FDC made itself look like fool by nominating Lukwago… [and blocking Sempala MP a month earlier]

On the 15th July 2020, Woman MP for Kampala Nabilah Naggayi Sempala went to Forum for Democratic Change (FDC) Headquarters to deliver her nomination form to seek the flag-bearer stance for the Lord Mayor of Kampala. This after two terms as Woman MP for Kampala since 2011.

She was told by her party that she was too late and couldn’t deliver. Nabilah wasn’t allowed to that in the middle of July, which was right as the FDC said it was a day after the deadline.

Now, we have seen Lord Mayor Erias Lukwago have joined the FDC on the 28th July 2020. That is two weeks after the deadline, which Sempala was blocked from. Continuing that, another two weeks, the FDC accepted the nomination of Lukwago on the 13th August 2020 at the same headquarters.

When, the FDC disregarded and blocked the MP, they said they had an agreement with the Platform Truth and Justice for a supply and demand agreement. That is surely still alive, even as he went from his own T&J and before that his demise in the Democratic Party (DP), which he has drifted from over the year. That was not surprising as he has been part of Besigye People’s Government and been a side-kick over the years.

So within a months time, there was a supposed deadline. Which blocked Nabilah, but they later accepted and partied when Lukwago was nominated as the Lord Mayor Flag-Bearer. This is seeming unreasonable and unfair.

That’s making the FDC looking like fool. They are looking like they had a deal behind closed doors. A deal that blocked others from nominating and making it possible to Lord Mayor on the FDC ticket.

I’m not a fan of Nabilah, not at all. She is a meal-ticket politician. The sort who does all games during campaigns and elections, but relaxes through the whole term in office. Only shows up for elections, but is gone in the years in between. I cannot mention anything she written, motion or law she has sponsored. Not even taken a stand worth a headline.

Lord Mayor Lukwago has been squeezed all his career by appointed leadership and the KCCA is taking all control. So, the Lord Mayoral position in Kampala is more ceremonial then powerful. The Executive Director and Secretariat has the control. The City Hall is more for the display then doing something substantial.

Still with that in mind… Lukwago is running for the third time. This time on the FDC ticket instead of the DP. What is striking is how this all went down. It shouldn’t be this hard. The FDC cannot pull this one off without accepting wrongdoing towards one of their own. Not that Sempala is a clean leader or anyone I respect as a politician. However, the way they did this… was just plain wrong.

I understand that they didn’t want to field anyone against the incumbent Lord Mayor. A man who has support and can win for the third time. However, the FDC could have shown more humility, even addressed their plans ahead. Instead of blocking someone a month ahead and looking foolish for it.

This is not a winning streak for the FDC. Yes, they got a big-fish, a man who has been an associate of Besigye and FDC for so long. However, the party should have acted differently. Especially, when they are giving way to Lukwago now. Peace.

Opinion: Just like Mwiru, Kiiza joins the ANTs…

Today, Winne Kiiza finally revealed her split from the Forum for Democratic Change (FDC). Was I surprised? No, it was anticipated. She rise through the party and shown loyalty towards the ideals of Gen. Mugisha Muntu for so long. That is why she was so happy to be able to become the Leader of Opposition after the last General Election. An election the FDC disputed and claimed was rigged, still they accepted the defeat and took the mantle in Parliament.

That was in dark contrast to what Dr. Kizza Besigye would have wanted, but with Muntu at the helm and Kiiza as the partner that happened anyway. So, that she now follows him isn’t surprising. That was in the cards just like when Paul Mwiru revealed that he changed party too.

These two are both people of Muntu and stands by Muntu. They are not people for Besigye or for POA. That is just a mere fact. Nothing wrong with that, but the truths are still the same.

She stepped down recently as the Woman MP for Kasese, as she said she wouldn’t be in Parliament for too long or overstay her welcome. However, now that she changes party, maybe she changed her mind about that too?

I don’t know, but as she has a standing in Kasese. Is good at politicking and finding ways to manoeuvre to relevance. I wouldn’t be shocked if she found or got a flag-bearer position for the Alliance for National Transformation (ANT). That is in the cards and would be further extension of her political career.

