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Archive for the tag “Great Britian”

The Hypocrisy of Theresa May: Could gamble a snap election for personal gain, but not a Brexit referendum 2.0?

Just as the Conservative won a majority in the General Election of 2015, as David Cameron stepped down has his gamble on the Brexit Referendum in 2016. That is when the battle for the leadership of the Conservative government happen. Which was won by Theresa May, who has since been the Prime Minister and has put all her stakes in the basket of Brexit. Without delivering anything promising or anything positive for the future. The British and the Her Majesty’s Government haven’t become stronger, as she had a moment of clarity while on a trip in Wales in 2017, which lead to a snap-election the same year. That she called just two years into the term of the Representatives at the Parliament. However, she lost her majority on the 8th June 2017 election, which made a coalition with the Northern Irish Political Party – Democratic Unionist Party (DUP). Therefore, what she called out today, is hypocrisy!

Let me show you briefly, because she is back-tracking and misusing words… as she could call an election for possible gains of her party, which would help the Conservative in the negotiations with the European Union as they we’re withdrawing. However, that back-fired. That is why she will not call an election now. As she is afraid of losing for a second time in two years.

May had a moment of clarity in 2017:

Asked in an interview with ITV News later if there was a ‘moment’ when she changed her mind, Mrs May said: ‘As we were going through the Article 50 process the opposition attempts to jeopardise or frustrate the process in future became clearer. ‘Before Easter I spent a few days walking in Wales with my husband and thought about this long and hard. ‘I came to the decision that to provide that stability and certainty for the future this was the way to do it, to have an election. ‘I trust the British people’” (Daily Mail – ‘How only a handful of Cabinet colleagues knew about May’s June 8th election bombshell – after she reached ‘moment of clarity’ during holiday in Wales’ 18.04.2017, link: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4420886/Theresa-calls-General-Election-June-8.html).

Call the same a betrayal in 2018:

But the PM adds: “We would get through it and go on to thrive.” She goes on to insist in her article that her government will not back another vote. “In the summer of 2016, millions came out to have their say,” she writes. “In many cases for the first time in decades, they trusted that their vote would count; that after years of feeling ignored by politics, their voices would be heard. “To ask the question all over again would be a gross betrayal of our democracy – and a betrayal of that trust.” (BBC News – ‘Brexit: May vows no compromise with EU on Brexit plan’ 02.09.2018, link: https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-45385421).

I have a hard time to take her seriously, as she could call a General Elections after her takeover and lose majority in 2017, as the Brexit loomed on the Tories. Now, that the negotiations are going badly and the deals are becoming more damaging to the United Kingdom. Therefore, people are seeing the stats and reality of not being a member-state and the possible hardships of being outside. Now she wants the public to be respected, but their will wasn’t that endangered when she promised a strong and stable government in 2017, as she wanted to add majority on the David Cameron victory of 2015. However, that back-fired as we know.

That is why I have a hard time seeing the betrayal of the British people, when she has already called for snap-election herself, only months into her role as Prime Minister post-Cameron. Now, she is in a pickle and worried about the possible result. Than, it is an issue to call a new election or new polls. That is double standard. She will only call election when she thinks her party and her role can benefit. But not what is the best for the British in total. That is political back-stabbing to the public. Brexit are looking and looming, becoming more hazardous. Instead of trying to back-peddle and secure the future, she rather risk the status and the industries as she keeps power. That will be the legacy.

She could call an election as a moment of clarity on vacation in Wales. Maybe the Tories should send her to the mountains of Wales again. So, that she could get a new moment with her husband and maybe see a more favorable outcome. She might lose the months of negotiations with Brussels and possible damage of face, but that cannot be worse than how she danced in South Africa or Kenya, anyway. We know that. She knows that. Peace.

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Brexit: Lord Adonis letter to Prime Minister Theresa May – “Northern Ireland – Urgent Action needed” (27.07.2018)

Brexit: A “No Deal” will be hurtful to the UK!

Surprise, Surprise, not really though, but for someone this will be insights into an open field May-Day, and we are not talking strong and stable Conservative Party government. No, we are talking May Day, as in all aboard a ship sailing in stormy waters without any significant captain into the abyss. Theresa May, if she goes for the No-Deal with the European Union, she is risking a lot and will not gain much for the Kingdom, except for keeping the Brexiteers on her side and if that is worth it is another bargain.

Today, the European Commission published ‘Preparing for the withdrawal of the United Kingdom from the European Union on 30 March 2019’, which is various amount of document saying what will happen, other than the notices of withdrawal, which they have made for all types industries and stakeholders within the Union. Today, they have unleashed documents showing possible outcomes if the negotiations fails.

What is most striking was ‘Main consequences of scenario 2: withdrawal on 30 March 2019 without a withdrawal agreement’, where the arch nemesis of possible soft transition from being a member state to become a third country to Union appear. The results are devastating at least and at best a big blow to everyone who thought it would be genuine good idea to do it in that way.

