Right now the African National Congress (ANC) is singing the tune of a future president in Cyril Ramaphosa, the current Vice-President. Who became the President of ANC on the 18th December of 2017. Therefore, ANC they didn’t elect Nkoszana Dlamini-Zuma and gave enough votes for Ramaphosa. Whose been a part of the ANC for ages and finally brought the ANC Party to a standstill. Last time this happen when Jacob Zuma countered Thabo Mbeki.
So when Jacob Zuma became Party President on the 18th December 2007. He beat Thabo Mbeki and was destined for the top position and be the Republic’s President too. Zuma used his support within Trade-Unions and Youth-League to outsmart Mbeki. He stepped down after allegations in 2008 and clearly making ready for Zuma to run for Presidency in 2009. Before that he was fired for Corruption scandals, but Zuma rose about that and he took down the one man who fired him.
We are now in 2018, but we are similar stage in the history. Now we await and see if Jacob Zuma will react with swift force or put any sort of play into action. As the State Capture and other Corruption scandals are ruining the credibility of the ANC. ANC has had the ability to change its course, but instead has rotten its roots in corruption and misuse of state funds for personal gains. This has been sanctioned by a President who has acted as if he is above the law. Now the new ANC President Ramaphosa can create new issues as he is preparing for the 2019.
If 2019 ANC wants to be taken serious, they got to get the State Capure, the Gupta’s and the whole of government misuse of State Owned Enterprises (SOE) for personal gains of both ANC leadership and the owners of public businesses. This being with tenders and with the kick-backs, the hiring of cronies and the over-price of commodities. Therefore, this isn’t just Zuma’s family and the Gupta’s Businesses. Therefore, as the years has gone by, the Zuma administration and their cronies has eaten on the roots. It has been visible, but the state has also used all sort of tricks to stall investigations of it.
It is just early 2018, where Zuma is losing ground, the State Capture Commission has been enforced and the other cases are running. There is more public outcry against tenders and SoE’s agreements with public companies. All of this has been used as tools for earning private fortunes on the public monopolies. Zuma knows this and all of ANC knows it too. Therefore, Ramaphosa has hands dirty in the midst of this. But now if he wants to be taken serious. He has to do what Zuma did to Mbeki.
While Mbeki had smaller fish to fry and went more narrow in actions of a fraudulent arms-deal. He went and axed Zuma rightfully for his misbehavior. However, Zuma would accept to lose. So he came back and took the place of Mbeki. Now after that he determine to eat even more himself with scruples. That is what he has done since taking power. Now the wheels of fortune is going against him.
The ANC is losing ground on the State Capture and Nkandla Village Project, every single Estina and other scandals will just further the outcries of the resignation of Zuma. His name isn’t really ringing bell of justice and honor. Zuma has conducted himself in manners of graft and kick-backs. He has accepted others done the same, its been their hour and they didn’t want to waste a single minute.
Now, people wonder when Ramaphosa will rise above Zuma. When Ramaphosa will do the same as Zuma, step out of the shadow of the former-President and excel him. Ramaphosa has no a waiting game, but there are enough scandals for him to use against Zuma. Even if Zuma himself isn’t indicted or impeached yet. However, Zuma has enough cases waiting him and there is enough allegations to question his place as a President. That is well-known.
We just have to wait when Ramaphosa will do like Zuma did to Mbeki. We just have to wait and see, when Zuma will fall like Mbeki. Ramaphosa will do his bidding when the time is right. He has been eyeing this position for so long. Cyril will find the moment when Zuma is the weakest. When the ANC-NEC understand there is no return and when the ANC Party has the most to gain to get rid of Zuma.
That is when Ramaphosa will strike, because he is awaiting the moment of justification. Even if the public and people know that Zuma is corrupt. If it doesn’t happen the right way. Then he might be implicated himself and his own part of ANC has to pay. Not only the nearest cronies around Zuma. That is what is worrying Cyril. Still, he will await the perfect strategy, the narrative that is needed so he can start to run as a Presidential Candidate in 2019. Peace.