Muntu have praised all of her actions and her role, even into the bitter end. Calling her the best Leader of Opposition the Republic ever had. So, that she would join him is so obvious. Because, POA switched her and let her back to the back-benches. Therefore, this is a move of loyalty and of future hopes.

She said last month she wouldn’t go for another term in Parliament. However, with the latest move. She might change her mind and opt out for another one. Don’t be shocked if the posters or the campaigning begins. It would fit like a glove. She a been a politician this long and would pull this one off too.

Seeing, Kiiza representing Kasese in 2021. Why not? That is what she has done all her career, and another wouldn’t make much of difference. Doubt she will settle with being a member of the secretariat of the new formation, the ANT and not play with the big boys. Peace.

Besigye’s Sole Candidacy haunts the FDC

We shall hold nominations and elections for the presidential flag bearer for FDC. If Dr Kizza Besigye offers himself as a candidate then there will be no election, that’s the position of the party’s top executive. Should he decide that he is not going to run, then there will be candidates for the presidency of the FDC. We will not allow Mr. Museveni to have a free ride to victory in 2021” – Party President Patrick Oboi Amuriat

The Forum for Democratic Change (FDC) is in a real pickle. They can either look like National Resistance Movement (NRM) or act similar. There are certain things that they are arguing about the NRM and that shouldn’t emulate themselves. The politics of the parties, the internal party shouldn’t run like the running regime.

Even if Dr. Kizza Besigye isn’t in the FDC National Executive Committee (FDC NEC) or the “chairman” and Party President like the President in his Movement. Still, Besigye have been the Presidential Flag-bearer for the FDC four times already and would run for his fifth time. That is isolating the highest candidacy from others.

That shows why Muntu had to run elsewhere. Why others left too. They couldn’t have the ambition or run in the party. Just like there is no shot for others in the NRM: Yes, the FDC doesn’t have the power, the ability or the titles, which the ruling regime has.

Still, if the party wants to signal difference, change and be a vehicle for difference. Then they cannot send the same person. That is having a sole candidate and not having real internal democracy. As there is in effect one man who is predetermined. That is how this looks.

It is the image. Besigye has fought a just fight, he has over all the years educated and told the narrative of which people should have listened. However, he wasn’t able to get the public to want enough a peaceful transition of power in the Republic. His been able to build a party and being a viable contender, even when the state has done everything it can to ban or dismiss their activity.

Besigye have done the right thing. Yes, he says in public it isn’t about titles, candidacy or his role. However, if he has the big-man role and runs again. At some stages and on some avenues his alike the ones he supposed to challenge. On this one, the image and the act of doing so. Questions if the FDC are able to see anyone else in this position.

This is not Kizza Besigye fault, as the successors of Museveni have never had the possibility to get their or even battle for it. Besigye is the President the Republic never got. However, if he runs again. He looks more like the ones he wants to challenge. By doing so, the FDC is acting more alike the NRM, than it wants too.

POA is by default making the differences between NRM and FDC less. They are by the opening of sole candidacy of Besigye doing what the NRM is doing to Museveni. The only difference is that his not part of the Secretariat or NEC. However, the role as Flag-bearer and Presidential Candidate is only for him. That is carbon-copy of Museveni.

FDC is for Besigye, NRM is for Museveni.

2021 elections is the fifth time Besigye would run against the NRM. That shows his resilience, but also no other could rise up in his shadow. This is the reality in the midst of this. FDC as a opposition party and as a challenger. Shouldn’t copy the regime it works hard to transition from. Because, if it does the same without power. What can it do, when it gets into power? Peace.

Opinion: Vilify the opposition to save face …

We know there is elections on the horizon. The National Resistance Movement (NRM) is busy sending its troops to social media and media houses. They are trying to make People Power Movement – National Unity Platform (PPM-NUP) looking like rising monster. While still continuing to ridicule and mock Dr. Kizza Besigye and his Defiance campaign of 2016.

