Surprise, Surprise, not really though, but for someone this will be insights into an open field May-Day, and we are not talking strong and stable Conservative Party government. No, we are talking May Day, as in all aboard a ship sailing in stormy waters without any significant captain into the abyss. Theresa May, if she goes for the No-Deal with the European Union, she is risking a lot and will not gain much for the Kingdom, except for keeping the Brexiteers on her side and if that is worth it is another bargain.
Today, the European Commission published ‘Preparing for the withdrawal of the United Kingdom from the European Union on 30 March 2019’, which is various amount of document saying what will happen, other than the notices of withdrawal, which they have made for all types industries and stakeholders within the Union. Today, they have unleashed documents showing possible outcomes if the negotiations fails.
What is most striking was ‘Main consequences of scenario 2: withdrawal on 30 March 2019 without a withdrawal agreement’, where the arch nemesis of possible soft transition from being a member state to become a third country to Union appear. The results are devastating at least and at best a big blow to everyone who thought it would be genuine good idea to do it in that way.
First assessment as a third country, the EU Laws Cease to apply in the United Kingdom, which is cool in itself and gives, added freedom as a sovereign. The rocks starts to hit the boat, when the second assessment hits, that is “Citizens: There would be no specific arrangement in place for EU citizens in the United Kingdom, or for UK citizens in the European Union”. Meaning, there are no plan or any legal framework for how to take of or, if the UK citizens in the EU has to leave or the EU citizens has to leave as well. This is putting many lives of expats into limbo in the EU, but also in the UK.
The Third assessment by the EU concerning a no deal is: “The European Union must apply its regulation and tariffs at borders with the United Kingdom as a third country, including checks and controls for customs, sanitary and phytosanitary standards and verification of compliance with EU norms. Transport between the United Kingdom and the European Union would be severely impacted. Customs, sanitary and phytosanitary controls at borders could cause significant delays, e.g. in road transport, and difficulties for ports”. Therefore, it is not like this will frictionless either, the EU will with all means put up a hard-border with checkpoints, to secure the transit of goods, it will be like in the past and the duty on goods will appear. The goods will be going through a massive check compared today and prolong the travel-time of the goods going into the Union. In addition, it will also be more costly, be more time consuming and add costs to the consumers, as the taxes on the products will come in the aftermath too.
The Fourth assessment: “Trade and regulatory issues: The United Kingdom becomes a third country whose relations with the European Union would be governed by general international public law, including rules of the World Trade Organisation. In particular, in heavily regulated sectors, this would represent a significant drawback compared to the current level of market integration”. This is yet another blowback, as the financial businesses and banking industry, will be left behind, not only the goods transiting to the Union, but all business will be left with WTO rules and tariffs as a third country, they will not have specialized agreements or securing trade between the Union and UK. This will surely hit industry, financial inclusion and all other cross-border businesses there are today between the parties, this will surely be costly and make it less accessible for Union Companies to access UK and vice versa.
The fifth assessment: “Negotiations with the United Kingdom: Depending on the circumstances leading to the withdrawal without an agreement, the EU may wish to enter into negotiations with the United Kingdom as a third country”. This is implying that the UK will have to configure their deals with Union and will come as a third country into negotiations, as they are outside and will not have benefits of previous membership. This meaning that they will come to Brussels as an outsider. They are really left with nothing and will start fresh negotiations without any pre-empty strikes or significant advantage, as they are not involved internally within the Union or based on the principals of the Union as whole.
The sixth assessment: “EU funding: UK entities would cease to be eligible as Union entities for the purpose of receiving EU grants and participating in EU procurement procedures. Unless otherwise provided for by the legal provisions in force, candidates or tenderers from the United Kingdom could be rejected”. This is showing the first cuts of funding and spending directly as a third country, as the Union funding and grants dries up. Therefore, the programs and the sudden closure of these will hit the UK. The collective spending on UK will stop and this will be costly for the UK. The UK will also not pay into these funds as a Member State, but will lose vital parts by the end of the membership.
Therefore, nothing good comes out of the no-deal. No securities of the citizens, goods will hectic and time consuming, the borders will be hard and the transit will take more time, the WTO laws put into effect and the trade regulations of free movement without tariffs will be gone, also trade in general across borders will be stifled. The final negotiations will be in another narrative, than today as the measures will be for a third country and not former member. The last issue that funding will cease, as much as the legal framework of the Union will stop too. There are little good news in this, other than becoming a sovereign, but all alone, which loose the benefits of today and have to pay a lot to gain anything positive in the future. Which is all but uncertain, the EU puts barriers, but as their protocol for a third country, the Tories cannot pick and mix. Even as they are putting legislation in, who knows how this will hit.