(Outtake from the) Hani Memorandum Point 2: “We have been forced to draw the conclusion that the payment of salaries to people working in offices is very detrimental to the revolutionary outlook is of those who receive such monies. It is without doubt that such payments corrupt cadres at any level and have the effect of making people perform their duties or fill offices because of money inducement rather than dedication to the cause – they become in effect merely salaried employees of the movement. It is high time that all members and cadres of the ANC, be they in M.K. or not, should receive equal treatment and be judged only on the basis of their dedication and sacrifice to the cause we serve. The principle of thorough selection of cadres should be on the basis of merit and such selection should never be delegated to an individual – this will prevent individuals owing allegiance to those who appoint them rather than to the Revolution” (MacMillian – ‘Debate: the Hani Memorandum’).
Cyril Ramaphosa has been the loyal subject and the appointed Deputy President under the Presidency of Jacob Zuma. He has defended the President countless times, even as he been named in recent months as the part of African National Congress that is “Anti-Zuma Faction”. So the knowledge of his disappearing loyalty has been known since March 2016, still he has not been moved in the midst of changes of cabinet. That is because President Jacob Zuma does not want to challenge to many of the fractions inside the Party. Only the ones needed to please the donors and the ones keeping his village afloat.
So that Deputy President Ramaphosa who hasn’t been stirring the pot or even tried to challenge the President, is clearly now going out of the gates, blazing like he is Mmusi Maimane. Like he is in opposition, as he clearly stated in the memorial speech to Chris Hani today:
“Despite the good work that continues to be done by cadres and deployees in all spheres, the ANC’s programme in government and in communities lacks sufficient coherence and focus. The allegations that there are private individuals who exercise undue influence over state appointments and procurement decisions should be a matter of grave concern to the movement. These practices threaten the integrity of the state, undermine our economic progress and diminish our ability to change the lives of the poor. These activities, if left unchecked, could destroy the revolution. It is therefore critical that the allegations of ‘state capture’ are put to rest, that wrongdoing is exposed and that illicit practices are brought to an end” (News24, 2017).
That DP Ramaphosa are attacking the ANC, the party he is in the midst of and have left unchecked. The ANC have let the Zuma and his cronies do as they please, therefore, the admiration for justice now seems like a way of forging his own way. Since he has let the ‘Capture of State’ happen and the Constitutional Court judgement fail on his watch. As well, as the evident stopping of the ‘No Confidence’ votes in Parliament. So it is not like his words fits his actions. That he wants to now see the illicit practices to an end, seems more like political ploy, together with the knowledge of what sort of rhetoric was used to change Financial Ministers.
That he as a Deputy President been a crony is well-known, that he has supported and made sure that the powers of Jacob Zuma has gone unchecked is clear. Since he has had no issues with the scandals of Nkandla, Eskom and others. The list is so long when it comes to President Zuma, that the books combining the and digging in to it, would be small library to have enough space for it. Therefore, even if his words is powerful today, I have hard time believing it as sincere. Even if these words are stark.
“There is a strong sense among many of our people that the ANC no longer represents their hope for a better life. Many believe that the ANC is no longer a trusted repository of the aspirations of our people for freedom, dignity, peace and justice. Recent political developments have thrown into sharp relief the divisions within our movement and brought to the fore broader grievances about the direction of the country” (News24, 2017).
That he said this and that the people doesn’t trust the ANC is because of the acts of men like Cyril Ramaphosa, whose loyalty to Zuma has for long been more important than the constitution or the National Assembly. Where the ANC has ruled with iron fist for the better life of Zuma cronies and not for the citizens. Therefore, the trust has dwindled, the process of electoral fatigue isn’t the reason, but the misuse of power. That’s been rubber-stamped by the National Assembly Baleka Mbete and the rest of the loyal cadres in the ANC.