That they are aiming at Robert Kyagulanyi aka Bobi Wine and his new party and movement. That is to be expected. Just like they went full gong-ho on Besigye and Forum for Democratic Change (FDC). The same people doesn’t even mention the UPC; JEEMA, DP, ANT or anyone else from the opposition. That’s because they are not a real threat.

They are going after Bobi Wine and Besigye for a reason. Their supporters are hoodlums, scum and anarchists. That is because of the message and their will to have a peaceful transition from the current status quo. The Modus Operandi is to make them look like a villain. They are the equivalent to Disney villains, who are there to destroy and cause evil. Even when there is no proof of that and to the contrary, the state does the evil towards them.

The Movement and their men are calling them fascists and intolerant. While they are not tolerating their existing in the firs place. Which is ironic, as these two groups of opposition struggles to open party offices and hold party meetings. While the Movement are doing internal party elections and holding rallies. Meanwhile the opposition have to act “scientific” about the same elections. Still, the opposition is the problem.

Do you see what they did there?

With this in mind. The predetermined discussion is really showing the lack of merit they have. They got to paint the opposition as crazy dictators or autocratic leaders. As they are themselves into the same. They are following the Movement and accepting what it does. They are following the sole candidate since 1986. These people are defending the ones who send the army, abduct and arrest the opposition. While calling the opposition bad, despicable and the next path to destruction.

That is why they are calling it cults… the opposition, while not looking into the mirror about the Old Man with the Hat. The man of the mustard seed and the failure of the 10 Point Programme. They will say the man needs time, another term and haven’t neglected his supposed mission.

Because of that, the use of the military, the police and all entities of the state to bend the will of the public. The apologists and defenders need to make a vision, an image of the opposition as dangerous. They will turn into worse and be beasts of men. Because, you see how Museveni and his folks is now. And you don’t want anyone worse then them, right?

However, there is no proof of this and they misuse sketchy words to address them. While not seeing how they are calling civilians derogatory words, because of their affiliation with them. If the same people suddenly turned to the Movement they would be sensitised and be directed to right direction. That shows the cultish behaviour at home, but they are casting that net to trick the world of the opposition.

This is why, there is a need for a conversation, as the People Power and FDC is made villains. While they are doing this to stop looking the deeds of the Movement and how they control the state. Because, we are instead dissecting the ones who are the challengers and the rising stars on the political field. The ones who sounds and wants change to what’s ruling the republic.

It is right to look into them and question them. However, maliciously attacking them and using the words fitting yourself isn’t a good look. When they call the ones Bobi Wine a cult, well, the sole candidate for 34 years have built his own church in his Movement. While Bobi Wine is promising to deliver a change, just like Museveni did in his early age. Therefore, you cannot dismiss him and say he will turn into Museveni. That is a false narrative and cannot be proven until he turns (if he even does).

So, this is a sideshow from the reality, as the Movement and their defenders doesn’t have anything good to prove themselves and needs to make the opposition look ungodly. Because, they are neither saints nor nuns coming with salvation, but instead a gospel filled with hypocrisy. Hoping nobody calls them out for it. Peace.

Opinion: Everything is rigged against the opposition [doesn’t matter if it’s “Scientific” or not]

The opposition in the Republic will not win at this point in time. It isn’t because of their lack of swagger and viable candidates. This is simply, because of the status quo and the whole state machinery is working against them. There is no chance that the President and the National Resistance Movement (NRM) will give way. That’s not happening anytime soon.

The Forum for Democratic Change and National Unity Platform (People Power) parties are the most high regarded opposition. The FDC has the history, while NUP and People Power are the new renegades. This is the Kizza Besigye and Robert Kyagulanyi aka Bobi Wine coming to full force as challengers to Museveni. They will gain attention and get popular. However, in the grand scheme things this will not matter. These two might win the election, might even be hugely admired by the population. However, the machinery will not let Museveni loose.

That is why the rigging will close the doors for the opposition. It is reason why I don’t mention Alliance for National Transformation (ANT), Mugisha Muntu and Democratic Party Norbert Mao. Neither is Uganda People’s Congress, James Akena or Justice Forum Asuman Basalirwa. Or whoever is running the Uganda Federal Alliance, Farmers Party or People’s Progressive Party. These lastly mentioned have enough to get an MP elected into Parliament. Not even thinking of challenging the throne.

