Opinion: Brexit was doomed to fail…

Since the vote on the referendum on the 23rd June 2016, which issued the Brexit. The start of the end of membership status of United Kingdom within the European Union. The UK leaving Europe and becoming a third-party state or a non-member state of the EU.

The dream of many conservatives, even more radical right members of society. Who fought for sovereign state and being less connected to the rest of Europe. Not answering some random bureaucrat in Brussels and the regulations put the UK from the various of entities within the EU.

The UK was supposed to be freed from this and have their own liberty back. However, the lofty dreams has backfired. The realities of the modern world is hitting the fan. It was a reason why David Cameron dipped out and went into the backbenches. Since, he knew inside his heart. That this was a failed enterprise.

Theresa May took over and she eloped a government filled with hard-liners or Brexiteers who served the cause of leaving the EU. However, they didn’t do much or anticipate what was happening. They we’re promising to leave on own terms, that it would rain-money and everything would work without any real consequences.

Nevertheless, that was never true. It was a nice story. Prime Minister Theresa May gave up the cause and being the leader. Left the mantle for Boris Johnson. Another Tory and Brexiteer. A man who easily lies and promised a oven ready deal. While we now close to only a month left to final cession of arrangements. The deal is still not signed and with the official seals.

Brexit has been a mess, the Tories have stifled their own work. They have worked on dreams, but delivering nightmares. They said the Remainers was scaremongering in 2016. However, their warnings and speculated effects are coming into fruition. The industries, City of London and exporters are dipping, closing or has already left. They anticipate the hardships of transferring funds, exporting and other issues that will come with the new reality.

The UK will suffer because of this. The devolution of government in combination of leaving the EU will also hurt London more. As the Scottish and Northern Irish might see more reasons to leave the UK and join the EU. They rather be directly in the EU Common Market, than just being internally in the UK. The Northern Irish after getting into the hectic mess of being in a limbo, because of their placement in the UK and their relations with Dublin. Might give an edge for total unification of Ireland. So, the UK might loose two territories quickly and God knows what happens to Gibraltar. They might hold a referendum and join Spain.

Boris Johnson has shown so much flexing and arrogance. Nevertheless, that is not enough to carry the recession, coronavirus crisis and Brexit. He has three hurdles in the midst of hands. His failure to secure and ensure the Brexit. Is already straining the trust in the UK and the economy itself. It is a reason why companies has left already. Because they could not anticipate what last minute resolves might be. They are in it for profit and cannot risk losing that over a political gambit from Whitehall and Downing Street No. 10.

The Brexit was bound to fail from the jump. They came in on a wrong premise. It was supposed to be easy and without costs. It was supposed to be a quick fix and have no serious ramifications. However, it will and the UK will still have to play along to the EU. While they are outsiders looking in. They are losing the advantage of being a member, but still have to play to get the pay. It is like the UK didn’t know what they was apart of and only could the perks after leaving.

That is naive and shows how these Conservatives played with people’s mind and not being honest about what it would entail to leave. They said they had them covered and it would be fixed by just clicking their fingertips. However, it was never that easy. That is why so many ministers have come and gone. That is why the prolonged agony of the negotiations are still lasting to this day. The UK still think they can bushwhack a good deal. However, the EU has already set the bar and they cannot push that. Even if the Tories believe they have enough leverage. That bargain is very over. As the UK have lost before they even started. As they come with a fake premise and you cannot win anything on a bluff, except in poker… but not with Brexit. Peace.

Brexit: Prime Minister Boris Johnson letter to the MPs (16.10.2020)

Brexit: Boris thinks bullying Brussels gives him the result he wants…

Prime Minister Boris Johnson who has signed a revised Withdrawal Agreement (WA) and has a deadline of 31st December 2020 to end the transition period between the European Union and United Kingdom. That is all making sense.

EU negotiator Michel Barnier and the European Council have put out a statement on the 15th October 2020. Where they put forward the guidelines, yet again. While the Tories, David Frost and PM Johnson thinks they can move the goal-post in the final stages of the negotiations.

The UK are now asking for the trade agreements in line with Canada and Australia. This will not put forward the statutes, articles in the WA and the troubles of Internal Market Bill. The Tories are still playing the game of “what we want, we will get and forget old agreements”.

