Joint Communique Issued after Bilateral talks betwen H.E. Mohamed Abdullahi Mohamed ‘Farmaajo’, President of the Federal Republic of Somalia and H.E. (Dr.) Abiy Ahmed Ali, Prime Minister of the Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia on the Occasion of the Official Visit to Somalia (16.06.2018)

 

Ethiopia: TPLF retaliates to the EPRDF Executive Council decision on the Algiers Agreement!

The Tigray People’s Liberation Front has retaliated towards the Ethiopian People’s Revolutionary Defence Front (EPRDF) Executive Council and their wanting to respect the Algiers Agreement with the Eritrean brothers on their borders and the territory squabble. That has lasted and is why the two parties have been fighting over territory. The TPLF are really ruling the show and shown that over time, but isn’t accepting the provisions of the Executive Committee, that means the possible points from there is pointless. The TPLF and the Tigrai clearly want to have total control. They are not accepting that others are making decisions and changing the possible future. That is why these news are coming and in the future.

The TPLF are clearly reacting quickly, as this happen in the beginning of June and now in Mid-June in the first meeting of the TPLF, they are retaliating to the decisions made. The EPRDF will be guided by the TPLF, therefore, these results will be final. As they are not accepting anyone else. The Woyane has usually gotten their will in the coalition, as they have the major positions, while the other has technical and more soft places in the hierarchy.

From FANA BC:

Addis Ababa, June 14, 2018 (FBC) – The Central Committee of the Tigray People’s Libration Font (TPLF) concluded its emergency meeting yesterday. The three-day meeting held 10-15 June, 2018 mainly deliberated on the recent decision of Executive Committee of the Ethiopian People’s Revolutionary Democratic Front (EPRDF). In its meeting last week, the Executive Committee decided to accept and implement the Algiers Agreement and privatize state-owned enterprises. In a statement issued yesterday, the Front said that it accepts both decisions taken by the Executive Committee. However, it said, precautions should be made in the implementations of the decisions. It further said the move lacks completeness since both decisions were taken without the consultation of the EPRDF Council and affiliate parties. TPLF finally called for urgent meeting of EPRDF’s Executive Committee and Council to look into and evaluate current affairs” (FANA Broadcasting Company- ‘TPLF concludes emergency meeting’, 14.06.2018).

From Tigrai Online:

If the current EPRDF government is contemplating to surrender the disputed Ethiopian territories which are part of the Tigrai State, it will lose more than a few patches of lands, it will be digging its own grave as a political party in Ethiopia. First the people will not allow such treasonous action to take place. Second any uncalculated hasty decision will create a huge rift among member parties. EPRDF might even split in two or more groups permanently and that would be a disaster for the party and the country” (Tigrai Online – ‘EPRDF Executive Committee decision regarding the Algiers agreement rejected by majority Ethiopians’ 14.06.2018).

This here shows the problem in the Ethiopian politics at the moment. The power of the TPLF and how they are seemingly controlling the EPRDF and the ethnic politics in Ethiopia. This here is taking it to a tee. The battle of supremacy shouldn’t need to be there, as the TPLF should be a part of the whole nation to work for progress and development. They should co-operate with all the other political groups and make good solutions for Ethiopia. Instead, they are preoccupied with controlling the political scene and the nation itself.

That is why the TPLF decision to scrap the Executive Committee agreements and the plans ahead. Proves that the Prime Minister is being stopped from progression. The TPLF don’t want to move forward. But continue to have the total control. Peace.

Opinion: Could Meles Zenawi’s 5 Point Plan be the solution for the border dispute between Ethiopia and Eritrea?

The most fundamental problem is not that we don’t have a system to run but those with knowledge are cynically manipulating the system for petty personal desires.”Nilantha Ilangamuwa

The late Meles Zenawi, wrote a small 5 Point Plan in 2004, which he delivered to in a letter to the United Nations. This back dates to 25th November 2004. Since yesterday, the Ethiopian People’s Revolutionary Defence Force (EPRDF) was talking again about respecting the Algiers Agreement of 2000. Which states that certain colonial boarders should be respected and meaning that Ethiopia should pull back their forces from the contested territories.