Muntu and Mao might want to be in the big-league, but we both know they don’t have it. Neither does Akena, he is cahoots with the regime with a deal. So, when your dealing directly with NRM. You cannot anticipate the brother will do anything about it.

This is why in reality it is a battle for the FDC and NUP. These two are the parties that has to challenge and show force towards the NRM. Not, that through the ballots will make a difference at this point. The Electoral Commission, the NRM is busy scheming and preparing the results. We know who will win and that is all in the cards. To think otherwise is either naive or foolish.

The NRM will conquer, they will use all means. There is a “scientific” elections going on. That is used on the opposition, which is stopped from campaigning. While the NRM candidates are doing so, either in secret or by using government programs as a shield to allow them to meet people. That they will use the state as tool to not only campaign, but also rig the elections. This is why the opposition has no chance.

NUP and FDC knows this. They will show flex, but will they dwell on the inevitable. The ones whose moderate and pragmatic, will only benefit a small group. While the big-men of the opposition got to stand up in the midst of oppression and hardships. Knowingly they will loose, but it is a matter of how much they willing to loose in the end. Not because of lack of popularity or having backing in the public.

However, because the NRM and the state uses all means. Every single piece of intimidation and scaring tactics. Also, the use of arbitrary arrests and other means to stop the public from gatherings and organizing. Except, if you have suction or a anointed by the Movement. Then you can set-up tents, set up rallies and meetings in churches. However, the opposition is not allowed to do the same. This is another proof of the whole charade, which is going on into the polls in 2021.

If your thinking this going to be free and fair. Forget about. The state is embedded. The Police is more into politics, than actually catching thieves.

This is all just a game and we all know who is going to win. Not because the public loves him, neither that its justified. However, that is how this is played out. We can act like its not, but then I would be disingenuous. Nevertheless, we shouldn’t be fooled and just play along, but call out the nonsense as it is. Peace.

Opinion: Bobi Wine better prepare that umbrella [its going to rain]

It is soon campaign season, flag-bearers are being picked and the final pledges are being minted. The manifestos being prepared, the delegation conferences and primary elections are happening. Every little move to prepare the General Elections in 2021.

As fun as yesterday was with the launch of National Unity Platform (N.U.P) as the political party of the People Power Alliance and with the People Power Movement as the Pressure Group. Presidential Candidate Robert Kyagulanyi aka Bobi Wine still have a long walk ahead.

It will not be easy. There is a storm brewing and it will rain. When it rains, it pours. It’s not going to be peaceful. However, I think the man knows this. His carrying a umbrella to whether the storm. Nevertheless, the man needs more than that. It will help, but not help when the wind gets strong and the rain-drops still hits his face.

There will be humiliation. He will suffer again. To go into an election like he does. Where all the odds are stacked against him. Will cost, just like it has done to other opposition candidates who has challenged the crown. Now, the biggest challenger is Bobi Wine. Therefore, the brute force will be turned against him.

That is why radio hosts who has him will meet the makers of this world. They will have trouble with Uganda Communication Commission (UCC) and possibly detained by the Police Force. Even in a “scientific” election, the same old issues will be used and methods are the same. Just another name and another reason. Still, the high above wants to contain the man.

The President will make rain, will create a storm and will cause damage to Bobi Wine. Expect ISO and SFC to follow him. CMI being after him and the LDUs too. RDCs blocking him entering a district and all possible charges between here and hell. That is what is ahead. Even months of house-arrest, if the Police Force gets their Besigye groove on. Playing “another rap” and singing tunes of other elections.

The rain will not stop now. The challenger will meet the brute force. It doesn’t matter what he does. At one point or another, he will be captured, charged and detained. It doesn’t matter if his innocent or haven’t a single crime. They got the state power and put some phony charges will buy the regime time. Just like it has always done. Not like riots, demonstrations or anything will go into anarchy or a total revolt. It will be a hot minute and die down.

