Opinion: Is Mudavadi even capable… No his not, but he believes so..

The Amani National Congress (ANC) leader Musalia Mudavadi, the former NASA Co-Principal and part of One Kenya Alliance (OKA) is clearly launching his Presidential bid in 5 days. As the OKA coalition has sort of fielded Wiper Democratic Movement leader Stephen Kalonzo Musyoka as the flag-bearer.

That means that Mudavadi will run-off into the sun-set alone, as he wasn’t deemed fit in the OKA Technical Committee and would be seen as a VP or Deputy in the up-coming elections. This after Kalonzo was the VP/Deputy in previous election in 2017 during the NASA campaigns.

The VP with the shortest stint in the Kenyan history, as he was only in this role throughout November and December 2002… and was out of his duty on the 3rd January 2003. Later he was the Deputy Prime Minister from 2008 to 2013.

This man has tried to connect himself with big-shot all of his career, if it was Daniel Arap Moi, Mwai Kibaki and running early with Uhuru Kenyatta. Before trying to get nominated within the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM). Before using his own party and platform in the 2017 elections. Therefore, after jumping between parties from early 2000s to the 2015 when he launched his own.

Now in 2022 he thinks he can run on his own. That is a long time coming, but it is a false start. This man needed the other big-men. Mudavadi doesn’t have the character or charisma to run on his own. Neither does he has the war-chest or the capacity to run a national campaign. Then he needs to behave and be running wild.

At this point of time, this man will run against Ruto and Odinga. Mudavadi is nowhere near any of these two. His just a joker and should try to position himself again. Right now the state is and authorities is backing Odinga. While tear-gas and opposition flavoured means are dropped towards Ruto. Therefore, where will Mudavadi go?

Mudavadi can walk alone, but I doubt he will carry it… his not the man who has the capacity or the ideals to sprint this far. He has a briefcase party and not a genuine popular support. Mudavadi needs a miracle of epic proportions to become a figure-head or an aspiring leader. The promise of Mudavadi is long gone.

He tried NASA and OKA, but places he haven’t achieved anything. Now that his planning a Presidential Launch, meaning his differing from OKA and will run alone. I doubt he has planned this with the rest of OKA and has an agreement with Kalonzo to launch his own Presidential campaign. That would be very strange, as OKA has said Kalonzo is their guy to some extent.

This means Mudavadi will be out and run on his own. It is a failing game, but the failure would be evident in OKA. Only he will do it all by himself and cannot blame others. Neither does he has the allies or parties to pin blame on. He just have to carry his weight and prove that he can last longer than two months on top.

Mudavadi will not win anything and he will be less relevant than OKA. That is really weak and not even funny. It will be brutal and he will be blasted or ignored. As he doesn’t even have support of other opposition leaders, which he needs…

He might think otherwise because of his ego and self esteem, but that doesn’t make it more true. Instead… his just looking more foolish and should settle somewhere else. Just so he can ensure an appointment in the next term. Peace.

Opinion: Will Kalonzo be the Molotov-cocktail that dismantle OKA?

We knew the One Kenya Alliance (OKA) was a fragile alliance or coalition. It is based on meal-ticket politicians who are forging their cards ahead of the up-coming election this year. This is the former CORD-NASA Co-Principals and additional Gideon Moi. These characters are well known and been in politics for so long.

These are familiar faces and they have been side-kicks for other Presidential Flagbearers and been viable for other parties in the past. They are now leaders of their own parties and wants to “kings” on their own. That’s why these are all huge egos and wants to finally succeed.

This is not only mattering Stephen Kalonzo Musyoka who has now become the front-runner and is technically ahead of the rest of the pack. The others are awaiting their place and who will deputize him. This being Musalia Mudavadi, Moses Wetangula or Gideon Moi. All of these are either left in the dark or not calculated in the joint tickets prepared right now.

It is not like these four gentlemen will have heavy campaign or be viable in a race together with Raila Odinga or William Ruto. They know they are the sidebar and the side-show to these two. OKA knows this and the whole Kenya knows that as well. This is why there is a no worries in concern to these gentlemen. Sooner or later they will find their home and settle outside OKA.

The OKA Technical Committee have maybe settled with Kalonzo as a Presidential Flag-Bearer, but he will maybe run alone on the OKA ticket. As we can wonder if Moi, Wetangula or Mudavadi feels betrayed or left behind. As the OKA today announced them as second fiddle or not at viable after all. That’s disappointing for them, but also humiliating. As we can expect all of them to be Presidential Flag-Bearers in their own rights, but not everyone sees that or thinks its feasible.

This might be the death-stroke and the slow-death of OKA as a unit. As the personal priorities and self-belief counters the shallow unity of this coalition. We knew these gentlemen are tired of being in the shadow of Baba or Odinga. They have run on a ticket with him and that gave them little to nothing for the two last elections.

Now, the OKA was a new unit from these misfits who hasn’t found a steady home. The OKA will dismantle… and don’t expect this coalition to live long. Unless, it will a mediocre outfit with only a few parties, as the ones left behind on the tickets will seek greener pastures. Because, these men aren’t in out of principals, but they are in it for advancement of their own career. They have been to long fishing for an office or a high ranking official position. That is what they are seeking now too.

Since, running as the Presidential Candidate in OKA is a futile enterprise. That will not deliver any hope or become a popular candidate over night. Neither has any of the leaders within the coalition ability to spread a message or galvanize voters across the Republic. They are already well known and shown their characters for the general public.

It is not like Moi or Wetangula can sprint to the finish line, neither like Mudavadi or Kalonzo can run a marathon. These people are just seeking the easiest way to prominence and hopefully a minister post in the next government. They are not able or have the parties to become real big-men. OKA Co-Principals needs a real leader and a viable one to cling-on too.