So if the ANC should decide on an official succession to Jacob Zuma, it should be someone who is credible and outside the parameter of Zuma’s reach. If it is someone in the current leadership who has been sponsored or been involved in the corrupt behavior of Zuma. So, if the ANC in the next conference and next challenge for the throne. Peace.
MacMillian, Hugh – ‘The ‘Hani Memorandum’ – introduced and annotated’ link: http://www.sahistory.org.za/sites/default/files/hani_memorandum.pdf
News24 – ‘Full speech by Cyril Ramaphosa at Chris Hani memorial lecture’ (23.04.2017) link: http://www.news24.com/SouthAfrica/News/full-speech-by-cyril-ramaphosa-at-chris-hani-memorial-lecture-20170423
The Republic of South Africa’s economy is in free-fall after the sacking of Finance Minister Pravin Gordhan on Thursday 30th March 2017, which has given way to Malusi Gigaba. So the Republic and Cabinet has gone away from a man with financial experience to an inexperienced minister. After the decision of the sacking the rand has fallen in value and the response on the stock exchange as also been reported less sale.
Today the international response to the sacking happen, but the junk-status has to be explained and I will do so by the words of InvestigationAnswers: “If a bond is downgraded to a level below investment grade (aka, “junk”), there is often a serious sell off of those bonds, because most institutional investors are forbidden from owning junk bonds” (http://www.investinganswers.com/financial-dictionary/investing/downgrade-96).
So the bond-status will lead to currency funds trading away the South African Rand and the Republic’s bonds that are traded internationally on the Financial Markets, as the Republic’s traded bonds to fill the budget will be downgraded, means the amounts of investment and interest will drop. That is a circle of trouble for the economy. The lack of international trade of the needed currency exchange will give less circulation and also stagnate the economy.
Here is the terrible news:
“S&P on Monday placed South Africa’s credit rating to speculative grade (commonly referred to as “junk”), a one-notch reduction to BB, and the ratings agency said “the economic crises President Jacob Zuma plunged the country into with his midnight cabinet reshuffle” prompted it to hold an emergency review at the weekend instead of June 2, as was scheduled, according to Business Day” (Mail & Guardian, 2017).
So the Standard and Poor’s rating will really make changes and reactions to the change of the steady hands of Pravin Gordhan, instead of the rookie and cookie Gigaba, a loyalist to Zuma and his presidency. Certainly Gigaba as a Finance Minister will not stop a nuclear trade involving the Gupta Empire, that would Gordhan if he didn’t believe it was for the good of the economy. Therefore, the financial instruments of S&P says something of the current state.
Parts of the Official Statement from S&P:
“The downgrade reflects our view that the divisions in the ANC-led government that have led to changes in the executive leadership, including the finance minister, have put policy continuity at risk. This has increased the likelihood that economic growth and fiscal outcomes could suffer. The rating action also reflects our view that contingent liabilities to the state, particularly in the energy sector, are on the rise, and that previous plans to improve the underlying financial position of Eskom may not be implemented in a comprehensive and timely manner. In our view, higher risks of budgetary slippage will also put upward pressure on South Africa’s cost of capital, further dampening already-modest growth” (…) “The negative outlook reflects our view that political risks will remain elevated this year, and that policy shifts are likely which could undermine fiscal and growth outcomes more than we currently project. If fiscal and macroeconomic performance deteriorates substantially from our baseline forecasts, we could consider lowering the ratings. We could revise the outlook to stable if we see political risks reduce and economic growth and/or fiscal outcomes strengthen compared to our baseline projections” (Fin24, 2017).
So the Capture of State report has together with the all the Financial market, Economic analysis and the forecasts has been overshadowed by the reaction to the decisions of President Zuma and the ANC. That the government changed the cabinet and the deficits of the budget. When the volatile economy needs strong leadership, instead the Finance Minister is a newbie who the international business world doesn’t seem to trust. That is a key thing to the matter, the businesses and financial market needs trust to the leaders, that is not in the ANC and Zuma crony.