That’s why the umbrella will shield Bobi Wine, but that is only for the soft rain. When the tropical storm hits or anything similar. He will be wet and drained. The state will secure that he freezes and doesn’t have ability to cover himself. He will suffer and will be in danger.

It is a dangerous mission. There is no soft ways for him. The associates and team around him can help, but they all are in the firing line. They all needs their umbrellas, as it will rain on them too. The rain doesn’t discriminate, it rains on everyone. They will meet the rain-drops and got to cover themselves.

Bobi Wine … good you have a tool now and not just an idea. However, you need a lot more, if you want to succeed. Especially, against as conning people as the ones you conspire to bring down. These people have no scruples and will use any means to stay on top.

They will sing the rain-dance, indefinetly to ensure you always have to use the umbrella, instead of being focused on the cause and mission ahead. Peace.

A look into Bobi Wine’s National Unity Platform Launch Statement

Today, Robert Kyagulanyi aka Bobi Wine launched his political party, the National Unity Platform (NUP), which will be an umbrella to the People Power Movement. The Political Party of the Pressure Group. That is why his statement is important for his next move ahead of the General Election in 2021.

Well, just like do others, I will do to Bobi Wine. I will look into what he says and drop my thoughts after it. It will be the most important pieces of the statement. Here will not be the whole statement, but some snippets of it and then discussing it. Because, that is the play of looking into it.

He started with this: “When we started the People Power Movement about three years ago, we had lengthy discussions about whether or not to register a political party. Our analysis led us to the conclusion that it was both untimely and impractical to form a political party. In any case, we were alive to the fact that the regime would foil any attempt to register People Power as a political party” (Bobi Wine, 22.07.2020).

I am sure the team and associates around Bobi Wine has discussed what to do and how to go forward. They had to find a way to be a legal entity and not just an idea. The Pressure Group would work for independents, but could be put into question over time. Also, the idea that the authorities wouldn’t accept People Power as a Party is most likely true. It would be shocking if they would nod to it and give it go. That would have been a healthy, but anticipating something else is naive.

As he continues: “As you all know, our message has been Mission 2021. Right from 2018, we have been telling all of you to ready yourselves for the 2021 election, because we believe that together, we can and must use that election to overwhelm and remove the dictatorship” (Bobi Wine, 22.07.2020).

It’s right for him to have this ideal and hope that he can conquer the NRM and the President with an election. However, that has been impossible since 1996. I have hard time believing anyone would unsettle and send Museveni packing over the polls in 2021. There is a need of a revolution and of defiance/civil disobedience at levels that has been unheard of. If the PPM and NUP uses that, then they can have hope for change in 2021. If they act like all the others before them. Then they will be beaten down and it will amount to nothing.

He continues: “And so, a few months back, when we predicted that we would find ourselves in this situation, we embarked on finding a solution. We set out to silently identify a Platform which we would use to answer this question. Although many political parties and organisations had reached out to us, our first and most important criteria was to look out for a formation which shares our values, aims and objectives. And there are many which do, but there was a political organisation whose message and objectives rhymed well with those very close to us. In order to make the message even stronger, in July 2019, we went ahead and successfully changed the name of this political organisation from National Unity, Reconciliation and Development Party to the National Unity Platform” (Bobi Wine, 22.07.2020).

I have a feeling that since its inception and seeing how hard he had to battle the authorities in his Kyadondo East By-Election. He knew this would be hard. So, I am sure the situation was that from get-go in a way. However, it sounds better just thinking a few months back. Not thinking from the start and knowing what happen early in the journey as a political active person.

I know the whole Republic is grateful that it landed on NUP and not NURDP. The last one sounds like a bad government program with foreign funding. So, they have had this in the making for a while. By this statement they have worked on this since last July and reveals the new party a year later.

He continues: “Therefore, today I stand here to announce to the nation that we are unveiling the National Unity Platform as the political wing of the People Power Movement. The National Unity Platform is a political organisation duly registered with the Electoral Commission and our symbol is an umbrella” (Bobi Wine, 22.07.2020).