First assessment as a third country, the EU Laws Cease to apply in the United Kingdom, which is cool in itself and gives, added freedom as a sovereign. The rocks starts to hit the boat, when the second assessment hits, that is “Citizens: There would be no specific arrangement in place for EU citizens in the United Kingdom, or for UK citizens in the European Union”. Meaning, there are no plan or any legal framework for how to take of or, if the UK citizens in the EU has to leave or the EU citizens has to leave as well. This is putting many lives of expats into limbo in the EU, but also in the UK.

The Third assessment by the EU concerning a no deal is: “The European Union must apply its regulation and tariffs at borders with the United Kingdom as a third country, including checks and controls for customs, sanitary and phytosanitary standards and verification of compliance with EU norms. Transport between the United Kingdom and the European Union would be severely impacted. Customs, sanitary and phytosanitary controls at borders could cause significant delays, e.g. in road transport, and difficulties for ports”. Therefore, it is not like this will frictionless either, the EU will with all means put up a hard-border with checkpoints, to secure the transit of goods, it will be like in the past and the duty on goods will appear. The goods will be going through a massive check compared today and prolong the travel-time of the goods going into the Union. In addition, it will also be more costly, be more time consuming and add costs to the consumers, as the taxes on the products will come in the aftermath too.

The Fourth assessment: “Trade and regulatory issues: The United Kingdom becomes a third country whose relations with the European Union would be governed by general international public law, including rules of the World Trade Organisation. In particular, in heavily regulated sectors, this would represent a significant drawback compared to the current level of market integration”. This is yet another blowback, as the financial businesses and banking industry, will be left behind, not only the goods transiting to the Union, but all business will be left with WTO rules and tariffs as a third country, they will not have specialized agreements or securing trade between the Union and UK. This will surely hit industry, financial inclusion and all other cross-border businesses there are today between the parties, this will surely be costly and make it less accessible for Union Companies to access UK and vice versa.

The fifth assessment: “Negotiations with the United Kingdom: Depending on the circumstances leading to the withdrawal without an agreement, the EU may wish to enter into negotiations with the United Kingdom as a third country”. This is implying that the UK will have to configure their deals with Union and will come as a third country into negotiations, as they are outside and will not have benefits of previous membership. This meaning that they will come to Brussels as an outsider. They are really left with nothing and will start fresh negotiations without any pre-empty strikes or significant advantage, as they are not involved internally within the Union or based on the principals of the Union as whole.

The sixth assessment: “EU funding: UK entities would cease to be eligible as Union entities for the purpose of receiving EU grants and participating in EU procurement procedures. Unless otherwise provided for by the legal provisions in force, candidates or tenderers from the United Kingdom could be rejected”. This is showing the first cuts of funding and spending directly as a third country, as the Union funding and grants dries up. Therefore, the programs and the sudden closure of these will hit the UK. The collective spending on UK will stop and this will be costly for the UK. The UK will also not pay into these funds as a Member State, but will lose vital parts by the end of the membership.

Therefore, nothing good comes out of the no-deal. No securities of the citizens, goods will hectic and time consuming, the borders will be hard and the transit will take more time, the WTO laws put into effect and the trade regulations of free movement without tariffs will be gone, also trade in general across borders will be stifled. The final negotiations will be in another narrative, than today as the measures will be for a third country and not former member. The last issue that funding will cease, as much as the legal framework of the Union will stop too. There are little good news in this, other than becoming a sovereign, but all alone, which loose the benefits of today and have to pay a lot to gain anything positive in the future. Which is all but uncertain, the EU puts barriers, but as their protocol for a third country, the Tories cannot pick and mix. Even as they are putting legislation in, who knows how this will hit.

But this should be a reality check for those who says “No-Deal” is a no problem, because the EU certainly have protocols they will follow and the consequences are dire. Peace.

Brexit: Darren Jones MP letter to the members of House of Commons asking for a Public Inquires into the Brexit Referendum (17.07.2018)

Brexit: Scott Mann MP Resignation Letter as PPS to the Treasury (16.07.2018)

Brexit: May is still indecisive on the Customs Union!

Sometimes, I wonder if Prime Minister Theresa May is living in Hogwarts or even Wakanda. Because the reality check needs to hit and quickly. Because her recent notes on the Brexit and especially the Customs Union with the European Union doesn’t make sense. It is like she wants free-trade, but doesn’t want to follow the standards and regulations of the EU. Sorry, Prime Minister, that is not how it works. You cannot control Brussels without being a member in Brussels. You have only London from now on and have to beg to get into EU Common Market as a Third Country. That is a very simple math, but still not understood after two years by the United Kingdom and HM Government in London.

The UK people should be appalled by what she is trying to pull. It is naive and foolish. The naivete and playing the public for fools. It is brilliant, but perfectly stupid. I will take three key quotes from the note she delivered on Facebook today, before commenting on the quotes further down below them.

This means we have to have friction-free movement of goods, avoiding the need for customs and regulatory checks between the UK and the EU. And this cannot happen if products have to go through different tests for different markets, or if customs declarations have to be made at the UK/EU border” (May, 2018).

