by what the Mbayo states. That means the state lacks funds, manpower and appointed leadership for 5 districts alone. Which is a rare move.

The President has the opportunity to give broader mandate, to give funds and opportunities to the RDCs to actually do more. But thinking a car would make a big difference is naive. As they have the same mandate, the same lacking structure and weak local government. Just today, the President and the state gives state officials cars, instead of building viable institutions.

The state is acting like a car dealership, not a governing institution nor following up on obligations in the districts. This is a cheap ploy for poor districts, for lacking funds and for not investing in all the created micro local-government units, which is now 135 districts and so-on. Where the RDCs and others has supervision and mandates to work. Therefore, there should be more than cars and more than a quick fix, which this is and nothing else.

To buy 65 cars will not fix the districts, it will only give for a short amount of time, mobility for some few persons in association with the RDCs. It doesn’t make the roads being built, schools being furnished nor town halls run properly. That is done over budgets, policies and actual governing being done.

To govern is an art and giving away cars isn’t building a nation, it is only cheap fix. You don’t give an alcoholic an beer, you take them to rehab and stops the availability to beer. Instead, here the state gives another beer and hope that it doesn’t catch on. Sooner or later, these cars will have a breakdown. As the cars are hit by driving miles upon miles every year.

Therefore, this isn’t it. Other than a rundown, over used idea, which isn’t scratching the surface. Peace.

Opinion: Bebe Cool the political enigma…

We are living the day and age, where Musa Ssali aka Big Size aka Bebe Cool are vibrant. Someone who is addressing politics and claiming importance of both careers and businesses made by other artists. Even if they are all dismissing it.

Bebe Cool thinks that his brilliant, that he has wise wisdom, but in reality it is only words of pleasure for the President and the rest of his men. There is nothing else too it. His man whose fine with the dictatorship, with the order of the day, because it pays him and his in the atmosphere of power. Even if he has nothing to do there.

It is not like his a scientist or a leader of men. Unless, his trying to teach people to be spoiled brats. Than, he could have schooled half of Kabalagala, Kampala. Maybe, even drumming up artists for a gig-song or concerts before campaign rallies. That is his place in the realm of importance.

His only in the spotlight because the President want him there. Trying to make Robert Kyagulanyi aka Bobi Wine and his People Power Movement looking bad. Not like the President nor the State House wants him around for guidance on border conflict nor ensuring the micro-loans are properly made for a part of the population.

Bebe Cool is only a useful fool for the President. A modern day Jester, who thinks highly of himself. But he will bury his own career and his own misery on the final day of judgement. The day the President doesn’t need him or the Presidency is finally over. Some of songs might be played, but he will nothing vibrant in the public to say. His now bound by the Court of the President, the day his not needed there. He will be left behind.

Not that Bebe Cool is thinking of that, because he thinks this last forever. Like so many others think. Even if the President is at advanced age. Still, it will not last forever, even if the President want his son to carry mantle, when he stops breathing. There is nothing in the cards, that Bebe Cool needs to be jumping around when Muhoozi gets the crown. If he even will be crowned, as the people are tired of Musevenism and needs other leaders to get somewhere.

Bebe Cool might think his a juggernaut, but his just a foot-soldier whose sacrifices will not be paid. Just like many of the peasants who feed the NRA, but never got any of the spoils. That is a reality the Bebe’s of the world doesn’t want to hear. As he wants to be King, but is only the fool. Peace.

Bank of Uganda: Monetary Policy Statement for October 2019 (07.10.2019)

Uganda: Fresh report states that the debt-service has grown 129% within one financial year!

 

The Republic of Uganda’s economy is really reeling, it cannot be sustainable as the Government of Uganda is growing their debt like there is no tomorrow. While the fiscal growth is substantially lower than their rate of debt-service. As the growth of debt combined with lacking growth to substantiate the shortfall.

In addition, with the knowledge of added expenses, growing shortfall of funds in the upcoming Financial Year of 2019/20 and the election year of FY 2020/21. There will be more add-ons on the need for debt service, as the state already had loans outstanding, which the grace period ends and the debt-service begins on. Therefore, the amount of loans will transpire even more, than what is in this report. The endless cycle of debt and growth of it, is worrying, as well, as the state thinks that the magical wand of oil-money will clear this debt. Even as the first operational oil field and such has been postponed yet again.

Just look!