I still find it funny that his calling it the political wing. It is the political party and the other is the pressure group. Both have their political agenda and foundation. They are registered different, but has the same goals. Just like other CSOs can campaign for a political party, even Unions can support a party and a candidate, but that is political, but they are not a party. The same is the difference between the PPM and NUP. The umbrella is just a fine feature, as so many other parties have already picked their symbol. The NUP had to pick something. Umbrella is fine, it stops the sunlight, rain and tear-gas. It is a nice thing to have and is a useful thing.

He continues: “Finally, I know there are those who may ask themselves where this leaves comrades and fellow leaders who belong to other registered political organisations. Friends, we are People Power. In the coming days, we shall embark on the process of formalising the People Power Alliance. The People Power Alliance shall be comprised of different political formations which we have been working with and those that will be willing to join us. Formal engagements with many of these brothers and sisters have already been ongoing and they will continue” (Bobi Wine, 22.07.2020).

Here is another swift change of events. Not only launching the NUP, but the People Power Alliance. I don’t know if that is consideration of the United Forces for Change (UFC) with People’s Government (FDC based) or the other party members associated with the People Power Movement. The PPM is already established and has its significant place. As a home from all parties and people who want change. To make it into an alliance. Is just, if I may, making the umbrella bigger with PPM, NUP and PPA. It is consortium of organization under the same banner, but you need soon a own lingo dictionary to be sure how to address it correctly.

The NUP and PPM would have been sufficient, unless he wants some more mechanisms to keep everything in order. However, with the addition, he might scare away some who is not into the cause and only used it for a political bargain along the line to elections.

The final quote: “In our case, we have consistently said that we are a non-violent movement and we have no plans of establishing a military wing. What we are doing today is to launch a political wing of our Movement so as to ensure that our mission to use the election as a strategy within the liberation struggle succeeds” (Bobi Wine, 22.07.2020).

We are seeing that the PPM and NUP are not planning to pick up guns and try a coup d’etat. Which is a healthy stance, not repeating the sins of old and trying it on a new generation of people. Using the same means the dictatorship came in and hoping not end up as the new one.

His hampering on the political wing, which for me seems weird. That is his prerogative. Because, at what point does the PPM loose value, since its only NUP whose political? When all policies, all people attracted to the PPM and not to the NUP. Many might turn into NUP as their haven and destined party. However, the PPM is the shuttle, the place where everything started and the Movement who gave way to NUP.

I still don’t see how the NUP and PPM will use this up-coming election to overcome the junta. The current day regime, by using the same tools its predecessors have done. The only thing different is its Bobi Wine and his cadres. It is fine and dandy, the flex and the ability to gain popularity. However, it is not like Besigye didn’t get popular too and was driving on a coach through Kampala before the last election.

So, I have hope for Bobi Wine, the whole People Power, but through an election. I doubt for change, for positive difference and actual getting rid of the ones besieging the state. No, they will not be beaten over the ballot. It needs something more powerful, something got to give and by playing the same rules as previous opposition. You will just turn into the same ills of the past.

Bobi Wine deserves better, everyone following him, deserves better, alas the state and the NRM is unforgiving. There will be costs, harm and pain. I don’t see anything else ahead. He needs proper tools, support and a machinery that has to blast the NRM to smithereens and I don’t see that yet. Peace.

Opinion: Under Bobi Wine’s umbrella

“Now that it’s raining more than ever

 Know that we’ll still have each other

 You can stand under my umbrella

 You can stand under my umbrella

(Ella ella, eh eh eh)

 Under my umbrella

 (Ella ella, eh eh eh)

 Under my umbrella

 (Ella ella, eh eh eh)

 Under my umbrella

 (Ella ella, eh eh eh, eh eh eh)”Rihanna on ‘Umbrella’ (2007)

Today in a move to outsmart the Electoral Commission and the National Resistance Movement (NRM) he launched the official party – National Unity Platform (NUP). This is clearly in a move, if the regime plans to stifle or stop the People Power Movment (PPM) as a pressure group. There been speculation of this and even TVO has hinted about that lately.