But this should be a reality check for those who says “No-Deal” is a no problem, because the EU certainly have protocols they will follow and the consequences are dire. Peace.
You would think high-ranking officials, Members of Parliament and other dignitaries like Lords would be careful about campaign laws before the Referendum in 2016. These Brexit elections has really shown how shoddy British politics can be. Especially, when the Tories own MPs are mishandling and misusing the public trust. This being Vote Leave and BeLeave, who at one point shared offices, while using Cambridge Analytica (CA) and Aggregate IQ (AIQ) for collecting public data to hit the electorate. They even have collected same program from the get-go and only had different heads as leaders. While Matthew Elliott and Dominic Cummings ran Vote Leave, BeLeave was run by Darren Grimes. However, the Vote Leave team had massive suction with the politicians. As proven by their committee lists. See under!
Vote Leave Campaign Committee:
Rt Hon Michael Gove MP (Co-Convener)
Rt Hon Gisela Stuart MP (Co-Convener)
Matthew Elliott (Chief Executive)
Dominic Cummings (Campaign Director)
Steve Baker MP
Nigel Dodds MP
Rt Hon Iain Duncan Smith MP
Rt Hon Frank Field MP
Rt Hon Liam Fox MP
Rt Hon Chris Grayling MP
Dan Hannan MEP
Boris Johnson MP
Andrea Leadsom MP
Rt Hon Priti Patel MP
Dominic Raab MP
Graham Stringer MP
Rt Hon Theresa Villiers MP
Rt Hon John Whittingdale MP
(These names are copied directly from the Vote Leave Page: http://www.voteleavetakecontrol.org/campaign.html).
That the mix-match of both organizations funding and operations, shows the disgraceful attempt to trick electorate for a purpose. What is worse is the level of high ranking officials, even cabinet members, whose been in the Campaign Committee of the Vote Leave, that was in-directly and working closely.
That the Electoral Commission are finding not only breaches of economic fashion, but also into others shows what they have attempted to do. This should not be a shadow of doubt. You know they have done some serious errors and misuse of electoral laws, when the EC are transferring their findings to London Metropolitan Police while filing finds to the campaigners two years after the effect. This proves the dire need for reform and change, as these campaigners misused the public trust and tricked the population.
Fair Vote report it like this: “The whistleblower evidence suggests Vote Leave coordinated their work with BeLeave and AIQ, the company closely linked to now disgraced Cambridge Analytica. BeLeave team members sought approval for activities, BeLeave team members and AIQ staff worked from Vote Leave headquarters and BeLeave team members took part in Vote Leave campaigning activities”. The Whistleblower being Shamir Sanni, who worked within the campaigns in 2016. Therefore, the proof of the manner of operations, isn’t only the breeches of funding and capacity these organizations did, but the deliberate activity to use different campaigns and organizations under one roof to spread the message. As well, as the use of AIQ and Cambridge Analytica. However, this sort of allegations and whistleblowing was not important in the case documents and report from the EC delivered yesterday, which is mind-blowing.
This sort of thing is insulting, that they did this deliberately and used the public trust. Not only with spending, but being so murky with their campaigns, that they are using two fronts, one with politicians and another supposed to be grass-root, but clearly controlled by the big-one. This is all a play of guards.
The fine from the Electoral Commission is bad enough, but the idea itself and that the these politicians have been apart of this sort of operations is making it worse. That they have the nerve to do this ploy and think they can get away it. This should really make the British blood boil over of anger and dismay, that the people could be fooled like this.
Hopefully the Metropolitan Police can take it further and also use the whistleblowers like Shamir Sanni and Christopher Wylie to uncover certain truths. So that the organizations and people behind this can answer for their crimes. Not only pay a mediocre fine and get scotch-free. Peace.
“Terrorism and deception are weapons not of the strong, but of the weak.” – Mahatma Gandhi
President Donald Trump should be told he is totally wrong and doesn’t have the intelligence to understand or comprehend the ramifications of his acts. As the Lord Mayor Sadiq Khan was responsible and making sure with the proper authorities that the terror-attacks in London Bridge and at the Borough Market. It is insane that he slammed the mayor for his statement and his response to the attacks in his own city. It shows that the President of United States are underestimating his acts and his own judgment of the situation. Surely, he is busy watching Fox News or Infowars to get the daily American propaganda. While the authorities in the land of the terror are working heavily on the investigations into the terrorist and their associates. Therefore, read first the mayors statement, before you the Metropolitan Police statement, before the tweet of President Trump, which shows what state of affairs it is at the White House for the moment!
