Ethiopia: Tigray External Affairs Office – Briefing from the National Government of Tigray (30.08.2021)

Ethiopia: Oromo Liberation Front – OLF is Troubled to Believe the Ethiopian Human Rights Commission Reports (27.08.2021)

Ethiopia: Ogaden – Memorandum on the Massacre committed on the Civilian Population of Garba Issa (Sitti Zone, Somali Region,Ethiopia) – (26.08.2021)

Ethiopia: Red Sea Afar Peace and Democratic Forum – Press Release (26.08.2021)

A memo to the AU: If IGAD can’t do it, why do you think Obasanjo can do it?

The African Union (AU) has today appointed the former Nigerian President Olusegun Obasanjo as the High Representative for the Horn of Africa. The African Union Commissioner might have the best interests at heart here and the will to make a difference. However, at this point of time and with the leaders at today. This appointment will go nowhere.

The AU could have appointed a saint, a maverick and a superstar to this role. They could have had the best negotiator even known to mankind and it still wouldn’t resolve anything. In 2021 and with the current head of states. There will not be any will or resolve to silence the guns. No, that’s not happening.

Mr. Obasanjo is getting another pay-check. He is getting another retirement-fund and additional high ranking official status. Being a diplomat and getting VIP treatment in Addis Ababa. He will not lack the perks and the bottle-service. However, that will not change the matters on the ground.

If there would have been a possible change, the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD) would have made some significant moves. The IGAD is already there to do this and ensure stability on the Horn of Africa. As IGAD says itself: “IGAD to be the premier Regional Economic Community (REC) for achieving peace and sustainable development in the region. Mission: Promote regional cooperation and integration to add value to Member States’ efforts in achieving peace, security and prosperity”.

So with that in mind, the Horn of Africa should already have an organization and the apparatus to achieve peace and security. Now, that is futile and lacking. That’s why the AU is boosting it’s operation and hiring Obasanjo to make things look good. However, he will not go anywhere or get anything done. At least nothing substantial or fruitful. Except for cashing-in and enjoying VIP treatment.

Obasanjo will get the cold-shoulder, which Sudanese Prime Minister Abdalla Hamdok has gotten. Not to mention the double-speaking and erratic diplomatic cables of Mogadishu. Which we have seen in coordination with the AU Chair of the Year Felix Tshisekedi. When Hamdok have gotten silent treatment from Addis Ababa. Not like Asmara will be friendly either. Djibouti President Ismaïl Omar Guelleh will be all smiles, as he has all the major powers having military bases and that’s why he feels untouchable.

The former Nigerian President have to magic. He has to show all of his tricks of his trade and negotiations. As there are several of conflicts and not lacking of guns in rotation. There are so much hurt, pain and social animosity. That it isn’t a steady and strong Horn of Africa at this point. No, everyone is pinned in one conflict or another.

If it is battle of clans within Somalia. If it is Al-Shabab sending suicide bombs or retaliating at the AMISOM mission somewhere. If it is Issa-Somali militias targeting Ethiopian regions of Ogaden and Afar. If it is all the Liberation Fronts going to war against the Tripartite Alliance within Ethiopia. If it is the skirmishes and the simmering conflict between Ethiopia and Sudan over the Al-Fashqa triangle. Together with the genocidal war in the Tigray region of Ethiopia. There is no stop of warfare and conflicts currently happening.

That is why Obasanjo have not only a mountain to climb but several actually. In combination with the elections in Somalia. There is no shortlist of hurdles and hardships. If he will even touch on those and not only smile for pressers. It would be likely to have low-level consultations and meetings. However, he will not gather all the hopeful and neither be allowed to meet all parties. No, the states involved rather wants to annihilate and get rid of enemies. They are not willing to talk to them. That’s why IGAD has failed and why Obasanjo will be left astray as well.

Obasanjo will be a nice-poster child for this. He will bring good publicity but not achieve anything. That is the outset and the ones around making sure of. It is not like the heads of state is changing in a matter of no-time and that these are suddenly becoming will partners of dialogue. Especially, when they haven’t considered or even tried before. That’s why the mission of the High Representative is futile.

He should call up IGAD and get their in-put. Because, there is nowhere to hide here and the snakes are ready to bite. Peace.