So, this was a move to outsmart that. However, saying the NUP is the political wing of the PPM seems a bit ridiculous. Let me address this briefly, the PPM is a political movement and not just an empty vessel. It is where many has registered and is associated as a vehicle for change. However, the NUP will be a political party that some of the ones associating with PPM will aligned itself with. Just like the DP candidates will be part of that party, but also associated with PPM.

Now, the PPM can have both independent candidates, but also own party candidates that stands for both the pressure group and the party itself. Just like in the previous election in 2016, when some DP stood for the party and was aligned with TDA. It is the same thing.

That is why both things are political, just one registered as a party and the other a pressure group. To entities, which is branching off its other and still aligned. It is very simple. It is under the same umbrella.

Robert Kyagulanyi aka Bobi Wine shows again how savvy he is. Just like he went into dialogue and talks with Besigye. Again, he shows that he can think ahead and plan. To branch out and create his own is just the right move. It is maybe late in the cycle, but the PPM has already more relevance then other parties. More candidates and more nominations than ever. Therefore, some can be fielded by just the party and others can be associated with the pressure group.

This gives Bobi Wine and his associates two swords in one battle. Both the ability to have partners across the political landscape, but also create his unique party. That is really conning and also maybe the tools you need to address the public. Now, they cannot say his just a political club, a not serious politician. His maybe launching this late and just in time for the elections. However, the party is official and his not 100% independent anymore. His under the umbrella of People Power and NUP.

That’s the game of Bobi Wine. The PPM and NUP will challenge for real. The name is generic. National Unity Platform is as standard as can be. Bobi Wine didn’t go all out revolutionary or extra-ordinary on the name sake. However, that is not important. The cause is and the game plan too.

Now, he has to show his flex, even when it rains, when its sunshine and the in-coming tear-gas. It is coming, but he can always bring an “umbrella ella ella eh eh eh”. Peace.

Opinion: The NRM hopes to contain Bobi Wine [like they did with Besigye]

We are repeating things. We are going in circles and some people wonders why we are going nowhere. The pragmatic, the ones who doesn’t want to stir the boat follows Mugisha Muntu, but that is why the army or the NRM doesn’t fear him. They let him go on his merry, as the disciples of Muntu will not cause a revolution. They will just sit, have some tea and leave it alone.

That is why Robert Kyagulanyi aka Bobi Wine is a whole other breed. When he steps out of his home to be at any radio station or TV show. The police will be in the surrounding area. The roads will be blocked, and they will push for him to be escorted home. Because, he will cause a stir just by showing up. That’s why the guns, the soldiers and the anti-riot police are their in full effect, when he shows up.

We have seen this before; this movie has been in the name of defiance and walk to work. This movie has been shot plenty of times across the Republic. The actors from the authorities are the same. The names might be switched, but they are practically doing the same thing. Instead of targeting Besigye and Lukwago, they are going after Bobi Wine and his associates.

What we can see right now is that the authorities and the ruling party is campaigning, they are using churches, yards and tents to hold rallies. They are giving away gear in connection to COVID-19 and using government schemes as a reason for holding rallies. While Bobi Wine is barely allowed to be in Media Houses. That is with intent, because the Ministers, the associates of the NRM are all out there gathering crowds in their spaces. While the FDC and Bobi Wine can forget trying to do the same without arrests, live-bullets and tear-gas. That is just the way this is played.

The Presidential Directives, the national guidelines and the electoral commission is clearly not independent. Just as the authorities and the regime itself is doing what it can to destroy a vibrant opposition. While they are busy scheming and holding rallies, while the rules and regulations says otherwise. The police say they are investigating, but will they arrest 10% of the cabinet and its ministers for flaunting these rules? Heck no, they will not even touch them. Only condemn and move-on.

The state will use all means to silence and stop Bobi Wine. Just like for no reason, no warrant and justification, the state put Besigye under house-arrest for months on end. Where he was not allowed to leave his home. Practically making his homestead a makeshift prison with guards and vans, ready for the inevitable escape.