Lord Mayor of Sadiq Khan statement on the terror attacks in London Bridge and Borough Market:
“There are no words to describe the grief and anger that our city is feeling this morning. Tragically, seven people have been killed in this sickening attack, and more than 40 injured, some of them critically. I am appalled and furious that these twisted and cowardly terrorists deliberately targeted innocent Londoners and visitors to our city who were just enjoying their Saturday night. I condemn these terrorists in the strongest possible terms. They are barbaric cowards and there is absolutely no justification for their evil and unforgivable actions. My thoughts are with the family and friends of the victims and everyone caught up in this horrific attack. I’d like to thank our emergency services who bravely tackled the terrorists and helped the injured. I’ve been in close contact with the Met Police Commissioner and senior officers throughout the night and will be attending the government’s COBRA security meeting. I’d urge all Londoners to remain calm and vigilant today and over the days ahead. We are all shocked and angry today but this is our city – we will never let these cowards win and we will never be cowed by terrorism.” (Mayor Sadiq Khan, 04.06.2017).
Statement by Assistance Commissioner Mark Rowley on the attacks in London Bridge and Borough Market:
“You will understand that our knowledge of the incident is still growing but what we understand at the present time is: At 22:08hrs yesterday evening we began to receive reports that a vehicle had struck pedestrians on London Bridge. The vehicle continued to drive from London Bridge to Borough Market. The suspects then left the vehicle and a number of people were stabbed, including an on-duty British Transport Police officer who was responding to the incident at London Bridge. He received serious but not life-threatening injuries. His family has been informed. Armed officers responded very quickly and bravely, confronting three male suspects who were shot and killed in Borough Market. The suspects had been confronted and shot by the police within eight minutes of the first call. The suspects were wearing what looked like explosive vests but these were later established to be hoaxes” (…) “The ongoing operation is led by the Met, working closely with British Transport Police, City of London Police, the London Ambulance Service and the London Fire Brigade. At this stage, we believe that six people have died in addition to the three attackers shot dead by police. And at least 20 casualties have been taken to six hospitals across London. I’d like to repeat our request for the public to avoid the following areas: London Bridge and Borough Market. This is to allow emergency services to deal with this incident” (Metropolitan Police Assistance Commissioner Mark Rowley, 04.06.2017).
President Trump statement on the attacks:
“At least 7 dead and 48 wounded in terror attack and Mayor of London says there is “no reason to be alarmed!” – President Donald J. Trump (on Twitter 04.06.2017).
So President Trump has an issue with authorities that are capable to react within 8 minutes of the incident at London Bridge. That is a disgrace of a man who leads the Republic of United States. That he cannot see the greatness of reactions to the Metropolitan Police and the other Security Organizations that the United Kingdom posses. That each single victim is one to many and the innocent who lost both their lives and the ones got hurt by the terrorist is just worth condemning the men who did this. That someone are going in and attacking innocent civilians having a fun-time out during the weekend in London.
With this in mind that Mayor Khan says: “I am appalled and furious that these twisted and cowardly terrorists deliberately targeted innocent Londoners and visitors to our city who were just enjoying their Saturday night. I condemn these terrorists in the strongest possible terms. They are barbaric cowards and there is absolutely no justification for their evil and unforgivable actions. My thoughts are with the family and friends of the victims and everyone caught up in this horrific attack”. That is a reasonable way to react to the terrorist attack, as he address it as it is, while saying there is “no justification”. Therefore, with just this quote he shows decency in the midst of the aftermath of the attack. While President Trump uses the same violent attack on innocent civilians saying “no reason to be alarmed”. Well, Mr. President, the authorities used 8 minutes to stop it!
I know someone should educate President Trump, but that train is long far gone. Since he has no-heart and no common sense. We should pray for London and continue to live like before. Not let the terrorist stop our daily lives. Than we are letting them win and spread there fear. Like the fear that President Trump wants to earn points on. But on this one, he should get some education as he is wrong and he should spread the message of hope and give props to the authorities who acted swift and continues to investigate the attacks and their associates. So the Police and other authorities can continue their good work. Peace.