So I believe we need to come together behind our plan. As the Trade Bill returns to the Commons this week, there are some planning to vote for amendments that would tie us to a permanent Customs Union with the EU. This would be the ultimate betrayal of the Brexit vote. It would remove our ability to have an independent trade policy at all, conceding Britain’s role on the global stage as a force for free trade and endangering people’s jobs and livelihoods. This government will never stand for that” (May, 2018).

We will leave the Single Market and Customs Union, and get out of the Common Agricultural Policy and the Common Fisheries Policy. We will have that independent trade policy and a new UK-EU free trade area with a common rulebook for industrial goods and agricultural products. We will maintain high standards in keeping with our values, so we continue to promote open and fair trade. We will have that Parliamentary lock on all new rules and regulations” (May, 2018).

First: Friction-free movement movement. Second: Betrayal if the Commons vote for permanent Customs Union and third promote open and fair trade. These three things doesn’t work together. It just doesn’t, this is getting old on me. It really do.

First if she wants friction-free movement of goods, she needs to have a government following standards, procedures and protocols, labeling and basic agreements of the Customs Unions with the EU. Second, if it is problem and betrayal of the Brexit to be in the Customs Union, than you can say bye bye to friction-free movement of goods, as the tariffs and checkpoints of goods will start. The borders will be fixed for a third country and not free movement of it from the UK and neither from Ireland or France into the UK. I know that is hard for May to understand, but that is the reality if you abolish the Customs Union. Third, you can promote open and fair trade, but it will not be open if you are abolishing the Customs Union, you will be a third country and be lesser important trading partner to the EU.

The UK might feel tricked and unfair trading practices, but this is the wish of the Tories and May. The fair trade has to wait, as they cannot change the regulations from the outside and neither control the trading flow of the Union. They can do that to Cardiff and Edinburgh, but not in Dublin or Brussels. So all three points when concerning trading doesn’t make sense. Unless, she wants to be a sheep in a wolfs clothing. Than, she has pulled it off.

I am not surprised anymore, but that she still does it like this. Is amazing after two years of negotiations and two years of making provisions for the UK. She still bickers and promise both gold, silver and dog-poop at the same time.

Theresa May, how stupid do your think your citizens are? Peace.

Reference:

Theresa May – ‘I say to the British people today: I am not going to Brussels to compromise our national interest; I am going to fight for it’ 15.07.2018

Statement by the Brexit Steering Group on UK Government White paper (12.07.2018)

Statement by the Brexit Steering Group on the Chequers Statement of 6 July 2018 and on the White Paper released by the UK Government.

The European Parliament’s Brexit Steering Group (BSG), chaired by Guy Verhofstadt, met today and had an extensive exchange of views on the Chequers Statement of 6 July 2018, as well as on the White Paper just released by the UK Government.

In a first reaction, it welcomed both the Statement and the White Paper by the UK Government as a step towards establishing a new relationship between the UK and the EU once the UK is no longer a Member State.

In particular, the BSG welcomed that the UK is proposing that the future EU-UK relationship take the form of an Association Agreement. Given this has been the Parliament’s position from the very beginning the BSG agrees with this approach which would place the future EU-UK relationship in all its dimensions – economic, sectoral, security, foreign policy – on a firm footing within a coherent governance structure.

The BSG reiterated that negotiating a new relationship with the UK post-Brexit is conditional on an orderly withdrawal of the UK from the EU on the basis of a Withdrawal Agreement (WA). It reconfirmed the Parliament’s position expressed in its resolutions that it will not consent to a WA, including a transition period, without a credible “back stop” provision for the Northern Ireland/Ireland border to prevent a hard border and safeguard the integrity of the single market, faithfully reflecting the commitments entered into in the Joint Report of 8 December 2017. It urged the UK Government to clarify its positions on the “back stop” so that the WA can be finalised as quickly as possible.

Other important elements of the WA, including its governance provisions, in particular a credible dispute settlement mechanism, also still need to be agreed. Moreover, regarding the implementation of the WA, the Parliament expects a positive response to its letter to Home Secretary Sajid Javid on 3 July 2018 and especially concerning the independent authority and the smooth registration of all EU citizens.

The BSG noted that negotiations on the WA and the framework for the future relationship will continue next week. It recalled its position for the closest trade and economic partnership possible while respecting among others the principles of the non-divisibility of the four freedoms, the integrity of the single market, avoiding a sector-by-sector approach and safeguarding financial stability, the preservation of the autonomy of EU decision-making, the safeguarding of the EU legal order and the balance of rights and obligations which any future EU-UK relationship will need to respect. In this framework there will be, for example, no space for outsourcing EU‘s customs competences.

The BSG stated its readiness to provide its input to the negotiation process at any time over the coming weeks and it will carry out a further assessment of the White Paper in the coming days and weeks.

Brexit: Andrew Bridgen MP letter to Graham Brady MP – “No Confidence in the PM” (10.07.2018)

Euro Chambres: ‘UK Government Brexit White Paper: time running out for a trade-oriented Brexit’ (11.07.2018)

Brexit: Maria Caulfield MP Resignation Letter (10.07.2018)

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