Bobi Wine will again feel the blunt force, he will be charged with more criminal intent and inciting violence. There will be the charge of annoying the President and so on. There will be more blocked radio stations and venues for participating in the “Scientific” elections, which the NRM doesn’t give a rat’s ass about. They are just out and about meeting people. While the Bobi Wine and FDC cannot do the same. Yes, FDC open an office last week without the fuzz, but that is more a miracle, then an ordinary day in Northern Uganda. Usually, an MP from the FDC would be legal trouble doing so.

Bobi Wine will be in trouble, not because he causes it, but for the simple reason of his existence. That he challenge and stands up against injustice. That is why he will be contained by all means; the state will use force and be rough. They will leave no stone untouched and he could face again treason charges. That wouldn’t be shocking but expected at this point.

Just wait, all things done to him is to contain him and stop him. Ensure he has such a hectic life, with impossible movement and stepping outside his home. That they will hope that he becomes a prisoner of it. This is their goal. To silence and stop him. By using legal means, using impunity and hoping to get away with it. As his just one man and they got an army behind them. Peace.

Opinion: Byamugisha will be more lonely than Muntu…

Today, Moses Byamugisha have announced that his running for the presidency, but not through the Forum for Democratic Change (FDC) as previously announced. He has other plans, certainly in regards, that ithere is talk of Dr. Kizza Besigye running again as the Presidential Candidate in the FDC. Nothing of this is shocking, but inevitable. Byamugisha had to see that one coming. As he knows the party and their movements better than anyone. He has been working there for ages and therfore, this move was awaited for his part. Especially, for a person wanting to aim at the Presidency. 

Byamugisha knows the FDC very well. He has been a mobilizer and helped the youths. Activists across the Republic knows him. Moses is well-known because of this. He has sought people arrested for their political activism and the former aide to Besigye.

Moses knows what happens when you loose out and seen others fall-out of love too. Byamugisha will be lonely out there. He will not have the machinery and support system of the FDC. Moses will be like Elton Joseph Mabirizi. Another independent candidate, but with some fellow supporters from the FDC.

That is why his a like a underling of Mugisha Muntu, the former Party President, but now Flag-Bearer of the Alliance of National Transformation (ANT). The New Formation and the new outfit for one man who never became the Flag-Bearer in the FDC.

Byamugisha will feel the blunt loneliness out there. After all the years in the FDC. When he stands as an Independent. He will not have the party behind him. FDC will uses their machinery on their candidates and flag-bearers. This is something Moses knows well, his been in the party for years. Not like they will give him energy or a time of day. Neither does they have a agreement with him like they have with Erias Lukwago. No, his on the whim on this one.

Muntu has had time to prepare for his departure and started to build his party in his image. ANTs are working and they are following whatever ideas Muntu has. Byamugisha have just launched the idea and today told he wouldn’t run for the FDC.

Byamugisha is saying what most of us knows. That there is limitations to ambition in the two biggest parties of the Republic. In both NRM and FDC there are two kings. They are the natural flag-bearers. Moses cannot stand, but he can be an aide.

However, Byamugisha will struggle. A sudden lone soldier without the generals or the majors. Moses will really feel lonely. He might act brave. Be a Spartan and wanting to beat the Greek. Nevertheless, Moses will not feel it like that. He goes both against the President and the authorities. A man who knows what Besigye has gone through over the years. A man who has seen what happens to activists and their battle against the oppression.

Therefore, Moses knows all of this. The difference between him and Muntu is that Muntu has a party. Not a giant party, but a starting organization, but Moses has only himself. Like I said, he might get someone with him, but nothing that will be working like when he was in the FDC.

Byamugisha have left the nest to early here. He went for the highest office to quick and without a machinery. This will be bloody. Muntu have some buddies and a sort of party at this point. Byamugisha has himself and his attempt to victory.

Moses will severe a loss. The loss just depends self inflicted injury. Not to forget how much damage he will make to the cause. His diplomatic about the severing of ties with the FDC and not running there.

However, not like Moses can make his own party now before 2021. Muntu has had some time, something Byamugisha doesn’t have. We have to wait and see. The only thing we do know is that this journey will be lonely for the man and he will have little to no support. Peace.