The trust in the Financial Market is dwindling, they are not seeing signs of trust to President Zuma and his cabinet. The ANC does not have the stability or credibility to be trusted by one of the world most famous ratings systems of the financial market. When it is like this, that should be motivation to change, as the South African values and currency loses value. The price of the reckless acts of power shows what the price for the change of ministers can do. President Zuma has work to do! Zuma needs to change, though I doubt he care, he eats no matter what happens and seems like he thinks he can get get away with everything, even getting his economic policies called JUNK! Peace.
Fin24 – ‘FULL STATEMENT: S&P cuts SA to junk status, fears political risks’ (03.04.2017) link:http://www.fin24.com/Economy/full-statement-sp-cuts-sa-to-junk-status-fears-political-risks-20170403
Mail & Guardian – ‘S&P downgrades South Africa’s credit rating to junk status’ (03.04.2017) link: https://mg.co.za/article/2017-04-03-sp-downgrades-south-africas-credit-rating-to-junk-status
Mullen, Jethro & Petroff, Alanna – ‘South Africa’s currency plummets after finance minister fired’ (01.04.2017) link: http://money.cnn.com/2017/03/30/investing/south-africa-finance-minister-pravin-gordhan-ousted/
“It becomes more necessary to see the truth as it is if you realise that the only vehicle for change are these people who have lost their personality. The first step therefore is to make the black man come to himself; to pump back life into his empty shell; to infuse him with pride and dignity, to remind him of his complicity in the crime of allowing himself to be misused and therefore letting evil reign supreme in the country of his birth” – Steven Biko
Henceforth the tries to silence and stop President Jacob Zuma will either be futile or be for show, as the first time to vote “No Confidence” failed in November 2016. This after the failing show in the National Assembly as the Capture of State Report revealed the knitted connection between the investor family of Gupta and the Zuma Administration. Still, the African National Congress stood by like gullible stooges to the charade of progress. ANC have played a fool by the Zuma clan and the Gupta empire. This to a stage where the involvements of Gupta in changes of government really occurred this week.
Yet after the State of Caputre report and of all the cases involved corruption, together with the questionable back-payment on the Nkandla Village Project. There been enough to impeach the South African President. Not like he has tried to be innocent, the cases has been pilled up and the connections to the Oakbay Resources and other enterprises of the Gupta Empire is evident. It is like he stopped caring, because in his heart. He believes he can get away. But first, take a look!
DA’s New Motion against President Zuma:
“That the House resolves, in terms of section 102(2) of the Constitution of South Africa, 1996, that it has no confidence in Mr Jacob G Zuma as President of the Republic of South Africa on the grounds of his continued irrational, irresponsible and reckless leadership. President Zuma’s decision to recall Minister of Finance Pravin Gordhan and his deputy, Mcebisi Jonas from an international roadshow aimed at increasing investor confidence, had the exact opposite effect which was seen in the plummeting of the rand. Furthermore, the President’s continued reckless and irrational behavior surrounding the position of the Minister of Finance has resulted in an economic crisis. Such a crisis was seen previously when Minister Nene was summarily fired from the same position in December 2015. That President Zuma has chosen to deliberately repeat his actions is evidence that he has lost all sense of rationality and sound judgement. These actions will result directly in job losses and will thus be most profoundly felt by the poor and most vulnerable citizens in South Africa. President Zuma’s derelict leadership has resulted in a collapse of public confidence in the President of the Republic of South Africa, has created a government at war with itself and ultimately has undermined efforts to restore confidence in the South African economy. There can be no confidence in such a President” (DA, 30.03.2017).