The funny thing about this. That the agreement made between UK and EU isn’t an old age agreement from a far forgotten past. No, it was made by the same government in negotiations with the EU. The European Council and EU 27 Member States has agreed upon this. Therefore, it is a significant deal, which settles the foundation of the relations between the two parties.

Alas, Boris wants to alter that now. Just mere 10 weeks ahead. While there are two more scheduled meetings and talks. The Prime Minister is putting forward talks of trenches and going to the barricades. As he knows his just playing for his base. The PM is doing this charade and mockery of a public display. He should know, that when you agreed upon certain things. It is a bit late to back-track just mere months ahead of deadline.

The Prime Minister Johnson is now trying to pull the pix-and-mix Brexit and the Red-White-Blue Brexit of Theresa May. This is 2020 and the Tories are still not sure what sort of Brexit it wants. It wants the best of both worlds. It wants to be a non-member, but also doesn’t want to honour the agreement it has already signed. That is showing what sort of disgusting leadership is in London.

London wants to bully Brussels. Brussels, the EU Commission and EU27 have been clear. There is no vindication for the Tories. It is just like a entitled brat wanting more candy, when the store is already closed a few hours ago. The parent have to give the kid a lesson and explain why its not possible.

The PM have to accept this and understand this. The only ones losing on this sort of public play. Is the British public and all citizens of UK. They are pawns by the leadership in Whitehall and Downing Street 10. Who are playing with their futures just to look good. While not making sure the best interests are made with the EU.

Instead, over Christmas an uncertain future is ahead, the UK is sailing alone and with possible “no-deal”. Which is affect all parts of society, most likely a higher inflation and hitting businesses in the midst of recession and a global pandemic. That is what the Tories are willing to do.

Just to look good on Prime Time TV and feed the Brexiteers in their homes. Who doesn’t see the damage it does, until it hits home. Peace.

Brexit: Statement by Michel Barnier following Round 9 of negotiations for a new partnership between the European Union and the United Kingdom (02.10.2020)

Brexit: European Commission – Withdrawal Agreement: European Commission sends letter of formal notice to the United Kingdom for breach of its obligations (01.10.2020)

Brexit: Boris is giving the middle finger to Brussels

It is a reason why the European Union, the bureaucracy in Brussels shouldn’t trust London, Her Majesty’s Government and Whitehall. The 10 Downing Street, the Prime Minister Boris Johnson shows how devious he is this week. His using all terms and all ways to vilify the EU. Instead of looking into his own actions.

The EU didn’t force the Tories to sign and ratify the Withdrawal Agreement, an agreement the Tories in combination with the EU Negotiation Team made together. Which was revised between the Theresa May government, where Boris was the Foreign Secretary and his own term before passing it. This was supposed to be a “oven ready” deal.

The Tories, the ERG and all the Brexiteers has promised a simple and easy transition from being a member state to become “fully independent”. Alas, these folks have forgotten even though they are residing on a island. They are not living in a vacuum. These folks are acting like they can decide and that there is no implication from the other party. They are expecting the EU just to accept similar terms from a “third-country”. While the EU Members are supposed to swallow the bitter pill. That is how unserious and dumb the London regime is.

Boris is really acting a fool, when he late last year Accepted the WA, which was within boundaries, having safeguards and clauses to secure the integrity of the United Kingdom and the Good Friday Agreement, as the EU wouldn’t want to jeopardize the economy or the free movement from Ireland to Northern Ireland. That is just an simple argument at this point.

Still, the Tories is okay with doing something illegal, breaching international law and getting disrepute worldwide. They are willing to risk further trade-deals with all outside countries. Inflict even more damage, than what a no-deal would initially do and renegotiate after World Trade Organization standards. The UK really wanting to be a pariah state in Europe. Ensuring they are left behind and all on their own behalf. Becoming independent from the EU, but at a huge price.

Boris is playing with fire and won’t feel the consequences until the fire is put out. Then the investigations can say what has been damaged and estimates to rebuild. The UK are willing to risk all and also its reputation. There will be few who are willing to trust and even make arrangements. As they see months ahead of time. The UK might vilify and amplify own interests over the agreed upon agreement. That is how it seems now.