Ethiopia: Oromia Liberation Front/Army (OLF-OLA) – High Command – Regarding the Situation in East Walaga (25.08.2021)

Ethiopia: Tigray Youth Network-UK – Subject: The Telegraph’s Defamation of Tigray Defence Forces (25.08.2021)

Ethiopia: National Congress of Great Tigray (Baytona) – Press Statement on Current Political Issues (26.08.2021)

Ethiopia: A Grand Armed Coalition formed to end Abiy’s ‘Medemer Terror’

We are clearly living in trying times, as every ethnicity is picking up arms and going to war for one simple goal to get rid of the current regime in Addis Ababa. There is now several of Liberation Fronts or Armies who are going in a coalition to combat and beat the current leadership. That says it all, when they all can fight together and work towards the same objective.

The Tigray conflict has spiralled out, but it is also opening up with more internal warfare. Where the civil war is inevitable. That is very clear with the motivation of arming civilians with machetes in Amhara region and sending them to battle under the banner of “Fano”. This just shows there is no end in sight and that’s what the Federal and Regional Government is doing. Not some rural rebels or hoodlums, no these are supported over the state and regional budgets. Either gifts or donations, which is put into the war-effort. That is the stage the current times are in.

So, when that is happening. The Tigray Defence Force (TDF) is not fighting the National Army and it’s allies. No, they have been aligned with several of other Liberations Fronts of late. It is a growing collective and it has even been called the Ethiopian Grand Armed Coalition.

The amounts of groups working together now against the Prosperity Party (PP) and Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed Ali is about 9. This is first the TDF. The others are Afar Liberation Army (ALA), Agew Peoples Liberation Front (APLF), Benishangul Peoples Liberation Front (BPLF), Oromo Liberation Front/Army (OLF/OLA), Ogaden Peoples Movement (OPM), Sidama National Liberation Front (SNLF), Somalia Peoples Liberation Front (SPLF) and Qimant Peoples Liberation Front (QPLF).

When you see this list, you should be amazed, as the Prime Minister is seeking military hardware from Turkey. He is begging Asmara to help out with troops. The leaders of Finfinne is seeking all youth and everyone to enlist to a war, which isn’t trained to meet seasoned soldiers. That’s why just this week the TDF has destroyed much of the Republican Guard in the Amhara region. While the Eritrean Defence Force (EDF) is both re-entering in the Tigray region, but also participating in Afar Region. That’s why you know the new battlefronts will make things harder for the PP.

The axis of TDF-OLA was bad enough for the ENDF-EDF-Amhara alliance. Now, they are meeting forces and militias from all across the Republic. Who sole objective as a Grand Coalition is to bring down the current tyranny. That says it all really. The gamble of a sole war with a Tripartite Alliance, which was supposed to be ended in a flash and the PM promised final stages in the end of November 2020. Is now struggling to get head over water, as his enemies is encircling him and able to make bigger alliances.

The Ethiopian Grand Armed Coalition towards the Tripartite Alliance was surely not on the cards on the fire-sale of a “Law Enforcement Operation” of last year. When the Tigray seemed all shunned out and left alone, as it had been boycotted and blocked by the Federal Government months on end before the war was upon it. Therefore, at that point this didn’t seem likely.

However, the Tripartite Alliance has played out their cards and things are crumbling. That is why the Federal Government is targeting foreign donors and humanitarian organizations. As they are seemed as arming the enemies. While the Federal Government and Army is willing to do war-crimes, atrocities and blame these on it’s enemies. That’s how it sow more pain, but also more resilient will to overcome these hardships.

The gamble of a brief war has become a full civil-war. Where the Tripartite Alliance isn’t getting more friends, but instead more enemies. Where a whole coalition of local and regional forces are armed against it. These will be militias who will cause havoc and more pain, as they are going against the state it is working to topple.

The central government is losing it’s ground. Not only on the battlefield in Tigray, Amhara and Oromia. It is also losing the popular support elsewhere. The state has instead of galvanizing support or will to pursuit victory. Even when it has several of media houses, state broadcasters and such. Still, the resistance and defiance against it is seemingly growing. As the people and leaders in the regions are seeing the genocidal and deadly orders of PP. That’s maybe why they are joining the Grand Coalition in hope that this will get rid of merciless tyrant in power.

Clearly, Abiy and PP haven’t made friends, but has instead gotten plenty of enemies. It doesn’t help that the state is taxing it’s citizens. While they are buying weapons to a war, which is killing it’s own civilians, instead of feeding their own. The state is more preoccupied with getting drones, than getting aid convoy’s to feed the starving citizens. Peace.

Ethiopia: Oromo Liberation Front (OLF) – A Brief Note on Current Situation of Oromo Liberation Struggle (25.08.2021)