That the President uses an Intelligence reports for his actions to fire all of the ministers and reshuffle the cabinet, without any for-warning. That the Finance Minister had a ploy called ‘Operation Check Mate’ that was already in the works, like a John Grisham spy-novels. There haven’t been any clues or evidence of it, it is just as if the President needed a final nail in coffin to sack Pravin Gordhan. As he again, questioned the certain investment that would in effect give a massive bonus to one of the Gupta companies. So that a Bank owned by Gupta’s could get sold and the profits made quickly. The same efforts as the revealed nuclear energy deal in 2015. So the pattern is crystal clear.
The Constitution is just a doormat to the Zuma Presidency, he couldn’t care less, unless he and his cronies get paid or hired. What matter isn’t the delivery to the commoners, neither is the service due diligence, as long as the Gupta Companies get wealthy. Because the profits of Gupta’s will benefit the Zuma administration.
IT doesn’t matter if the Democratic Alliance with Mmusi Maimane or Economic Freedom Fighters with Julius Malema wants to vote on ‘No Confidence’ motion again. The ANC who benefits from the inside trading and co-operative efforts with Gupta’s. If so the ANC wouldn’t give way and give in to the President. The favors tend to happen in collected effort, as the loyalty of the ANC cronies and the leadership shelved the cases and has distorted the works to get rid of Zuma. Therefore, the run to stop his Executive role has stopped.
The North Gauteng Court and Constitutional Court cases has clearly not played the way of law should do, as the guilty of crimes and use of power to gain personal wealth is walking the streets. The misuse of public funds is clearly evident. The massive amount of counts of misconduct on the Zuma Presidency shouldn’t be possible, but it has been. Therefore, the “No Confidence” vote is needed. Even if it fails again. Because if it fails, it proves that the State is really captured by men with ill-intent. That the ANC under Zuma has become iconic in the sense of belligerent statutes of justice. The sense of commoner and citizens towards the ANC and Zuma must be strange.
Zuma acts as if the National Assembly, the Constitution and the Republic is beneath him. That he is above it and cannot be touched. It is not strange he believes it, he has run a nation and crossed the courts so many times, had so many affidavits and minutes explaining his position concerning bad behavior. So, there are enough times he could have seen it as baseless character assassination, instead it has proven as his Modus Operandi. Where the crimes and collective corrupt acts has transpired in a fashion of business as usual and if they get caught, who cares? None will serve for the crime anyway.
The reality is that the first step of falling from the pedestal will be damaging and hurtful. The need for the wisdom of Steven Biko is more potent than ever. The silent words: “The first step therefore is to make the black man come to himself; to pump back life into his empty shell; to infuse him with pride and dignity, to remind him of his complicity in the crime of allowing himself to be misused and therefore letting evil reign supreme in the country of his birth”.
TO not ‘letting evil reign supreme in the country of his birth’, the evil letting the powers and the representatives, under the banner of the liberation party, the ANC steal the nation as a service for foreign investors. That the Republic of South Africa, not taken for granted and used by the former liberators, as they drive flashy cars through the townships and ghettos without care for the citizens who is not taken care of. That the newly rich on the investors and the misuse of state coffers can be contributed to the ANC elite and the clientele getting licensed to operate businesses.
The ANC need ‘to pump back life into his empty shell’, they have forgot to pump it into the citizens for while, they forgotten their mission and the reasons it was created. The ANC and Zuma doesn’t care about the proud legacy, but using it as tools of oppressive business enterprises into wealth. Not caring for service delivery. ANC under Zuma isn’t the people’s party or the liberation party, but instead the ruling elite who only care about keeping power.
We could wish that the “No Confidence” of the DA works, but don’t expect it. The ANC has sold it’s past and the present isn’t what it should be. They have forgotten where they came from and the purpose of their liberation. Zuma has traded and doesn’t care, he uses all sorts of manipulation to stay. It starts with thieving something small, than stealing medium and later running away with the whole bank reserves. Peace.
Claymore, Ezra – ‘DA tables new motion of no confidence as ANC breaks ranks with Zuma’ (30.03.2017) link: https://www.thesouthafrican.com/da-tables-new-motion-of-no-confidence-as-anc-breaks-ranks-with-zuma/