Yes, the UK could have been in another situation, if it never accepted the WA, but it did. They voted it in and ratified it. They negotiated the deal and the stipulated articles are written there after. Where it has safeguards and securities for both parties. This is known, but Boris wants to play out that its risking own “integrity” and “independence”. If it was so, why did you push it through Parliament and Prorogued it before voting it through?

Boris hasn’t really planned this. This will be a “victory” for the Brexiteers, but it will be a false one. It will feel like they won something to ditch the WA, but they are also a lost island. With every measure they will become alone. They are feeding the rest of Europe with disgust, because why should they trust London and the government there? When they can months apart, ditch agreed upon deal? Why should anyone trust Johnson and his cabinet?

The Tories are proving what they are capable of off. Using the Northern Ireland for their own games, instead of serving the needs of Belfast. They are willing to risk all for a quick and brief victory. Since, the cost afterwards will be enormous. The Tories will never state that, but the price of doing it will be big. The damage is epic and it was self-destruction, all made with the intent of delivering a no-deal Brexit. A Hard Brexit, which wasn’t made for the general public, but for a self-serving elite. Peace.

Brexit: House of Lords, Baroness Taylor of Bolton Letter to Lord Chancellor Buckland – Rule of law and the UK Internal Market Bill (11.09.2020)

Brexit: Boris is trying to ambush final stages of negotiations…

If you thought this process was secured and safely followed between Brussels and London. I hate to say it to you. It’s not, because the Tories and Prime Minister Boris Johnson are again using all means to get their way. Even as the United Kingdom have already signed onto agreements with the European Union. They have already progressed to the Withdrawal Agreement. Alas, the UK and Boris think they can scrap that just a month ahead of the final stages.

If you are thinking this is a brilliant move, it’s not. They are showing disingenuous and untrustworthy partner. Who wants to change the terms and the scope of an agreement in the final stages. Instead, of continuing where they left it. He tries again the “pick and mix” strategy. Where the UK can pick what fits them well and not what will be right for the Union, which they are leaving. They anticipate to get their will and counter the already accepted terms. That is insane… but Tories way of diplomacy.

The EU have been very clear about the timetable. I am too. There needs to be an agreement with our European friends by the time of the European Council on 15 October if it’s going to be in force by the end of the year. So there is no sense in thinking about timelines that go beyond that point. If we can’t agree by then, then I do not see that there will be a free trade agreement between us, and we should both accept that and move on. We will then have a trading arrangement with the EU like Australia’s. I want to be absolutely clear that, as we have said right from the start, that would be a good outcome for the UK. As a Government we are preparing, at our borders and at our ports, to be ready for it. We will have full control over our laws, our rules, and our fishing waters. We will have the freedom to do trade deals with every country in the world. And we will prosper mightily as a result” (Boris Johnson, 07.09.2020).

When Boris speaks like this. He thinks his brilliant, but his whacking Dublin and the Brussels. Instead of helping Belfast and the Good Friday Agreement. He is issuing a statement, which is saying its okay to ditch a process. That has been going for so long.

This just shows how double edged sword this is, as the United Kingdom and its government think they can do this now. They think they can steer it all and ditch all previous commitments. That is really rich in consideration to all the previous deals and arrangements made in advance of the final stages.

If they leave without a deal. That will hurt the EU, but also hit hard the UK. The UK will have start a fresh and the conditions will be altered again. There will be nothing soft about that, as the stalling and the actions made. Might even trigger the EU to make an example of the UK. Instead, of being a trading partner and a neighbour. The EU is the main market for the UK. Therefore, it is weird that the PM takes it so easily. The cost and damages of not having a deal. The businesses and the financial institutions of London should be shaking. If not find the quickest way to Dublin to continue their operations within the parameter of EU conditions. Instead, of the uncertainty of the Whitehall and the HM Government. Who clearly have no issues to put everyone on the altar and hoping this doesn’t cost them something. Which it eventually will do.

Boris is risking it all, making assessments that is risky. Still, he thinks he can pull this off. The ones losing is sadly not him, but the British public and their businesses. Peace.

Brexit: A Letter from Mark Francois, Chairman of the ERG to Michel Barnier (26.06.2020)

Brexit: European Commission – Statement by the European Commission following the first meeting of the EU-UK Joint Committee (30.03.2020)