But if the Council of Ministers, the Executive Committee of the EPRDF are serious about the news of respecting and following the Algiers Agreement. That means movement of troops and stop the time of certain annex land, which Eritrea claims as theirs.

However, to that smooth after all the transgressions, prolonged skirmishes and distrust between the brother-lands, the Eritrean and Ethiopian counterparts could maybe use some of the wise words of Zenawi. Who made a formula, that could be useful today. It is 14 years since he wrote it and sent his preposition to the UN. Still, the words can still carry its weight.

Has hereby adopted the following five-point peace proposal.

1. Resolve the dispute between Ethiopia and Eritrea only and only through peaceful means.

2. Resolve the root causes of the conflict through dialogue with the view to normalizing relations between the two countries.

3. Ethiopia accepts, in principle, the Ethiopia-Eritrea Boundary Commission decision.

4. Ethiopia agrees to pay its dues to the Ethiopia-Eritrea Boundary Commission and to appoint field liaison officers.

5. Start dialogue immediately with the view to implementing the Ethiopia-Eritrea Boundary Commission’s decision in a manner consistent with the promotion of sustainable peace and brotherly ties between the two peoples” (Meles Zenawi, 24.11.2004).

This here would put them all at the table and be sincere, as a closure of the pro-longed conflict. The long standing issues between the nations. That would be healthy, as the state would resolve the matter in a peaceful manner and conduct it with some finesse. No one loses with sort arrangement. It will would be helpful, as the distrust between them are there. Both parties has reasons for it, as ever since the agreement and agreed boundaries. Both parties has taken to arms now and then. That is why the ideas of Zenawi might make sense. So that the nations can settle it and actually respect each.

That is needed, especially if this isn’t another PR Stunt from the EPRDF. Then they need to take the positive steps and show signs of improvement. Also, actually talk with the Eritrean counterparts. If not, this is all just a mess. To try to gain sympathy for a positive cause. That would be really disgraceful. Peace.

EPRDF leak that the TPLF is shaken by Dr. Abiy Ahmed as PM: It doesn’t make sense!

Today I read something that boggled my mind. It didn’t make, sense because this counter everything we known about the Ethiopian Peoples’ Revolutionary Defence Force (EPRDF), a political coalition made by the Tigray People’s Liberation Party and their allies. To forge ethnic parties in Ethiopia, but at the same time keep the power at the center. Meaning the TPLF is the ones that is the strongest and in control. Therefore, it is hard to believe reading this, that the other parties are suddenly crossing their feathers. That just puzzles me, but then again. I didn’t drop the dossier on social media. Someone else did.

The EPRDF establishment is no doubt shaken by the sudden turn of events and faces a changing party. TPLF chairman has already expressed his displeasure with multiple issues, inc. release of certain prisoners and PM Abiy’s speech in Ambo where he thanked the Oromo youth—Qeerroo” (…) “EPRDF’s democratic centralism means the PM and his side (inc. Lemma, Demeke and Gedu Andargachew) will face deep criticism (Gimgema in Amharic). The TPLF chief has said the process that led to Abiy’s election was outside the norm of Revolutionary Democracy. Mistrust is rife” (…) “TPLFites say OPDO is flaunting party culture by not strictly adhering to revolutionary democacy and democratic centralism. The forced retirement of TPLF old guard has become a sore issue. TPLF boss has questioned the wisdom of replacing party elders who did not wish to retire” (…) “Other issues likely to be deliberated upon at the Exec committee meeting: The continued displacement of Amhara civilians from Oromia and Benishangul; Abdi Illey and the Liyu Police onslaught in Eastern Oromia. The EPRDF bosses will also outline plans for party Congress in August” (Mohammed Ademo, 05.06.2018).