They wish they were better or had another amount of support. Their egos cannot manage the reality and it shows. I am awaiting the final blow and last presser of OKA. That is coming sooner or later. As Kalonzo might have unravelled the truth, which none of them really wanted to reveal. Therefore, the demise of OKA is because of egos and fragile leaders who doesn’t know their true place or ability. Peace.

One Kenya Alliance (OKA): Misleading and Mischieveious Reporting in a Section of the Media on the One Kenya Alliance (01.11.2021)

Kenya: Joint One Kenya Alliance (OKA) on Fabricated Stories by Nation Newspapers (19.08.2021)

Kenya: Central Kenya Jubilee Caucus – Press Statement (18.08.2021)

Kenya: Uchaguzi 2022 – Joint Civil Society Statement on the Election Campaign Financing Standoff (15.08.2021)

Kenya: Linda Katiba – Harassment of Judges by DCI (26.07.2021)

Law Society of Kenya (LSK): Statement on Search on Chambers of, on and arrest of Justices Said Chitembwe and Aggrey Muchelule (22.07.2021)

Opinion: Odinga & Ruto is a different side of the same coin

The preparations for the elections in 2022 are in full effect. There is no shadow of a doubt, as One Kenya Alliance (OKA) is declaring their bid and the season for Presidential Candidacy is steaming ahead. As that one of the rejects of NASA/CORD is working on their thing.

There is two other main candidates doing their bidding. William Ruto, the Deputy President of the last two terms under the Jubilee umbrella and Raila Odinga (Orange Democratic Movement) who has challenged that, but int the end gotten more power with a handshake with the President Kenyatta in the beginning of the last term.

Ruto will not bring changes, he will sing the worship songs of the hustler nation. Meanwhile Odinga will come with his best of hits and another edition of the road to Canaan. They will both promise great things and move mountains. However, in the end… I feel they will deliver the about the same.

Ruto has had the opportunity for two terms do something substantial, but instead he has ben busy giving away money in church. Odinga on the other hand have been busy toying around with a constitutional referendum, which would be his biggest achievement, though it has been done though the wrong measures and therefore, been deemed illegal by the courts.

So, they have both wasted their time. Odinga could have been a vocal opposition and kept the Jubilee in order. Instead, he compromised himself and sold out the agenda for a flawed BBI. Ruto has started an internal campaign and a battle of power, which he seems to lose for now, but maybe earn on in the up-coming campaign.

No matter what… these two fellas will not bring massive changes. They have both been so connected and ensured themselves vast wealth. That they will not bring big-changes or make things prosperous. They know why they have found wealth and I doubt they want to give that up for the majority of the people.

This is system is rigged against the public. That’s why Chebukati is still the Chairman of the IEBC. He will bring the goods and deliver to the Gods. The cartels and the elites will continue to eat. No matter what of these two that gets elected. They are both willing to trade and bargain with the ones with deep pockets to get their way.

That’s why no matter what sort of party Ruto runs with, if it wheelbarrows or hustler spirit. We all know the drill and the appeal, but we also know the endgame. It is all a nice campaign slogans and cheap politicking, but when his in office. It is all about his companies, his allies and securing power.

I think Odinga will be similar. He will promise Canaan or a version of that and show to the brilliance of BBI. He will promise swift changes and radicalization of the state, but he hasn’t used the BBI or the handshake to do this. When he has had the ear and most of the Parliament on his side after that. He could have proven this and made some golden bricked roads, alas that was never the case. Odinga just wants power to and be able to keep the dynasties alive.

Therefore, none of these tickets are viable in 2022. Not that OKA is either, but that is just for another day. When we want to discuss meal-ticket politicians and bargain hunters for the State House. Because, that’s what that is… and its not beautiful. Peace.

Opinion: OKA is the knock-off “CORD/NASA” coalition ahead of 2022

Today, the One Kenya Alliance (OKA) principals had a technical meeting ahead of the elections in 2022. This is a clear indication of their way ahead. These is making themselves important and boosting their chances in the upcoming elections. Several of these are the up-shots and the ones who was never benefiting much from the Handshake in 2018. Neither, have these earned any fortunes on the BBI.

That’s why these leaders are trying to find the winning formula. Now without the Orange Democratic Movement and Raila Odinga. Several of these have run with him twice and still not been able to get into office. Now, they are trying without him, but instead using the dynasty of KANU and Moi to get the final push.

As we are seeing… the OKA is a knock-off and a third edition of CORD/NASA called OKA. There several of the same faces, but some new add-ons. This is very clear. They are doing the same thing, but has Moi instead of Odinga and his party.

That is how this can initially be translated. The team is weak and not a winning one. OKA is running on the same ideals and same principals as the NASA/CORD, but not even having the charismatic and political skilled Odinga on their team.

They are putting their bets on Moi and that KANU to put them forward. While KANU haven’t had a big say in ages. The Moi dynasty haven’t pushed things ahead for ages. Even when the father was alive. Everyone when to Kabarak for advice, but not for surge of political capital. That capital doesn’t Gideon have… even with the name and history of his family. This is why this is a challenge.

Even if Ruto or Odinga goes against this team. There will be possibility to beat it at this point. Unless, they are having some sort of unknown cards or campaign programs. Which doesn’t seem likely.

Most of these have been for ages in the political landscape and has joined the right parties. These has had the opportunities under other people’s reign. It is not like any of these has won or have the policies that people will believe in. All of them have to much history of being players and meal-ticket politicians. Who has all looked for their interests and moved ship for a better fortune. Therefore, the OKA is a failure from the get-go and this will end in tears. Peace.