“The total Government of Uganda external debt service by end of FY 2017/18 amounted to US$275.75 million, which was an increment of l29% compared to US$120.62 million in FY 2016/17” (…) “Debt service of Uganda’s external debt is on the rise and outstripping growth of the country’s income, currently at 6%. This poses risks for future debt repayments, especially as the country continues to acquire external debt at less concessional terms, especially to finance the oil development programme” (P: 6-7, 2019)

“It follows that as interest rates increase, the debt service obligations of Government also increases. The rise in external debt interest costs attests to the fact the government is increasingly contracting non-concessional debt, which will increase the repayment burden” (P: 24, 2019)

“However, this may not be the most likely scenario, as most projects have been discounted and some excluded in the macroeconomic framework. With the development of the NDP III, additional project and other pipeline project related to the oil developments and other infrastructure, will increase the financing requirement of government in the medium term. The inclusion of the above projects will re-classify Uganda from low risk of debt distress to moderate risk of debt distress or high risk if the export shocks materialize. A downgrade would have significant implications for the program with the IMF, where Uganda’s credit risk rating will worsen; implying that accessibility of nonconcessional financing will be limited. This will limit credit to Uganda to only concessional and grants financing.” (P: 28, 2019)

You don’t need to smart about it, as the state has bigger budgets with higher shortfall in the economy, combined with debt service and higher interest payments on the growing amount of loans. You know sooner or later, the economy will tank, as the fiscal responsibility is taken for granted and that fresh funds are lacking, because these are taken out of the economy to finance the payments of the old debts. Instead of generating growth and actually naturally grow the economy, by spending and investing as a state. The money is taken away to service debt, instead of building the state. That is what they are doing and at a alarming rate. Peace.

Reference:

NEC1-19 – ‘REPORT OF THE COMMITTEE ON NATIONAL ECONOMY ON THE STATE OF INDEBTEDNESS, GRANTS AND GUARANTEES’ June 2019, Parliament of Uganda

Opinion: The regime will sell Muhoozi like his a divine intervention to save mankind!

It is these days as it is more evident that President Museveni is planning to have Major General Kainerugba Muhoozi as his successor. It is seemingly so, that is why all the detractors pin-pointing it getting in fire or arrested. They are all annoying the President and his “secret” plan, which has been unleashed on the in April 2013.

It isn’t a secret, it isn’t even a smart or wise plan. They are just trying to deflect from the matter, that the Republic isn’t a Kingdom and there is no natural succession from father to son in the public office. Even if the person in question was the wisest or the eligible candidate to take over from his father.

Nevertheless, they will point out to his military career, his place as presidential advisor and the time as the leader of Special Force Command (SFC). This is the terms that he has plus the intimidate knowledge of his heritage and family connection to His Excellency. That is why this is hypocritical.

This is why the question of him taking being sold so hard. While other candidates now like Robert Kyagulanyi aka Bobi Wine is criticised for his every move, both yesterday and today. He cannot do anything right in the eyes of the Movement and handlers around the President. While his son is the divine creature, the second coming of Jesus and the one speaking like an angle to all mankind.

We have seen this before, everyone trying to succumb and beat Museveni has been thrown into a dungeon, have been beaten and crushed. They have all had flaws and not deemed fit. Surely, similar fashion was said about him before he took power. If it wasn’t for his private army of 5000 men in late 1980 nor the continues battle for supremacy until 1986. This presidency wouldn’t have appeared.

However, it is and now the NRM and Museveni is trying to sell Muhoozi as a viable, as the ONE. The next generation saviour and unique leader to takeover from the old-man with the hat. Like his so special and grand, that everyone else has to step aside. Because, no one, in the republic have the ability or the craftsmanship to takeover from Museveni.

This is really rich-talk and its really become pointless over the years. There been several of candidates whose aspired to takeover in peaceful transition without weapons. None of them has succeeded, because the President wouldn’t let them or wouldn’t step down himself. He would rig himself, intimidate the public and use all the machinery of state to stay in power. That is the sort of the President is today.

That is why to save his own skin and not get repercussions later, he will be saved if a family member takeover. He will not face justice or rule of law, if the son takes over. No, he will not charge the man of deaths, missing people or torturing of dissidents. No, he will let that go and let bygones, be bygones.

This the key reason why Muhoozi is the saviour, the saving grace and man of mercy, because he will in the end: save his father. Not that the old man will say that, because that hurts his pride. But in reality, even him and his closest associates knows that. That is why suddenly, Muhoozi having interviews, people friendly to the regime is talking him up and saying he has a right. That his is eligible and fit person to run the Republic. Not that any of these would write this about Besigye, Bobi Wine, Ssesemogerere, Mao, Otunnu or Mbabazi. None of them has what Muhoozi, none of them.

Even if several of them has been in the bush. Fought the magnificent salvation war that gave way to Museveni. Even if they have been ministers, been men of confidence and of honour in cabinet and in parliament. They still would never have the skill-set, the perfect attire or the approach that the NRM nor Museveni saw fit. However, his son is the finest specimen.

His the latest offering from the fountain of honour, from the head of state and commander-in-chief, there is no underlying factor to why he cannot run the state. That is if you only listens to the good folks and pro-Museveni tribe in certain sets of society. Than, there is no one smiling smoother, who talks and have a clearer mind, then the son of the President. This is just the way they are and how they see things.

We know now, that they will sell him like a divine intervention, like the savour and the only hope Post-Museveni, but that isn’t true? In a republic like Uganda there are plenty who could takeover and run the Republic. Even better than its run today, just they are blocked or intimidated to step up. Because there is risks stepping up against the king and his court. You will meet the authorities and pay for your actions. Since, no one is supposed to do that. Especially, questioning the abilities of the divine creator called Muhoozi. Peace.

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