That TPLF are saying this seems like drama. Seems like away of playing to the gallery. Have a hard time believing they feel sidelined. If they did, then Dr. Abiy Ahmed should really replace hardliners from TPLF. I don’t think he dares. He wouldn’t do that, he knows the party organizations, he knows the play. This is shadow play.

This is just making a fuzz, the TPLF will continue to control. They just don’t like that Dr. Abiy went outside their parameter and took them off guard. They want a puppet, they want someone who is like Hailemariam Desalegne. Who can be muffled and controlled. A full fledged puppeteer, who will whisk every time they need it and cheer when they need that too. Because the TPLF will not be questioned. The TPLF need their rights and their basic principals. Since everyone else in the “alliance” is there because of them. They are created and elevated because of them.

We know that there is some parts who are struggling with the new PM as this was written recently: “The new Ethiopian prime minister is doing too much and too fast probably he is eager to please everyone in all sides. Prime Minister Abiy’s actions for the first weeks after he took office must have been exiting for many Ethiopians, however as time goes on the euphoria that swept across Ethiopia is fading faster than morning fog” (Tigrai Online – ‘Lift the state of emergency in Ethiopia, and lose the country’ 02.06.2018).

Clearly, he is doing something to piss them off. He speaks in away they are not used. They cannot manage that everyone is not following the program. Everyone is supposed to follow the program. Even the PM. Because that is the way of TPLF. They are just using the EPRDF coalition as a front. That is known. That is why I wonder about this leak and for what purpose. Seems like they are trying to forge issues. When there is most likely not. As they really made other plans or PR stunts later in the day. Peace.

Ethiopia: Council of Ministers approved to draft law to lift the SOE, but will it make big difference?

When one with honeyed words but evil mind

Persuades the mob, great woes befall the state.” Euripides

As things are standing in Ethiopia there are minor changes in the ways it is perceived, this mostly because of how the new Prime Minister is carrying himself. This being Dr. Abiy Ahmed whose been all around and visiting all parts of the Republic. However, there been continued oppression, detaining and killings during his tenure in the regions where the State of Emergency has hit the hardest. This being in Oromia, Somalia Region and Amhara. All of these areas has been hit hard by the State of Emergency, where the police and military, the Aghazi Squad has attacked civilians and killed too.

Addis Ababa, June 2, 2018 (FBC) – The Council of Ministers in its today’s regular meeting approved a draft law that lifts the State of Emergency. The draft will be sent to the House of People’s Representatives (HPR) for consideration. The Council noted that law and order has been restored. Ethiopia declared a six-month State of Emergency on February 16, 2018” (Fana Broadcasting Company – ‘Council of Ministers approves draft bill to lift State of Emergency’ 02.06.2018).

Therefore I am reluctant about this move, as long as the Ethiopian People’s Revolutionary Defence Force (EPRDF) is in power and using their methods. I wonder what is their safeguard and their next move, as they have done everything they can to silence dissidents. This being silencing phone-lines, blocking internet, stopping people from having sit-down strikes and generally banning all possible protests. While making activists, writers and everyone involved in these matters into criminals. Even as they fight for liberty and justice over their own. The EPRDF comes with the military as a hostile takeover and takes control. Instead of being in dialogue. That is what the State of Emergency and the provisions of the Commando Post is all about.

There is no reflection or anything saying that they will really change, the SOE now was really to stall for time. The demonstrations and the protest spirit is not gone, there are still lingering thousands upon thousands in jail. Even as high-profiled individuals has been released. The majority is still behind bars and the lack of freedom is still there. The New PM hasn’t changed that or the laws, not tried to repeal the Anti-Terror laws, which has used to oppress civilians who protest against the EPRDF.

We can hope for change, but its still lots of the same. The powers are within the same structures, a small change in the cabinet, but the reality is that Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) is still controlling the EPRDF. The government and its institution isn’t significantly changed, even as the Prime Minister has been in talks with Oromo Opposition leaders. That is positive step, just as the possible repeal of the SOE. However, as long as no one takes responsibility of the violence, the killings and the arbitrary arrests, there will not be real changes. It will just be patches on the hurt, but when the wounds are evident. The flair and the flames will start again, because no one acted upon the hurt. That should be the vision of the EPRDF, to take responsibility and charge itself. If they are real about the damage and hurt it has given over the years. Not just walk away because your in power.

Who knows if they within a months time repeal the SOE, will they do it again if the Queerro are starting to block the roads and stop businesses from moving goods from Djibouti to Addis. Will the army and the police accept that? As the TPLF and EPRDF will lose foreign exchange on it and also possible profits from doing so. Will they accept that the Amhara are also closing the roads into the capital. Would they accept it, as they are not listened to or even considered. As long as the government are caring about themselves. That is the reality.

This is a positive step, but if it is not followed up by more heartfelt measures, the reality will hit the fan and the possible violence will appear, because the government haven’t shown another side or character. Peace.

Somalia: Puntland – Oppression in Las Anod (30.05.2018)

Communique on the meeting between the Chairperson of the African Union Commission and the Prime Minister of Somalia (27.05.2018)

Somalia: Somaliland letter to Ethiopian PM Dr. Abiy Ahmed asked to mediate between Somaliland and Puntland (15.05.3028)

Somalia: Puntland – Statement in Response to Falsehoods by the Secessionist Entity of Somaliland (18.05.2018)

Opinion: Is the launch of Somali Shillings (SOS) – A IMF sponsored Bond-Notes?

“S-O-S, please someone help me

It’s not healthy for me to feel this

Y-O-U are making this hard”Rihanna on ‘SOS’ released 14. February 2006

This is what it seems like, it doesn’t seem like economic viable effort or worth enterprise, when the International Monetary Fund (IMF) needs to loan and get donor aid valued $41 million United States Dollars, it seems more like quick rich scheme, than anything else. Borrowing funds to print currency never seems like a good idea, especially when the state has itself 300 external stakeholders keeping this in order and fragile alliances all over. You can wonder who will benefit from the Somali Shillings (SoS).

Out of the measure of doing so, 26 million will go to procurement and printing the shillings, the 4 denominations they are put in. This all is done in measure against counterfeit, but nearly none of the loaned or donor-funded money will go to that, only 0.06 million US Dollars. Meaning a measly and insignificant amount money will actually go to stop the counterfeit currency floating around.

That is why I am suspicious, if they are just thinking of printing them, and dropping them in the markets in Mogadishu, how will this benefit the citizens and the Federal Republic itself?

Because it seems like another piece of Bond-Notes, where the funding of the enterprise is bound on foreign currency and foreign bound loans, which makes it an extra debt on the state. As the IMF is co-sponsor and the one behind the enterprise, they are securing as a foreign entity, the national and federal currency. Which happens to be SOS. All of that should send the smoke-signals and the tapping on the floor. Send the signal “SOS”.

Because they state: “This letter provides IMF staff’s assessment on the readiness of the Central Bank of Somalia (CBS) to issue a new national currency under Phase I which will be limited to exchanging the counterfeit Somali shilling notes currently in circulation with new currency” (IMF, 11.05.2018). That is why I question it too, since so little of the funding for the project goes to counterfeit operations, will it be successful? Do they think the magic wand of new paper-money will compensate for the one that is counterfeit right now? How will they go about the exchange from old to new, and will they do that with all currency or will they accept the old-counterfeit to get rid off all fake currency floating around?

Seemingly, it seems like borrowing more money, to print a new line of SOS, which is an SOS to the world. Also, where the IMF needs a huge sum of money, to procure and print them, while the state only get scraps and no direct plan to really eradicate the counterfeits. Because they are only putting up a Counterfeiting Framework, but not initially working against it. Meaning, it is just borrowing and printing new shillings, without any purpose of actually combatting the problem itself. Which is rare thing to do.

Let see how this goes, but I hope this is not a IMF sponsored Bond-Notes project, because that is how it seems like, borrowing funds and donor funding to get new currency floating. Not a good idea, more issues as I see it. That is just me though. Peace